Also known as "Stat Geek Christmas"

Insufferable pricks everywhere creaming their pants over computer projections.

Awful. Just fucking awful.

Actually, this may be the only thing worse than Fantasy Football Draft Conventions...

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No proof they are even worth paying attention to either.

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

Dark Lord day has them both beat.

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Reality is your friend, not your enemy. -- Seacrest

They've done pretty well with the White Sox:

2014 Pecota: 75-87
2014 Actual: 73-89

2015 Pecota: 78-84
2015 Actual: 76-86

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What about before 2014?

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Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul

Pretty far off on the Cubs though.

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

I know. The Cubs are exceeding everyone's expectations.

#1YearAhead

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I'm a neutral observer and I have to say that the Cubs are quite an impressive squad this year and it would be pretty embarrassing to blow it.

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

Pecota has been about 50-50 with the Sox over the past 10 years. Sox are the worst they have predicted, ongoing battle between the Pecota guys and Kenny.

Pecota #112 on Sox list

Pecota has acknowledge time and time again their lack of consistancy with Sox records, they chalk it up to the Sox taking fliers on so many players, which even a Sox fan cant really argue with ...its what they do. They shop in the clearance aisle, looking to see if they can find a nice $5 shirt that sold for $50 2 years ago....and if it fits...congrats.

I just find the response of some in the Sox front office funny when they are even asked about it, like the Pecota guys change the numbers to give the Sox a bad prediction. Its just a number, based on other numbers, really nothing more. Its no PERSONS opinion. Yet, it upsets some.

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"That's what the internet is for. Slandering others anonymously." Banky
“Been that way since one monkey looked at the sun and told the other monkey ‘He said for you to give me your fuckin’ share.’”

correct. There is huge pressure on the Cubs this year.

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"That's what the internet is for. Slandering others anonymously." Banky
“Been that way since one monkey looked at the sun and told the other monkey ‘He said for you to give me your fuckin’ share.’”

It sure does.

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but its not just a number. It is an equation that they are proffering as a predictor. However, when it is shown to be bad at predicting, they do not alter the equation. They have given many possible reasons they consider the Sox an anomaly above and beyond what you have written, including such things as a an unusually low amount of games missed and a GM who makes bold moves at the trading deadline

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O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

They do alter the number though. PECOTA being used now is not the same as when it started. But the people who rely upon it do so in the exactly same way in spite of the various iterations.

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Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don

...and the pure essence of foolishness is upon us.

Do you get uset at the thermometer when it says 88 and you dont agree as well?

No real need to answer.

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"That's what the internet is for. Slandering others anonymously." Banky
“Been that way since one monkey looked at the sun and told the other monkey ‘He said for you to give me your fuckin’ share.’”