Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nobody want to take on the Buehrle/Vazquez question in spite of their supposed hard held beliefs in SABRmetric research regarding the things a pitcher can "control". Probably because arguing that Vazquez was better than Buerhle is even more ridiculous than calling Quintana "great".
Actually, Vasquez was better than Buehrle by almost 2 WAR over their respective careers. Are you asking which pitcher would I take? Vasquez, as he was better at doing the things over which a pitcher has direct control. He only had 4 seasons of 4+ FIP, whereas Buehrle spent 10 of 14 seasons as a full-time starter over the 4 FIP mark, and Buehrle, for some reason benefited greatly from routinely friendly HR/FB rates.
This is where Fangraphs has taken people. To arguing that fucking Javy Vazquez was better than Mark Buehrle. There's no point in going on. We just aren't going to agree.
That's like the 4th time you've mentioned "Fangraphs" today, for the love of God there are at least 3 other reputable statistical databases that can serve as your Evil Numbers Boogymen.
And yes, Vasquez was better than Buehrle, because he struck out batters at a much higher rate, walked batters at only a marginally-worse rate, and was able to induce pop-ups that made up a large bulk of his fly-ball rate, meaning he could sustain league-average-or-worse luck in the HR/FB department and still not be a detriment to his team. Buehrle, on the other hand, was in a much more precarious position, in that he
had to have the sustained "luck" (the ability of a pitcher to influence HR/FB rate is still dubious) of fly balls not turning into home runs, which is where he derived much of his value. If you give Buehrle league-average luck over his career, he becomes much, much worse.
You want to incorporate things a pitcher cannot control (defense, offensive "help", and so on) into their overall value, whereas I think it is better to valuate a pitcher with more weight placed on the things that pitcher can control directly. When you do the former, Buehrle is the better pitcher, when you do the latter, Vasquez is the clear favorite. I'd rather build a team based on how good players are at the things they can control and influence, and I think over the long run my team would be better than yours.