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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Thu Dec 04, 2014 10:04 am 
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bigfan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
I know bigfan knows this buy no ONE guy is a savior. Barry Bonds never won a World Series. Mike Trout didnt save the Angels from The Royals


Agree, but for the money and the wait (Lester and the Cubs) there will be high expectations right away.


I believe Lester is a guy who can shoulder the burden.

Shields is the guy who will disappoint you if you think you are getting an ace.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Thu Dec 04, 2014 10:14 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
pittmike wrote:
IMHO the Cubs should walk away and get the next ace. This thing and numbers has regret all over it.

Well according to RPB Max Scherzer is going to make $38M a season. Lester may be the bargain bin option.

dont Hyperbolize me.

More than Lester.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Thu Dec 04, 2014 10:15 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
bigfan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
I know bigfan knows this buy no ONE guy is a savior. Barry Bonds never won a World Series. Mike Trout didnt save the Angels from The Royals


Agree, but for the money and the wait (Lester and the Cubs) there will be high expectations right away.


I believe Lester is a guy who can shoulder the burden.

Shields is the guy who will disappoint you if you think you are getting an ace.

I think the myth of James Shields the Ace was pretty much shattered in the post season


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 2:00 pm 
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Sounds super legit:


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This one belongs in the Cubs Rumor Hall of Fame next to the Theo at Starbucks story, but hopefully this story ends just as well for the Cubs. According to long-time reader Mike Caldwell, a caller on MLB Network radio said that Jon Lester was inquiring about hunting property in Dutch Creek, which is near Johnsburg, IL and a little south of the Illinois-Wisconsin border.

Obviously this rumor is a bit thin and should be taken with an entire shaker of salt (Salt! Salt! Salt!), but would seem like a positive sign for the Cubs given Lester's reputation for hunting and fishing. (Not a shot at Mike, but radio show call-ins aren't exactly the strongest of sources...unless the caller was a teenager of course)

But since we can't have nice things, I've also seen reports of Lester checking out property in Pike County, IL which is southwest of Springfield. And about 100 miles north of, sigh, St. Louis.

Obviously all speculation at this point, but we should remember that Chicago is still the only visit Lester has made during his recruitment. All other teams have met with Lester at his home in Georgia.

http://www.chicagonow.com/cubs-den/2014 ... pster-did/


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 4:15 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
I think the myth of James Shields the Ace was pretty much shattered in the post season



Couldn't you say the same about Lester?

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 4:17 pm 
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JORR, just so I am clear, are you saying the Cubs would be dumb to sign Lester? Or are you going to pan the Plan when they don't sign Lester?

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 4:19 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
I think the myth of James Shields the Ace was pretty much shattered in the post season



Couldn't you say the same about Lester?

Absolutely not. Look at his history. Cant undo that with one bad innning.

Shields was always a fraud. It was just on a HUGE stage this year


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 4:23 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
JORR, just so I am clear, are you saying the Cubs would be dumb to sign Lester? Or are you going to pan the Plan when they don't sign Lester?



I don't think they would be dumb. I just don't know how much you pay for him. Top pitchers are expensive. I don't consider Lester an ace. He's a real good number two. I'd compare him to Buehrle. He's a winner. That's for sure.

And I never blast a team for not signing a guy. The team doesn't have control. Guys go where they want to go. You rarely go wrong by not breaking the bank for a guy. But I'm a Sox fan. The budget isn't the same. Tying up a shitload of cash in a guy that busts out is a disaster for the White Sox. The Yankees, Dodgers, and Red Sox can spend right over a mistake. The Cubs should be able to as well.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 4:25 pm 
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Thank you, duly noted.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 4:33 pm 
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I'd take Shields at 5/80 before Lester at 7/150. Shields is without a doubt a regular season ace. No fucking doubt in my mind, the dude has been overall everything the Royals wanted and more. Count on Cubs fans to pretend they already have the division won, this whole laughable search for guys with POSTSEASON SUCCESS when the team has been intentionally terrible for a half decade. Let's work on one thing at time, alright?

As for the contract, it'll be a bad contract no matter who you get (5/80 for Shields is ludicrous, and it's still better than 7 years for Lester). The Cubs though seem to think their window is opening now and want the arm, and you don't really want to pencil in Jake Arrieta for the wild card game*. You get him, try for about 3 years before his arm falls off, then either get what you wanted so desperately or the window slams back shut.

* I am literally laughing at the thought. Arrieta vs Madison Bumgarner. Win (nope) or go home (start drafting the season in review article right now).


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 5:27 pm 
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America wrote:
I'd take Shields at 5/80 before Lester at 7/150. Shields is without a doubt a regular season ace. No fucking doubt in my mind, the dude has been overall everything the Royals wanted and more. Count on Cubs fans to pretend they already have the division won, this whole laughable search for guys with POSTSEASON SUCCESS when the team has been intentionally terrible for a half decade. Let's work on one thing at time, alright?

As for the contract, it'll be a bad contract no matter who you get (5/80 for Shields is ludicrous, and it's still better than 7 years for Lester). The Cubs though seem to think their window is opening now and want the arm, and you don't really want to pencil in Jake Arrieta for the wild card game*. You get him, try for about 3 years before his arm falls off, then either get what you wanted so desperately or the window slams back shut.

* I am literally laughing at the thought. Arrieta vs Madison Bumgarner. Win (nope) or go home (start drafting the season in review article right now).

So you're saying that Arrietta vs one of the best post season pitchers ever seen would be tough for the Cubs to win?motherfuck man, you sure bring the knowledge when you post.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 6:32 pm 
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I think the longer this plays out the worse it is for the Cubs. Clearly he is thinking about returning to BOS and if in fact one of the California teams is throwing out big numbers (not to mention the NYY) then that would force the Cubs into crazy number territory north (maybe well north) of 150M.

Not good.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 6:55 pm 
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cpguy wrote:
I think the longer this plays out the worse it is for the Cubs. Clearly he is thinking about returning to BOS and if in fact one of the California teams is throwing out big numbers (not to mention the NYY) then that would force the Cubs into crazy number territory north (maybe well north) of 150M.

Not good.


Agreed.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 7:08 pm 
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badrogue17 wrote:
America wrote:
I'd take Shields at 5/80 before Lester at 7/150. Shields is without a doubt a regular season ace. No fucking doubt in my mind, the dude has been overall everything the Royals wanted and more. Count on Cubs fans to pretend they already have the division won, this whole laughable search for guys with POSTSEASON SUCCESS when the team has been intentionally terrible for a half decade. Let's work on one thing at time, alright?

As for the contract, it'll be a bad contract no matter who you get (5/80 for Shields is ludicrous, and it's still better than 7 years for Lester). The Cubs though seem to think their window is opening now and want the arm, and you don't really want to pencil in Jake Arrieta for the wild card game*. You get him, try for about 3 years before his arm falls off, then either get what you wanted so desperately or the window slams back shut.

* I am literally laughing at the thought. Arrieta vs Madison Bumgarner. Win (nope) or go home (start drafting the season in review article right now).

So you're saying that Arrietta vs one of the best post season pitchers ever seen would be tough for the Cubs to win?motherfuck man, you sure bring the knowledge when you post.

It would be as impossible as any game could be. Arrieta wouldn't even give the Cubs a chance, I know you guys don't like to hear this but save Wade Miley (AZ) and De la Rosa (Rockies) Arrieta might be the worst #1 starting pitcher in baseball. Almost certainly top 5, and the worst of teams who are expecting to be competitive in 2015. On a playoff team Arrieta is probably a #3, on a team really going for it he's probably penciled in as a 4 because he's only shown anything for less than a full season.

So yea, the Cubs have kinda idiotically decided to put in everyone minds they want to compete in 2015. Let's not pay attention to the fact they're lineup may bat a combined .200, the rotation just isn't there. There's no ace, there's barely even a #2 and then a bunch of blech. They need Lester, Shields or Scherzer just to be in it this season, if they don't it'll be another season of 75+ losses.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 7:12 pm 
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Seeing as no one has really outpitched him in the post season every team is kinda fucked if it comes down to that.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 7:18 pm 
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Fine, you're facing Adam Wainwright, Gerritt Cole (they will not have Volquez do that again), Jose Fernandez, Johnny Cueto.... whatever. Show me a playoff caliber NL team and their top pitcher just blows the Cubs' out of the water.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 7:25 pm 
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America wrote:
Fine, you're facing Adam Wainwright, Gerritt Cole (they will not have Volquez do that again), Jose Fernandez, Johnny Cueto.... whatever. Show me a playoff caliber NL team and their top pitcher just blows the Cubs' out of the water.

Jake Arrieta finished 9th in Cy Young voting. Just FYI.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 7:30 pm 
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He has been a garbage pitcher for a much larger portion of his career than he's been an effective one. That's a big fucking risk saying he's your #1 (I'd be uncomfortable with #2, but whatever).

Also, didn't you say Sale > Arrieta? Well Sale finished 3rd in the AL! Who's more dominant now?


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 7:43 pm 
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I would pass on Lester. Especially if Lester is looking for $150M+. He had his best season last year and he has never won 20 games. He's an above average pitcher. You don't pay an above average guy elite money just because he is left handed. James Shields is an innings eater and reminds of a guy like Kevin Brown. He's going to pitch until he's 40 and will probably come at half the price of Lester. It's an easy decision. He's a Maddon guy too.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 10:26 pm 
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Nas wrote:
I would pass on Lester. Especially if Lester is looking for $150M+. He had his best season last year and he has never won 20 games. He's an above average pitcher. You don't pay an above average guy elite money just because he is left handed. James Shields is an innings eater and reminds of a guy like Kevin Brown. He's going to pitch until he's 40 and will probably come at half the price of Lester. It's an easy decision. He's a Maddon guy too.



But you agree to pay a 30 yo Jay Cutler?

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 10:28 pm 
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I was against the Cutler contract but contracts in the NFL are different and QBs arms usually don't fall off. #CSFMB5

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 11:28 pm 
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America wrote:
I'd take Shields at 5/80 before Lester at 7/150. Shields is without a doubt a regular season ace.

You have low standards then

How many aces are there in baseball?


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 11:30 pm 
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Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 11:36 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.

He's probably like top 15-20 in MLB right?

I'll take any of the big three. Im not really worried about Ricketts money. They have 2 spots to fill in the rotation at least.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 11:39 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.

He's probably like top 15-20 in MLB right?

I'll take any of the big three. Im not really worried about Ricketts money. They have 2 spots to fill in the rotation at least.



Just a quick interjection. This thinking is exactly like the Soriano thing. Fans back then were oh we have to have him he is the hot thing the man on that year's market. Then when it looks not so great after a year they bitch until he's gone. I would not sign Lester to my team "for that money".

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Fri Dec 05, 2014 11:46 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.

He's probably like top 15-20 in MLB right?

I'll take any of the big three. Im not really worried about Ricketts money. They have 2 spots to fill in the rotation at least.


I'm not sure about that. Even if it is true you don't give a top 20 guy $150M+ you give that to top 5 guys.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:02 am 
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I understand why the Cubs feel like they need to do this with Lester but I'm not the biggest fan of signing him to a $150 million 5 year contract. Just seems like wat too much to give a 30 year old pitcher.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:31 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
America wrote:
I'd take Shields at 5/80 before Lester at 7/150. Shields is without a doubt a regular season ace.

You have low standards then

How many aces are there in baseball?

Probably about 30. Many teams have two, other have none.

Shields isn't Clayton Kershaw by any means, but he's also a lot better than Jake Arrieta.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 8:52 am 
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America wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
America wrote:
I'd take Shields at 5/80 before Lester at 7/150. Shields is without a doubt a regular season ace.

You have low standards then

How many aces are there in baseball?

Probably about 30. Many teams have two, other have none.

Shields isn't Clayton Kershaw by any means, but he's also a lot better than Jake Arrieta.


Just because a buy is a teams number one starter does not make him an ACE.... by your own admission Arrieta is not an ACE yet he was number 9 in the Cy Young voting ...and I agree with you Jake is nOT an ACE..... I would love to your list of 30 ACES..... my list is short

Kershaw
Wainwright
Mad Baum
King Felix
Sale
Mad Max
Lester
Price
in the almost there
Cueto
Hamels
Greinke
Jose Fernandez lets see how his arm is
one year Kluber
maybe after one year Arrieta

That's 14 but only 8 that I would call a REAL ACE...even if you take all 14 name 16 more..... I say impossible.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 8:58 am 
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THE INQUISITOR wrote:
America wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
America wrote:
I'd take Shields at 5/80 before Lester at 7/150. Shields is without a doubt a regular season ace.

You have low standards then

How many aces are there in baseball?

Probably about 30. Many teams have two, other have none.

Shields isn't Clayton Kershaw by any means, but he's also a lot better than Jake Arrieta.


Just because a buy is a teams number one starter does not make him an ACE.... by your own admission Arrieta is not an ACE yet he was number 9 in the Cy Young voting ...and I agree with you Jake is nOT an ACE..... I would love to your list of 30 ACES..... my list is short

Kershaw
Wainwright
Mad Baum
King Felix
Sale
Mad Max
Lester
Price
in the almost there
Cueto
Hamels
Greinke
Jose Fernandez lets see how his arm is
one year Kluber
maybe after one year Arrieta

That's 14 but only 8 that I would call a REAL ACE...even if you take all 14 name 16 more..... I say impossible.


I agree with you, but I'd move some names around. I think Lester belongs in your second group. Also, you're missing Darvish.

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