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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:36 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
TurdFerguson wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Is a pitcher that allows ten runs per game but always wins better than a pitcher who allows two runs per game but always loses?


JORR would tell you that guy is better because his team won.


Find me those two pitchers and we'll discuss them.


Yes or no......

did the sox cut the wrong guy? Mat Latos was cut with a 6-2 record and the sox were 8-3 in his games. He is a career winning pitcher and had a .750 winning percentage when cut.


Do you feel like that's a large enough sample? Latos is finished. I will say if Quintana retired tomorrow, Latos had a better career.


How can you say a guy is finished when all he does is go out and win games 3 out of 4 days. Shouldn't he at least have a losing record before he can be finished.


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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:39 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Is a pitcher that allows ten runs per game but always wins better than a pitcher who allows two runs per game but always loses?


JORR would tell you that guy is better because his team won.


Find me those two pitchers and we'll discuss them.


2016 Wade Miley: 6-3 over 13 starts, 5.28 ERA (75 ERA+), 4.84 FIP and 1.383 WHIP; He is 5-1 when he gives up 4+ runs

vs.

2016 Jose Quintana: 5-7 across 14 starts, 2.63 ERA (152 ERA+), 2.60 FIP (league-leading) and 1.083 WHIP; He is 5-5 when he gives up 3 or fewer runs

Who ya got?

For reference, AL starters give up 3 or fewer runs, on average, 61% of the time, Jose Quintana has done it 86% of the time this season.


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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:40 pm 
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TurdFerguson wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
TurdFerguson wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Is a pitcher that allows ten runs per game but always wins better than a pitcher who allows two runs per game but always loses?


JORR would tell you that guy is better because his team won.


Find me those two pitchers and we'll discuss them.


Yes or no......

did the sox cut the wrong guy? Mat Latos was cut with a 6-2 record and the sox were 8-3 in his games. He is a career winning pitcher and had a .750 winning percentage when cut.


Do you feel like that's a large enough sample? Latos is finished. I will say if Quintana retired tomorrow, Latos had a better career.


How can you say a guy is finished when all he does is go out and win games 3 out of 4 days. Shouldn't he at least have a losing record before he can be finished.


Sure. Maybe the Cubs will pick him up.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:41 pm 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Is a pitcher that allows ten runs per game but always wins better than a pitcher who allows two runs per game but always loses?


JORR would tell you that guy is better because his team won.


Find me those two pitchers and we'll discuss them.


2016 Wade Miley: 6-3 over 13 starts, 5.28 ERA (75 ERA+), 4.84 FIP and 1.383 WHIP; He is 5-1 when he gives up 4+ runs

vs.

2016 Jose Quintana: 5-7 across 14 starts, 2.63 ERA (152 ERA+), 2.60 FIP (league-leading) and 1.083 WHIP; He is 5-5 when he gives up 3 or fewer runs

Who ya got?

For reference, AL starters give up 3 or fewer runs, on average, 61% of the time, Jose Quintana has done it 86% of the time this season.


Are you really going to throw a 13 game sample out there? Really?

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:48 pm 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
At some point a pitcher is what his record says he is.

But you also can look deeper into why that's the case.

If a pitcher is consistently holding an opposing team below their average runs scored, he's doing a pretty good job.


I can't agree with your first statement when it comes to Quintana because your last statement has been true in 90% of his starts. If he were like Vasquez and was a HoFer for 5 innings and then gave up 6 runs after that I would agree with the first statement. He's only given up more than 4 runs in 14 of his nearly 136 starts and 2 or less in 85. That should be good enough to win.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:49 pm 
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I think this is the thread you all finally change JORR's mind.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:51 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Is a pitcher that allows ten runs per game but always wins better than a pitcher who allows two runs per game but always loses?


JORR would tell you that guy is better because his team won.


Find me those two pitchers and we'll discuss them.


2016 Wade Miley: 6-3 over 13 starts, 5.28 ERA (75 ERA+), 4.84 FIP and 1.383 WHIP; He is 5-1 when he gives up 4+ runs

vs.

2016 Jose Quintana: 5-7 across 14 starts, 2.63 ERA (152 ERA+), 2.60 FIP (league-leading) and 1.083 WHIP; He is 5-5 when he gives up 3 or fewer runs

Who ya got?

For reference, AL starters give up 3 or fewer runs, on average, 61% of the time, Jose Quintana has done it 86% of the time this season.


Are you really going to throw a 13 game sample out there? Really?


Well, yeah. You're the one who boils down a pitcher's performance to how he performs in "the game in front of him" as opposed to in the aggregate, so why is sample size an issue all of a sudden? Because you just realized that your idiocy on this topic must result in you taking Wade goddamn Miley over Jose Quintana? :lol:


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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:54 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

Are you really going to throw a 13 game sample out there? Really?


This is where you're full of shit. I've been posting his career numbers for weeks. In 85 of his 136 starts he's given up 2 runs or less. In ONLY 14 starts has he given up more than 4 runs.


http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/917 ... son=2016_2

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:55 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
I think this is the thread you all finally change JORR's mind.


You can't change his mind because he's dug his heels in and he's full of shit.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:56 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
I think this is the thread you all finally change JORR's mind.


:lol:

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 5:58 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
At some point a pitcher is what his record says he is.

But you also can look deeper into why that's the case.

If a pitcher is consistently holding an opposing team below their average runs scored, he's doing a pretty good job.


I can't agree with your first statement when it comes to Quintana because your last statement has been true in 90% of his starts.


Over a career that's true though.

If a guy loses more than he wins, for whatever reason, he is a loser.

The second part can be used to give context and a deeper understanding of his individual performance.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 6:00 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Is a pitcher that allows ten runs per game but always wins better than a pitcher who allows two runs per game but always loses?


JORR would tell you that guy is better because his team won.


Find me those two pitchers and we'll discuss them.


In over 60% of his starts Quintana is that guy. Besides it's a hypothetical question and based on your posting history we all know that you would take the 10 run guy because "he wins". There is no need to dodge a question now.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 6:02 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

Are you really going to throw a 13 game sample out there? Really?


This is where you're full of shit. I've been posting his career numbers for weeks. In 85 of his 136 starts he's given up 2 runs or less. In ONLY 14 starts has he given up more than 4 runs.


http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/917 ... son=2016_2



He's under .500 in about 140 career starts.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 6:03 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Is a pitcher that allows ten runs per game but always wins better than a pitcher who allows two runs per game but always loses?


JORR would tell you that guy is better because his team won.


Find me those two pitchers and we'll discuss them.


In over 60% of his starts Quintana is that guy. Besides it's a hypothetical question and based on your posting history we all know that you would take the 10 run guy because "he wins". There is no need to dodge a question now.


Yeah, if you can find him I'll take him, but again, he doesn't exist.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 6:09 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

Are you really going to throw a 13 game sample out there? Really?


This is where you're full of shit. I've been posting his career numbers for weeks. In 85 of his 136 starts he's given up 2 runs or less. In ONLY 14 starts has he given up more than 4 runs.


http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/917 ... son=2016_2



He's under .500 in about 140 career starts.


He has a career 3 ERA too and it has improved every season but he continues to lose. In fact he had a better record the season his ERA was the highest than he does now that he has a sub 3 ERA. He's more games under .500 this season than he was coming into the season. He's 5-1 when he gives up 1 run and 0-6 when he gives up more than 1.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 6:36 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The thing is, "run support" is a relatively new construction designed to excuse a pitcher for losing. It's not a term I ever heard as a kid. It's a non-competitive concept.

Good point. Looking back I'm now convinced Bill Bonham was as good as Pedro.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 7:10 pm 
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The Sox have scored 3 or fewer runs in 33 of this games, 2 runs or fewer in 21 and 1 run or fewer in 12 gamds. They're 25 and 8 when they score 4 or more runs.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 7:21 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The thing is, "run support" is a relatively new construction designed to excuse a pitcher for losing. It's not a term I ever heard as a kid. It's a non-competitive concept.

Neither were "internet" or "cell phone signal"

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 7:37 pm 
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"Run support" is a steroid era creation for losing pitchers. In normal baseball there are lots of 3-2 and 2-1 games. Losing pitchers lose most of them.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 7:39 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
"Run support" is a steroid era creation for losing pitchers. In normal baseball there are lots of 3-2 and 2-1 games. Losing pitchers lose most of them.

Bad offenses lose most of them.

A good offense can score 2 more easily than a bad offense can score 2.

Why do you think the pitcher has 99% control of the game and offenses only have 1%?

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 7:44 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
"Run support" is a steroid era creation for losing pitchers. In normal baseball there are lots of 3-2 and 2-1 games. Losing pitchers lose most of them.

Bad offenses lose most of them.

A good offense can score 2 more easily than a bad offense can score 2.

Why do you think the pitcher has 99% control of the game and offenses only have 1%?



Good offenses don't beat the best pitchers often. That's why those guys are the best pitchers.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 7:50 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
IMU wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
"Run support" is a steroid era creation for losing pitchers. In normal baseball there are lots of 3-2 and 2-1 games. Losing pitchers lose most of them.

Bad offenses lose most of them.

A good offense can score 2 more easily than a bad offense can score 2.

Why do you think the pitcher has 99% control of the game and offenses only have 1%?



Good offenses don't beat the best pitchers often. That's why those guys are the best pitchers.

Unless you're the 2016 Chicago Cubs.

I wonder why Kershaw has no World Series.

I wonder why the Mets didn't win the World Series last year.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 8:15 pm 
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I'm watching the Cubs game. When I see OPS in the batting line, I have no real understanding of what's good/bad. Seems like I just got used to seeing OBP. I enjoy baseball the less I know about newer metrics and the less I read threads like this. :lol:

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 8:22 pm 
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Furious Styles wrote:
I'm watching the Cubs game. When I see OPS in the batting line, I have no real understanding of what's good/bad. Seems like I just got used to seeing OBP. I enjoy baseball the less I know about newer metrics and the less I read threads like this. :lol:


Lower is better, like golf.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 8:39 pm 
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We can teach you Furious.

.900+ is amazing.
.800+ is good.
.730 OPS or so is usually league average, excluding pitchers.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 8:47 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
"Run support" is a steroid era creation for losing pitchers. In normal baseball there are lots of 3-2 and 2-1 games. Losing pitchers lose most of them.


This isn't 1916. You can't consistently score 1 or 2 runs and then have a game where you explode for 10. Sure it will say that you average 4 runs a game but we know the truth.

From 5/19-6/17 (27 games) the Sox averaged 3.78 runs a game. Take away the 2 games they scored 18 runs in this week and it's at 3.36.

In the games Quintana has pitched this season the Sox are averaging 2.64 runs a game. We both know all those runs weren't scored while he was pitching either.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 9:19 pm 
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Quintana is not only a good pitcher, he's a very good pitcher. He's probably a top 15-20 pitcher in the MLB. This is in-spite of the 1-2 runs that occasionally gives up in a 7+ IP effort.


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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 9:27 pm 
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the guy should quit baseball and become a priest. dude is already a saint.

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 9:27 pm 
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BD wrote:
Quintana is not only a good pitcher, he's a very good pitcher. He's probably a top 15-20 pitcher in the MLB. This is in-spite of the 1-2 runs that occasionally gives up in a 7+ IP effort.

He's that rare top 20 pitcher who you run out there and expect to lose the game .

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 18, 2016 9:28 pm 
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badrogue17 wrote:
BD wrote:
Quintana is not only a good pitcher, he's a very good pitcher. He's probably a top 15-20 pitcher in the MLB. This is in-spite of the 1-2 runs that occasionally gives up in a 7+ IP effort.

He's that rare top 20 pitcher who you run out there and expect to lose the game .


If you expect Quintana to carry the offense as well, that's probably an unreasonable demand.


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