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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:24 am 
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denisdman wrote:
For sure. The finance industry has plenty of bad elements and lots of unproductive activities. Things like hedge funds and high frequency traders add little value. I could spend all day talking about the benefits of securitization, and that was one of the areas that killed the economy in 2008. The home loan market does not exist without it.

The larger problem with finance and MBA styled education in general is that much of our best talent flows to private equity firms and investment banks rather than real economy, productive jobs. Luckily we have a vibrant tech sector and entrepreneurial culture that keeps the economic engine running. My undergrad is in science, and I had to go back to business school to earn a real living. Running lab equipment wasn't paying the bills very well.


There was blood on everyone's hands with the mortgage crisis. The financial industry was to blame but so were ordinary people. I knew like I'm sure everyone else on here, a number of people that considered themselves budding Donald Trumps. Everyone was looking to get paid from real estate.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:27 am 
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RFDC wrote:
No way in the world 85% of job losses are due to automation.
Of course not.

If automation was so powerful that it could do that then there would be no reason to send jobs overseas. Just do it here with automation.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:32 am 
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denisdman wrote:
Manufacturing jobs only paid well for a short period of time- post WW2 when every major country was either communist and/or destroyed by the war. As such, we were the only industrial game in town. But over time, manufacturing jobs do not have enough value add to pay people high wages just like the bank teller job. If/when you try to pay those folks a lot, plant managers either move to cheaper locales (easily transferable) or automate away those costs.



The other issue relates to the amount of money that is tied up in finance relative to the number of jobs created. Manufacturing was bound to decline following WWII. Manufacturing was virtually non existent prior to WWII also. The massive loss in jobs that we see now began in the 70's. During the 50's manufacturing was transferred from cities to suburbs. In the 1970's the vast number of jobs began to disappear. They were never offset by the creation of service industry jobs and the pay was never comparable either.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:34 am 
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denisdman wrote:
long time guy wrote:



Manufacturing is not coming back. Just like farming is not coming back. The majority of people in this country used to work in farming. Today it is 3% of the population. We grow more food than ever. We also produce more goods than ever. How you ask? Automation.

As for finance, there is a lot of misplaced efforts in that field. However, feel free to stop applying for a mortgage to buy a home or to acquire your next car in cash. Don't use PayPal or your debit card. Forget about student loans or credit cards. Don't dare buy stocks through Etrade or invest in your 401(k). Because finance is bad.

I am sure the economy would be much better off without finance.


All business is cyclical. Farming will at some other time be a larger part of the job pie. As soon as corporate farming becomes less profitable, it will shift back to family owned properties again. Manufacturing is a different story.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:37 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
RFDC wrote:
No way in the world 85% of job losses are due to automation.
Of course not.

If automation was so powerful that it could do that then there would be no reason to send jobs overseas. Just do it here with automation.


Many things would still be cheaper to make overseas though. Especially expensive industrial equipment.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:38 am 
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Seacrest wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
RFDC wrote:
No way in the world 85% of job losses are due to automation.
Of course not.

If automation was so powerful that it could do that then there would be no reason to send jobs overseas. Just do it here with automation.


Many things would still be cheaper to make overseas though. Especially expensive industrial equipment.
Exactly.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:40 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Seacrest wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
RFDC wrote:
No way in the world 85% of job losses are due to automation.
Of course not.

If automation was so powerful that it could do that then there would be no reason to send jobs overseas. Just do it here with automation.


Many things would still be cheaper to make overseas though. Especially expensive industrial equipment.
Exactly.


A company in my industry investigated starting their own industrial city in rural China to produce their machines.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:49 am 
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Seacrest wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Seacrest wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
RFDC wrote:
No way in the world 85% of job losses are due to automation.
Of course not.

If automation was so powerful that it could do that then there would be no reason to send jobs overseas. Just do it here with automation.


Many things would still be cheaper to make overseas though. Especially expensive industrial equipment.
Exactly.


A company in my industry investigated starting their own industrial city in rural China to produce their machines.



You know what's even better than a corporate owned industrial city? When they cut off the hands of the guys who work too slow.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:51 am 
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It's funny how you can't find anyone who supports slavery in the U.S. but you can find all kinds of people who support it in foreign countries.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:56 am 
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long time guy wrote:
denisdman wrote:
For sure. The finance industry has plenty of bad elements and lots of unproductive activities. Things like hedge funds and high frequency traders add little value. I could spend all day talking about the benefits of securitization, and that was one of the areas that killed the economy in 2008. The home loan market does not exist without it.

The larger problem with finance and MBA styled education in general is that much of our best talent flows to private equity firms and investment banks rather than real economy, productive jobs. Luckily we have a vibrant tech sector and entrepreneurial culture that keeps the economic engine running. My undergrad is in science, and I had to go back to business school to earn a real living. Running lab equipment wasn't paying the bills very well.


There was blood on everyone's hands with the mortgage crisis. The financial industry was to blame but so were ordinary people. I knew like I'm sure everyone else on here, a number of people that considered themselves budding Donald Trumps. Everyone was looking to get paid from real estate.


A few small investors trying to get rich hardly caused anything. It was almost 100 percent the financial industry, which knew it was giving out crappy loans to create securities that could be dumped on suckers. The other bad behavior was fueled by this.

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The Missing Link wrote:
For instance they were never taught that Columbus was a slave owner.


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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:57 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's funny how you can't find anyone who supports slavery in the U.S. but you can find all kinds of people who support it in foreign countries.



Good old globalization.

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Why are only 14 percent of black CPS 11th-graders proficient in English?

The Missing Link wrote:
For instance they were never taught that Columbus was a slave owner.


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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 11:59 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's funny how you can't find anyone who supports slavery in the U.S. but you can find all kinds of people who support it in foreign countries.
...and others who think that someone working 40 hours a week doesn't deserve a livable wage in this country too!

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:02 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's funny how you can't find anyone who supports slavery in the U.S. but you can find all kinds of people who support it in foreign countries.
...and others who think that someone working 40 hours a week doesn't deserve a livable wage in this country too!


Boilermaker Berniebro

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:04 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's funny how you can't find anyone who supports slavery in the U.S. but you can find all kinds of people who support it in foreign countries.


"Don't touch my 401K..."

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:05 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's funny how you can't find anyone who supports slavery in the U.S. but you can find all kinds of people who support it in foreign countries.
...and others who think that someone working 40 hours a week doesn't deserve a livable wage in this country too!


Boilermaker Berniebro
I'm a big fan of the working man. Not so much of the "free stuff" man.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:10 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's funny how you can't find anyone who supports slavery in the U.S. but you can find all kinds of people who support it in foreign countries.
...and others who think that someone working 40 hours a week doesn't deserve a livable wage in this country too!


Boilermaker Berniebro
I'm a big fan of the working man. Not so much of the "free stuff" man.


You're coming up with a lot of good slogans this week.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:18 pm 
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Seacrest wrote:
You will get no argument from me that financialization is the main culprit today.

Automation is the excuse that financiers use to mask their avarice.

In an article in the Boston Review, Susan Berger a professor at MIT makes the assertion that, “Since the 1980s, financial market pressures have driven companies to hive off activities that sustained manufacturing.” She refers to the example of the Timken Company, which was forced to split into two companies (Timken Co., IW500/299 and TimkenSteel, IW500/442) by the board of directors. The chairman argued that the company should stay together because that is how it had been able to offer high-quality products with good service support. The board overruled him based on the potential of better short-term profits.



I have no data but have always felt that in the late 80's and especially 90's was when things turned. Not only high financiers but regular people got into the markets as well. Even if only via 401k accounts. Since this time it has become painfully apparrent that companies manage quarter to quarter squeezing every possible dollar for profit. Not to much was easier than move the factory to Arkansas or Indonesia etc.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:20 pm 
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:24 pm 
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:28 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Seacrest wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Seacrest wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
RFDC wrote:
No way in the world 85% of job losses are due to automation.
Of course not.

If automation was so powerful that it could do that then there would be no reason to send jobs overseas. Just do it here with automation.


Many things would still be cheaper to make overseas though. Especially expensive industrial equipment.
Exactly.


A company in my industry investigated starting their own industrial city in rural China to produce their machines.



You know what's even better than a corporate owned industrial city? When they cut off the hands of the guys who work too slow.guess they


I guess they never heard of Pullman, Homestead ,PAor the former Rockefeller run mining town in Colorado

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:32 pm 
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I was wrong, not 85% but 87.8% due to productivity.

https://www.americanactionforum.org/pri ... ring-jobs/

"They found that, of the 5.6 million manufacturing jobs lost from 2000 to 2010, roughly 87.8 percent were due to productivity gains. Only 13.4 percent of
those job losses can be attributed to the negative trade balance."

Underlying research.

https://www2.nist.gov/sites/default/fil ... lity-1.pdf

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:34 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
Seacrest wrote:
You will get no argument from me that financialization is the main culprit today.

Automation is the excuse that financiers use to mask their avarice.

In an article in the Boston Review, Susan Berger a professor at MIT makes the assertion that, “Since the 1980s, financial market pressures have driven companies to hive off activities that sustained manufacturing.” She refers to the example of the Timken Company, which was forced to split into two companies (Timken Co., IW500/299 and TimkenSteel, IW500/442) by the board of directors. The chairman argued that the company should stay together because that is how it had been able to offer high-quality products with good service support. The board overruled him based on the potential of better short-term profits.



I have no data but have always felt that in the late 80's and especially 90's was when things turned. Not only high financiers but regular people got into the markets as well. Even if only via 401k accounts. Since this time it has become painfully apparrent that companies manage quarter to quarter squeezing every possible dollar for profit. Not to much was easier than move the factory to Arkansas or Indonesia etc.


Folks want to point out what corporate America has done without taking there fair share of the accountability as well. Like JORR said, people aren't for slavery here, just in other countries.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 12:48 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
I was wrong, not 85% but 87.8% due to productivity.

https://www.americanactionforum.org/pri ... ring-jobs/

"They found that, of the 5.6 million manufacturing jobs lost from 2000 to 2010, roughly 87.8 percent were due to productivity gains. Only 13.4 percent of
those job losses can be attributed to the negative trade balance."

Underlying research.

https://www2.nist.gov/sites/default/fil ... lity-1.pdf
You can massage the numbers however you want as a Republican think tank like the American Action Forum will do in a certain way.

https://www.brookings.edu/2015/04/29/dont-blame-the-robots-for-lost-manufacturing-jobs/
Quote:
Yet the evidence suggests there is essentially no relationship between the change in manufacturing employment and robot use. Despite the installation of far more robots between 1993 and 2007, Germany lost just 19 percent of its manufacturing jobs between 1996 and 2012 compared to a 33 percent drop in the United States. (We introduce a three-year time lag to allow for robots to influence the labor market and continued with the most recent data, 2012). Korea, France, and Italy also lost fewer manufacturing jobs than the United States even as they introduced more industrial robots. On the other hand, countries like the United Kingdom and Australia invested less in robots but saw faster declines in their manufacturing sectors.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 1:02 pm 
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DannyB wrote:
Image


Pretty piss poor graphic right there. Not saying the results would be different, but they could really do a better job gathering data than picking 50 quotes.


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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 1:06 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
https://www.brookings.edu/2015/04/29/dont-blame-the-robots-for-lost-manufacturing-jobs/
Quote:
Yet the evidence suggests there is essentially no relationship between the change in manufacturing employment and robot use. Despite the installation of far more robots between 1993 and 2007, Germany lost just 19 percent of its manufacturing jobs between 1996 and 2012 compared to a 33 percent drop in the United States. (We introduce a three-year time lag to allow for robots to influence the labor market and continued with the most recent data, 2012). Korea, France, and Italy also lost fewer manufacturing jobs than the United States even as they introduced more industrial robots. On the other hand, countries like the United Kingdom and Australia invested less in robots but saw faster declines in their manufacturing sectors.


There was an extra bit that was happening in the US rather than those other countries. Part of factory relocation and sending jobs overseas for here was union busting. Some of that may have even been deserved. I know in Germany though for a fact they have a much stricter set of requirements to close a factory. Like you cannot do it except over two years, mandatory job retraining and other things that the relocating company pays for.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 1:12 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
Part of factory relocation and sending jobs overseas for here was union busting.


That's the centrist/neoliberal Democrat model. Act like a CHAMPION of unions. Send their jobs overseas. The government workers are the only ones they can't bust. Go Hillary!

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 1:13 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
pittmike wrote:
Part of factory relocation and sending jobs overseas for here was union busting.


That's the centrist/neoliberal Democrat model. Act like a CHAMPION of unions. Send their jobs overseas. The government workers are the only ones they can't bust. Go Hillary!


Knocking each one out of the park today.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 1:27 pm 
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nice bar chart... good to see only 20% of the crap said is actually completely true


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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 1:51 pm 
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Big Chicagoan wrote:
DannyB wrote:
Image


Pretty piss poor graphic right there. Not saying the results would be different, but they could really do a better job gathering data than picking 50 quotes.


Clearly Hillary is honest when she speaks.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 1:53 pm 
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Big Chicagoan wrote:
DannyB wrote:
Image


Pretty piss poor graphic right there. Not saying the results would be different, but they could really do a better job gathering data than picking 50 quotes.


Find certain data to achieve a certain outcome.

Pathetic that people will look at that and say, "SEE! CASE CLOSED!"

Some are unable to think objectively for themselves.

Sad.


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