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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:06 am 
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GoldenJet wrote:
My original post regarding the '03 staff and potential was firmly tongue in cheek...

This year's staff is walking the walk.



They've got a lot easier job though. Scoring is way down from what it was in the height of the steroid era in 2003.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:16 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
it just seems as though you cherry picked a stat that shows what you want it to.
It shows that the Cubs are not good in low scoring or close games.

They are still a very good team with an incredible record, but they are not invincible. Low scoring close games are way more likely to be played in October than 8-2 blowouts.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:17 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
it just seems as though you cherry picked a stat that shows what you want it to.
It shows that the Cubs are not good in low scoring or close games.

They are still a very good team with an incredible record, but they are not invincible.

Thanks Elmhurst Frank


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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:19 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:

The Cubs have an atrocious record when they score fewer than 4 runs (4-20). If this pitching staff was so good, they would be winning a lot more of these close games.


Is this even true? What are the historical records for teams when they score fewer than 4 runs? I dont have the answer it just seems as though you cherry picked a stat that shows what you want it to.

What are other teams records when they score fewer than 4 runs? Do the Cubs deviate significantly?

Without context the stat means nothing.


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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:19 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
The answer to the original question is no.

If they were the best in the last 10 years even, their team would be over .500 in 1 run games (currently at 9-11).

The Cubs have an atrocious record when they score fewer than 4 runs (4-20). If this pitching staff was so good, they would be winning a lot more of these close games.

These words now form your single dumbest thought in the history of the board.

Cubs pitchers are now being punished because they hold opponents to too few runs, and they play on too good of a team.

This is the exact opposite of JORR's thoughts. The Cubs pitchers are bad because they win too easily.

My goodness. I need to bookmark this treasure.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:42 am 
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Who is punishing them? The Cubs do not have a good record in close, low scoring games. That is a fact.

If this staff really was the best in the last 50 years, they would win more 1 run games than they lose. They would be better when they score fewer than 4 runs. So far, this has not been the case.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:48 am 
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:lol: :lol: :lol:

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:55 am 
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Cool.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 11:31 am 
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Frank making some irrefutable points here. Folding like a lawn chair in one run games isn't really embracing the target. Cubs are front running frauds.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 11:33 am 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:

The Cubs have an atrocious record when they score fewer than 4 runs (4-20). If this pitching staff was so good, they would be winning a lot more of these close games.


Is this even true? What are the historical records for teams when they score fewer than 4 runs? I dont have the answer it just seems as though you cherry picked a stat that shows what you want it to.

What are other teams records when they score fewer than 4 runs?

White sox are 36-36, I think.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 11:34 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:

The Cubs have an atrocious record when they score fewer than 4 runs (4-20). If this pitching staff was so good, they would be winning a lot more of these close games.


Is this even true? What are the historical records for teams when they score fewer than 4 runs? I dont have the answer it just seems as though you cherry picked a stat that shows what you want it to.

What are other teams records when they score fewer than 4 runs?

White sox are 36-36, I think.


And 36-0 if you remove Quintana.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 11:58 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Who is punishing them? The Cubs do not have a good record in close, low scoring games. That is a fact.

If this staff really was the best in the last 50 years, they would win more 1 run games than they lose. They would be better when they score fewer than 4 runs. So far, this has not been the case.






You'd have to post the Nats and Rangers and a couple other elite teams records to make a point..but it is possible You stumbled upon something

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 11:59 am 
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C'mon now. Quintana would be like 2-36.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 12:37 pm 
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Frank is right.

This Cubs team likes it when they get to wallop on teams but when someone puts up a fight they have a tendency to roll over. The Cardinals reentered the race for the NL Central with that sweep, Cubs no longer have MLB's biggest division lead. You'd think with those kind of early-season stakes they wouldn't quit after dropping a few close ones, but they completely gave up in that last game (with their "ace" on the mound). Not a good omen, Cardinals are the last team you would want in the rearview mirror.


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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 1:18 pm 
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America wrote:
Frank is right.



He isnt right about anything yet. He gave a stat with no context. I dont even know where he got it because I tried to look at lunch and I cant find it unless he went thru every single individual Cubs game result. But there is no way that a founding member of the Subdivision was so desperate to bash the Cubs that they went thru that level of insanity.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 1:20 pm 
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America wrote:
Frank is right.

This Cubs team likes it when they get to wallop on teams but when someone puts up a fight they have a tendency to roll over. The Cardinals reentered the race for the NL Central with that sweep, Cubs no longer have MLB's biggest division lead. You'd think with those kind of early-season stakes they wouldn't quit after dropping a few close ones, but they completely gave up in that last game (with their "ace" on the mound). Not a good omen, Cardinals are the last team you would want in the rearview mirror.

Actually they're definitely the 1st team I want. Seeing as that means they're not ahead in the standings...ya dig?


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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 1:40 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:

The Cubs have an atrocious record when they score fewer than 4 runs (4-20). If this pitching staff was so good, they would be winning a lot more of these close games.


Is this even true? What are the historical records for teams when they score fewer than 4 runs? I dont have the answer it just seems as though you cherry picked a stat that shows what you want it to.

What are other teams records when they score fewer than 4 runs? Do the Cubs deviate significantly?

Without context the stat means nothing.


So I just decided to be crazy. I misread Frank's original stat, I thought it was 4 runs or fewer. Taking 4 runs or fewer into account, here are the records for three top teams. The Rangers are better but the Cubs are right there with the Nats. Hardly fair to call it atrocious. I would guess if you went thru most of the league, the winning %s when scoring 4 runs or fewer would be similar.

Rangers 15-20
Nats 13-27
Cubs 10-22

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 1:48 pm 
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America wrote:
Frank is right.

This Cubs team likes it when they get to wallop on teams but when someone puts up a fight they have a tendency to roll over. The Cardinals reentered the race for the NL Central with that sweep, Cubs no longer have MLB's biggest division lead. You'd think with those kind of early-season stakes they wouldn't quit after dropping a few close ones, but they completely gave up in that last game (with their "ace" on the mound). Not a good omen, Cardinals are the last team you would want in the rearview mirror.


James Shields. That is all.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 1:53 pm 
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Just so I'm clear, the criticism is the Cubs win far too many games blowing the other team out?

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 2:05 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Just so I'm clear, the criticism is the Cubs win far too many games blowing the other team out?

Correct.

The Subdivision is
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 2:33 pm 
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James Shields gave up 1 run in 5 innings today, that matches the peformance of the great Jake Arrieta yesterdat.


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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 2:38 pm 
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America wrote:
James Shields gave up 1 run in 5 innings today, that matches the peformance of the great Jake Arrieta yesterdat.

Settle down Vespucci.


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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 2:45 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Just so I'm clear, the criticism is the Cubs win far too many games blowing the other team out?

Correct.

The Subdivision is
Image
Incorrect.

The criticism is that the so called best pitching staff of the last half century cannot even muster up a .500 record in 1 run games.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 2:49 pm 
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America wrote:
James Shields gave up 1 run in 5 innings today, that matches the peformance of the great Jake Arrieta yesterdat.

Maybe he should win AL Cy Young!


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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 2:50 pm 
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I guess that's a problem.

It would probably be more of a problem if they weren't apparently, then, 43-3, in the rest of their games and winning 2/3 of all their games at a .935 clip.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 2:52 pm 
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Just did some quick math. If this trend continues, in fact, if they lost every game where they score 4 runs or less at this pace, they'll win 101 games and every playoff series that they play.

World Series Champions.

Great stat.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 2:55 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Just did some quick math. If this trend continues, in fact, if they lost every game where they score 4 runs or less at this pace, they'll win 101 games and every playoff series that they play.

World Series Champions.

Great stat.

Not if they run into James Shields.


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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 3:01 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Just did some quick math. If this trend continues, in fact, if they lost every game where they score 4 runs or less at this pace, they'll win 101 games and every playoff series that they play.

World Series Champions.

Great stat.

Not if they run into James Shields.


Good point.

He's 2-0 this year in games that he wins.

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 3:03 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Just did some quick math. If this trend continues, in fact, if they lost every game where they score 4 runs or less at this pace, they'll win 101 games and every playoff series that they play.

World Series Champions.

Great stat.

Not if they run into James Shields.


Good point.

He's 2-0 this year in games that he wins.


:lol: :lol:

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PostPosted: Thu Jun 23, 2016 3:08 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Just did some quick math. If this trend continues, in fact, if they lost every game where they score 4 runs or less at this pace, they'll win 101 games and every playoff series that they play.

World Series Champions.

Great stat.

Not if they run into James Shields.


Good point.

He's 2-0 this year in games that he wins.


Dat's eggsactly right. And Arrioyo hasn't won a game in games he's lost.

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