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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Tue Nov 18, 2014 6:38 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Its not that you have an opinion. It's that you somehow convince yourself that your opinion is fact and then you just go on and on.
Aren't you convinced that your opinion is fact here?

Since I'm a baseball dummy, I did some research and there is evidence that payroll is correlated with winning percentage even though it is smaller than it was in the 90s.

Sounds like you are basically saying "Rick, I know more than you, just trust me".

I'll stick with my idea that it would be better if the Sox had a top 10 payroll than if they had a bottom 10 payroll, but what do I know?

I don't mean to come off arrogant

There are a few guys in the board that know and follow baseball more than me.

You don't. You barely follow it. So when we have these discussions and come to a (I'm right, no I'm right) stalemate I can't help but think "well my opinion is probably more informed here"

That might still be arrogance, I dont know


And yes back in the 90s it was different. Basically since 96 teams have needed a core of homegrown players. Even the Yankees stopped winning when they went Fa crazy (Giambi, Mussina, Brown) as opposed to the Championship teams

The d
01 DBacks are an outlier. Literally every other team had a core of homegrown players (not to say you can't add a FA here and there)

Also, a lot of these high payrolls are a result of resigning great homegrown players.

That's the way to raise your payroll. Develop and resign great players like The Philiies, Giants and even the Red Six and Yankees in recent years
100% correct!

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Tue Nov 18, 2014 7:47 pm 
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I don't follow Brick closely, but is this a Brick thing? Someone calls out his CSFMB cred, and he turtles into an obsequious blowhard? :oops: :lol: :drunken:

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Tue Nov 18, 2014 8:23 pm 
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Apologist wrote:
I don't follow Brick closely, but is this a Brick thing? Someone calls out his CSFMB cred, and he turtles into an obsequious blowhard? :oops: :lol: :drunken:
Yes.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Tue Nov 18, 2014 8:27 pm 
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Apologist wrote:
I don't follow Brick closely.


Let me know your secrets.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Tue Nov 18, 2014 9:05 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Apologist wrote:
I don't follow Brick closely.


Let me know your secrets.


There's a button which says "Log off". There's also a button that says "Post Reply".

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 8:26 am 
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Rick is fine. I was baited by an innocent joking FF post. My fault.


Rick is still very, very wrong about payroll, but I was in the wrong in handling the discussion like a jerk.


Hopefully we can start to put the pieces back together...someday....


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 8:40 am 
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I can't believe Hahn gave some soft-tossing lefty middle reliever who made $850,000 last season $15 million for three years. Talk about paying for past performance. An inauspicious beginning to the 2014-15 off season.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 8:42 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I can't believe Hahn gave some soft-tossing lefty middle reliever who made $850,000 last season $15 million for three years. Talk about paying for past performance. An inauspicious beginning to the 2014-15 off season.

It's a gamble.


5 million per year is nothing


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:09 am 
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Today is a new day, and I'm very happy that the White Sox don't have a top 12 payroll! That would suck.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:12 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Today is a new day, and I'm very happy that the White Sox don't have a top 12 payroll! That would suck.


rogers park bryan wrote:
5 million per year is nothing


Is this one of those exercises where you have to argue the other guy's side?

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:13 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Today is a new day, and I'm very happy that the White Sox don't have a top 12 payroll! That would suck.

Really?

Still?


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:15 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
5 million per year is nothing


Is this one of those exercises where you have to argue the other guy's side?

5 million is not a contract that hurts you.


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:16 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Today is a new day, and I'm very happy that the White Sox don't have a top 12 payroll! That would suck.

Really?

Still?
I think I'm the first person on this board who has ever gotten grief for saying the White Sox aren't committed to winning because they are cheap.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:16 am 
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The Sox MUST upgrade their bullpen, JoeOrr. Its going to take money (and patience, and time...) to do it. And do it well. $5mil a year is pretty much a bargain rate for an effective lefty relief pitcher.


Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Today is a new day, and I'm very happy that the White Sox don't have a top 12 payroll! That would suck.
It would suck if that payroll was made up of guys like Dunn and Rios. Lets see what the roster looks like 8 weeks from now. Its not even Thanksgiving yet.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:23 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Today is a new day, and I'm very happy that the White Sox don't have a top 12 payroll! That would suck.

Really?

Still?
I think I'm the first person on this board who has ever gotten grief for saying the White Sox aren't committed to winning because they are cheap.

Didnt happen.

If there are specific players that you think they should get and make sense and they dont pony up, then criticize away.

To worry about your place in the payroll rankings, rather than just making deals that make sense is a bad idea.

Free agent spending sprees almost never work. As you saw in your research.


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:23 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
The Sox MUST upgrade their bullpen, JoeOrr. Its going to take money (and patience, and time...) to do it. And do it well. $5mil a year is pretty much a bargain rate for an effective lefty relief pitcher.


Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Today is a new day, and I'm very happy that the White Sox don't have a top 12 payroll! That would suck.
It would suck if that payroll was made up of guys like Dunn and Rios. Lets see what the roster looks like 8 weeks from now. Its not even Thanksgiving yet.

This guy gets it /\


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:36 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
If there are specific players that you think they should get and make sense and they dont pony up, then criticize away.
It doesn't matter what I think. The Sox are in need of upgrades at multiple positions. Go out and find some people that can help with that even if you have to overpay for it.
rogers park bryan wrote:
To worry about your place in the payroll rankings, rather than just making deals that make sense is a bad idea.
It does matter. Teams with higher payrolls win more. Now, if you want to be, to use your term, obtuse rpb, you can pretend like I am saying they should just hand out $100 million a year to one guy so they can be high on that ranking, but obviously that is not what I mean.
rogers park bryan wrote:
Free agent spending sprees almost never work. As you saw in your research.
Oh, but things are going so great for the White Sox otherwise! :lol:

If it makes you feel better, the Sox better be active in free agency this year because they need to start winning now and that is the best way to accomplish that. If that makes me wrong then so be it.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 9:48 am 
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Your stance started with declaring the Cubs should be in the top 5 in payroll this year. Then it became top 8. Then you said, maybe by next year.


Dont act like your position hasnt been amended multiple times


But whatever. We disagree on a philosophical level on how to improve the teams.


Who do you want the White Sox to target? (I understand you are not the GM...yet)


I think if you look at it on a player by player basis you'll see that adding a ton of payroll this year (and most years with the exception of rare FA frenzy years) is not wise.

Also, when you sign a bunch of free agents, you're usually screwing yourself long term (unless you're the Yankees and will pay people 20 million to not play)

Thats why sustained success (which I believe is the best way to try and win a WS) is usually a mixture of mostly homegrown players and a free agent part here and there.


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 10:00 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Your stance started with declaring the Cubs should be in the top 5 in payroll this year. Then it became top 8. Then you said, maybe by next year.
No. It was top 8 all along. I then amended it based on your input that it would be fine if it took two years as long as they were active this year and simply ran out of quality options. You know, me being flexible in an argument and acknowledging your point? The same thing you've complained about me NOT doing previously you are now complaining about me doing? It's becoming painfully obvious I just can't win in these baseball discussions.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 10:48 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Here are your different takes from the past few days

Here is where I came up with top 5

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
There is no salary cap, and supposedly all the money "saved" while they were bad is available. They should be the dominant team in free agency the next two years if that is true. Only the Yankees, Red Sox, and Dodgers should be outspending them.
So, I never said top 5, AND I mentioned the next two years.

Right. You actually said they should be in the top 4. You said three teams should outspend them. Its right there in the quote.


Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
I really dont know what to say, other than that's a bad thought. You literally said said "Sure you do" when I said they shouldnt spend in the name of upping the payroll
Yes. Of course they should. They shouldn't miss out on a guy they want just because they have to "overpay". They should have a higher payroll. It's way too low for a team that wants to sell that it is competing.

Terrible thoughts. You dont overpay for the sake of a higher payroll. This is getting comical. And spending does not equal competing. You need to understand that.

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I'll just counter with one of your posts.
rogers park bryan wrote:
I think they should always be top 10ish.

And yet, here you are, saying it is wrong for me to think the Sox should always be in the top 12.

Yes, the Cubs should be in the top 10 area organically. Signing free agents that make sense and re signing good homegrown talent, not spending foolishly to prove you want to win (The Mets model that never ever works)

You're looking at it backwards. I think the Cubs and any team that want to win should draft well, make smart free agent moves (not neccessarily big ones) and resign great players and when that happens they end up in the top 10 eventually.

But if you hit on a bunch of draft picks and smart signings and win that way, that's awesome and it would be extremely foolish to criticize the team or think they should "find somewhere to spend the money"


Last edited by rogers park bryan on Wed Nov 19, 2014 11:28 am, edited 2 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 11:00 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Here are your different takes from the past few days

Here is where I came up with top 5

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
There is no salary cap, and supposedly all the money "saved" while they were bad is available. They should be the dominant team in free agency the next two years if that is true. Only the Yankees, Red Sox, and Dodgers should be outspending them.
So, I never said top 5, AND I mentioned the next two years. Things are falling apart.

Just move on from it. You don't have to invent what I actually was saying. I stand by my statement that a team like the Cubs should have a top 8 payroll, though as you pointed out, it may take two years to get there. The Sox should have a top 12 payroll.
rogers park bryan wrote:
I really dont know what to say, other than that's a bad thought. You literally said said "Sure you do" when I said they shouldnt spend in the name of upping the payroll
Yes. Of course they should. They shouldn't miss out on a guy they want just because they have to "overpay". They should have a higher payroll. It's way too low for a team that wants to sell that it is competing.

I'll just counter with one of your posts.
rogers park bryan wrote:
I think they should always be top 10ish.

And yet, here you are, saying it is wrong for me to think the Sox should always be in the top 12.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 11:24 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Here are your different takes from the past few days

Here is where I came up with top 5

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
There is no salary cap, and supposedly all the money "saved" while they were bad is available. They should be the dominant team in free agency the next two years if that is true. Only the Yankees, Red Sox, and Dodgers should be outspending them.
So, I never said top 5, AND I mentioned the next two years.

Right. You actually said they should be in the top 4. You said three teams should outspend them. Its right there in the quote.


Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
I really dont know what to say, other than that's a bad thought. You literally said said "Sure you do" when I said they shouldnt spend in the name of upping the payroll
Yes. Of course they should. They shouldn't miss out on a guy they want just because they have to "overpay". They should have a higher payroll. It's way too low for a team that wants to sell that it is competing.

Terrible thoughts. You dont overpay for the sake of a higher payroll. This is getting comical. And spending does not equal competing. You need to understand that.

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I'll just counter with one of your posts.
rogers park bryan wrote:
I think they should always be top 10ish.

And yet, here you are, saying it is wrong for me to think the Sox should always be in the top 12.

Yes, the Cubs should be in the top 10 area organically. Signing free agents that make sense and re signing good homegrown talent, not spending foolishly to prove you want to win (The Mets model that never ever works)

You're looking at it backwards. I think the Cubs and any team that want to win should draft well, make smart free agent moves (not neccessarily big ones) and resign great players and when that happens they end up in the top 10 eventually.

But if you hit on a bunch of draft picks and smart signings and win that way, that's awesome and it would be extremely foolish to criticize the team or think they should "find somewhere to spend the money"

You should look into teams salaries and see who they pay. You really just have a fundamental misunderstanding of how the payroll works and what goes into it.

There are very few free agent spending sprees. MLB teams have moved on because they dont work. You should want the Sox to draft and develop players who are good enough to demand a high salary instead of wanting them to sign old free agents


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 11:32 am 
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I don't know how many times I have to tell you what I'm actually saying before you believe it. I'm done trying.

I'll just accept that my thoughts are terrible.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 11:34 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I don't know how many times I have to tell you what I'm actually saying before you believe it. I'm done trying.

Its obvious what you're saying. You have this terrible idea that the teams should spend in the name of spending or find a place to spend and you've been trying to spin it into something else for two days now.



Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I'll just accept that my thoughts are terrible.

Correct in this instance.


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 11:37 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:

I'll just accept that my thoughts are terrible.


:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

It's about time!

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 11:42 am 
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rpb, in his own words:
rogers park bryan wrote:
bigfan wrote:
pittmike wrote:
The Pirates fourth plan in a row is finally working. They have received two successive one and outs in WC games as a result.


correct, eventually it can work, see the Royals.

and if Ricketts is to be believed (probably not) they will add spending to go with the youth movement to sustain success


Ill believe it when I see it. I think they'll keep coming up with reasons not to spend

rogers park bryan wrote:
I disagree. How do you know he knows what he was signing up for? In fact most of the clues from interviews have pointed to him NOT knowing.

I think Theo thought the payroll would be low for a couple years but then they would start to spend. That didnt happen.

rogers park bryan wrote:
If Ricketts wont spend then I dont see how this is on Epstein or Hoyer


I guess the whole "Ricketts wasn't willing to spend" excuse is gone!

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 11:57 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:

I guess the whole "Ricketts wasn't willing to spend" excuse is gone!

More bad comprehension on your part

I've consistently (including the last two days) said they should spend when it makes sense.

Just stop, dude. You had a bad thought about a subject that you dont even follow that closely. It's fine.


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 12:01 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I can't believe Hahn gave some soft-tossing lefty middle reliever who made $850,000 last season $15 million for three years. Talk about paying for past performance. An inauspicious beginning to the 2014-15 off season.

It's a gamble.


5 million per year is nothing

These two statements seem to contradict eachother.

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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 12:04 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I can't believe Hahn gave some soft-tossing lefty middle reliever who made $850,000 last season $15 million for three years. Talk about paying for past performance. An inauspicious beginning to the 2014-15 off season.

It's a gamble.


5 million per year is nothing

These two statements seem to contradict eachother.

Not really

Buying a one dollar scratch off is a gamble


Honestly, 5 million is not that much. Its not like if he sucks you have to run him out there becuase of his salary. That is my point.


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 Post subject: Re: 2015 Off Season
PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2014 12:05 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:

I guess the whole "Ricketts wasn't willing to spend" excuse is gone!

More bad comprehension on your part

I've consistently (including the last two days) said they should spend when it makes sense.

Just stop, dude. You had a bad thought about a subject that you dont even follow that closely. It's fine.
I can find many more quotes where you defend Theo's slow rebuild based on the unwillingness of Ricketts to spend.

Oh, but you are saying that you should "spend when it makes sense"! Well, that is much different than me who said they should make moves that don't make sense. I'm pretty embarrassed. My "make moves that don't make sense" idea was pretty bad. Thank you for showing me the light.

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