Cleveland +180 (series)

The home team in a short series with CC and Carmona at the top of the rotation. This is value that should not be passed up.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

I posted this in the MLB section.
Look at the Indians 2007 pitching stats against the Yanks.
Their pen got shelled.
Granted CC didn't face them this year, but that's game 1.
Unless you are banking on a 2004 Sox like run from the Indians starters, It will be the Yanks.

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/Statistic ... HTML/Table

When all else fails, just remeber this JOE BOROWSKI and his 5.07 ERA is the Indians closer!!!

_________________
“Mmmm. Move over, eggs. Bacon just got a new best friend - fudge.”

Rockies +150 against Padres

Lots of NL teams pissed down their legs when playoff spots were within their grasp. Colorado was not one of those teams. They grasped success, which is a real accomplishment for such a young team. I know Peavy is great and Fogg is not. I just do not think the Padres will be able to take advantage of the pitching matchup with their awful offense.

You heard it here first Rockies and Cubs in the NLCS.

Regular Season: 495-473-13 +8.25 units

10/3/07
LA Angels +153
Too much value to pass up here. Other than Papelbon, I don't like Boston's pen, so if the scrappy Angels can get to Beckett early, this should cash.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

There is a reason for this value.
Lackey got shelled by the Sox this year.
Beckett has been clutch in big games in the past.
I like the game 2 matchup (Escobar v. Dice K) better.

_________________
“Mmmm. Move over, eggs. Bacon just got a new best friend - fudge.”

Philadelphia -146

Hamels is going on full rest, while the Rockies just spent their bullpen, travelled across the country, and now face the one of the hottest lineups.

I'm in on that one Chus

You mean Phillies, right?

Shows you how fickle I am. I am now a Phillies man. I took them today, at -140 for the series and at 9:5 to win the NL pennant.

GOOOOOO PHILLIES!

Cubs/Diamondbacks over 7.5 (even)
Arizona (-111)

2007 is the year of the Julian Tavarez rule. Look it up if you don't believe me.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/t/tavarju01.shtml

Disagree... Okajima is an awesome setup guy. He is in my top three for setup men across the league.

Playoffs: 1-3 -2.46 units

Cleveland (+116)
NY Yankees/Cleveland under 8.5 (+105)

Cleveland today is my Lexington Steel play of the week. Take them long and hard. Fausto Carmona has been the true ace of the Cleveland staff in the second half of the season. He finished the year by posting a sub 2 era in his last 5 starts. I would not be shocked to see a Beckett style start out of him. Pettite on the other hand has had a deceptively bad year. The numbers look ok at 15 wins and a 4.1 era. However, he has a high whip and was bad down the stretch. I LOVE the racist caricatures today.

Carmona was an ace today....however, so was pettite. Great playoff baseball game.

ARod is doing his thing again.

Wow, good call. And I agree: great game. Probably the best you will see this October.

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You cannot make me care about the WNBA.

10.5.07 1-1 +0.16 units
Playoffs: 2-4 -2.3 units

10/7/07
Cleveland +179
The Yankees bullpen has already logged almost 8 innings, and now they throw out an old man who can only go 6 on his best day. A great line for a team that can hit the cover off the ball.

How can you not play dogs with some of those inflated lines ?

Cleveland +200 at Yankees

Wang pitching on three days rest after never having done it in his career and getting lit up last time out. Yankee bullpen, and most notably Chamberlin have pitched a lot. Byrd will give up some runs but I think the racist charicatures close out the Joe Torre era tonight.

Playoffs (including series bets) : 3-6 -2.50 units

10/11/07
Arizona (-122)

That Cleveland-Yankee series was an absolute gold mine. I think it went Cleveland +150 in game 1, +170 in game 2, laid off game 3 and +200 in game 4 with a series line of +200. It's great to be on the right side of things once in a while.

I assume the Red Sox prices will be similarly inflated. I'm not sure about the series as Joe Borowski may actually come into play in this one. I think Cleveland will have some great value in game 1 and I would pound game 2 with Carmona v. Matsuzaka.

Rockies +130 over Diamondbacks in the series.

Wrong team is favored here boys. Rockies are on fire, winning something like 18 of 19. They have pounded Peavy and Hammels already in this playoffs. After Webb in game 1, there is not a single game I would not put the Rocks as the favorite. Get yourself some of this good shit.

I would love to see them put a beating on Valverde but I don't think he will be making an appearance in this series.

Agreed, that guy makes Zambrano look catatonic by comparison.

_________________
It's a bird, it's a plane, it's a goddamn shame.

http://www.TheCommittedIndian.com/

I don't know what Zambrano looking Spanish has to do with anything.

_________________
Fire Phil Emery

I would take the Rockies in each of the next three games. I fully expect them to beat the rather weak pitching of Davis, Hernandez and Ownings. I am interested to see if Tracy starts Webb in game 4 if they are down 0-3.

I agree.
Play the streak until it ends, and I think you mean Melvin.

_________________
“Mmmm. Move over, eggs. Bacon just got a new best friend - fudge.”

Does anyone have numbers on how teams fare when going for a sweep. I seem to recall that the sweep game is usually won by the sweeper.

Either way, I'd say continue to ride those Rocks.

At this point, I'd say ride the Rockies until they lose a game. 20 of 21 is hard to go against.

Cleveland -110
Over 10

It is going to be wet and cool (low 60's) in Cleveland today. That is not a good combination for a knuckleballer like Wakefield. I expect Byrd to give up a few runs as well, which is why I would lean more heavily to the over. I (and apparently the book) think this is a pick em game. I'll take a lean towards a very good home team in such a situation.

I like the Indians as well, but I am waiting for the line to move a bit.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way