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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 10:15 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
If the city is lying about the numbers today (despite all the independent organizations tracking these things) when there are only about 400 murders, why wouldn't they have been lying in the 90's when there was about 1000?


How do you think that happened? Did people become less violent. Did reasons for violence disappear?


Better policing and population decline.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 10:16 am 
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People are probably about the same.

The media and social media is what is fueling this.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 10:17 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
How do you think that happened? Did people become less violent. Did reasons for violence disappear?
The prevailing theory seems to be that leaded gasoline/lead paint was causing it based on the results that can be seen world wide when it is removed.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:05 am 
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Nas wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Instead of murder, why dont we use number of gunshot (not necessarily murder) victims?

That would eliminate the medical part


Violent crime is down dramatically since the 90's.


well yeah, they had kabrini green.


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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:09 am 
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W_Z wrote:
well yeah, they had kabrini green.


Good point. What happened when they tore all those housing project down? Did bad guys leave the city or did they commit fewer crimes?

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:11 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
How do you think that happened? Did people become less violent. Did reasons for violence disappear?
The prevailing theory seems to be that leaded gasoline/lead paint was causing it based on the results that can be seen world wide when it is removed.

I feel somewhat compelled to let people know this is not a Rick troll job; this is indeed a commonly-cited reason. I think the next likeliest reason trotted out is better access to safe abortions, thus reducing the number of "unwanted children" roaming the Earth. I cannot speak to the veracity on either suggestion, though I don't think either is without some degree of merit.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:13 am 
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If I'm not mistaken lead paint was used for like 100 years. why did it make crime spike in the 1990s?

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:19 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
If I'm not mistaken lead paint was used for like 100 years. why did it make crime spike in the 1990s?

Rappers started eating it then.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:19 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
If I'm not mistaken lead paint was used for like 100 years. why did it make crime spike in the 1990s?
Leaded gasoline too, which did see major increases in use over those 100 years.

I don't think they'll ever be able to say it for certain, but the pattern has taken place in many countries with the same pattern of less violent crimes in age groups who were not exposed to lead during development.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:20 am 
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Don Tiny wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
How do you think that happened? Did people become less violent. Did reasons for violence disappear?
The prevailing theory seems to be that leaded gasoline/lead paint was causing it based on the results that can be seen world wide when it is removed.

I feel somewhat compelled to let people know this is not a Rick troll job; this is indeed a commonly-cited reason. I think the next likeliest reason trotted out is better access to safe abortions, thus reducing the number of "unwanted children" roaming the Earth. I cannot speak to the veracity on either suggestion, though I don't think either is without some degree of merit.



Well, if we believe that it isn't a change in the way crime is reported, and frankly, I think it would be difficult even for slippery Rahm to underreport crime by 75%, there has to be some logical cause, because I certainly don't believe people have gotten "better".

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:52 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
W_Z wrote:
well yeah, they had kabrini green.


Good point. What happened when they tore all those housing project down? Did bad guys leave the city or did they commit fewer crimes?


It's not a good point. Those people were given housing vouchers and they took their crime to other neighborhoods in the city (some places where crime was low) and they barbecue in front of their homes when they aren't committing crime.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:55 am 
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Nas wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
W_Z wrote:
well yeah, they had kabrini green.


Good point. What happened when they tore all those housing project down? Did bad guys leave the city or did they commit fewer crimes?


It's not a good point. Those people were given housing vouchers and they took their crime to other neighborhoods in the city (some places where crime was low) and they barbecue in front of their homes when they aren't committing crime.


can you cite some peer reviewed research to back up this claim?

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:58 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
How do you think that happened? Did people become less violent. Did reasons for violence disappear?
The prevailing theory seems to be that leaded gasoline/lead paint was causing it based on the results that can be seen world wide when it is removed.

I feel somewhat compelled to let people know this is not a Rick troll job; this is indeed a commonly-cited reason. I think the next likeliest reason trotted out is better access to safe abortions, thus reducing the number of "unwanted children" roaming the Earth. I cannot speak to the veracity on either suggestion, though I don't think either is without some degree of merit.



Well, if we believe that it isn't a change in the way crime is reported, and frankly, I think it would be difficult even for slippery Rahm to underreport crime by 75%, there has to be some logical cause, because I certainly don't believe people have gotten "better".


Police do a better job fighting crime. We can't talk about the reduction in crime because that will mean fewer cops. If we highlight every murder or shooting the people will demand more cops. Even when the country was in the middle of a depression crime didn't rise. Better policing is one of the main reasons.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:58 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
Nas wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
W_Z wrote:
well yeah, they had kabrini green.


Good point. What happened when they tore all those housing project down? Did bad guys leave the city or did they commit fewer crimes?


It's not a good point. Those people were given housing vouchers and they took their crime to other neighborhoods in the city (some places where crime was low) and they barbecue in front of their homes when they aren't committing crime.


can you cite some peer reviewed research to back up this claim?
It's behind a paywall, but check out the Stanford study titled "Front lawn barbecues and violent crime in the 21st century".

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 11:59 am 
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Nas wrote:
Police do a better job fighting crime.



How?

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:01 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Police do a better job fighting crime.



How?


shoot em dead instead of smacking them with a billy club


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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:02 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
Nas wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
W_Z wrote:
well yeah, they had kabrini green.


Good point. What happened when they tore all those housing project down? Did bad guys leave the city or did they commit fewer crimes?


It's not a good point. Those people were given housing vouchers and they took their crime to other neighborhoods in the city (some places where crime was low) and they barbecue in front of their homes when they aren't committing crime.


can you cite some peer reviewed research to back up this claim?


What claim? Cabrini Green was torn down recently and the families in all of the projects that were displaced were given housing vouchers. This is well known. Most stayed in the city and some went to the burbs. The barbecuing stuff is my opinion.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:03 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:


can you cite some peer reviewed research to back up this claim?
It's behind a paywall, but check out the Stanford study titled "Front lawn barbecues and violent crime in the 21st century".

:lol: :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:03 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Police do a better job fighting crime.



How?


Better response? Intelligence? Presence? Technology?

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:06 pm 
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One of the main reasons for tearing down the projects was that they bred crime. ie, crime would be reduced in absolute terms if the concentrations of poverty were broken up. What were the effects? Did it work? Did the crime just move somewhere else? Do the answers to those questions provide any guidance as to public policy moving forward?

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:07 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Police do a better job fighting crime.



How?


Better response? Intelligence? Presence? Technology?



I don't know. You said it. Outside of technology, obviously, do you think those things are better than they were in 1975? Maybe it's the cameras.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:08 pm 
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Dumbfucks who forget to turn off ( or better yet, leave at home) their phones when committing a crime .

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:11 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
One of the main reasons for tearing down the projects was that they bred crime. ie, crime would be reduced in absolute terms if the concentrations of poverty were broken up. What were the effects? Did it work? Did the crime just move somewhere else? Do the answers to those questions provide any guidance as to public policy moving forward?


The main reason was prime real estate. Crime moved to other areas. Those people weren't used to functioning outside of those projects.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:13 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
It has NOTHING to do with the murders that are at historic lows.


Only because Rahm has figured out how to classify many murders as something other than what they actually are.


Even before Rahm they were trending down. Down about 500 from when I was a kid.





The murders are down for one reason only.. EMT response time and better care @ the ER... Shootings are up..people are just receiving better care and surviving.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:14 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Police do a better job fighting crime.



How?


Better response? Intelligence? Presence? Technology?



I don't know. You said it. Outside of technology, obviously, do you think those things are better than they were in 1975? Maybe it's the cameras.


Everyone has a phone too. I think all of those things have improved nationwide in the last 40 years. Maybe people got a little better too.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:15 pm 
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I should have said one of the main reasons cited.....

lot of questions in this thread and not a lot of solid evidence of anything.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:16 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
I should have said one of the main reasons cited.....

lot of questions in this thread and not a lot of solid evidence of anything.

Or as we like to call it, Thursday.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:20 pm 
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312player wrote:
Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
It has NOTHING to do with the murders that are at historic lows.


Only because Rahm has figured out how to classify many murders as something other than what they actually are.


Even before Rahm they were trending down. Down about 500 from when I was a kid.





The murders are down for one reason only.. EMT response time and better care @ the ER... Shootings are up..people are just receiving better care and surviving.


From the 60's to the 90's the EMT's response time and care improved dramatically but murders increased by nearly 600 in Chicago from the 60's to the 90's. Over the past 25 years response time and treatment have also improved but murders are down nearly 500 a year from the peak in the 90's and violent crime is down. Reality is policing has improved.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:23 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
I should have said one of the main reasons cited.....

lot of questions in this thread and not a lot of solid evidence of anything.


There are lots of stats. You don't believe the numbers because they don't fit your narrative. I don't have a concrete answer why they are down dramatically nationwide. My theory is the police are doing a great job. It could be the paint.

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 Post subject: Re: Spike Lee!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2015 12:24 pm 
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applying RICO laws to street gangs might be another reason.

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