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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:40 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
And everyone can see you flipped sides when you realized I wasn't the one using career WAR to declare pitchers better than others. We all can read your fucking lol. You look silly.

Name names.

One Post said Cain is better than all but ~250 pitchers when it comes to career WAR.

This is a fact. It cannot be debated.

edit: You tried to take him out of context.

Now...if he was in the Top 250 in WAR, ERA+, FIP, WHIP, OPS against, K/BB, etc... then we can call him one of the greats.

Until then...we will just call him good. Which he was.


In no way did I take him out of context. That's a fucking lie. Are you a fucking liar?

What happened was this and you can look back through the thread in case you're confused about your own bullshit.

It started with this:

One Post wrote:
Well then you either don't understand how to define good, or you don't know what Matt Cain has accomplished.

As it currently stands Matt Cain is 256th in all time pitcher WAR. Think about that for a second, of the tens of thousands of people who have pitched in major league baseball over the past 120+ years, Matt Cain has been better than all but about 250 of them.



I responded:

Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Maybe you don't know how to define "good". Is that possible?


One Post didn't answer but you saw fit to chime in:

IMU wrote:
No. Not in this case.


To that I replied:

Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

You're agreeing that Wilbur Wood was better than Clayton Kershaw and you don't even realize it.


Which got this smart ass response from you as if I were the one trying to use cumulative WAR as a measuring stick instead of mocking One Post for doing so:

IMU wrote:
Fucking lol, are you referencing WAR, a cumulative statistic?

Wood pitched 19 seasons. Kershaw has pitched 9 so far. And they are about even.

You are hilarious.

Hey, Ubaldo Jimenez has more career strikeouts than Chris Sale. Jimenez > Sale.


Is that clear enough for you?

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:42 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
WL is one of 100 ways to compare starting pitchers and it's far from the best way.
Jorr likes to say that the pitcher has to out pitch the other pitcher. That's great but other statistics have the pitcher pitching against every other pitcher and not just the one in the game that he's currently pitching.


The pitcher only pitches the games he's in. He doesn't pitch other games. That's exactly why W/L record is a great stat. It shows you how a guy competed. ERA is detached from context. How would you like to pitch in Texas and have several asswipes on a message board comaparing your ERA unfavorably to some guy who pitches in San Diego?

That's just it though it doesn't tell you how he competed. It tells you how his team played behind him to be sure but it doesn't isolate the player you're judging. You need a data set that isolates that player to really get a full picture. WL has a purpose, but no where near the extent you claim. WL absolutely depends upon situations well beyond the control of the player to whom the statistic is assigned.


You can't isolate the pitcher's performance. It only exists within the games in which it occurred. The conditions in every game are specific and different from those in any other.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:42 pm 
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I'm still 100% correct in everything you've just quoted.

Quote:
As it currently stands Matt Cain is 256th in all time pitcher WAR. Think about that for a second, of the tens of thousands of people who have pitched in major league baseball over the past 120+ years, Matt Cain has been better than all but about 250 of them.


This is an accurate statement. The second sentence, in context, is still speaking of WAR. How you're not getting that I'll never know.

OnePost never said Matt Cain is the 250th best pitcher of all time. You tried to make it seem like he did, and that is why you attempted to use the Wood / Kershaw comparison.

This is all a result of your confusion. No one else's. Own it.

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Last edited by IMU on Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:43 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:43 pm 
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If you can use cumulative wins why is cumulative war off the table?
Maybe I'm reading you wrong all along... do you mean to say that WL percentage is the stat you're interested in and not total WL?

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:43 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
WL is one of 100 ways to compare starting pitchers and it's far from the best way.
Jorr likes to say that the pitcher has to out pitch the other pitcher. That's great but other statistics have the pitcher pitching against every other pitcher and not just the one in the game that he's currently pitching.


The pitcher only pitches the games he's in. He doesn't pitch other games. That's exactly why W/L record is a great stat. It shows you how a guy competed. ERA is detached from context. How would you like to pitch in Texas and have several asswipes on a message board comaparing your ERA unfavorably to some guy who pitches in San Diego?

After rereading your post....
I'd have to say that comparing your pitcher in Texas against your pitcher in San Diego is precisely what we've been doing this whole thread and over the last several years we've been having this debate.


Not really. A good pitcher wins in Texas with a higher ERA and he wins in San Diego with a lower one. The ERA is extremely subject to conditions. The W/L record not nearly as much.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:44 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The W/L record not nearly as much.

Uhhh... except by an entire other half of that same exact game being played.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:46 pm 
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IMU wrote:
I'm still 100% correct in everything you've just quoted.

Quote:
As it currently stands Matt Cain is 256th in all time pitcher WAR. Think about that for a second, of the tens of thousands of people who have pitched in major league baseball over the past 120+ years, Matt Cain has been better than all but about 250 of them.


This is an accurate statement. The second sentence, in context, is still speaking of WAR. How you're not getting that I'll never know.

OnePost never said Matt Cain is the 250th best pitcher of all time. You tried to make it seem like he did, and that is why you attempted to use the Wood / Kershaw comparison.

This is all a result of your confusion. No one else's. Own it.


It is? Because then he comes back and says this:

One Post wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

Are you fucking serious???????

One Post wrote:
of the tens of thousands of people who have pitched in major league baseball over the past 120+ years, Matt Cain has been better than all but about 250 of them.


Yeah, pretty serious.

Of the tens of thousands of dudes who have pitched in the bigs, Cain has been better than about 250 of them.

"About" defined: adverb near in time, number, degree, etc.; approximately.

Now in full disclosure I did get that definition from the internet, so I'm sure you think it's worthless, but it's the best I could do right now.

So yeah, Cain is better than all but "about" 250 of the guys who ever threw a ball in the bigs. Is he better than 200? 250? 350? It really doesn't matter in the context of the conversation because we are trying to judge if Cain was a good pitcher or not. That's why I used the term "about".

Using his WAR purely as a barometer for the company that he ranks with all time is a pretty solid indicator that dude was a good pitcher at the MLB level.


I'm certain I wasn't taking him out of context and he believes that Matt Cain was one of the best 250 pitchers ever- or at least in that vicinity.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:47 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The W/L record not nearly as much.

Uhhh... except by an entire other half of that same exact game being played.


Isn't there another guy pitching that half? You're telling me your guy is so good. Why can't he pitch better than the other guy most of the time? And if he can't, how good can he be?

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:47 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
You can't isolate the pitcher's performance. It only exists within the games in which it occurred. The conditions in every game are specific and different from those in any other.

How is that different from all other statistics?
And I don't think you understood what I mean by isolating a pitchers performance. I'm saying you isolate the pitchers performance by using data from times in which he was performing. For example, his walks, his strikeouts, his whip. That is isolating the pitcher. When you include team based statistics such as wins, that is dependent upon things over which the player has no control such as his team's offensive production, which as noted above, he cannot influence at all in 50% of all games played and has only a minor influence in the other 50%.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:49 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
If you can use cumulative wins why is cumulative war off the table?
Maybe I'm reading you wrong all along... do you mean to say that WL percentage is the stat you're interested in and not total WL?


Yeah, I've never cited cumulative wins. Of course Jose Fernandez isn't going to be able to accumulate as many wins as Tom Seaver simply due to the way he is used, but he could certainly post a better winning percentage.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:50 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
WL is one of 100 ways to compare starting pitchers and it's far from the best way.
Jorr likes to say that the pitcher has to out pitch the other pitcher. That's great but other statistics have the pitcher pitching against every other pitcher and not just the one in the game that he's currently pitching.


The pitcher only pitches the games he's in. He doesn't pitch other games. That's exactly why W/L record is a great stat. It shows you how a guy competed. ERA is detached from context. How would you like to pitch in Texas and have several asswipes on a message board comaparing your ERA unfavorably to some guy who pitches in San Diego?

After rereading your post....
I'd have to say that comparing your pitcher in Texas against your pitcher in San Diego is precisely what we've been doing this whole thread and over the last several years we've been having this debate.


Not really. A good pitcher wins in Texas with a higher ERA and he wins in San Diego with a lower one. The ERA is extremely subject to conditions. The W/L record not nearly as much.

Doesn't that statement kind of say why wins is a bit of a silly statistic to use when judging how good a pitcher is? I mean, if a pitcher that allows more runs gets wins based on the conditions of the stadium rather than his talent... right?

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:50 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The ERA is extremely subject to conditions. The W/L record not nearly as much.


:shock:..... :lol:


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:51 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
If you can use cumulative wins why is cumulative war off the table?
Maybe I'm reading you wrong all along... do you mean to say that WL percentage is the stat you're interested in and not total WL?


Yeah, I've never cited cumulative wins. Of course Jose Fernandez isn't going to be able to accumulate as many wins as Tom Seaver simply due to the way he is used, but he could certainly post a better winning percentage.

So when you look at jake tonight or sale last night those performance, while spectacular in their individual capacity, would never be part of a data set by which you'd judge the pitcher?

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:55 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
You can't isolate the pitcher's performance. It only exists within the games in which it occurred. The conditions in every game are specific and different from those in any other.

How is that different from all other statistics?
And I don't think you understood what I mean by isolating a pitchers performance. I'm saying you isolate the pitchers performance by using data from times in which he was performing. For example, his walks, his strikeouts, his whip. That is isolating the pitcher. When you include team based statistics such as wins, that is dependent upon things over which the player has no control such as his team's offensive production, which as noted above, he cannot influence at all in 50% of all games played and has only a minor influence in the other 50%.


The other stats are averages. Nas has actually argued that Jose Quintana's 3.53 ERA is better than Shelby Miller's 3.02 because Quintana is "more consistent". That kind of defies the entire point of the average. The W/L record isn't an average. It's an actual result of how a particular guy fared vs. the other guys he faced. Of course there are going to be situations like last night with Sale. Ultimately though, it had no effect on his percentage, although it would be fair to argue it should have been a win. But it goes the other way sometimes too. Sale has left down in the game and had the offense bail him out at times too. All of this is predicated on a large enough sample. I would suggest when a guy gets around 200 career starts he's shown you who he is.

Also, do you know what 400 game winner Walter Johnson's Hall of Fame plaque says?

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:57 pm 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The ERA is extremely subject to conditions. The W/L record not nearly as much.


:shock:..... :lol:


And yet, I've asked again and again for the great pitcher with the losing career record and the best you guys can come up with is Matt Cain.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 8:59 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The ERA is extremely subject to conditions. The W/L record not nearly as much.


:shock:..... :lol:


And yet, I've asked again and again for the great pitcher with the losing career record and the best you guys can come up with is Matt Cain.


Why does it have to be losing? Wouldn't a "great" pitcher with WL% around average reveal WL% to be just as faulty a statistic?


Last edited by Juice's Lecture Notes on Tue Jul 19, 2016 9:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 9:00 pm 
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Yeah ok this when thing is really not worth discussing. Have a good night man.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 9:02 pm 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The ERA is extremely subject to conditions. The W/L record not nearly as much.


:shock:..... :lol:


And yet, I've asked again and again for the great pitcher with the losing career record and the best you guys can come up with is Matt Cain.


Why does it have to be losing? Wouldn't a "great" pitcher with WL% around average reveal WL% to be just as faulty a statistic?


But there isn't one.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 9:03 pm 
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I guess you could try to hang your hat on a guy like Bob Friend.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 9:14 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
And yet, I've asked again and again for the great pitcher with the losing career record and the best you guys can come up with is Matt Cain.

No matter who people come up with your response is going to be the same.

Maybe, just maybe you should admit there could be exceptions to your rule? Cain seems to be one. I know you won't admit that. But I think most others around here see it.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 9:17 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
And yet, I've asked again and again for the great pitcher with the losing career record and the best you guys can come up with is Matt Cain.

No matter who people come up with your response is going to be the same.

Maybe, just maybe you should admit there could be exceptions to your rule? Cain seems to be one. I know you won't admit that. But I think most others around here see it.


Cain has had more bad seasons than good ones. Come on. Most others around here get excited when a guy has three good at-bats and call him great. Then they turn on him when he has a slump. Hell, there's a guy right now complaining about the "best manager in the game"'s bullpen usage. People have short attention spans and they're fickle. Baseball is a game of time and repetition.

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 9:41 pm 
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Name (Games +/- .500, Career League-Adjusted FIP-, Career fWAR)

Tom Bradley (-6, 88, 17.5)
Fritz Peterson (+2, 93, 32.7)
Jerry Koosman (+13, 90, 62.6) <---The 68th-best career bWAR is only 13 games above .500 across 500+ career starts)
Chris Short (+3, 96, 30.9)
Bill Hands (+1, 90, 31.9)
Ed Halicki (-11, 93, 15.6)
Camilo Pascual (+4, 87, 52)
Bob Friend (-33, 89, 61.1)
Len Barker (-2, 85, 24.7)
Rudy May (-4, 94, 36.3)
Rick Wise (+7, 95, 44.9)
Bob Rush (-25, 86, 43.7)
Pascual Perez (-1, 92, 19.6)


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 10:18 pm 
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JORR is killing you all here. Posting stats of guys you've never even seen pitch but JORR probably has is sure to turn tide.


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 10:24 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
The ERA is extremely subject to conditions. The W/L record not nearly as much.


:shock:..... :lol:


And yet, I've asked again and again for the great pitcher with the losing career record and the best you guys can come up with is Matt Cain.


Hey, does someone drive a cement truck, because JORR is moving the goalposts all over the place here.

Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:


W/L record is a measure of how a guy competed. No other pitching stat illustrates that was well. Regardless of where I'm having this argument and with whom I'm having it, it always comes down to me asking for the good or near great pitcher who has more than 200 career starts with a losing record.


Dude, you're just a fucking liar. You asked for "good" pitchers with 200+ starts with a losing career record.

Matt Cain
Jon Matlack (a guy who is comparable to Jack Morris - a guy you define as good)
Randy Jones
Mark Gubicza

Are there hundreds of good pitchers with two hundred plus starts and a losing record? No, probably just a handful, but you're the asshead who chose to argue an absolute and you picked the parameters.

I'm not the only one calling you out for being a liar in this thread. Here you are blatantly lying about what you asked for, you didn't say a great starting pitcher, but you asked for a good or near great pitcher initially, now you've moved the goalpost to full on great.

You're a pathetic sack of shit.


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 10:24 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

Also, do you know what 400 game winner Walter Johnson's Hall of Fame plaque says?

Is that the one that says his team sucked ("second division" might have been the term) even though they had some decent seasons and some pretty good ones?

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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 10:25 pm 
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KDdidit wrote:
JORR is killing you all here. Posting stats of guys you've never even seen pitch but JORR probably has is sure to turn tide.


Good to know I can't argue about the greatness of Babe Ruth or Ty Cobb. Thanks!


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 10:30 pm 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
JORR is killing you all here. Posting stats of guys you've never even seen pitch but JORR probably has is sure to turn tide.


Good to know I can't argue about the greatness of Babe Ruth or Ty Cobb. Thanks!


Comparing Babe Ruth to Fritz Peterson should help even more.


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 10:32 pm 
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KDdidit wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
JORR is killing you all here. Posting stats of guys you've never even seen pitch but JORR probably has is sure to turn tide.


Good to know I can't argue about the greatness of Babe Ruth or Ty Cobb. Thanks!


Comparing Babe Ruth to Fritz Peterson should help even more.


"Help" what, exactly?


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 10:56 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
RFDC wrote:

Cain has had more bad seasons than good ones. Come on.


Here are Cain's seasons

2005: 46 IP 30 K's 185 ERA+
2006 190 IP 179 K's 108 ERA+
2007 200 IP 163 K's 123 ERA+
2008 217 IP 186 K's 117 ERA+
2009 217 IP 171 K's 147 ERA+ (AS Game Appearance)
2010 223 IP 181 K's 124 ERA+ (12th in Cy Young Voting WS Ring)
2011 221 IP 177 K's 121 ERA + (AS Game Appearance 8th in Cy Young Voting)
2012 219 IP 193 K's 126 ERA +(AS Game Appearance 6th in Cy Young Voting WS Ring)
2013 184 IP 158 K's 86 ERA +
2014 90 IP 70 K's 83 ERA +
2015 60 IP 71 K's 65 ERA +
2016 57 IP 41 K's 75 ERA +

I'll grant that 2013-2016 were not good seasons (bad if you will), so you've got to tell me which of the 3 seasons from 2005-2012 he wasn't a good pitcher for him to have more bad seasons than good seasons.


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PostPosted: Tue Jul 19, 2016 11:03 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

W/L record is a measure of how a guy competed. No other pitching stat illustrates that was well.


Dude A: Hey JORR did you see that game by Harvey Haddix last night?

JORR: No, what happened.

Dude A: Guy took a perfect game into the thirteenth inning and lost after an error, sac bunt and a hit.

JORR: Fucking pussy just doesn't know how to compete. Now watch my man Chris Knapp go out and give up 6 earned runs in 5 innings and get the win like a real competitor does.


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