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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 4:08 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
You're comparing players in their prime to rookies and 2nd year players. :lol:


:lol: :lol: I guess the Cubs are still a couple years early.

I should consider Rodon a failure because Baumgarner is FAR SUPERIOR? Both top-10 picks.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 4:20 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
You're comparing players in their prime to rookies and 2nd year players. :lol:


:lol: :lol: I guess the Cubs are still a couple years early.

I should consider Rodon a failure because Baumgarner is FAR SUPERIOR? Both top-10 picks.


I think you missed Hussra's point.

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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 4:27 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
You're comparing players in their prime to rookies and 2nd year players. :lol:


:lol: :lol: I guess the Cubs are still a couple years early.

I should consider Rodon a failure because Baumgarner is FAR SUPERIOR? Both top-10 picks.


I think you missed Hussra's point.

Because he has no point. It's based on bullshit.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 4:40 pm 
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Comparing home-grown players on a roster to home-grown players on a roster to home-grown players on a roster.
It's a simple comparison.
That they aren't very good or very experienced home-grown players? Reinforces the idea that that team isn't gettting it done via home-grown players.

What Theo's team is really good at it, and what any GM SHOULD be good at, is fleecing other teams--teams in contention--when those other teams need an arm at the trade deadline. if you look at the Cubs roster and their history under Theo, it's like he wanted to tank for 3 years because he wanted to get the haul of almost-MLB-ready prospects he knew he could get at the trade deadline each year--by flipping Dempsters and Garzas and Feldmans to the contending Rangers / Orioles for hauls of vetted, almost-MLB ready arms.

About the only way to be able to be a seller at the trade deadline every year is to tank. A's sometimes try to do both. Deliberately signing extra arms they know they'll be dumping for prospects at the trade deadline every year.

Course, this year, shoe's on the other arm. Theo needs arms to contend. How much will he have to give up to get them. Cubs didn't do much at the trade deadline last season, didn't need much. Dan Haren & Tommy Hunter came cheap.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 4:52 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
You're comparing players in their prime to rookies and 2nd year players. :lol:


:lol: :lol: I guess the Cubs are still a couple years early.

I should consider Rodon a failure because Baumgarner is FAR SUPERIOR? Both top-10 picks.


I think you missed Hussra's point.

1. Hussra's initial point were other teams had more home grown players. He cherry picked the White Sox and Giant for whatever reason. In summary for each team organized the totals as:

A. Cubs home-grown players on their current 25 man drafted by Theo
B. White Sox home-grown players on their current 25 man
C. SF Giants home-grown players on their current 25 man

For the Cubs he designates which players were picked by Theo. However for the Giants/Sox he does not designate which players were picked by their current GMs in Evans or Hahn.

2. He remarks condescendingly "2nd overall and it worked out! OMG." with regards to Bryant and "1st round! 6th overall! 269/300/703! for Almora.

Should we discount the Giants for selecting Posey and Baumgarner for being top-10 picks?

3. His initial post is strictly counting quantity of home grown players per his arbitrary bucketing. "count roster spots and compare"
His use of 25-man roster of course excludes Jorge Soler and Kyle Schwarber who are on the disabled list. In a strict count by number exercise he's cherry-picking like above.

4. He then shifts to "And when you calculate aggregate WAR contibrution?" Comparing the AGGREGATE WAR of 5+ years veterans to a bucket of 1st and 2nd year players of course looks bad.

His rambling criticism was garbage.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 5:35 pm 
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Did not "shift to" adding in aggregate WAR.

Rather, "piled on" aggregate WAR.

Other side of the same coin. Anyway you slice it, Cubs active MLB roster falls to the bottom of the majors in home-grown player contributions.


Maybe that's why Theo calls it a 5 year plan. Cuz after 5 or so seasons, you need to go back to being trade-deadline sellers--to do another few rounds of raiding the "best of" from other teams farm-systems. if'n you don't have the home-grown roster footprint/draft-success of a SF or STL. Or the payroll of a NY/BOS/LA/DET.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 5:52 pm 
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Hussra has done good work here, and I have extremely critical of him in the past. Like IMU, a hatchet I would like to bury.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 6:01 pm 
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a hatchet I would like to bury.


SomeGuy vibe.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 6:58 pm 
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THE INQUISITOR wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Didnt Theo trade Garza too? That should count as well.


Yes he did and that was probably a win for Theo.

Traded by the Chicago Cubs to the Texas Rangers for Carl Edwards, Justin Grimm,Mike Olt and Neil Ramirez


I didn't remember that one

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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 7:01 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
THE INQUISITOR wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hussra wrote:
THE INQUISITOR wrote:


So since getting the job Hahn has signed or drafted 3 guys


Hanh has 1 more of his guys on the current White Sox 25 man roster than walk-on-water Theo has of his guys from that same time period on his active 25 man. Or has Hahn had 1 less year? Hahn is owning poor Theo. But Theo drafted Kris Bryant! 2nd overall is a dicey proposition.



The idea that you were going to have this entire team full of homegrown players was a fantasy. That's why losing on purpose is silly and thinking that it was necessary is incorrect.

The thing is though, that there is something to be said for a cohesive group of players that all feel like they're in something together. As a Sox fan I saw that in 2000 where a young bunch jelled. Frank had a giant season, but I know he felt like an outcast on that team. Every player will tell you he wants the GM to improve the team right up until it's his position they decide to upgrade. There's no doubt that Zobrist is a better player than Castro, but I'm not sure that the Cubs are a better team with Zobrist replacing Castro. Do you think the Cubs are better right now than they were at the end of last season? You're getting guys to buy into a "Way" of doing things and then you replace them with an outsider the first chance you get and that whole "Way" thing doesn't play anymore. That happened in Washington with Papelbon and the refusal to pay Desmond.


You are right to a point but comparing a team guy like Zo to short fuse Papelbon is not fair.

I am not sure Castro was a WAY guy. Look at how Baez has changed over the last three years. Castro never changed like that. Baez seems to have found his WAY and getting back to Zo don't yuo think he has mentored Baez on playing all over.

You are correct how the 2000 Sox grew up together and those guys were the core of the team for the next half decade. I think most of these young guys whether drafted/traded or signed have grown up together and they may have the same kind of run as the 2000 Sox did.


I thought it said a lot about Castro that undisputed team leader Rizzo used Castro's walk-up music and tapped his heart in his first at-bat of the season. Castro and Rizzo went through the shit together. That said, I realize you can't let the players make the roster. That's how you end up with Walter Davis instead of Scottie Pippen.


I think the tanking plan had a negative impact on castros development

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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sat Jul 09, 2016 7:03 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Since you throw shade on Theo's roster for players selected before his hiring do we ignore all the players on the Red Sox he acquired? The ones who contributed to the post-Theo World Series? Or the three who are top 20 position players in fWAR acquired under Theo's watch.

If you could clarify the rules for ignoring player acquisitions it'll help in this discussion.


You don't want to open that door

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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 1:18 pm 
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I for one, am ecstatic that Theo & Co. are running my favorite franchise.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Tue Jul 12, 2016 4:13 pm 
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The flaw in the plan is in one simple word Boras.He is Arrieta's and Bryant's' agent....he'll fill Jake in limited pitch counts and show him what happened to Harvey, and Bryant will ask for the moon and some team will give it to him unfortunately it won't be the Cubs :(

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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Wed Jul 13, 2016 2:17 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
The flaw in the plan is in one simple word Boras.He is Arrieta's and Bryant's' agent....he'll fill Jake in limited pitch counts and show him what happened to Harvey, and Bryant will ask for the moon and some team will give it to him unfortunately it won't be the Cubs :(

Stanton, Harper or Bryant.

One will be a Cub heading into their 30's.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Wed Jul 13, 2016 2:30 pm 
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Bryant's 24, and he's not eligible for free agency until 2022, when he'll be 30.

Harper's 23, he'll be eligible for free agency in 2019, age 26.

Stanton's already been extended until the 2nd term of the Chelsea Clinton administration.


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 Post subject: Re: The FLAW in The Plan
PostPosted: Wed Jul 13, 2016 6:10 pm 
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I really can't agree with this. The Cubs are looking it 2 straight playoff appearances. Reports from multiple non-Cub related minor league scouting reports rank them as the most rich farm system in baseball.

The local coverage and fandom is nauseating but the Plan inherited a metric shit-ton of stupid contracts and no-trade clauses and here they are. Yes...they haven't won anything yet, but they're in it 2 years in a row and counting.

We'd be lucky to have this problem on the Sox.

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