rogers park bryan wrote:
So you're argument hinges on the fact that there the ups and downs of a lineup are more volatile than one player?
Of course that's true. It's dependent on more parts. And the downs of the lineup are more likely to occur vs. a good pitcher. If you're on the short end every game, how good can you be? Why aren't you ever the guy who is causing the lower offense?
rogers park bryan wrote:
Even if that is true. That doesnt mean that the averages established by the offenses go completely out the window like you want them to.
That's a big part of the problem. SABRmetrics has caused people to fixate on averages when baseball is a situational game. There are pitchers with 3.00 ERAs who are good and pitchers with 3.00 ERAs that suck.
rogers park bryan wrote:
Run support exists. I dont know what else to tell you. It's pretty much a universally accepted truth. Even before the #KillTheWin revolution, no one was saying "every offense is essentially the same"
It doesn't exist. It's nothing more than some other guy's ERA. And you're not going to tell me some crap about "universally accepted truth" with regard to baseball, are you? For 100 years it was universally accepted truth that BA and RBI were the two most important stats for a hitter. So I guess Ben Zobrist is horseshit.
rogers park bryan wrote:
You've already made the concession on Felix. You set it at 2 runs per game but regardless that is you believing in run support
He was still better than .500 and I wouldn't have given him the Cy Young. But yeah, that wasn't a bad season considering just how brutal his offense was. It's probably not a great argument to use an extreme outlier as an example. Shelby ("17 Loss") Miller doesn't fit. He pitched half his games vs. teams with offenses similar to that of his own team.