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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:00 pm 
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IMU wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Look at OPS+

Look at your ballpark, and the White Sox offense. OPS+ can be severely flawed, and can inflate a good player playing on a shit team since it is weighted against all other at bats at that ballpark. Most people that bat at US Cellular do suck, because the White Sox offense sucks, and so any player that is actually a pretty good player will look excellent by comparison.

I've always heard OPS+ is a superior stat to OPS. Maybe I've heard wrong.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:01 pm 
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We've never made the playoffs in third place before.

LOL!

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:02 pm 
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Regular Reader wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
We, as a board need to agree to a stat and go with it.

Ops+ wOBA both seem like fine choices


I'll see your OPS+ & wOBA and suggest wins and titles. "You. Play. To. Win. The. Game!" :wink:

so cubs are getting obliterated for season's performance....why?


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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:03 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
No stat shows what Jorr said (Abreu way better last year and this year similar) because its just not true


He slugged 50 points higher and got on base about the same. I'd call that significant. I'd call 50 more total bases pretty significant too.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:05 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
We, as a board need to agree to a stat and go with it.


How about how many GMs would rather have the guy? :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:07 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
We, as a board need to agree to a stat and go with it.


How about how many GMs would rather have the guy? :lol:

But that would fuck up their Fowler > Eaton argument.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:07 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
IMU wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Look at OPS+

Look at your ballpark, and the White Sox offense. OPS+ can be severely flawed, and can inflate a good player playing on a shit team since it is weighted against all other at bats at that ballpark. Most people that bat at US Cellular do suck, because the White Sox offense sucks, and so any player that is actually a pretty good player will look excellent by comparison.

I've always heard OPS+ is a superior stat to OPS. Maybe I've heard wrong.

OPS is a statistic. It cannot be argued. TB, walks, HBP...things that actually happen.

OPS+ can be useful, but it also can be very misleading. Again, it compares Abreu to his peers. And in this case, his peers are people that have many AB / PA at US Cellular field. And of course, most AB / PA would be from that ballpark's hometeam. And if those players are doing terrible, it brings down the Park Factor of that ballpark. So Abreu is now being compared against a bunch of people having a terrible year.

Conversely, many Cubs are having pretty solid offensive seasons. So the difference in OPS+ is actually saying "Abreu is 150% as good as the average White Sox / US Cellular visitor, and Rizzo is only 140% better than the average Cub / Wrigley visitor."

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:07 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
No stat shows what Jorr said (Abreu way better last year and this year similar) because its just not true


He slugged 50 points higher and got on base about the same. I'd call that significant. I'd call 50 more total bases pretty significant too.

But Rizzos 50 point higher obp is....not significant


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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:08 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
We, as a board need to agree to a stat and go with it.


How about how many GMs would rather have the guy? :lol:

But that would fuck up their Fowler > Eaton argument.


Before Bryan gets mad, I would like to point out he has never made that argument.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:08 pm 
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Regular Reader wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
We, as a board need to agree to a stat and go with it.

Ops+ wOBA both seem like fine choices


I'll see your OPS+ & wOBA and suggest wins and titles. "You. Play. To. Win. The. Game!" :wink:

Ha...just yo be clear, absolutely that is the only way to judge a team


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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:09 pm 
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The park adjustment is run differential for three years. It includes sox and visitor. Why would sox being bad effect their home road scoring differential?

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:09 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Regular Reader wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
We, as a board need to agree to a stat and go with it.

Ops+ wOBA both seem like fine choices


I'll see your OPS+ & wOBA and suggest wins and titles. "You. Play. To. Win. The. Game!" :wink:

so cubs are getting obliterated for season's performance....why?

Because fuck the Cubs

Fuck em in the ear, fuck em in the other ear


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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:12 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
No stat shows what Jorr said (Abreu way better last year and this year similar) because its just not true


He slugged 50 points higher and got on base about the same. I'd call that significant. I'd call 50 more total bases pretty significant too.

But Rizzos 50 point higher obp is....not significant


Actually, it's not. It hasn't resulted in him scoring any more runs than Abreu. This could lead us away from Cubs/Sox to a more productive discussion. As a philosophy, I am of the belief that if you aren't scoring a run and you're not driving one in, you're not doing a whole lot. All that extra OBP from Rizzo and for what? So he can score less runs than Abreu?

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:16 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It always comes back to Cub fans always believing every Cub player is defined by his best possible stretch, however arbitrarily measuered that stretch might be.

You've never conceded so quickly. I must have belted this one.

It was lucky. It would have been a flyout on a 70 degree calm day.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:19 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
The park adjustment is run differential for three years. It includes sox and visitor. Why would sox being bad effect their home road scoring differential?

Percentage of at bats. Isn't that obvious?

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:21 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
No stat shows what Jorr said (Abreu way better last year and this year similar) because its just not true


He slugged 50 points higher and got on base about the same. I'd call that significant. I'd call 50 more total bases pretty significant too.

But Rizzos 50 point higher obp is....not significant


Actually, it's not. It hasn't resulted in him scoring any more runs than Abreu. This could lead us away from Cubs/Sox to a more productive discussion. As a philosophy, I am of the belief that if you aren't scoring a run and you're not driving one in, you're not doing a whole lot. All that extra OBP from Rizzo and for what? So he can score less runs than Abreu?

I believe the numbers show that Obp correlates,with winning more than any other offensive stat


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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:22 pm 
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Show me the math if you're going to make an outrageous claim. :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:25 pm 
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JOR I think it's time


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:lol: :lol:


I think Jorr started this thread to get away from the Addison Russell thread, where he looked like a fool..oops



I once remember a guy sayibg "Csfmb is a dangerous place when you're full of shit" :lol: oops

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:28 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
We, as a board need to agree to a stat and go with it.


How about how many GMs would rather have the guy? :lol:

But that would fuck up their Fowler > Eaton argument.





Would it? I'm not a G.M. ...I've never used that "every GM" statement...but if both were unrestricted F A's. Next year...Fowler is more sought after n making more money.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:32 pm 
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312player wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
We, as a board need to agree to a stat and go with it.


How about how many GMs would rather have the guy? :lol:

But that would fuck up their Fowler > Eaton argument.


Would it? I'm not a G.M. ...I've never used that "every GM" statement...but if both were unrestricted F A's. Next year...Fowler is more sought after n making more money.

Pretty sure you're wrong once again.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:33 pm 
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Out of all this trolling and nonsense, the dumbest Sox line is making fun of the Cubs for being in 3rd place, as though there is no context to their 3rd place status. They just happen to play in the best division in baseball and are leading the wild card by a number of games. And on top of that... the Sox are terrible.

If you're gonna troll, at least do it right.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:37 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Out of all this trolling and nonsense, the dumbest Sox line is making fun of the Cubs for being in 3rd place, as though there is no context to their 3rd place status. They just happen to play in the best division in baseball and are leading the wild card by a number of games. And on top of that... the Sox are terrible.

If you're gonna troll, at least do it right.


you posted about it

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:38 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Out of all this trolling and nonsense, the dumbest Sox line is making fun of the Cubs for being in 3rd place, as though there is no context to their 3rd place status. They just happen to play in the best division in baseball and are leading the wild card by a number of games. And on top of that... the Sox are terrible.
Exhibit A.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:39 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Out of all this trolling and nonsense, the dumbest Sox line is making fun of the Cubs for being in 3rd place, as though there is no context to their 3rd place status. They just happen to play in the best division in baseball and are leading the wild card by a number of games. And on top of that... the Sox are terrible.
Exhibit A.


It does not make me happy either. I want the Sox to be good. It would make these threads more interesting.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:53 pm 
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The context is that a couple short seasons ago, the losing didn't matter because only Championships mattered. Now that mantra has completely changed.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:54 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
The context is that a couple short seasons ago, the losing didn't matter because only Championships mattered. Now that mantra has completely changed.
This guy gets it.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:58 pm 
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Is it ok for us to speculate when Arrieta has a season ending injury at least?

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 5:04 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
The context is that a couple short seasons ago, the losing didn't matter because only Championships mattered. Now that mantra has completely changed.


I don't know what this means. There is one team in Chicago that has a shot to win a championship this year, and it ain't the Sox.

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 5:05 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
The context is that a couple short seasons ago, the losing didn't matter because only Championships mattered. Now that mantra has completely changed.


I don't know what this means. There is one team in Chicago that has a shot to win a championship this year, and it ain't the Sox.
Go Hawks!

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 Post subject: Re: Hey Cub Fans...
PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 5:08 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
I believe the numbers show that Obp correlates,with winning more than any other offensive stat


That may be generally true.

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