Chus wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
you have balls taking an under in a prime time game...overs have hit at something like 25-5
Miami and Buffalo's recent history shows close, low scoring games. That means a lot more to me, than statistics from games from eight weeks ago, involving different teams. Four of the last five games between these two teams fell below tonight's total. The game that didn't, was 23-21.
Both teams are banged up on offense. The total is falling, as it is down to 41. I will take being on the right side of a move any day of the week. It could be a head fake, to get a better number to pound later, but I will roll the dice.
rather than just a random statistic, I think there is something to the quality of play on Thursday nights and with the league favoring offenses, it shouldn't surprise that defenses take the biggest hit
If you are looking at line movement, the spread moved from 6 down to 4