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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:39 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
another advocate of just being competitive


While I appreciate your drive, why don't you tell me what you disagree with in my rather than trolling?

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:40 am 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Really? You don't think continuing to point out that a team that went to the NLCS was in third place (despite the fact that yours was in the bottom third of baseball) is objective?
I never said or implied that it was. I also never declared myself to be "the most objectionable baseball poster on this board" like IMU did. Also note that it was a Cubs fan (INQUISITOR) who first brought up the White Sox in this thread.

You're continuing to take things out of context.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:42 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Really? You don't think continuing to point out that a team that went to the NLCS was in third place (despite the fact that yours was in the bottom third of baseball) is objective?
I never said or implied that it was. I also never declared myself to be "the most objectionable baseball poster on this board" like IMU did. Also note that it was a Cubs fan (INQUISITOR) who first brought up the White Sox in this thread.

You're continuing to take things out of context.

I don't know Frank I think a lot of people would sat he's the most objectionable baseball poster here.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:43 am 
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:lol: That is a sad state of affairs then. He is not objectionable in any way, shape, or form when it comes to the White Sox. Maybe with some of the other teams he is, but that is not the case with the two teams here in town.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:44 am 
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Inquisitor is terrible.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:48 am 
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leashyourkids wrote:
There is no "best" way. The regular season and the playoffs are basically two different games.

The regular season has so many games that it eliminates any anomolies or freak occurrences due to a massive sample size. It does this much better than the playoffs do, for obvious reasons.

However, the playoffs are going to highlight high-end talent, particularly starting pitching, since the number of games are so low that starting pitchers can throw on less rest and pitching has less variability than hitting.

That said, the way MLB chooses to crown a winner is through a playoff system, so the winner, obviously, is the WS champion.


This is a much more interesting conversation than Cubs and Sox fans poking at each other (though that is fun on occasion).

It's seems that the success of the Royals may be changing some of the conventional wisdom regarding the value of the walk and the strikeout. One thing we should always be cognizant of is the fact that SABRmetric research and statistical baseball analysis just happened to boom during the greatest era of offensive since the 1930s. Thus, a lot of conclusions of said research are colored by the conditions as they existed at that time. That is to say, the idea that a batter striking out is no different from him grounding out may be true under certain conditions and untrue under others. (There is also the concept that the two outs are equal only after they have already occurred.)

I have to wonder if those people (dan bernstein is a good example) who have reguritated the things they have read on the subject for years will now turn around and start saying that taking pitches and drawing walks is suddenly not as important as putting balls in play and that strikeouts are indeed worse outs than those occurring on batted balls.

The late harness racing writer/race caller/auctioneer (and simply calling him those things doesn't do him justice) Stan Bergstein talked about something he called the "Blue Balloon Theory". And that is that if a horse won the Hambletonian on the first Saturday in August with a blue balloon tied to his tail, the following Monday there would be horses racing at tracks across America with blue balloons tied to their tails. I suspect that a lot of GMs may be trying to build clubs that are similar to the Royals.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:49 am 
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This thread has become objectionable.


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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:53 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I have to wonder if those people (dan bernstein is a good example) who have reguritated the things they have read on the subject for years will now turn around and start saying that taking pitches and drawing walks is suddenly not as important as putting balls in play and that strikeouts are indeed worse outs than those occurring on batted balls.
.

Id have no issue doing that. Things change. The way games are played changes.


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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:55 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
There is no "best" way. The regular season and the playoffs are basically two different games.

The regular season has so many games that it eliminates any anomolies or freak occurrences due to a massive sample size. It does this much better than the playoffs do, for obvious reasons.

However, the playoffs are going to highlight high-end talent, particularly starting pitching, since the number of games are so low that starting pitchers can throw on less rest and pitching has less variability than hitting.

That said, the way MLB chooses to crown a winner is through a playoff system, so the winner, obviously, is the WS champion.


This is a much more interesting conversation than Cubs and Sox fans poking at each other (though that is fun on occasion).

It's seems that the success of the Royals may be changing some of the conventional wisdom regarding the value of the walk and the strikeout. One thing we should always be cognizant of is the fact that SABRmetric research and statistical baseball analysis just happened to boom during the greatest era of offensive since the 1930s. Thus, a lot of conclusions of said research are colored by the conditions as they existed at that time. That is to say, the idea that a batter striking out is no different from him grounding out may be true under certain conditions and untrue under others. (There is also the concept that the two outs are equal only after they have already occurred.)

I have to wonder if those people (dan bernstein is a good example) who have reguritated the things they have read on the subject for years will now turn around and start saying that taking pitches and drawing walks is suddenly not as important as putting balls in play and that strikeouts are indeed worse outs than those occurring on batted balls.

The late harness racing writer/race caller/auctioneer (and simply calling him those things doesn't do him justice) Stan Bergstein talked about something he called the "Blue Balloon Theory". And that is that if a horse won the Hambletonian on the first Saturday in August with a blue balloon tied to his tail, the following Monday there would be horses racing at tracks across America with blue balloons tied to their tails. I suspect that a lot of GMs may be trying to build clubs that are similar to the Royals.
I think Big Purple regurgitated a stat ( along with 21 white castles but I digress) during the WS about the Royals having some huge batting average against pitchers with 95 plus fastballs ala all the Mets guys. So it would seem that making contact against guys like that ( which the trend seems to be that every staff wants guys that can throw that hard all the time) is a hell of a lot more important than working the count and explains the Royals success against them.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:57 am 
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It'd be keen if the halfwits would learn the difference between 'objective' and 'objectionable' for fuck's sake ... maybe get a group rate at a community college course or something.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 10:58 am 
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Don Tiny wrote:
It'd be keen if the halfwits would learn the difference between 'objective' and 'objectionable' for fuck's sake ... maybe get a group rate at a community college course or something.

Reread it again. Pretty sure only one person made that mistake.


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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:00 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I have to wonder if those people (dan bernstein is a good example) who have reguritated the things they have read on the subject for years will now turn around and start saying that taking pitches and drawing walks is suddenly not as important as putting balls in play and that strikeouts are indeed worse outs than those occurring on batted balls.
.

Id have no issue doing that. Things change. The way games are played changes.


To some degree, yes. But most people act like these things are absolute. There is a stridency when bernstein says Ned Yost is an idiot. That viewpoint is based on what bernstein believes to be true- wasting outs is bad, walks are good, taking pitches is good, defense on the corners is insignificant, striking out is no worse than any other out, etc.

You know how much I hate sacrifice bunts. I found them really moronic in a high run scoring environment. I still dislike them, but the risk/reward is much different when scoring is at deadball era levels. When Jake Arrieta walks the leadoff man in the seventh inning of the two-hitter he's pitching, the downside of moving that runner by making an out on purpose is relatively low.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:04 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The late harness racing writer/race caller/auctioneer (and simply calling him those things doesn't do him justice) Stan Bergstein talked about something he called the "Blue Balloon Theory". And that is that if a horse won the Hambletonian on the first Saturday in August with a blue balloon tied to his tail, the following Monday there would be horses racing at tracks across America with blue balloons tied to their tails. I suspect that a lot of GMs may be trying to build clubs that are similar to the Royals.


Well, this sort of gets at what I am saying. The job of owners/gms/managers is to win in whatever way a sport measures the "champion." In baseball, and pretty much all professional sports, that is typically determined by a playoff system after seeding is determined by a much longer regular season. In sports like basketball (in which half the league makes the playoffs), as long as you are relatively confident you can make the playoffs, the regular season is not very important, and we've seen coaches like Greg Popovich adapt and not play his studs heavy minutes.

However, that doesn't mean that we as observers can't question the method in which the winner is determined. God didn't come down and tell Moses that "baseball must be determined based on a 7-game series." There are certainly good arguments to be made that the regular season is a "better" indicator of who is a better team. Currently, it doesn't matter because that's not how the winner is determined. And frankly, I wouldn't want it because it would be anticlimactic and boring, even if it did seem to be more "fair" or consistent.

I don't even understand how this could be construed as a pro-Cub argument. The Cubs didn't have the best record in baseball or win the World Series, either one. My argument has nothing to do with the Cubs.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:05 am 
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badrogue17 wrote:
I think Big Purple regurgitated a stat ( along with 21 white castles but I digress) during the WS about the Royals having some huge batting average against pitchers with 95 plus fastballs ala all the Mets guys. So it would seem that making contact against guys like that ( which the trend seems to be that every staff wants guys that can throw that hard all the time) is a hell of a lot more important than working the count and explains the Royals success against them.


And how do the Royals set themselves up to see more fastballs? First, by swinging the bat. They try to put the ball in play before they get themselves into bad counts. Second, by having a good running game. A dangerous runner forces the pitcher to throw more fastballs. Also, forcing the pitcher into a slide step tends to get him throwing higher in the zone. We've talked about the mathematical fact that a runner has to steal successfully about 75% of the time for any net gain. But that's from a strictly formulaic standpoint based on the runs that will be produced. There are these intangible factors that don't have anything to do with the actual act of stealing/attempt to steal, but rather are caused by the simple threat of it.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:10 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
It'd be keen if the halfwits would learn the difference between 'objective' and 'objectionable' for fuck's sake ... maybe get a group rate at a community college course or something.

Reread it again. Pretty sure only one person made that mistake.


You're not wrong ... I was purposefully being oblique with the faux rant as a token of kindness or something like that.

Just so you're not too concerned, I did enjoy your sentence about it.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:12 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I have to wonder if those people (dan bernstein is a good example) who have reguritated the things they have read on the subject for years will now turn around and start saying that taking pitches and drawing walks is suddenly not as important as putting balls in play and that strikeouts are indeed worse outs than those occurring on batted balls.
.

Id have no issue doing that. Things change. The way games are played changes.


To some degree, yes. But most people act like these things are absolute. There is a stridency when bernstein says Ned Yost is an idiot. That viewpoint is based on what bernstein believes to be true- wasting outs is bad, walks are good, taking pitches is good, defense on the corners is insignificant, striking out is no worse than any other out, etc.

You know how much I hate sacrifice bunts. I found them really moronic in a high run scoring environment. I still dislike them, but the risk/reward is much different when scoring is at deadball era levels. When Jake Arrieta walks the leadoff man in the seventh inning of the two-hitter he's pitching, the downside of moving that runner by making an out on purpose is relatively low.

Fuck Bernstein. He's a troll.


Things change. Rules change. The dead ball era and the steroid era both exist.


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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:18 am 
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jimmypasta wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
jimmypasta wrote:
Actually,isn't that the 3rd best record in baseball,also?
Take that Royals!


Royals won 2 games less than the Coob.

I would say they won about 8 more when it counted.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:19 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I have to wonder if those people (dan bernstein is a good example) who have reguritated the things they have read on the subject for years will now turn around and start saying that taking pitches and drawing walks is suddenly not as important as putting balls in play and that strikeouts are indeed worse outs than those occurring on batted balls.
.

Id have no issue doing that. Things change. The way games are played changes.


To some degree, yes. But most people act like these things are absolute. There is a stridency when bernstein says Ned Yost is an idiot. That viewpoint is based on what bernstein believes to be true- wasting outs is bad, walks are good, taking pitches is good, defense on the corners is insignificant, striking out is no worse than any other out, etc.

You know how much I hate sacrifice bunts. I found them really moronic in a high run scoring environment. I still dislike them, but the risk/reward is much different when scoring is at deadball era levels. When Jake Arrieta walks the leadoff man in the seventh inning of the two-hitter he's pitching, the downside of moving that runner by making an out on purpose is relatively low.

Fuck Bernstein. He's a troll.


I don't think he's trolling on this subject. Anyway, I'm just using him as an example. There's conventional wisdom, for example, "clutch doesn't exist". But suddenly someone developed a formula to show that Anthony Rizzo is clutch. (In bernstein's case he embraced it, because Rizzo is a Cub.) I think the conventional wisdom would be to scoff at such a thing. It may or may not be true. I do believe some guys are more clutch than others. I don't think we have a way of measuring it. And I couldn't say if Rizzo is one of them.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:20 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Fuck Bernstein. He's a troll.
The Cubs have decided to make him the sports radio face of the franchise.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:21 am 
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America wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Maddon's shit doesn't work in the playoffs. It's easy to manage on those gorgeous summer nights when the gentle breeze caresses your cheeks. But in the playoffs the weather can be nasty and a manager who can't handle that and sits in the dugout dressed like an eskimo and shivering sets a bad example for his team.

It was like 45 degrees out too. If it were 20 I'd get it, but it wasn't. It was right at the temperature that can feel miserable if you choose to dwell on it, and sure enough Merlot Joe dressed for a polar expedition.

:lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:23 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I don't think he's trolling on this subject. Anyway, I'm just using him as an example. There's conventional wisdom, for example, "clutch doesn't exist". But suddenly someone developed a formula to show that Anthony Rizzo is clutch. (In bernstein's case he embraced it, because Rizzo is a Cub.) I think the conventional wisdom would be to scoff at such a thing. It may or may not be true. I do believe some guys are more clutch than others. I don't think we have a way of measuring it. And I couldn't say if Rizzo is one of them.

Oh, he's certainly trolling. If Joe Score caller started embracing Fangraphs, he'd find some article talking about old school stats having value.

All sports change (scoring, rule changes, eras, eligibilty). Why would baseball different?


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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:24 am 
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Hawg Ass wrote:
America wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Maddon's shit doesn't work in the playoffs. It's easy to manage on those gorgeous summer nights when the gentle breeze caresses your cheeks. But in the playoffs the weather can be nasty and a manager who can't handle that and sits in the dugout dressed like an eskimo and shivering sets a bad example for his team.

It was like 45 degrees out too. If it were 20 I'd get it, but it wasn't. It was right at the temperature that can feel miserable if you choose to dwell on it, and sure enough Merlot Joe dressed for a polar expedition.

:lol:

Probably why they won this series....

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 11:28 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Hawg Ass wrote:
America wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Maddon's shit doesn't work in the playoffs. It's easy to manage on those gorgeous summer nights when the gentle breeze caresses your cheeks. But in the playoffs the weather can be nasty and a manager who can't handle that and sits in the dugout dressed like an eskimo and shivering sets a bad example for his team.

It was like 45 degrees out too. If it were 20 I'd get it, but it wasn't. It was right at the temperature that can feel miserable if you choose to dwell on it, and sure enough Merlot Joe dressed for a polar expedition.

:lol:

Probably why they won this series....

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 12:41 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The late harness racing writer/race caller/auctioneer (and simply calling him those things doesn't do him justice) Stan Bergstein talked about something he called the "Blue Balloon Theory". And that is that if a horse won the Hambletonian on the first Saturday in August with a blue balloon tied to his tail, the following Monday there would be horses racing at tracks across America with blue balloons tied to their tails. I suspect that a lot of GMs may be trying to build clubs that are similar to the Royals.


Well, this sort of gets at what I am saying. The job of owners/gms/managers is to win in whatever way a sport measures the "champion." In baseball, and pretty much all professional sports, that is typically determined by a playoff system after seeding is determined by a much longer regular season. In sports like basketball (in which half the league makes the playoffs), as long as you are relatively confident you can make the playoffs, the regular season is not very important, and we've seen coaches like Greg Popovich adapt and not play his studs heavy minutes.

However, that doesn't mean that we as observers can't question the method in which the winner is determined. God didn't come down and tell Moses that "baseball must be determined based on a 7-game series." There are certainly good arguments to be made that the regular season is a "better" indicator of who is a better team. Currently, it doesn't matter because that's not how the winner is determined. And frankly, I wouldn't want it because it would be anticlimactic and boring, even if it did seem to be more "fair" or consistent.

I don't even understand how this could be construed as a pro-Cub argument. The Cubs didn't have the best record in baseball or win the World Series, either one. My argument has nothing to do with the Cubs.


Cubs are all about regular season and attendance championships

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 1:06 pm 
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Maddon on now with Slappy & Grimace.

Let's see Goff piss off Maddon one last time for 2015...

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 1:16 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The late harness racing writer/race caller/auctioneer (and simply calling him those things doesn't do him justice) Stan Bergstein talked about something he called the "Blue Balloon Theory". And that is that if a horse won the Hambletonian on the first Saturday in August with a blue balloon tied to his tail, the following Monday there would be horses racing at tracks across America with blue balloons tied to their tails. I suspect that a lot of GMs may be trying to build clubs that are similar to the Royals.


Well, this sort of gets at what I am saying. The job of owners/gms/managers is to win in whatever way a sport measures the "champion." In baseball, and pretty much all professional sports, that is typically determined by a playoff system after seeding is determined by a much longer regular season. In sports like basketball (in which half the league makes the playoffs), as long as you are relatively confident you can make the playoffs, the regular season is not very important, and we've seen coaches like Greg Popovich adapt and not play his studs heavy minutes.

However, that doesn't mean that we as observers can't question the method in which the winner is determined. God didn't come down and tell Moses that "baseball must be determined based on a 7-game series." There are certainly good arguments to be made that the regular season is a "better" indicator of who is a better team. Currently, it doesn't matter because that's not how the winner is determined. And frankly, I wouldn't want it because it would be anticlimactic and boring, even if it did seem to be more "fair" or consistent.

I don't even understand how this could be construed as a pro-Cub argument. The Cubs didn't have the best record in baseball or win the World Series, either one. My argument has nothing to do with the Cubs.


Cubs are all about regular season and attendance championships

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 3:22 pm 
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I'm a Sox fan and am fine with Maddon winning MOTY. Maddon, Matheny, Collins were all worthy candidates.

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2. Proper response would be to ask an endless series of follow ups until the person regrets having spoken to you in the first place.


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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 3:30 pm 
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I actually thought Collins would win.

I still think, and have always thought, St Louis execs deserve to win Executive of the Year every year. Their scouting and development is top notch. So I think less of Matheny (and La Russa before him.) The St Louis organization provides them waves of talent. Wainwright gets hurt? Here are three more 3.50 ERA or lower starters - make it work.

Hard to not win.

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 4:17 pm 
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The 4th page of this thread is just delightful. Frank insisting he's more objectionable than IMU. Just.... :lol: :lol: :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Maddon MOTY
PostPosted: Thu Nov 19, 2015 8:58 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I have to wonder if those people (dan bernstein is a good example) who have reguritated the things they have read on the subject for years will now turn around and start saying that taking pitches and drawing walks is suddenly not as important as putting balls in play and that strikeouts are indeed worse outs than those occurring on batted balls.
.

Id have no issue doing that. Things change. The way games are played changes.


To some degree, yes. But most people act like these things are absolute. There is a stridency when bernstein says Ned Yost is an idiot. That viewpoint is based on what bernstein believes to be true- wasting outs is bad, walks are good, taking pitches is good, defense on the corners is insignificant, striking out is no worse than any other out, etc.

You know how much I hate sacrifice bunts. I found them really moronic in a high run scoring environment. I still dislike them, but the risk/reward is much different when scoring is at deadball era levels. When Jake Arrieta walks the leadoff man in the seventh inning of the two-hitter he's pitching, the downside of moving that runner by making an out on purpose is relatively low.


Bernstein is Baseball stupid in many ways. The idea that striking out is no worse than any other out is the worst thought of all. When you have a runner reach base and the following hitter (less than 2 outs) makes an out but moves the runner up a base, now he in scoring position. 1st and 2nd less than 2 outs, and the batter bunts or hits a ground ball to the right side that moves both runners...good. Runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs, a deep fly ball or ground ball in many cases may score the runner. A strikeout is a unproductive out and is not the equal of many outs that can actually contribute to scoring runs.

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