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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 1:28 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
People forget how great that '05 team was. They won 90 games the next year too and people act like they were below .500 the rest of the way.
Add in the playoff record and they have a resume that stacks up to almost any other World Series champion.

It didn't last though.

By the same logic though, wouldn't the years of being terrible prior to the World Series also taint the upcoming Cubs World Series championship? I mean, if the fact that the Sox fell off within a year of the title somehow lessens it, then doesn't 5 years of horrible baseball also do that?

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 1:29 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
A 2005 White Sox situation, to me, would be a failure.
:lol: This is the stuff that gets annoying as a White Sox fan, and gives some evidence towards the "arrogance" of Cubs fans.

A season like 2005 would be the greatest time in your baseball life even if they lost every game after that for 10 years.

Yeah, it would have been nice if the Sox won two more titles after 2005. It would be nice if they were the Yankees too.

People forget how great that '05 team was. They won 90 games the next year too and people act like they were below .500 the rest of the way.


and went wire to wire while winning 99 games

It was remarkable when Cleveland ALMOST took over first place for a day

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 1:30 pm 
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I am no fan of sucking for 4-5 years to draft high, plenty of organizations. have done just fine without this tactic . If you draft wisely n sign quality free agents ...you can win .

just curious on what you think Rick Hahns record will be after his first 3 seasons.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 5:57 pm 
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Alright ...no sox fans will answer .. my guess is after 3 years , hahn will have an almost identical record as Epstein first 3 years.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 5:59 pm 
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312player wrote:
Alright ...no sox fans will answer .. my guess is after 3 years , hahn will have an almost identical record as Epstein first 3 years.

He would have to go something like 30-150 in his next 180 games. Nice try, but Hahn is all but guaranteed a much better record after 3 seasons than Theo will have.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 6:01 pm 
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312player wrote:
Alright ...no sox fans will answer .. my guess is after 3 years , hahn will have an almost identical record as Epstein first 3 years.

Unlikely. Advantage: Hahn in this case.

But who cares? It isn't about who is less shitty first and foremost. Shitty is shitty. Secondly, Theo received the organization in worse condition than did Hahn. I believe we all could agree on that. Their rebuild philosophies, for better or worse, are also a bit different.

Let's hold hands in union with White Sox fans as both of our teams approach respectability, push the envelope, and become juggernauts over the next decade.

The Cubs will be more juggernautish, however. :drunken:

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 6:02 pm 
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I thought Hahns first season was last year ? They lost like 99 games last year...n mite dump some players n be right back again @ the 90 plus -losses .

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 6:04 pm 
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312player wrote:
I thought Hahns first season was last year ? They lost like 99 games last year...n mite dump some players n be right back again @ the 90 plus -losses .

But Theo's first two years averaged high 90's losses. So...I mean...the White Sox aren't going to do that this year and next, are they? I doubt it. This season will be ~90 losses, and next season will be closer to .500.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 6:06 pm 
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not counting the game he invented, but i think it was silvy who years ago said, "would you rather be a marlins fan?" now, in his context he meant...would you be cool rooting for a team with no fanbase or real tradition and win 2 world series within 10 years; or be a cubs fan, and really know what it was like to taste victory after so many years of losing if they win a championship?

but those marlins teams were bought and sold as well...if a marlins fan actually existed, i know what they're answer would be. but i get imu's idea that he'd rather see a homegrown team rather than one bought and paid for win the world series.

the question is, in this climate, which is more likely to happen?


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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 6:13 pm 
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312player wrote:
Alright ...no sox fans will answer .. my guess is after 3 years , hahn will have an almost identical record as Epstein first 3 years.
No. Hahn will have a much better record. They still should probably be fairly close to .500 this year and they should be above .500 next year.

Something is seriously wrong if the Sox are below .500 next year.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 7:41 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
Why do Sox fans get to determine what makes Theo and Jed's tenure a success or failure? Shouldn't the teams fans decide that?

For me...it would be a World Series victory...or at least several playoff appearances with a few NLCS appearances, or a World Series appearance or two.

A 2005 White Sox situation, to me, would be a failure.

Regular season record over the course of the tenure? Meh. That would heavily rely on how long the tenure is. 2016 and 2017 field only .500 teams? Not long. 2016 and 2017 are NLCS / World Series appearances and losses? Theo and Jed get a 8 year extension and have a lot more time to crest .500.


In that case what's the difference between seemingly random periods of success with a WS win or appearance mixed in with some bad, and three to four years of deliberate bad only for the chance of what you talked about: several playoff appearances, NLCS win, etc?

I mean...this is strictly having to do with my personality...or viewpoint...or whatever, but:

I think I can deal with "phases" a bit better than a mixed bag of win loss. It is much easier for me to discuss this now as the losing period on purpose is nearing its end...but I've been on board with a full rebuild for awhile. I didn't post much since 2006...but I believe if I still had some of those posts you'd find me wanting to rebuild as early as 2009...a complete overhaul. The Derrek Lee / Alfonso Soriano / Carlos Zambrano / Aramis Ramirez contracts put the Cubs in a crappy situation.

Some insight: I was not a Bulls fan in the 90's. I was a Magic fan. I then didn't watch much NBA from 1999 to 2002 or so...caught it here and there, but I wasn't a diehard. The Bulls piqued my interest with the drafting of Jay Williams. I had disliked Jalen Rose, Chandler, Curry, Mercer, E-Rob, Fizer, Brand...really the only Bull I liked was Brad Miller. The Bulls re-stocking with Jay Williams (and then his replacement Kirk Hinrich), Ben Gordon, Luol Deng...I enjoy watching young players develop. I'm a fan of teams, but I'd be lying if I said I wasn't a fan of individual players as well. Winning with a team full of homegrown talent "feels" better. I believe the Blackhawks are an excellent example. Doesn't it feel better that Toews, Kane, Niemi, Crawford, Keith, Seabrook led the way? Sharp to some extent, as he came over young. Hossa was the only big contributor as a free agent.

The Bulls teams centered around Kirk, Gordon, and Deng and then Noah, Taj, Rose, and Deng? I loved it.

This might be why I wore rose colored glasses with Felix Pie and Brett Jackson...you follow a guy for so long and you want that guy to be a part of the team that is successful.

A World Series win is a World Series win. But I'd cherish it some small amount more if Starlin Castro leads the way, rather than trade him for some David Price or Cliff Lee.

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
A season like 2005 would be the greatest time in your baseball life even if they lost every game after that for 10 years.


No. Honestly, no. Maybe if this wasn't a full rebuild, I'd be fine. But there is a trade-off for willingly accepting multiple losing seasons. And that trade-off is that the highs have to be higher to make up for the low lows.

I'm not a typical Cubs fan maybe - I'm not old enough to be. The losing has been terrible...but "culture" and all of that - it means nothing to me. As far as I'm concerned, the MLB was created around 1996, when I started watching baseball. The only World Series you care about is this year's World Series. And I was on board with sacrificing several chances to most likely provide better chances in the near to mid-term future.
Cubs win the World Series in 2016? In 2017, you will not once see me bring up the 2016 World Series as a reason why I care any less about the results of 2017. Because I'm going to be that adamant as to winning the 2017 World Series as if the 2016 World Series never happened.

I can't and won't speak for the Cubs fan who has been a fan for the last 40 or 50 years.


Sure, I understand that perspective. I'd probably enjoy it more if a core I followed also led the team to success. But that 2005 team had a decent amount of long tenured Sox and/or home grown talent. You had Buehrle, Konerko, Thomas, Garland, Crede, etc. And if you take a snapshot of those players' tenures together...let's say, arbitrarily I know, from like 2003-2009 or whatever, even though some guys moved on, isn't that something like 2-3 postseasons and a championship? Not dominant, but not forgettable either. So when you say 2005 for the Cubs would be unacceptable, I wonder if we are not seeing that what you might be hoping for is the same or slightly more sustained period the Sox enjoyed during parts of the 2000s, with the only difference being organic vs deliberate periods of bad. I mean the Sox weren't perennial favorites to be sure, but they often flirted with postseason births, and obviously flirting led to something bigger and better at least once. Now I'm only generally aware of the plan and whatnot, but given the Sox's example, does tanking really have to be part of the process?

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 8:11 pm 
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I want both / more. Call me greedy, it's cool.

I'd prefer homegrown talent being the main reason for a win, but this is not required. I just wanted to provide some background to me and how I am as a fan.

But what is required of the Cubs, by me, as the trade-off to sacrificing seasons on purpose...is a better period of success than the White Sox had surrounding their 2005 season. Two playoff appearances in 14 seasons, even if one resulted in a World Series, is not enough.

If I had the time and patience to come up with a point season, I would. But for quick shits and gigs:

World Series win = 50 points
World Series Appearance = 25 Points
NLCS Appearance = 20 points
Playoff Appearance (not counting Wildcard game, fuck that)= 15 points
90+ Win Season but no playoffs = 10 points
81-89 Win Season but no playoffs = 5 Points

Rules are you can only receive one set of points per season...so you don't get all the points for winning the World Series in a season. You get 50.

The Cubs, from 2016-2020, need to score at least...let's say... 90 points using this system for me to be "happy" with this rebuild. 70 points to be "content."

And don't criticize it that much, I quickly whipped it together. I did not try every combination of end-season results to see if this is truly accurate to how I feel. But it should give you an idea.

On this scale, from 2004 - 2008, the White Sox achieved an 80.

World Series win is 50, Playoff Appearance is 15, 90+ win season is 10, and 83 win season is 5.

EDIT: I'm still at the fucking office at 8:15 PM. Shit like this is why. lol.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2014 8:17 pm 
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Stay out 90 cubs business!

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 5:54 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
A 2005 White Sox situation, to me, would be a failure.
:lol: This is the stuff that gets annoying as a White Sox fan, and gives some evidence towards the "arrogance" of Cubs fans.

A season like 2005 would be the greatest time in your baseball life even if they lost every game after that for 10 years.

Yeah, it would have been nice if the Sox won two more titles after 2005. It would be nice if they were the Yankees too.

People forget how great that '05 team was. They won 90 games the next year too and people act like they were below .500 the rest of the way.


Overall they weren't old either. And they had some young guys coming who looked good. It seemed like they were set up for a long stretch of "dominance". But it didn't work out that way. It usually doesn't. Every other team is trying to do the same thing you are. That's what really seems to be forgotten with Theo's Plan. He might execute it perfectly but other guys have plans too. Everyone wants to win a World Series.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 7:01 am 
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except the brewers.


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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 7:04 am 
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W_Z wrote:
except the brewers.


True. No one who has Garza is trying to win anything.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 7:32 am 
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That's the thing about baseball, other sports too but baseball especially, you can be the best team all year and get beaten by a wild card in 3 or 4 days.


I dont think most Cub fans expect a World Series for sure or multiple or whatever. Just want to be consistently in the mix. Not two good years than 7 mediocre to bad ones.


I also believe 03 and 04 probably changed the way many Cub fans view the whole thing.


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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 7:39 am 
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03, 04, 07, and 08 were all heartbreaking in their own way.

You want to win. You should always want to win, but especially now.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 7:45 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
03, 04, 07, and 08 were all heartbreaking in their own way.

You want to win. You should always want to win, but especially now.

Right but that was a new generation of fans that were never that close before.


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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 8:31 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
That's the thing about baseball, other sports too but baseball especially, you can be the best team all year and get beaten by a wild card in 3 or 4 days.


I dont think most Cub fans expect a World Series for sure or multiple or whatever. Just want to be consistently in the mix. Not two good years than 7 mediocre to bad ones.


I also believe 03 and 04 probably changed the way many Cub fans view the whole thing.
"Being consistently in the mix" is overrated.

What makes the Cardinals and the Yankees what they are, and what makes the Sox and the Cubs what they are is the number of championships. It sucks that in recent decades both the Sox and Cubs haven't had championships or lots of playoff apperances.

You think the A's and Tigers will think the season was a success if they just are "in the mix"?

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 8:42 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
That's the thing about baseball, other sports too but baseball especially, you can be the best team all year and get beaten by a wild card in 3 or 4 days.


I dont think most Cub fans expect a World Series for sure or multiple or whatever. Just want to be consistently in the mix. Not two good years than 7 mediocre to bad ones.


I also believe 03 and 04 probably changed the way many Cub fans view the whole thing.
"Being consistently in the mix" is overrated.

What makes the Cardinals and the Yankees what they are, and what makes the Sox and the Cubs what they are is the number of championships. It sucks that in recent decades both the Sox and Cubs haven't had championships or lots of playoff apperances.

You think the A's and Tigers will think the season was a success if they just are "in the mix"?

No winning the World series is the goal, but obviously being in the mix increases your chances of winning one. Were not talking about one season though, this is what you want for a period of years.

The Yankees and Cardinals are a perfect example for my argument. They've both been in the playoffs consistently. Without looking I wanna say around 10 times each since 95. And they cashed in a few of those.


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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 8:49 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
That's the thing about baseball, other sports too but baseball especially, you can be the best team all year and get beaten by a wild card in 3 or 4 days.


I dont think most Cub fans expect a World Series for sure or multiple or whatever. Just want to be consistently in the mix. Not two good years than 7 mediocre to bad ones.


I also believe 03 and 04 probably changed the way many Cub fans view the whole thing.
"Being consistently in the mix" is overrated.

What makes the Cardinals and the Yankees what they are, and what makes the Sox and the Cubs what they are is the number of championships. It sucks that in recent decades both the Sox and Cubs haven't had championships or lots of playoff apperances.

You think the A's and Tigers will think the season was a success if they just are "in the mix"?


Yep, just look at the Buffalo Bills or Tarkenton's Minnesota Vikings.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 8:51 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
No winning the World series is the goal, but obviously being in the mix increases your chances of winning one. Were not talking about one season though, this is what you want for a period of years.
Obviously the better you are the better chance you have of winning the World Series. It still is a pretty bad consolation prize to say "We were good for a while but we never won a title".
rogers park bryan wrote:
The Yankees and Cardinals are a perfect example for my argument. They've both been in the playoffs consistently. Without looking I wanna say around 10 times each since 95. And they cashed in a few of those.
They aren't though. There are teams that have been nearly as consistent that have won zero or one of them. What sets them apart is that they actually cashed in.

Lets say for the sake of argument that the Yankees had 0 World Series titles. Is anyone celebrating the fact that they were always in the playoffs?

The best example of this is the recent success of the A's and Rays. They've been on average better than the White Sox but both would easily trade with the White Sox and what they've done the past 15 years. They'd trade with the Marlins(though maybe they wouldn't destroy the championship team ASAP). They can make excuses or just pretend they were "unlucky" but a championship parade trumps playoff losses. If the A's lose in the playoffs I doubt they are saying "Well, it was cool to make the playoffs again!".

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 8:52 am 
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Jaw Breaker wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
That's the thing about baseball, other sports too but baseball especially, you can be the best team all year and get beaten by a wild card in 3 or 4 days.


I dont think most Cub fans expect a World Series for sure or multiple or whatever. Just want to be consistently in the mix. Not two good years than 7 mediocre to bad ones.


I also believe 03 and 04 probably changed the way many Cub fans view the whole thing.
"Being consistently in the mix" is overrated.

What makes the Cardinals and the Yankees what they are, and what makes the Sox and the Cubs what they are is the number of championships. It sucks that in recent decades both the Sox and Cubs haven't had championships or lots of playoff apperances.

You think the A's and Tigers will think the season was a success if they just are "in the mix"?


Yep, just look at the Buffalo Bills or Tarkenton's Minnesota Vikings.

Ok, so what are you saying?

You dont think consistent playoff appearances increase chances of winning a title?


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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 8:53 am 
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baseball is a crapshoot. unpredictable. which is why it is infinitely more interesting than the other sports. you don't know who's going to win before the game starts.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 8:55 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
No winning the World series is the goal, but obviously being in the mix increases your chances of winning one. Were not talking about one season though, this is what you want for a period of years.
Obviously the better you are the better chance you have of winning the World Series. It still is a pretty bad consolation prize to say "We were good for a while but we never won a title".

That's not what Im saying. Im not going to look back and say it was a success. Im simply saying if you get thru to the post season consistently, you have a better shot. That should be a goal when building a team.

rogers park bryan wrote:
The Yankees and Cardinals are a perfect example for my argument. They've both been in the playoffs consistently. Without looking I wanna say around 10 times each since 95. And they cashed in a few of those.
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
They aren't though. There are teams that have been nearly as consistent that have won zero or one of them. What sets them apart is that they actually cashed in.

Yeah, like I said, I think you misunderstand what Im saying.

I wouldnt say the Indians run in the 90's was successful. But if you are building a team doing what the Indians did is a good way to go about it. They just didnt cash in.


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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 8:59 am 
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You are talking about future seasons. I'm talking about the results. IMU seems to be talking about results too. He'd be disappointed with a World Series win if the Cubs weren't good for another few years.

I mean, of course you want your team to be good as much as possible. I just wouldn't celebrate consistency if it doesn't lead to at least one title.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 9:00 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Jaw Breaker wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
That's the thing about baseball, other sports too but baseball especially, you can be the best team all year and get beaten by a wild card in 3 or 4 days.


I dont think most Cub fans expect a World Series for sure or multiple or whatever. Just want to be consistently in the mix. Not two good years than 7 mediocre to bad ones.


I also believe 03 and 04 probably changed the way many Cub fans view the whole thing.
"Being consistently in the mix" is overrated.

What makes the Cardinals and the Yankees what they are, and what makes the Sox and the Cubs what they are is the number of championships. It sucks that in recent decades both the Sox and Cubs haven't had championships or lots of playoff apperances.

You think the A's and Tigers will think the season was a success if they just are "in the mix"?


Yep, just look at the Buffalo Bills or Tarkenton's Minnesota Vikings.

Ok, so what are you saying?

You dont think consistent playoff appearances increase chances of winning a title?


They do, but the question is whether this approach of tanking a half decade of seasons or more is worth it. For me, anything less than a WS appearance is a complete failure. As much as I hated most of Hendry's moves, they were "in the mix" several times and in other years they had enough talent but the players underperformed.

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Are you stoned or pissed off, or both, when you create these postings?


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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 9:02 am 
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There is a business case to be made for being consistently good, rather than the Kenny Williams "win or bust" philosophy.

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 Post subject: Re: Theo's Record
PostPosted: Wed Jul 09, 2014 9:02 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
baseball is a crapshoot. unpredictable. which is why it is infinitely more interesting than the other sports. you don't know who's going to win before the game starts.

Yeah, this is another reason I look at it like that. I dont go as far to say crapshoot but the way the playoff-regular season ratio is, I think the best regular season team has pretty much the same odds as a wild card


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