Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
One Post wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hussra wrote:
Rizzo's 2015 BAbip of .289 was slightly below his career numbers.
Bryant's .379 BAbip ranked 5th in the entire league in BAbip in 2015....chances Bryant even breaks .350 in BAbip in 2016?
Russell had similarly inflated rookie BAbip--vs RHP, .358. Russell's mere .208 BAbip vs LHP should increase...but both Russell and Bryant are prime
candidates to regress toward the mean at the plate in 2016. While Rizzo should continue to put up the same numbers he has been.
BABIP is a pitcher's stat.
Uh, pretty sure it is a stat that can be used to analyze both pitchers and hitters.
How do you want to use it to "analyze" a hitter? Do you understand its purpose? It comes out of the research of Voros McCracken that suggests that what happens once a ball is put in play is generally random. Any pitcher who pitches long enough is going to have a BABIP against right around .300. So it's a useful tool to say, "Wow! They whacked Lester around at a .386 rate on balls in play. That isn't likely to occur again next season." Those numbers are created across huge samples of all different types of hitters.
JORR you are right it is primarily a pitching stat but can be used for hitters....
This is from Fangraphs:
"For hitters, we use BABIP as a sanity test of sorts that tells us if their overall batting line is sustainable or not. Virtually no hitter is capable of producing a BABIP of .380 or higher on a regular basis and anything in the .230 range is also very atypical for a major league hitter. In other words, BABIP allows us to see if a hitter seems to be getting a boost from poor defense or good luck or getting docked for facing good defenses and having bad luck.
A hitter has control over how often they put the ball in play and how hard they hit the ball, but due to the unpredictable nature of luck and defense, their BABIP may not be a perfect reflection of their performance to date and it is easier to observe this fluctuation when looking at BABIP compared to wOBA, OBP, or SLG for example."
further....
How To Use BABIP:
"For hitters, you typically want to adjust your expectations toward that player’s career average rather than league average. Batters have much more control over their BABIP than pitchers do, which is another way of saying that a higher percentage of batter BABIP is controlled by actual talent levels. It’s certainly possible for hitters to improve their offensive game and raise their BABIP, but short, dramatic spikes are usually due to luck.
If a hitter has a .320 career BABIP and all of a sudden has a .260 BABIP over the first month of the season, you shouldn’t just expect them to regress to .300 or stay at .260. In fact, they are probably more likely to have a .320 BABIP going forward. Hitters who consistently hit above or below .300 for their BABIP are not simply getting lucky, they are actually leveraging a skill which needs to be accounted for when analyzing their performance."
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
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