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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 9:27 am 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
I'm glad.

Don't give any hope that this team could do anything like make the playoffs and try and make a deal at the deadline to "go for it".


I'm not sure what they have to trade anyway. I think they should probably be both a seller and a buyer at the deadline if possible. They need to reshape this team. If they can move guys like Melky and/or Frazier they should do it. If you get a knockout offer for Quintana, he should go too, although for the money he gets, it doesn't hurt you to keep him. At the same time I have no issue with them making a move as a buyer that may not necessarily help this season but is more for the future.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 9:29 am 
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Quintana should go. He's never going to win here so there's no use keeping him. Try and fleece some GM that thinks Shelby Miller is good and get some talent for him .

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 9:39 am 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
I'm glad.

Don't give any hope that this team could do anything like make the playoffs and try and make a deal at the deadline to "go for it".


The White Sox, who are 4 1/2 games out of a Wild Card spot, are looking to buy in advance of the Aug. 1 trade deadline, general manager Rick Hahn said Friday (via Dan Hayes of CSNChicago.com). Hahn conceded that deals could be difficult to come by because, at least as of now, “it’s a strong seller’s market.”


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 9:48 am 
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Peoria Matt wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
I'm glad.

Don't give any hope that this team could do anything like make the playoffs and try and make a deal at the deadline to "go for it".


The White Sox, who are 4 1/2 games out of a Wild Card spot, are looking to buy in advance of the Aug. 1 trade deadline, general manager Rick Hahn said Friday (via Dan Hayes of CSNChicago.com). Hahn conceded that deals could be difficult to come by because, at least as of now, “it’s a strong seller’s market.”


Thanks a lot Matt.

Way to piss in my Cheerios.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 9:55 am 
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badrogue17 wrote:
Quintana should go. He's never going to win here so there's no use keeping him. Try and fleece some GM that thinks Shelby Miller is good and get some talent for him .


Miller just got sent down. The predictive properties of W/L record told you you shouldn't be trading 1-1 for him. That deal alone should be enough for LaRussa/Stewart to be fired.

http://ftw.usatoday.com/2016/07/arizona ... ple-a-reno

"Miller has been a disaster for the Diamondbacks through the first half of the season. He’s 2-9 with a 7.14 ERA, allowing 55 earned runs in just over 69 innings pitched. The D-backs front office led by Tony La Russa and Dave Stewart knew that trading for Miller was a risk, but they openly believed that Miller was in a bad situation in Atlanta with comically poor run support."

:lol: :lol: :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 10:10 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
badrogue17 wrote:
Quintana should go. He's never going to win here so there's no use keeping him. Try and fleece some GM that thinks Shelby Miller is good and get some talent for him .


Miller just got sent down. The predictive properties of W/L record told you you shouldn't be trading 1-1 for him. That deal alone should be enough for LaRussa/Stewart to be fired.

http://ftw.usatoday.com/2016/07/arizona ... ple-a-reno

"Miller has been a disaster for the Diamondbacks through the first half of the season. He’s 2-9 with a 7.14 ERA, allowing 55 earned runs in just over 69 innings pitched. The D-backs front office led by Tony La Russa and Dave Stewart knew that trading for Miller was a risk, but they openly believed that Miller was in a bad situation in Atlanta with comically poor run support."

:lol: :lol: :lol:



Dave Duncan's finally going to get the credit he really deserves for Larussa's teams in St. Louis.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 10:40 am 
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Comparing Shelby Miller to Jose Quintana is really one of the dumbest things that continues to be posted here.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 11:07 am 
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Nas wrote:
Comparing Shelby Miller to Jose Quintana is really one of the dumbest things that continues to be posted here.


Not really. Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana. That's how the Braves got 1-1 plus for him.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 11:25 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Comparing Shelby Miller to Jose Quintana is really one of the dumbest things that continues to be posted here.


Not really. Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana. That's how the Braves got 1-1 plus for him.


He has always been boom or bust. You look at Quintana's stat line and 90% of the time he gives up 0-3 runs. That's a level of consistency that Miller has never had.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 11:26 am 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
Peoria Matt wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
I'm glad.

Don't give any hope that this team could do anything like make the playoffs and try and make a deal at the deadline to "go for it".


The White Sox, who are 4 1/2 games out of a Wild Card spot, are looking to buy in advance of the Aug. 1 trade deadline, general manager Rick Hahn said Friday (via Dan Hayes of CSNChicago.com). Hahn conceded that deals could be difficult to come by because, at least as of now, “it’s a strong seller’s market.”


Thanks a lot Matt.

Way to piss in my Cheerios.


I'm preparing you for the inevitable. You'll thank me later.


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 11:31 am 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Comparing Shelby Miller to Jose Quintana is really one of the dumbest things that continues to be posted here.


Not really. Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana. That's how the Braves got 1-1 plus for him.


He has always been boom or bust. You look at Quintana's stat line and 90% of the time he gives up 0-3 runs. That's a level of consistency that Miller has never had.


Are you really going to ignore the averages and point out the "when"? That's your whole argument against the value of W/L record.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 11:46 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Comparing Shelby Miller to Jose Quintana is really one of the dumbest things that continues to be posted here.


Not really. Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana. That's how the Braves got 1-1 plus for him.


He has always been boom or bust. You look at Quintana's stat line and 90% of the time he gives up 0-3 runs. That's a level of consistency that Miller has never had.


Are you really going to ignore the averages and point out the "when"? That's your whole argument against the value of W/L record.


Consistency matters. If Jose Quintana was a boom or bust pitcher or pitched in a pitcher friendly park I would very likely be in agreement with you.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:04 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana.


By who? Be specific.


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:06 pm 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana.


By who? Be specific.


WHO.SAID.WHAT.AND.WHEN ????


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:15 pm 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana.


By who? Be specific.


Tony LaRussa for starters. And many others. Unless you think Quintana could net 1-1 plus a promising pitcher plus a regular outfielder.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:19 pm 
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That's not true.

The trade was widely panned as a massive overpay by two yahoos who are stuck 10 years behind today's current baseball front offices.

A drunk in LaRussa and dumb jock in Stewart made a horrible trade with the other 29 team laughing their asses off.


Last edited by Kirkwood on Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:22 pm 
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The trade was shockingly bad and criticized by nearly everyone.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/12/reactions-to-the-shelby-miller-trade.html


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:26 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
That's not true.

The trade was widely panned as a massive overpay by two yahoos who are stuck 10 years behind today's current baseball front offices.

Just because a drunk in LaRussa and dumb jock in Stewart made a horrible trade doesn't mean the other 29 team aren't laughing their asses off.


Now you're making a strawman argument. It would have been panned if Quintana had replaced Miller.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:28 pm 
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Not as much.

Quintana is far better than Shelby Miller.


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:32 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana.


By who? Be specific.


Tony LaRussa for starters. And many others. Unless you think Quintana could net 1-1 plus a promising pitcher plus a regular outfielder.


So...one guy who is a demonstrable dolt and MANY others? K. :roll:


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:35 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Not as much.

Quintana is far better than Shelby Miller.


Probably more. Miller was a guy just like Quintana who was a victim of a lack of "run support" until he went somewhere where he got "run support" and still pitched to his W/L record.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:36 pm 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana.


By who? Be specific.


Tony LaRussa for starters. And many others. Unless you think Quintana could net 1-1 plus a promising pitcher plus a regular outfielder.


So...one guy who is a demonstrable dolt and MANY others? K. :roll:


Before that trade people said the same crap about Miller as you guys are now saying about Quintana. What was a better predictor, his ERA, his FIP, or his W/L record?

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:48 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana.


By who? Be specific.


Tony LaRussa for starters. And many others. Unless you think Quintana could net 1-1 plus a promising pitcher plus a regular outfielder.


So...one guy who is a demonstrable dolt and MANY others? K. :roll:


Before that trade people said the same crap about Miller as you guys are now saying about Quintana. What was a better predictor, his ERA, his FIP, or his W/L record?


His poor league-adjusted xFIP and gaudy 6.4% HR/FB rate in 2015 did a good job of setting up some hefty regression.

And wait, Miller was 25-18 in the two seasons leading up to his 6-17 year with the Braves...what was it about his 25-18 mark that predicted the 6-17 season?


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 12:55 pm 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Until their last 14 starts Miller was widely considered superior to Quintana.


By who? Be specific.


Tony LaRussa for starters. And many others. Unless you think Quintana could net 1-1 plus a promising pitcher plus a regular outfielder.


So...one guy who is a demonstrable dolt and MANY others? K. :roll:


Before that trade people said the same crap about Miller as you guys are now saying about Quintana. What was a better predictor, his ERA, his FIP, or his W/L record?


His poor league-adjusted xFIP and gaudy 6.4% HR/FB rate in 2015 did a good job of setting up some hefty regression.

And wait, Miller was 25-18 in the two seasons leading up to his 6-17 year with the Braves...what was it about his 25-18 mark that predicted the 6-17 season?


I don't think he's as bad as his worst record or as good as his best one. He's just pretty mediocre. Like Quintana.

But don't act like we couldn't have been having this argument about Miller last year. Kirkwood seems to be suggesting he thought Miller and his 3 ERA was horseshit when we undoubtedly could have had the same conversation about him as we currently are about Quintana.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 1:15 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I don't think he's as bad as his worst record or as good as his best one. He's just pretty mediocre. Like Quintana.

But don't act like we couldn't have been having this argument about Miller last year. Kirkwood seems to be suggesting he thought Miller and his 3 ERA was horseshit when we undoubtedly could have had the same conversation about him as we currently are about Quintana.


We could have had that talk about Miller, and we probably should have, as the Braves averaged 2.54 R/9 when Miller was on the bump, nearly 2 whole runs below league average in 2015. While his xFIP and batted ball numbers indicated he was extremely unlikely to continue that level of performance for long, his FIP and "secondary" stats were slightly above league average, certainly not befitting 17 losses.

He's had an atrocious 70 innings so far this season, but to act as though this was somehow "predicted" by his 2015 record is to confer on W-L predictive abilities that it curiously didn't have in 2013-14, when he went from .581 to .261 W%. So again I ask you, if his 2015 .261 W% was predictive of a poor performance this year irrespective of "run support", why wasn't his .261 predicted by his previous .581?


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 1:47 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Not as much.

Quintana is far better than Shelby Miller.


Probably more. Miller was a guy just like Quintana who was a victim of a lack of "run support" until he went somewhere where he got "run support" and still pitched to his W/L record.


Miller has never been as consistent as Quintana is. Comparing him to Quintana is just silly and tells me you are trying hard to cling onto your long held beliefs instead of admitting what we all can see and what all the data shows.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 1:55 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Not as much.

Quintana is far better than Shelby Miller.


Probably more. Miller was a guy just like Quintana who was a victim of a lack of "run support" until he went somewhere where he got "run support" and still pitched to his W/L record.


Miller has never been as consistent as Quintana is. Comparing him to Quintana is just silly and tells me you are trying hard to cling onto your long held beliefs instead of admitting what we all can see and what all the data shows.


See my answer to you above about the "when". You now seem to be arguing both sides as it suits your fancy.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 1:59 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Not as much.

Quintana is far better than Shelby Miller.


Probably more. Miller was a guy just like Quintana who was a victim of a lack of "run support" until he went somewhere where he got "run support" and still pitched to his W/L record.


Miller has never been as consistent as Quintana is. Comparing him to Quintana is just silly and tells me you are trying hard to cling onto your long held beliefs instead of admitting what we all can see and what all the data shows.


See my answer to you above about the "when". You now seem to be arguing both sides as it suits your fancy.


I've been as consistent as Quintana.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 2:12 pm 
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You're original argument was Quintana would never yield the same return as Miller. Therefore, Miller is a better pitcher than Quintana.

Bad.


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Sun Jul 17, 2016 2:34 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
You're original argument was Quintana would never yield the same return as Miller. Therefore, Miller is a better pitcher than Quintana.

Bad.


That wasn't the argument.

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