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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 9:32 am 
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America wrote:
He has been a garbage pitcher for a much larger portion of his career than he's been an effective one. That's a big fucking risk saying he's your #1 (I'd be uncomfortable with #2, but whatever).

Also, didn't you say Sale > Arrieta? Well Sale finished 3rd in the AL! Who's more dominant now?

I did say Sale was better than Arrieta, correct.

But Arrieta in 2014 pitched better than Sale did from 2012-2013. And in 2012-2013, Sox fans still thought Sale was amazing.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 9:44 am 
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Nas wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.

He's probably like top 15-20 in MLB right?

I'll take any of the big three. Im not really worried about Ricketts money. They have 2 spots to fill in the rotation at least.


I'm not sure about that. Even if it is true you don't give a top 20 guy $150M+ you give that to top 5 guys.

Not in today's MLB, buddy.

If the Cubs come out of this off-season with one new pitcher, who do you want? Factor in assumed contract value and years. Also consider trade targets like Hamels.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 10:13 am 
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Relax . I heard on Levine's baseball show this morning that according to Lester's camp, money isn't the top factor in his decision. Which means he's going to highest offer .

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 10:15 am 
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badrogue17 wrote:
Relax . I heard on Levine's baseball show this morning that according to Lester's camp, money isn't the top factor in his decision. Which means he's going to take the highest offer .

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 10:38 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
Nas wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.

He's probably like top 15-20 in MLB right?

I'll take any of the big three. Im not really worried about Ricketts money. They have 2 spots to fill in the rotation at least.


I'm not sure about that. Even if it is true you don't give a top 20 guy $150M+ you give that to top 5 guys.

Not in today's MLB, buddy.

If the Cubs come out of this off-season with one new pitcher, who do you want? Factor in assumed contract value and years. Also consider trade targets like Hamels.


I know it's not my money but that factors into my decision. All things being equal I would take Lester. Since they aren't I'll go with Shields. Moving to the NL will help. He's an innings eater and should be able to pitch until he's damn near 40. I can probably get 2 of him for the price of Lester. Lester isn't twice the pitcher he is and he's already lost a little steam on his fastball. Until the 2nd half of 2013 and last season you could argue Shields was better. I think Shields is definitely more durable.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 10:44 am 
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Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.


I wish the Sox had him.

And he will be even stronger in the NL without a DH to face.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 10:45 am 
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badrogue17 wrote:
Relax . I heard on Levine's baseball show this morning that according to Lester's camp, money isn't the top factor in his decision. Which means he's going to highest offer .


:lol: :lol: I think what he means is that if we're talking a couple million difference over six years, he'll take the lesser money to train in Florida rather than AZ.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 10:46 am 
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Seacrest wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.


I wish the Sox had him.


They do have him. His name is Jose Quintana. Unless you think W/L records matter.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 10:46 am 
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Seacrest wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.


I wish the Sox had him.

And he will be even stronger in the NL without a DH to face.


I would be fine with that too. That price tag scares me though. The top half of the Sox rotation could push them to the WS if we had any offense.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:01 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Seacrest wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.


I wish the Sox had him.


They do have him. His name is Jose Quintana. Unless you think W/L records matter.


I do think they matter.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:24 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.

He's probably like top 15-20 in MLB right?

I'll take any of the big three. Im not really worried about Ricketts money. They have 2 spots to fill in the rotation at least.



Just a quick interjection. This thinking is exactly like the Soriano thing. Fans back then were oh we have to have him he is the hot thing the man on that year's market. Then when it looks not so great after a year they bitch until he's gone. I would not sign Lester to my team "for that money".

No its not. 8 years is fucking light years different than 5. If the Soriano contract was 5 years the fan reaction would have been a lot different

And no one bitched after a year. They won the division the first who years he was in the team and if they would have won the WS, it would have been worth it. It didn't work out. It was a good signing, just way too long


Last edited by rogers park bryan on Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:32 pm 
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Nas wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.

He's probably like top 15-20 in MLB right?

I'll take any of the big three. Im not really worried about Ricketts money. They have 2 spots to fill in the rotation at least.


I'm not sure about that. Even if it is true you don't give a top 20 guy $150M+ you give that to top 5 guys.

Unquestionably true over thest two years and most of hieer.

And total money doesn't really tell the story. Its per year. And Whether people like it or not Lester is worth about 18-20 mil a year if you slot him in mi his spot with what pitchers are currently making


But they need pitching and sometimes you have to overpay. Its not the money that kills you its the long deals

I hope/expect the Cubs will have enough funds where if a pitcher like Lester, Scherzer, or Shields is ineffective on the back end it wont kill the team

I wouldn't worry about any deal that is 4 years or less. Might have to 5 for a top pitcher

But I want them to compete this year so we differ there


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:34 pm 
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America wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
America wrote:
I'd take Shields at 5/80 before Lester at 7/150. Shields is without a doubt a regular season ace.

You have low standards then

How many aces are there in baseball?

Probably about 30. Many teams have two, other have none.

Shields isn't Clayton Kershaw by any means, but he's also a lot better than Jake Arrieta.

Shileds was not better than Arrieta last year. Maybe it was a fluke, maybe not. Well see


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:35 pm 
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Whether its this year or next year unless some crazy shit happens, the Cubs are going to have to add a couple pitchers and probably thru free agency (where we know 90% of the time payers are overpaid)


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:37 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Nas wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Lester isn't more than an above average pitcher coming off a great season.

He's probably like top 15-20 in MLB right?

I'll take any of the big three. Im not really worried about Ricketts money. They have 2 spots to fill in the rotation at least.


I'm not sure about that. Even if it is true you don't give a top 20 guy $150M+ you give that to top 5 guys.

Unquestionably true over thest two years and most of hieer.

And total money doesn't really tell the story. Its per year. And Whether people like it or not Lester is worth about 18-20 mil a year if you slot him in mi his spot with what pitchers are currently making


But they need pitching and sometimes you have to overpay. Its not the money that kills you its the long deals

I hope/expect the Cubs will have enough funds where if a pitcher like Lester, Scherzer, or Shields is ineffective on the back end it wont kill the team

I wouldn't worry about any deal that is 4 years or less. Might have to 5 for a top pitcher

But I want them to compete this year so we differ there
That's what kills me about Shark. He wants that kind of money too and he hasn't had a quarter of the success those others have had. He's a decent stat sheet and tools guy, just like Cutler.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:39 pm 
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Nas wrote:
I would pass on Lester. Especially if Lester is looking for $150M+. He had his best season last year and he has never won 20 games. He's an above average pitcher. You don't pay an above average guy elite money just because he is left handed. James Shields is an innings eater and reminds of a guy like Kevin Brown. He's going to pitch until he's 40 and will probably come at half the price of Lester. It's an easy decision. He's a Maddon guy too.

20 wins is pretty much a thing of the past. Lester is more than above average.

And being like Kevin Brown is not a good thing.

But I'd be happy with Shields. He's a good #2


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:42 pm 
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badrogue17 wrote:
That's what kills me about Shark. He wants that kind of money too and he hasn't had a quarter of the success those others have had. He's a decent stat sheet and tools guy, just like Cutler.

Honestly I find it best to rank the pitcher look at salaries of similar pitchers and work around that.although you have to take young guys in their first deal into account) Id say Samardzija is probably like 30 or 35th in MLB


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 12:50 pm 
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America wrote:
I'd take Shields at 5/80 before Lester at 7/150. Shields is without a doubt a regular season ace. No fucking doubt in my mind, the dude has been overall everything the Royals wanted and more. Count on Cubs fans to pretend they already have the division won, this whole laughable search for guys with POSTSEASON SUCCESS when the team has been intentionally terrible for a half decade. Let's work on one thing at time, alright?


Not sure if this was a reaction to what I wrote about Lester but its not accurate if it is.

The only reason I even mentioned the post season is because with The Royals run it was finally revealed to the casual fan that the name Big Game James hasn't been accurate since he was in college. He's a good pitcher who a lot of people overrate

Lester is better during the reg season and postseason


Also, please lets not criticize other fans for valuing guys with post season success. Its a rational thing to look at.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sat Dec 06, 2014 1:20 pm 
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I want Lester, but by no means at all costs! Esepcially if this prevents getting others down the line, he had a GREAT year, but not sure that makes him a GREAT Pitcher.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sun Dec 07, 2014 7:00 pm 
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http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/writer/jon ... till-alive

~6 years, $140M is where it is at right now. Decision likely this week...

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sun Dec 07, 2014 7:03 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/writer/jon-heyman/24872959/cubs-said-making-lester-push-but-red-sox-and-others-still-alive

~6 years, $140M is where it is at right now. Decision likely this week...


I am not a fan of this slowly creeping up like we are playing Pawn Stars! The money is where it is. Want a big bonus for winning a Cy Young, ask for it and I am sure they give it. Most teams have no issues with performance bonuses, but this $130-32 -35-38-$40. if he just chose where he wanted to be and said GIVE ME $140 M he would be inthe same scenario, but he would have got what he wanted.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Sun Dec 07, 2014 7:15 pm 
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you know, for a split second i saw this thread title here and i thought it said Jon Lieber, you know, the last 20 game winner (complete with a 3.80/1.15) for YOUR chicago cubs.

naturally, since life often "is like poetry. it rhymes." - george lucas, i think it'd be fitting for the cubs to add a Jon L. with a 6 letter last name that ends in -er. ergo, my guy (PROTIP: He's a god to most) tells me that Jon Lester to THE MIGHTY MIGHTY COO is a done deal.

of course, we're gonna find out that THE MIGHTY MIGHTY COO is a separate team entirely from the chicago baseball cubs and that means the cubs will just end up getting the 2014 equivalent of matt clement (HE'S A HORSE ya know!)

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 11:03 am 
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bigfan wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/writer/jon-heyman/24872959/cubs-said-making-lester-push-but-red-sox-and-others-still-alive

~6 years, $140M is where it is at right now. Decision likely this week...


I am not a fan of this slowly creeping up like we are playing Pawn Stars! The money is where it is. Want a big bonus for winning a Cy Young, ask for it and I am sure they give it. Most teams have no issues with performance bonuses, but this $130-32 -35-38-$40. if he just chose where he wanted to be and said GIVE ME $140 M he would be inthe same scenario, but he would have got what he wanted.


he's testing the top end of the market and he will shop that top end to the team he really wants to play for

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 1:21 pm 
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Lester talks nearing the finish line, sources say. Choice will be made no earlier than tonight, no later than tomorrow.

I bet it's great to be the talk of ball. But as a spectator just pick the damn Red Sox already.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 1:23 pm 
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Levine, take it for what's it worth, said the Dodgers will go to 170.


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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 1:46 pm 
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I'd put the likliness as

1) Red Sox
2) Giants
3) Dodgers
4) Cubs

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 2:15 pm 
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I think he goes to the Giants and I'll be fine with that.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 2:26 pm 
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8675309 wrote:
I think he goes to the Giants and I'll be fine with that.



yeah,me too. The Cubs have Hammels in tow. If they sign another 2 FA (innings eater-type)pitchers,that would be fine.

They need some hitting!!

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 2:33 pm 
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I pray the Cubs stay away. They should be talking to Shields right now.

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 Post subject: Re: Jon Lester
PostPosted: Mon Dec 08, 2014 2:39 pm 
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They do need a #1 but 6/150 would be my max, maybe with a vesting option for year 7.


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