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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:06 am 
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IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
The problem with Baez is that what makes him a really good power hitter is probably why he sucks on average.

And this is why we have .OPS and many more metrics being used now.

You'll live with a .230 BA and 200 K's if he has an .850 OPS as a second baseman.



I have heard this excuse for Adam Dunn the last 5 years. I am unimpressed.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:09 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Adam Dunn, Mark Reynolds, Dan Uggla....
Barry Bonds, Sammy Sosa, Hank Aaron.

Are we just naming home run hitters?

Seriously?

No, were naming homerun hitters who struck out at an extremely high rate

Many of the same things were said about Reynolds and Uggla and both were good for a while, but not as good as people thought they might be. I think Baez will end up that way.

His defense is good, so that helps
I'm talking about how he swings. I'm not simply talking about how many strikeouts he has.

Every time I look at him swing I just don't see how it can be fixed. Maybe he can completely revamp his swing but there is a reason that MLB players don't walk up to the plate and swing like that.

His swing has been compared to Gary Sheffield's

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqpuDvL_FfU

We'll see if he can figure out a way to make contact consistently enough.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:10 am 
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pittmike wrote:
IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
The problem with Baez is that what makes him a really good power hitter is probably why he sucks on average.

And this is why we have .OPS and many more metrics being used now.

You'll live with a .230 BA and 200 K's if he has an .850 OPS as a second baseman.



I have heard this excuse for Adam Dunn the last 5 years. I am unimpressed.

Adam Dunn hasnt been near that OPS level for the last 5 years. Last time he was (2010) he got MVP votes.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:11 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I'm talking about how he swings. I'm not simply talking about how many strikeouts he has.

Every time I look at him swing I just don't see how it can be fixed. Maybe he can completely revamp his swing but there is a reason that MLB players don't walk up to the plate and swing like that.

That's what some people were saying while he was receiving that insane amount of hype.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:13 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
His swing has been compared to Gary Sheffield's

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqpuDvL_FfU

We'll see if he can figure out a way to make contact consistently enough.
Must. Resist. Urge. To. Respond.

Baez, Adam Dunn, Gary Sheffield, Mark Reynolds, Dan Uggla.

Must. Resist. Urge. To. Respond.

Ok, it passed. Good luck to Mr. Baez. Should be interesting.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:21 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
His swing has been compared to Gary Sheffield's

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqpuDvL_FfU

We'll see if he can figure out a way to make contact consistently enough.
Must. Resist. Urge. To. Respond.

Baez, Adam Dunn, Gary Sheffield, Mark Reynolds, Dan Uggla.

Must. Resist. Urge. To. Respond.

Ok, it passed. Good luck to Mr. Baez. Should be interesting.

I dont know what your ugre is.

The Baez Sheffield comparison has been made so many times, Im surprised you didnt know about it. The bat speed has been spoken about at length. You referenced it in this thread.

Dan Uggla (few good years and then eventually not even guaranteed to make a roster) is my hope for Baez. I think that's pretty reasonable.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:22 am 
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We are actually going to pretend that a guy who's OBP was in the .220's and only hit 9 HR in 220 PA is billed for an .850 OPS next year.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:23 am 
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Sheffield was like the greatest HR/K guy in modern history. :lol: So yeah, if Baez can become that, I'm sure he'll be pretty good.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:24 am 
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America wrote:
We are actually going to pretend that a guy who's OBP was in the .220's and only hit 9 HR in 220 PA is billed for an .850 OPS next year.

Billed?

I think that's the high end of what IMU hopes for him and not necessarily next year.


I was correcting PittMike's factually incorrect statement.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:25 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
Sheffield was like the greatest HR/K guy in modern history. :lol: So yeah, if Baez can become that, I'm sure he'll be pretty good.

Their swings are remarkably similar and both have a lot of power. That is the end of the comparison.


Kinda like how Keyser said Chris Sale has a motion similar to Randy Johnson.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:25 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
His swing has been compared to Gary Sheffield's

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqpuDvL_FfU

We'll see if he can figure out a way to make contact consistently enough.
Must. Resist. Urge. To. Respond.

Baez, Adam Dunn, Gary Sheffield, Mark Reynolds, Dan Uggla.

Must. Resist. Urge. To. Respond.

Ok, it passed. Good luck to Mr. Baez. Should be interesting.

I dont know what your ugre is.

The Baez Sheffield comparison has been made so many times, Im surprised you didnt know about it. The bat speed has been spoken about at length. You referenced it in this thread.

Dan Uggla (few good years and then eventually not even guaranteed to make a roster) is my hope for Baez. I think that's pretty reasonable.
I made what I consider to be a reasonable opinion on him and the response was that he has the swing of Gary Sheffield.

Now, I ask, do you think he will be Gary Sheffield?, and of course you say no, he won't be, and then I just have to wonder why the Gary Sheffield comparison was valid at all. That is why I was resisting the urge.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:28 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:

Now, I ask, do you think he will be Gary Sheffield?, and of course you say no, he won't be, and then I just have to wonder why the Gary Sheffield comparison was valid at all. That is why I was resisting the urge.

You said there is a reason MLBers dont swing like that. I gave you an example of a guy with a swing like that who made it work.

Pretty simple stuff. Did you click on the video link that showed how insanely similar their swings are?

Also, the response wasnt Sheffield. The response was Dan Uggla, Mark Reynolds, and Adam Dunn. All guys who hit a lot of homeruns but eventually struck out too much for it to matter.

Ive been saying he's destined to be Uggla for over a year now. If you dont understand how far away from Sheffield that is, than I dont know what to tell you.


Last edited by rogers park bryan on Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:30 am, edited 2 times in total.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:29 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I don't really know if that is really a counterpoint. If he hits 70 home runs a year you'll live with it too.

What I'm saying is that I look at what makes him good and it seems like it comes from his "unique" way of swinging.

If he has to reinvent his swing then he also loses a lot of what makes him potentially very good.

I wasn't focused on trying to find a counterpoint. I'm not JORR that will argue just to argue. I was clarifying that Baez could still be successful in Cubs fans eyes even if he doesn't change his approach, as long as the results are acceptable.

I would be less happy if he strikes out only 40 times a season if that leads to a .280 average and a .650 OPS.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:31 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
You said there is a reason MLBers dont swing like that. I gave you an example of a guy with a swing like that who made it work.
Well, Gary Sheffield isn't a MLB player any more, and I'm not sure one anomaly is really a counter argument. I'm not going to say that Abreu could be good until his 40s because Barry Bonds was.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:33 am 
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IMU wrote:
I was clarifying that Baez could still be successful in Cubs fans eyes even if he doesn't change his approach, as long as the results are acceptable.
So if he has good results then he'll be good?

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:33 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
You said there is a reason MLBers dont swing like that. I gave you an example of a guy with a swing like that who made it work.
Well, Gary Sheffield isn't a MLB player any more, and I'm not sure one anomaly is really a counter argument. I'm not going to say that Abreu could be good until his 40s because Barry Bonds was.

Like, IMU, I wasnt going into the post thinking "How can I disagree with Rick?"

I was just adding that it's possible to make swings like that work. Your statement seemed to suggest its impossible.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:34 am 
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I'll give you Micah Johnson for him. Even toss in Matt Davidson.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:34 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
I was clarifying that Baez could still be successful in Cubs fans eyes even if he doesn't change his approach, as long as the results are acceptable.
So if he has good results then he'll be good?

No, he has to be good for 10 years. If he's good for only 5 then Theo is a failure according to some people.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:38 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
I was clarifying that Baez could still be successful in Cubs fans eyes even if he doesn't change his approach, as long as the results are acceptable.
So if he has good results then he'll be good?

Sports discussion is really this simple. You and I have figured it out. We're waiting for the board to catch up.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:46 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
You said there is a reason MLBers dont swing like that. I gave you an example of a guy with a swing like that who made it work.
Well, Gary Sheffield isn't a MLB player any more, and I'm not sure one anomaly is really a counter argument. I'm not going to say that Abreu could be good until his 40s because Barry Bonds was.

Like, IMU, I wasnt going into the post thinking "How can I disagree with Rick?"

I was just adding that it's possible to make swings like that work. Your statement seemed to suggest its impossible.
Nothing is impossible.

I just don't see a guy who makes a living on having a "unique" swing fixing his issues by changing that swing.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 10:47 am 
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IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
I was clarifying that Baez could still be successful in Cubs fans eyes even if he doesn't change his approach, as long as the results are acceptable.
So if he has good results then he'll be good?

Sports discussion is really this simple. You and I have figured it out. We're waiting for the board to catch up.
Yup. Clash of Clans has brought us all together.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 11:11 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
You said there is a reason MLBers dont swing like that. I gave you an example of a guy with a swing like that who made it work.
Well, Gary Sheffield isn't a MLB player any more, and I'm not sure one anomaly is really a counter argument. I'm not going to say that Abreu could be good until his 40s because Barry Bonds was.

Like, IMU, I wasnt going into the post thinking "How can I disagree with Rick?"

I was just adding that it's possible to make swings like that work. Your statement seemed to suggest its impossible.
Nothing is impossible.

I just don't see a guy who makes a living on having a "unique" swing fixing his issues by changing that swing.

I agree. He either makes it work with his current swing or he's in trouble


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 11:28 am 
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no one is saying he will be Sheffield. They are saying his swing is similar. Not hard to understand.

Did Sheffield have issues with strikeouts at all when he was in the minors or first called up?

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 11:34 am 
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RFDC wrote:
Did Sheffield have issues with strikeouts at all when he was in the minors or first called up?


no

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 11:45 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
RFDC wrote:
Did Sheffield have issues with strikeouts at all when he was in the minors or first called up?


no


Thanks, I didn't think so.

Has there been an example of a guy who came up and struggled with strikeouts and was able to make improvements and get them to an acceptable rate?

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 11:49 am 
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RFDC wrote:
no one is saying he will be Sheffield. They are saying his swing is similar. Not hard to understand.
Gary Sheffield isn't really a counter to the argument that his swing as constituted now won't work though unless you think it is relevant.

I'm sure there are similarities between Kyle Schwarber and Mike Piazza too but that doesn't mean he is a response to any questions of Schwarber.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 11:55 am 
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RFDC wrote:
[Has there been an example of a guy who came up and struggled with strikeouts and was able to make improvements and get them to an acceptable rate?


I don't think there's ever been anybody as bad as what he showed last year. though this is a different era with regard to striking out.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 11:56 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
RFDC wrote:
no one is saying he will be Sheffield. They are saying his swing is similar. Not hard to understand.
Gary Sheffield isn't really a counter to the argument that his swing as constituted now won't work though unless you think it is relevant.

Rick, you said "there is a reason MLBers dont swing like that"

I pointed out that its possible to swing like that and be successful in MLB


Nothing more than that.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 11:57 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
RFDC wrote:
no one is saying he will be Sheffield. They are saying his swing is similar. Not hard to understand.
Gary Sheffield isn't really a counter to the argument that his swing as constituted now won't work though unless you think it is relevant.

I'm sure there are similarities between Kyle Schwarber and Mike Piazza too but that doesn't mean he is a response to any questions of Schwarber.

Um ok.

Don't really get where any of that is what people are saying.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2015 11:59 am 
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RFDC wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
RFDC wrote:
no one is saying he will be Sheffield. They are saying his swing is similar. Not hard to understand.
Gary Sheffield isn't really a counter to the argument that his swing as constituted now won't work though unless you think it is relevant.

I'm sure there are similarities between Kyle Schwarber and Mike Piazza too but that doesn't mean he is a response to any questions of Schwarber.

Um ok.

Don't really get where any of that is what people are saying.
rpb just said that swing can be successful in MLB because Gary Sheffield did it.

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