It is currently Fri Nov 15, 2024 10:38 pm

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 463 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ... 16  Next
Author Message
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 8:05 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 12:16 pm
Posts: 81625
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Even if you believe Wins are good stat, there is no denying that the other peripheral numbers are much better at projecting the future.


True to some degree, but also the reason people kept given big money to guys like Javy Vazquez and Edwin Jackson.

Its especially misleading to look at Samardzija's wins. The Cubs have been 28th in runs the last two years.


It may be misleading and it may not. He could be Dave Stewart or Red Ruffing, but I'd say it's more likely that he's A.J. Burnett at best.

Yeah, that's about right. Burnett is a good pitcher.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 8:11 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Feb 17, 2009 2:18 pm
Posts: 27517
Location: Rizzo fo Shizzo
pizza_Place: Pizza Villa in DeKalb.
rogers park bryan wrote:
Big Chicagoan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
12 mill is about average for a decent #2-#3 starter


He wants $18M/yr.

He's not getting that.

Which is why I proposed the more realistic 15 per


If they offer 5 yrs 75 and he wants 5 years 90 i think they can make it work. With these tv contracts entering the picture will 15-18 per even be huge money towards the end of this deal?

I wish they could lock down shark at 5/75 and T Wood at 5/60.

_________________
That's my purse! I don't know you!


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 8:14 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon May 02, 2011 4:29 pm
Posts: 40615
Location: Everywhere
pizza_Place: giordanos
Makes sense. Burnett makes 15M.

_________________
Elections have consequences.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 8:22 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jun 14, 2010 4:29 pm
Posts: 38674
pizza_Place: Lou Malnatis
Ive obviously underestimated what the market should bear for a career .500 pitcher. If Burnett is the benchmark, ( whom Sammy will be lucky to be as good as / have the career that he has which is 12 over .500 in 16 years) then yeah I guess 4 or 5 years at 15 per is fair. Seems like thats a lot to pay for a 3rd starter when you still need a number 1 and 2.

_________________
Proud member of the white guy grievance committee

It aint the six minutes. Its what happens in those six minutes.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 8:37 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 12:16 pm
Posts: 81625
badrogue17 wrote:
Ive obviously underestimated what the market should bear for a career .500 pitcher. If Burnett is the benchmark, ( whom Sammy will be lucky to be as good as / have the career that he has which is 12 over .500 in 16 years) then yeah I guess 4 or 5 years at 15 per is fair. Seems like thats a lot to pay for a 3rd starter when you still need a number 1 and 2.

Pitching is insane.

41 starting pitchers make 10 million per year and that doesnt include young guys (like Sale)who arent paid yet


http://www.spotrac.com/rankings/mlb/total/starting-pitcher/limit-100/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 8:45 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2005 2:35 pm
Posts: 82152
rogers park bryan wrote:
Its a difficult thing to get a near ready for MLB SP unless what you're trading for him is MUCH better (like Cliff Lee, Sabathia, at the times of their trades)


Id keep Samardzija only because I can't see getting proper value for him



Sign Shark and Wood and you have half a decent rotation guarenteed for 4 years


That's the way I see it. Payroll is low right now. Spend a little.

Isn't he under control for another 2 years anyway?

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 8:54 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2005 2:35 pm
Posts: 82152
bigfan wrote:
[To his credit this year, to date, he has been a legit #1, best pitcher in Chicago?.


Hmmm...I guess Sale DID have that one start where he didn't absolutely dominate.

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:02 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Dec 31, 1969 7:00 pm
Posts: 40983
Location: Chicago
pizza_Place: Lou Malanati's
good dolphin wrote:
bigfan wrote:
[To his credit this year, to date, he has been a legit #1, best pitcher in Chicago?.


Hmmm...I guess Sale DID have that one start where he didn't absolutely dominate.


Actually he had 1 game in which he dominated and gave up no earned runs, the other 2 he allowed 3 ER in each, which is good but not dominate.

Jeffers, has allowed 0,1,2 runs in his respective starts.

I don't think it will continue, but TO DATE, Sale has not been the better pitcher.

_________________
"That's what the internet is for. Slandering others anonymously." Banky
“Been that way since one monkey looked at the sun and told the other monkey ‘He said for you to give me your fuckin’ share.’”


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:07 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Jun 29, 2007 11:17 am
Posts: 72378
Location: Palatine
pizza_Place: Lou Malnatis
bigfan wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
bigfan wrote:
[To his credit this year, to date, he has been a legit #1, best pitcher in Chicago?.


Hmmm...I guess Sale DID have that one start where he didn't absolutely dominate.


Actually he had 1 game in which he dominated and gave up no earned runs, the other 2 he allowed 3 ER in each, which is good but not dominate.

Jeffers, has allowed 0,1,2 runs in his respective starts.

I don't think it will continue, but TO DATE, Sale has not been the better pitcher.

Sale has a much better WHIP, which I'm always told is a better measure than anything else.

_________________
Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:07 am 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
Fail, bigfan. Sale HAS been the better pitcher.

3-0 2.66 ERA 0.93 WHIP

0-1 1.29 ERA 1.05 WHIP

That is not to say that Samardjiza has been bad, but give me a 3-0 record with a 2.6 ERA in the AL 100% of the time over the numbers Samardjiza has put up so far in the NL.

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:27 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Dec 31, 1969 7:00 pm
Posts: 40983
Location: Chicago
pizza_Place: Lou Malanati's
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Fail, bigfan. Sale HAS been the better pitcher.

3-0 2.66 ERA 0.93 WHIP

0-1 1.29 ERA 1.05 WHIP

That is not to say that Samardjiza has been bad, but give me a 3-0 record with a 2.6 ERA in the AL 100% of the time over the numbers Samardjiza has put up so far in the NL.


The really smart baseball guys do use Wins as a major indicator of how a guy has pitched, Frank is right again. I apologize. And .93 is Far Superior to 1.05 in the WHIP category.

_________________
"That's what the internet is for. Slandering others anonymously." Banky
“Been that way since one monkey looked at the sun and told the other monkey ‘He said for you to give me your fuckin’ share.’”


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:31 am 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
Sale has been far superior. Steve Stone was correct again!

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:34 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jul 19, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 2270
Location: Wheaton, IL
pizza_Place: Lou Malnati's
rogers park bryan wrote:
badrogue17 wrote:
A number I like to look at for starters is wins and Sammy had all of 8 to go along with a sparkling 4.3 ERA last year. Again what he's doing now is mirroring what he did last year at the start. Im more interested in how he's going to handle July August September this year . Even then Im not writing him the check he wants . He thinks he's better than he is.

Even if you believe Wins are good stat, there is no denying that the other peripheral numbers are much better at projecting the future.

Especially pitching for a terrible team like the Cubs.

Bernstein continuously preaches that wins are a totally meaningless stat.

_________________
Host of the weekly "We Fish ASA" podcast
Weekly columnist for the Northwest Herald
Bi-monthly columnist for Illinois Outdoor News magazine
Former host of The Outdoors Experience on WIND and The Great Outdoors on CLTV
http://www.wefishasa.com


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:35 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 12:16 pm
Posts: 81625
SteveSarley wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
badrogue17 wrote:
A number I like to look at for starters is wins and Sammy had all of 8 to go along with a sparkling 4.3 ERA last year. Again what he's doing now is mirroring what he did last year at the start. Im more interested in how he's going to handle July August September this year . Even then Im not writing him the check he wants . He thinks he's better than he is.

Even if you believe Wins are good stat, there is no denying that the other peripheral numbers are much better at projecting the future.

Especially pitching for a terrible team like the Cubs.

Bernstein continuously preaches that wins are a totally meaningless stat.

Bernstein knows not of which he speaks when it comes to baseball in general and its most pronounced when discussing advanced stats.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:42 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Dec 31, 1969 7:00 pm
Posts: 40983
Location: Chicago
pizza_Place: Lou Malanati's
SteveSarley wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
badrogue17 wrote:
A number I like to look at for starters is wins and Sammy had all of 8 to go along with a sparkling 4.3 ERA last year. Again what he's doing now is mirroring what he did last year at the start. Im more interested in how he's going to handle July August September this year . Even then Im not writing him the check he wants . He thinks he's better than he is.

Even if you believe Wins are good stat, there is no denying that the other peripheral numbers are much better at projecting the future.

Especially pitching for a terrible team like the Cubs.

Bernstein continuously preaches that wins are a totally meaningless stat.


Partially misleading is a better way of saying it.

Wins are a situational stat and they should be redone as so. CGW, QGW, etc

_________________
"That's what the internet is for. Slandering others anonymously." Banky
“Been that way since one monkey looked at the sun and told the other monkey ‘He said for you to give me your fuckin’ share.’”


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:43 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Jun 29, 2007 11:17 am
Posts: 72378
Location: Palatine
pizza_Place: Lou Malnatis
bigfan wrote:
And .93 is Far Superior to 1.05 in the WHIP category.

:lol: Actually yes, it is.

You don't think JORR is a really smart baseball guy?

_________________
Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:45 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2010 5:02 pm
Posts: 11735
pizza_Place: Angelo's Pizza in Downers Grove
good dolphin wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Its a difficult thing to get a near ready for MLB SP unless what you're trading for him is MUCH better (like Cliff Lee, Sabathia, at the times of their trades)


Id keep Samardzija only because I can't see getting proper value for him



Sign Shark and Wood and you have half a decent rotation guarenteed for 4 years


That's the way I see it. Payroll is low right now. Spend a little.

Isn't he under control for another 2 years anyway?


There are two Cy Young winners who will be FA in the next two seasons. Spend the money on them and sacrifice the draft picks. Even if they have to pay $25M+ yr to those guys, the payroll right now is ridiculously low.

Use Shark to replace those draft pick prospects in a trade. Resign Wood and fill out the rotation with Hendricks, Rusin, Johnson, Edwards, Arrieta.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:46 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jan 15, 2008 2:28 pm
Posts: 29948
Location: SW Burbs
FavreFan wrote:
You don't think JORR is a really smart baseball guy?

Image

_________________
FavreFan wrote:
Im pretty hammered right now.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:47 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jun 06, 2012 7:43 pm
Posts: 20537
pizza_Place: Joes Pizza
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Fail, bigfan. Sale HAS been the better pitcher.

3-0 2.66 ERA 0.93 WHIP

0-1 1.29 ERA 1.05 WHIP

That is not to say that Samardjiza has been bad, but give me a 3-0 record with a 2.6 ERA in the AL 100% of the time over the numbers Samardjiza has put up so far in the NL.

Runs that Cubs scored in Shark's starts: 0, 0 and 6 (Veras blowing a 3-1 save). Sale really earned that win going 5IP, 3ER Friday.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:48 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Jun 29, 2007 11:17 am
Posts: 72378
Location: Palatine
pizza_Place: Lou Malnatis
spanky wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
You don't think JORR is a really smart baseball guy?

Image

There's less than 5 guys on this board who know more about baseball than JORR. There might be none.

_________________
Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:50 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jun 14, 2010 4:29 pm
Posts: 38674
pizza_Place: Lou Malnatis
Kirkwood wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Fail, bigfan. Sale HAS been the better pitcher.

3-0 2.66 ERA 0.93 WHIP

0-1 1.29 ERA 1.05 WHIP

That is not to say that Samardjiza has been bad, but give me a 3-0 record with a 2.6 ERA in the AL 100% of the time over the numbers Samardjiza has put up so far in the NL.

Runs that Cubs scored in Shark's starts: 0, 0 and 6 (Veras blowing a 3-1 save). Sale really earned that win going 5IP, 3ER Friday.

:lol: We going to go down this road again?

_________________
Proud member of the white guy grievance committee

It aint the six minutes. Its what happens in those six minutes.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:55 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jun 06, 2012 7:43 pm
Posts: 20537
pizza_Place: Joes Pizza
If Frank thinks Sale barely "outdueling" a fifth starter by doing the bare minimum then yes an education must commence.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 10:03 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2005 2:35 pm
Posts: 82152
Big Chicagoan wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Its a difficult thing to get a near ready for MLB SP unless what you're trading for him is MUCH better (like Cliff Lee, Sabathia, at the times of their trades)


Id keep Samardzija only because I can't see getting proper value for him



Sign Shark and Wood and you have half a decent rotation guarenteed for 4 years


That's the way I see it. Payroll is low right now. Spend a little.

Isn't he under control for another 2 years anyway?


There are two Cy Young winners who will be FA in the next two seasons. Spend the money on them and sacrifice the draft picks. Even if they have to pay $25M+ yr to those guys, the payroll right now is ridiculously low.

Use Shark to replace those draft pick prospects in a trade. Resign Wood and fill out the rotation with Hendricks, Rusin, Johnson, Edwards, Arrieta.


How much do you think they will have to overpay for those two Cy Young's to convince them to join The(o) Plan versus, say, the Tigers who are a ready made contender with deep pockets?

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 10:05 am 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
Kirkwood wrote:
If Frank thinks Sale barely "outdueling" a fifth starter by doing the bare minimum then yes an education must commence.
One pitcher is 3-0. However he got there, he is 3-0 with a 2.26 ERA.

bigfan erroneously stated that Sale has not been the better pitcher to date. I pointed out just how wrong he was.

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 10:09 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Jun 29, 2007 11:17 am
Posts: 72378
Location: Palatine
pizza_Place: Lou Malnatis
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
If Frank thinks Sale barely "outdueling" a fifth starter by doing the bare minimum then yes an education must commence.
One pitcher is 3-0. However he got there, he is 3-0 with a 2.26 ERA.

bigfan erroneously stated that Sale has not been the better pitcher to date. I pointed out just how wrong he was.

But it is funny to hear Cub fans on one hand say how Samardjiza has been the best pitcher in Chicago this year, and on the other say they don't want to pay him. I'm glad Hahn was smart enough to avoid any of this type of dilemma with Sale.

_________________
Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 10:13 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2010 5:02 pm
Posts: 11735
pizza_Place: Angelo's Pizza in Downers Grove
good dolphin wrote:
Big Chicagoan wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Its a difficult thing to get a near ready for MLB SP unless what you're trading for him is MUCH better (like Cliff Lee, Sabathia, at the times of their trades)


Id keep Samardzija only because I can't see getting proper value for him



Sign Shark and Wood and you have half a decent rotation guarenteed for 4 years


That's the way I see it. Payroll is low right now. Spend a little.

Isn't he under control for another 2 years anyway?


There are two Cy Young winners who will be FA in the next two seasons. Spend the money on them and sacrifice the draft picks. Even if they have to pay $25M+ yr to those guys, the payroll right now is ridiculously low.

Use Shark to replace those draft pick prospects in a trade. Resign Wood and fill out the rotation with Hendricks, Rusin, Johnson, Edwards, Arrieta.


How much do you think they will have to overpay for those two Cy Young's to convince them to join The(o) Plan versus, say, the Tigers who are a ready made contender with deep pockets?


Price will get $30M/yr, Scherezer will get $27.5M. Scherezer basically already told Detroit to go suck a dick, so shouldn't be a problem getting to put an offer on him. There aren't too many big market teams with loads of cash to spend.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 12:57 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Jan 26, 2007 3:17 pm
Posts: 17678
Location: The Leviathan
pizza_Place: Frozen
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Fail, bigfan. Sale HAS been the better pitcher.

3-0 2.66 ERA 0.93 WHIP

0-1 1.29 ERA 1.05 WHIP

That is not to say that Samardjiza has been bad, but give me a 3-0 record with a 2.6 ERA in the AL 100% of the time over the numbers Samardjiza has put up so far in the NL.

Give me the guy who's giving up well over a run less per game at the expense of what amounts to one extra hit/walk.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 12:58 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Jun 29, 2007 11:17 am
Posts: 72378
Location: Palatine
pizza_Place: Lou Malnatis
Give me a sample size of more than three starts.

_________________
Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 1:02 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Jan 26, 2007 3:17 pm
Posts: 17678
Location: The Leviathan
pizza_Place: Frozen
FavreFan wrote:
Give me a sample size of more than three starts.

Well obviously, but if we are gonna compare the two...


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Apr 14, 2014 1:13 pm 
Online
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79462
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
lipidquadcab wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Fail, bigfan. Sale HAS been the better pitcher.

3-0 2.66 ERA 0.93 WHIP

0-1 1.29 ERA 1.05 WHIP

That is not to say that Samardjiza has been bad, but give me a 3-0 record with a 2.6 ERA in the AL 100% of the time over the numbers Samardjiza has put up so far in the NL.

Give me the guy who's giving up well over a run less per game at the expense of what amounts to one extra hit/walk.



I'll take the guy who is pitching better than the guys he is facing.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Matthew, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 463 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ... 16  Next

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 28 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group