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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 9:57 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
pittmike wrote:
Are you going to deny that a significant portion of the Cub fan base did not covet Price? Are you going to go even further and deny that some thought there was an in for the acquisition due to Maddon?

Not at $217M.

I really want an Alfa Romeo Giulia Quadrifoglio. I'm not going to pay $200,000 for it. I want a 60" 4K 240hz TV...but I'm not going to pay $5,000 for it.

7 and $217M is dumb for Price. This is a move that will hurt that organization more than it helps. I could not be more ecstatic that the Cubs avoided this. Price for 5 years and $27M a year? Cubs fans would have been on board.
This is just the natural reaction about hearing how the Cubs will have nearly limitless revenue, are "a year early" and setup to be dominant for years based on all the business changes they've made and all the free agents that will flock to the Cubs.

Then, the Cubs get outbid by the Red Sox and small market Cardinals for the guy that everyone was saying was bound for the Cubs. Do you think it will be ignored?
Shut the fuck up! You're not a fan! You don't know!

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 9:59 am 
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pittmike wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
312player wrote:
Price was too much money, the overwhelming majority of Cub fans understand that.. Whoever said 20 million was Epstein's ceiling to increase payroll this year is a fuckin idiot and talking out of their ass.. Who wrote that "article "


I thought Theo had some magic amount of money guaranteed to him by Ricketts for showing restraint during his first three years. I certainly have heard it reported on several occasions.


Bernsie wrote:
Endless streams of revenue.


This is an entirely different point. The Cubs are spending, its just that they are spending on infrastructure.

We had Bruce Levine on the Score yesterday explaining this in the light most favorable to the Cubs. He was talking about the money they had because they bought the team at 900 million and now it was valued at 1.5 billion. This was yet another in the endless stream of Score expert reports issued from people with conflicts of interest. Sure they bought it at 900 million. Since then they have pledged 500 million into infrastructure improvements which is factored in to the valuation.

That does not even consider that the 900 million was heavily leveraged to the point that they had to sell off some of the team

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:03 am 
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312player wrote:
I don't look at it like the Cubs got outbid, Just like Tanaka..The Cubs offered a fair contract.. Another team overpaid and will regret that signing..just like Tanaka.


some other fan base is saying the same thing about Jon Lester

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:04 am 
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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:04 am 
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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:07 am 
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IMU wrote:
The Cubs are now able to obtain, if they want... Heyward, Lackey, trade for another young, cost-controlled middle of the rotation pitcher, and improve depth/bullpen. That would not be possible with $31M allocated just to Price over the next 7 years. The Cubs also will need to pay Arrieta, and then in a few more years, extend the plethora of position players. Ricketts will be spending money, and lots of it..


The relative overpayment for Heyward will be greater than the overpayment for Price.

But that is supposing the Cubs will get him. I know you are not saying the Cubs will get him because that would be imaginary posting. You are only saying that the Cubs will get him if they want him. If he signs with someone else, they obviously didn't want him

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:08 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
IMU wrote:
The Cubs are now able to obtain, if they want... Heyward, Lackey, trade for another young, cost-controlled middle of the rotation pitcher, and improve depth/bullpen. That would not be possible with $31M allocated just to Price over the next 7 years. The Cubs also will need to pay Arrieta, and then in a few more years, extend the plethora of position players. Ricketts will be spending money, and lots of it..


The relative overpayment for Heyward will be greater than the overpayment for Price.

But that is supposing the Cubs will get him. I know you are not saying the Cubs will get him because that would be imaginary posting. You are only saying that the Cubs will get him if they want him. If he signs with someone else, they obviously didn't want him
Heyward will be a White Sox, unless someone else pays more.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:12 am 
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312player wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
312player wrote:
Price was too much money, the overwhelming majority of Cub fans understand that.. Whoever said 20 million was Epstein's ceiling to increase payroll this year is a fuckin idiot and talking out of their ass.. Who wrote that "article "


I thought Theo had some magic amount of money guaranteed to him by Ricketts for showing restraint during his first three years. I certainly have heard it reported on several occasions.





I have no idea what agreement they came to, I'm confident the payroll will be 150 million or more.. Epstein isn't going to tell these clowns how much he's got to work with.. He will see what he thinks is the best move and sell Rickets on it.. Don't forget Tom Ricketts is a dummy and other than having his daddy buy the team ..has very little to do with anything baseball related. I'd love to land Cueto @ 6-175 ..trade Soler and Baez for Shelby Miller.

And you don't think that isn't crazy money. :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:12 am 
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IMU wrote:
This is hilarious. And predictable.

You are fools. You want the Cubs to ignore all the progress made toward building an organization with sustained success to go back to the Jim Hendry era.

Shut the fuck up. Seriously. You don't know shit. You're not objective, and you're not fans. You're solely trying to find angles to incite Cubs fans to be upset when we are beginning the most fun period in Cubs history.

Please...deny that you are jealous. Deny it until you're blue in the face. All of you respond to this post telling me this, that and the third as to why I'm wrong.

Or shut the fuck up. Probably the better route.

:lol: :lol: :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:14 am 
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The Cubs didnt need to sell off team ownership due to the leverage, they chose to sell off team ownership in order to fund the majority of the nearly $600 mill going into the facilities

Not sure Brick realizes the immensity of the developments they are building around Wrigley. This building becomes primary uses for income streams. Brew pub, gift shops, museums, etc.

Then the hotel on the McDonalds site and the offices to be relocated on Eddy with another new building.

Yes, the TV network is another story.

Does all that guarantee revenue streams NOPE.

Does it Guarantee winning NOPE

However, I am happy to take my chances with more money as oppossed to less money.
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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:16 am 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
IMU wrote:
This is hilarious. And predictable.

You are fools. You want the Cubs to ignore all the progress made toward building an organization with sustained success to go back to the Jim Hendry era.

Shut the fuck up. Seriously. You don't know shit. You're not objective, and you're not fans. You're solely trying to find angles to incite Cubs fans to be upset when we are beginning the most fun period in Cubs history.

Please...deny that you are jealous. Deny it until you're blue in the face. All of you respond to this post telling me this, that and the third as to why I'm wrong.

Or shut the fuck up. Probably the better route.

:lol: :lol: :lol:


More uses of "fuck" wins that battle going away.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:17 am 
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bigfan wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
IMU wrote:
This is hilarious. And predictable.

You are fools. You want the Cubs to ignore all the progress made toward building an organization with sustained success to go back to the Jim Hendry era.

Shut the fuck up. Seriously. You don't know shit. You're not objective, and you're not fans. You're solely trying to find angles to incite Cubs fans to be upset when we are beginning the most fun period in Cubs history.

Please...deny that you are jealous. Deny it until you're blue in the face. All of you respond to this post telling me this, that and the third as to why I'm wrong.

Or shut the fuck up. Probably the better route.

:lol: :lol: :lol:


More uses of "fuck" wins that battle going away.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:36 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Every winter- and this predates Theo- I hear the ridiculous theory that everyone wants to play for the Cubs. A couple months back the narrative was that Price would take less to be part of the "great things happening in Chicago". Nobody cares about playing for the Cubs. They want the most money. Andre Dawson was an anomaly many years ago.

That sentiment is over stated for sure but there are guys who would love to play in Wrigley and have a chance to be part of a potential history making team

I blame Karros


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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:38 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
Gloopan Kuratz wrote:
If Price gets $31 mil per, WTF is Groenke gonna get?


less than Price

Less overall but more per year is what I heard


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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:41 am 
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Man I was really excited for next year but after reading this thread I guess Cubs are on the decline again. Sad.


Last edited by rogers park bryan on Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:41 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:41 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Man I was rety excited for next year but after reading this thread I guess Cubs are on the decline again. Sad.
This guy gets it.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:43 am 
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And had they signed Price, I'm sure all the Haters would be praising Theo and Ricketts and not talking about the big money and years for a veteran pitcher

These reactions are predictable.

We should work up both possible Heyward reactions now to save time


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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:51 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
And had they signed Price, I'm sure all the Haters would be praising Theo and Ricketts and not talking about the big money and years for a veteran pitcher

These reactions are predictable.

We should work up both possible Heyward reactions now to save time

HA HA Theo overpaid for Heyward. Guess Will Babe Ruth even crack the lineup now?
HA HA , Theo was outbid again, enjoy Babe Ruths 43 errors this year.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:52 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
And had they signed Price, I'm sure all the Haters would be praising Theo and Ricketts and not talking about the big money and years for a veteran pitcher

These reactions are predictable.

We should work up both possible Heyward reactions now to save time



Aren't you the guy who loves to point out when others are taking extreme positions? There is middle ground here. I think the signing is dumb for the Red Sox and would have been dumber for the Cubs. But before it happened and you guys were spending Ricketts' money in your heads, don't try to say you didn't want Price or that you cared what he cost. There are all kinds of posts suggesting that isn't true.

As far as Heyward is concerned, I think whoever gets him will pay way to much. I hope it's the Cubs.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:53 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
But that price was entirely forseeable (note I said he would get Scherzer money on page 1). Why pretend they were in the market. It would be like you wanting that Alfa and going to the dealership to waste the salesman's time knowing you didn't have the money to even buy the steering wheel.

Except your entire analogy is wrong because the Cubs are spending that $31M this off-season. Elsewhere. And more intelligently.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:55 am 
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IMU wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
But that price was entirely forseeable (note I said he would get Scherzer money on page 1). Why pretend they were in the market. It would be like you wanting that Alfa and going to the dealership to waste the salesman's time knowing you didn't have the money to even buy the steering wheel.

Except your entire analogy is wrong because the Cubs are spending that $31M this off-season. Elsewhere. And more intelligently.


Are you sure about that?

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:58 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
The relative overpayment for Heyward will be greater than the overpayment for Price.

But that is supposing the Cubs will get him. I know you are not saying the Cubs will get him because that would be imaginary posting. You are only saying that the Cubs will get him if they want him. If he signs with someone else, they obviously didn't want him

You try too hard at this - there is no way you should be this bad.

Heyward is younger. Quality hitting is harder to find than pitching these days. He can play CF, which is a position of need for the Cubs. Pitching ace is not a need. Heyward also will make less money overall, and the contract would be for his prime years. Price's contract might include one or two 'prime' years.

I predicted at the very beginning of the offseason the Cubs will end up with Heyward and Lackey as their two major FA acquisitions. I still think it to be the case. But wanting something and actually purchasing it are two different things. Every asset in the world has value. Houses, cars, TVs, investments, and baseball players. You assign a dollar value to it. You want it for less than that amount. You might consider paying a little more than that amount. You don't double your perceived value and still want it.
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
IMU wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
But that price was entirely forseeable (note I said he would get Scherzer money on page 1). Why pretend they were in the market. It would be like you wanting that Alfa and going to the dealership to waste the salesman's time knowing you didn't have the money to even buy the steering wheel.

Except your entire analogy is wrong because the Cubs are spending that $31M this off-season. Elsewhere. And more intelligently.


Are you sure about that?

Yes.

The Cubs spent $127M on the 40-man last season. The Cubs said they could add up to $20M to that. $147M.

The Cubs are currently at $106M for the 40-man. Add $31M and you're still $10M short. So if the Cubs add half of what Ricketts and Theo are thinking, I'd be right.

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Last edited by IMU on Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:03 am, edited 3 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:00 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
pittmike wrote:
Are you going to deny that a significant portion of the Cub fan base did not covet Price? Are you going to go even further and deny that some thought there was an in for the acquisition due to Maddon?

Not at $217M.

I really want an Alfa Romeo Giulia Quadrifoglio. I'm not going to pay $200,000 for it. I want a 60" 4K 240hz TV...but I'm not going to pay $5,000 for it.

7 and $217M is dumb for Price. This is a move that will hurt that organization more than it helps. I could not be more ecstatic that the Cubs avoided this. Price for 5 years and $27M a year? Cubs fans would have been on board.
This is just the natural reaction about hearing how the Cubs will have nearly limitless revenue, are "a year early" and setup to be dominant for years based on all the business changes they've made and all the free agents that will flock to the Cubs.

Then, the Cubs get outbid by the Red Sox and small market Cardinals for the guy that everyone was saying was bound for the Cubs. Do you think it will be ignored?
Shut the fuck up! You're not a fan! You don't know!

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:02 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
And had they signed Price, I'm sure all the Haters would be praising Theo and Ricketts and not talking about the big money and years for a veteran pitcher

These reactions are predictable.

We should work up both possible Heyward reactions now to save time



Aren't you the guy who loves to point out when others are taking extreme positions? There is middle ground here. I think the signing is dumb for the Red Sox and would have been dumber for the Cubs. But before it happened and you guys were spending Ricketts' money in your heads, don't try to say you didn't want Price or that you cared what he cost. There are all kinds of posts suggesting that isn't true.

As far as Heyward is concerned, I think whoever gets him will pay way to much. I hope it's the Cubs.

First of all, I'm not really including your reaction.

I don't know if you're using the royal you. My thoughts on Price have been consistently middling. I did want him but not at ANY price. Its not that I care about Ricketts money,I just figure there is probably a limit to what hell spend and too much in any player is not good.

There were a few Cub fans here who specifically said no Price because the playoff thing. Did you not see the 11 or 12 times that discussion broke out?


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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:03 am 
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badrogue17 wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
And had they signed Price, I'm sure all the Haters would be praising Theo and Ricketts and not talking about the big money and years for a veteran pitcher

These reactions are predictable.

We should work up both possible Heyward reactions now to save time

HA HA Theo overpaid for Heyward. Guess Will Babe Ruth even crack the lineup now?
HA HA , Theo was outbid again, enjoy Babe Ruths 43 errors this year.

Yep.

He could offer to play for free and it'd be HAHA, you signed a financial moron!!!

Its all good fun


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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:06 am 
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IMU wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
The relative overpayment for Heyward will be greater than the overpayment for Price.

But that is supposing the Cubs will get him. I know you are not saying the Cubs will get him because that would be imaginary posting. You are only saying that the Cubs will get him if they want him. If he signs with someone else, they obviously didn't want him

You try too hard at this - there is no way you should be this bad.

Heyward is younger. Quality hitting is harder to find than pitching these days. He can play CF, which is a position of need for the Cubs. Pitching ace is not a need. Heyward also will make less money overall, and the contract would be for his prime years. Price's contract might include one or two 'prime' years.

I predicted at the very beginning of the offseason the Cubs will end up with Heyward and Lackey as their two major FA acquisitions. I still think it to be the case. But wanting something and actually purchasing it are two different things. Every asset in the world has value. Houses, cars, TVs, investments, and baseball players. You assign a dollar value to it. You want it for less than that amount. You might consider paying a little more than that amount. You don't double your perceived value and still want it.



A lot of what you say there is correct. Heyward certainly fits into Theo's philosophy of paying for future performance rather than past performance. The things is, you sure aren't paying him the money he is going to get hoping he is going to give you the production he has already shown he can at the big league level. You need him to improve and quite a bit. Especially with his power. That might not be a big issue for the Cubs since they have plenty of power elsewhere, but you're still going to be on the hook for way too much money for a 15 homer/115 OPS+ type guy if he doesn't improve. And once he can no longer play center it gets worse. He should be sitting on his two best seasons coming up though.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:08 am 
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I really wanted Price. He was the guy I wanted more then them getting Grienke or Zimmerman or Heyward. I immediately felt better about this when I heard the cost the Red Sox were paying him on top of his opt out clause after 3 years.

Fuck that noise.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:11 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
You need him to improve and quite a bit. Especially with his power. That might not be a big issue for the Cubs since they have plenty of power elsewhere, but you're still going to be on the hook for way too much money for a 15 homer/115 OPS+ type guy if he doesn't improve. And once he can no longer play center it gets worse. He should be sitting on his two best seasons coming up though.

Are you taking the current offensive climate into account there?

And when are you expecting him to not be able to play center? Age 30? 32?


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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:17 am 
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I've grown fond of the Heyward signing....at least more than I was four months ago. He adds more than just 15 HR / 115 OPS+. He gives you 20 SB, Gold Glove defense, and a leadoff hitter. He might become a 20-25 HR guy, but that isn't needed.

I'd go 8 years and $176M. Definitely more than I was willing to pay him before but the more I thought about it...the more it seems like a good move. Beats out Ellsbury's by a year. When he is 33, you can shift him to RF. Soler would head out to Atlanta. Castro or Baez in a package elsewhere

Arrieta
Lester
Shelby Miller
Lackey
Hammel (Cashner? Ross? Carrasco? Salazar? Hendricks?)

Montero / Ross (Contreras after next season)
Rizzo
Baez
Russell
Bryant
Coghlan
Heyward
Schwarber

Some bullpen could be added instead of a SP.

Not signing Price gives the Cubs flexibility and probably results in a better overall team.

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Last edited by IMU on Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:18 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: David Price to Cubs?
PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:19 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
You need him to improve and quite a bit. Especially with his power. That might not be a big issue for the Cubs since they have plenty of power elsewhere, but you're still going to be on the hook for way too much money for a 15 homer/115 OPS+ type guy if he doesn't improve. And once he can no longer play center it gets worse. He should be sitting on his two best seasons coming up though.

Are you taking the current offensive climate into account there?

And when are you expecting him to not be able to play center? Age 30? 32?



He's a pretty big guy. I think he's probably best suited to right field with his arm. Guys that big can go downhill pretty quikcly with their mobility. Regardless of the offensive climate, I think he's going to get way more money that a guy who slugs the way he has should.

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