It is currently Sun Nov 24, 2024 8:52 pm

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 3602 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 105, 106, 107, 108, 109, 110, 111 ... 121  Next
Author Message
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 12:25 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jun 14, 2010 4:29 pm
Posts: 38695
pizza_Place: Lou Malnatis
KDdidit wrote:
All I know if I was in a World Series game 7 there's no one I'd rather have on the mound for my team than the guy Quintana is pitching against.

That's actually a good point to be made about Quintana . Would any Sox fan want him on the mound in any sort of game of significance and expect to win?

_________________
Proud member of the white guy grievance committee

It aint the six minutes. Its what happens in those six minutes.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 12:27 pm 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Tue Mar 29, 2005 8:06 pm
Posts: 81466
pizza_Place: 773-684-2222
badrogue17 wrote:
I remember when we used to have this argument about Jeff Samardzija and how all those advanced stats told me how great he was but for run support and here is finally pitching for a good team and he all he can muster is 8-7 with a mid 4 ERA.


Samardzija wasn't giving up 2 runs or less in 60%+ of his starts. They're not the same pitcher. MANY of us knew Samardzija was overrated.

_________________
Be well

GO BEARS!!!


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 12:36 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jun 28, 2006 9:29 am
Posts: 65767
Location: Darkside Estates
pizza_Place: A cat got an online degree.
I guess I missed that because I was blinded by saying smardjiza was a fucking loser the last several years and was truly thankful he was off my team and hoping he gets hit by a piece of Skylab as he takes the mound next.

_________________
"Play until it hurts, then play until it hurts to not play."
http://soundcloud.com/darkside124 HOF 2013, MM Champion 2014
bigfan wrote:
Many that is true, but an incomplete statement.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 12:43 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:15 am
Posts: 27591
pizza_Place: nick n vito's
badrogue17 wrote:
I remember when we used to have this argument about Jeff Samardzija and how all those advanced stats told me how great he was but for run support and here is finally pitching for a good team and he all he can muster is 8-7 with a mid 4 ERA.





Anybody who thought that clown was anything other than a 5th starter doesn't know dick about baseball... Quintana is a legit #2 or 3.

_________________
The Original Kid Cairo wrote:
Laurence Holmes is a fucking weirdo, a nerd in denial, and a wannabe. Not a very good radio host either.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 12:52 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jun 21, 2006 6:57 pm
Posts: 92049
Location: To the left of my post
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
If you expect your team to provide six runs of "support" every game, you're barking up the wrong tree.


Except there are 12 qualified MLB starters right now that average 6 RS/9 or better, and 30 that average 5 or better. The White Sox as a team average below 4, and average just more than 3 runs per 9 when Quintana is on the hill.

The White Sox offense is in the bottom half of the MLB in AVG, bottom-3rd in OBP, and bottom-quartile in SLG. It is the offense that sucks when Quintana is pitching, not the opposing pitcher being really good. If it were indeed that Quintana is just "bested" by better pitchers every time out, we would expect to see the Sox as an above-average team shut down by a great starter. They are not, they are a well-below-average offensive team.
What are the numbers?

In games that Quintana pitches, how much does he lower their runs scored from their average and how much does the opposing pitcher lower the runs scored of the White Sox?

The whole argument here is that the Sox, who are a bad offense, are even worse with Quintana pitching for some strange reason. The likely answer is that the other pitcher is outperforming him by shutting down the offense more than expected.

Show us the math!


Image

"QOPP R/9" is "Quintana Opponents' Runs per 9 Innings", and "ROPP R/G" is "Real Opponents Runs per Game". The bottom in bold is an average of all teams (not including the inter-league split at the top), and as you can see, Quintana is able to limit opponent scoring to about 65% of their averages when extrapolated out to 9 innings. Without extrapolation, Quintana holds opponents to an average that is 47% of their regular marks.

The White Sox average 3.39 R/9 when Quintana is on the hill, and their average is 3.99 R/G. So, all told, the opposing pitchers are limiting White Sox output to 85% of their average.

The problem is that the Sox' offense is so bad, that even limiting it's run-scoring rate by 85% makes leaving the game after 5, 6, or 7 innings and change with a lead an even more daunting task if you give up even a single run. And that is why "Wins" is such an awful metric.
Interesting information. As JORR said, I think sample size may be an issues(especially with two shutouts against two of the best offenses he faced) but it looks like he does perform well against his opponent.

_________________
You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 2:37 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jan 26, 2016 4:46 pm
Posts: 22532
pizza_Place: Giordano's
Putting this here for when people eventually trickle back to this thread to continue the argument:

Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Since he became a full-time starter, Quintana has limited opponent scoring to a rate of 3.64 runs per 9. In that same time frame, Quintana is 7th-worst among qualified starters with an average RS/9 of 3.81. Since 2012, the average AL R/G mark has been 4.37, and the Sox have averaged 4.04 R/G.

Quintana has held "the League" (because I'm not going through and calculating a R/G average for only Quintana's opponents in the last 5 years, the AL's 5-year average will get us close enough) to an average of 83% of their scoring, the Sox have been held to 94% of theirs when Quintana is on the hill.

When you remove the 2012 season, the differences become even more glaring. Quintana holds "the League" to 3.56 R/9, or 81% of their scoring, and the Sox average 3.89 R/G, or are held to 96% of their average scoring by Quintana's collective opponents.

Since 2013, Quintana is 28th in the MLB among all qualified starters in limiting run scoring rate (R/9), but is 82nd in W/L%. To say that has more to do with how he "competes" than with how poorly his offense has performed for multiple years is beyond silly.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 2:58 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Dec 11, 2006 1:05 am
Posts: 25181
Location: Cultural Mecca
pizza_Place: Pequod's / Barnaby's
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
IMU wrote:
Are Felix Doubront and Kyle Gibson better pitchers than Jose Quintana?



Doubront is a reliever who has pitched over 100 innings maybe once or twice. I barely know who Gibson is but I'm gonna say he has a losing record. You can do better if you want to go this route.

Both of those pitchers "outdueled" Jose Quintana and got wins while Quintana got the loss both times.

Quintana went 7 IP and 1 ER and 8 IP and 2 ER.

Answer the question - are Doubront and Gibson better pitchers?

_________________
Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 3:29 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jan 26, 2016 4:46 pm
Posts: 22532
pizza_Place: Giordano's
IMU wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
IMU wrote:
Are Felix Doubront and Kyle Gibson better pitchers than Jose Quintana?



Doubront is a reliever who has pitched over 100 innings maybe once or twice. I barely know who Gibson is but I'm gonna say he has a losing record. You can do better if you want to go this route.

Both of those pitchers "outdueled" Jose Quintana and got wins while Quintana got the loss both times.

Quintana went 7 IP and 1 ER and 8 IP and 2 ER.

Answer the question - are Doubront and Gibson better pitchers?


He will say "on that day they were better competitors" only a few posts removed from saying this:

JORR wrote:
If your argument is so fucking strong, why are you always disingenuously hiding the ball with short samples?


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 3:41 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79557
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
IMU wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
IMU wrote:
Are Felix Doubront and Kyle Gibson better pitchers than Jose Quintana?



Doubront is a reliever who has pitched over 100 innings maybe once or twice. I barely know who Gibson is but I'm gonna say he has a losing record. You can do better if you want to go this route.

Both of those pitchers "outdueled" Jose Quintana and got wins while Quintana got the loss both times.

Quintana went 7 IP and 1 ER and 8 IP and 2 ER.

Answer the question - are Doubront and Gibson better pitchers?


He will say "on that day they were better competitors" only a few posts removed from saying this:

JORR wrote:
If your argument is so fucking strong, why are you always disingenuously hiding the ball with short samples?



How would those statements conflict? Can't a worse pitcher pitch better on a day? Was Villanova better than Georgetown in one game in 1985? Or are you a bernstein who wants to declare someone better despite what actually occurred on the field of play?

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 3:42 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Dec 11, 2006 1:05 am
Posts: 25181
Location: Cultural Mecca
pizza_Place: Pequod's / Barnaby's
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
How would those statements conflict? Can't a worse pitcher pitch better on a day?

So with that being said, why can't it happen on 5 different days? Or 50 different days?

And go further...maybe there is a reason it is happening...a factor you haven't considered...maybe there is some sort of variable...can't put my finger on it...

_________________
Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.


Last edited by IMU on Thu Aug 11, 2016 3:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 3:44 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79557
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
IMU wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
How would those statements conflict? Can't a worse pitcher pitch better on a day?

So with that being said, why can't it happen on 5 different days? Or 50 different days?



If it does, it does. Are you saying the guy IMU believes is better is better than the guy who actually performed better?

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 3:46 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Dec 11, 2006 1:05 am
Posts: 25181
Location: Cultural Mecca
pizza_Place: Pequod's / Barnaby's
Any given sunday.

Over the course of any significant stretch, I know who is better.

How were you in chemistry, algebra or physics? You don't seem to get variables.

_________________
Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 3:47 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79557
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
IMU wrote:
Over the course of any significant stretch, I know who is better.




You mean like Brett Jackson?

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 4:04 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Dec 11, 2006 1:05 am
Posts: 25181
Location: Cultural Mecca
pizza_Place: Pequod's / Barnaby's
The one time I'm wrong about MLB in about 10 years on the board. Play it up more.

_________________
Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 4:16 pm 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
You have been wrong MANY times.


This is turning out to be worse than a David Robertson o
9th inning.

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 4:32 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Dec 11, 2006 1:05 am
Posts: 25181
Location: Cultural Mecca
pizza_Place: Pequod's / Barnaby's
Frank Coztansa wrote:
You have been wrong MANY times.

Burden of proof.

_________________
Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 5:36 pm 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
viewtopic.php?f=32&t=100064

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 5:58 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jan 26, 2016 4:46 pm
Posts: 22532
pizza_Place: Giordano's
Frank Coztansa wrote:
http://chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=32&t=100064


Top-5 in MLB in FIP, 6th in xFIP but much, much closer to the best (oddly enough)

#1 in batting WAR in MLB

Top-5 in MLB in UZR


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 6:06 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Dec 11, 2006 1:05 am
Posts: 25181
Location: Cultural Mecca
pizza_Place: Pequod's / Barnaby's
Frank Coztansa wrote:
http://chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=32&t=100064

I'm a goddamn Nostradamus.

_________________
Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 6:23 pm 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
Fail.

Even Nostradamus knew that The Simpsons was for adults.

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 6:36 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Dec 11, 2006 1:05 am
Posts: 25181
Location: Cultural Mecca
pizza_Place: Pequod's / Barnaby's
Counter-point:

https://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_sb_noss ... psons+toys

_________________
Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 6:48 pm 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
Continuing the 0fer...

http://m.ebay.com/sch/Collectible-Simps ... 144/i.html

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 6:49 pm 
Offline
1000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Fri May 13, 2005 4:47 pm
Posts: 28634
Location: computer
pizza_Place: Salerno's
Sox +140 moneyline

_________________
@audioidkid
spaulding wrote:
Also if you fuck someone like they are a millionaire they might go try to be one.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 6:58 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Dec 11, 2006 1:05 am
Posts: 25181
Location: Cultural Mecca
pizza_Place: Pequod's / Barnaby's
Frank Coztansa wrote:

1) 11,000 items versus 4,000 items.
2) "Collectibles" is an open ended term that could include items for children. Toys are less ambiguous. For instance, Bart Simpsons stickers came up under collectibles. Are you a big sticker guy?
3) Just because something is made and placed on Amazon doesn't mean it sells well. How many people are buying this: https://www.amazon.com/Dynomighty-Mens- ... llectibles .. furthermore how many adults.

The oh-fer must be the no hitter I'm throwing.

_________________
Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 7:18 pm 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
I didnt post an Amazon link.

Hit the showers and just the loss, kiddo. There is no sejse in continuing to get your brains beaten in.

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:43 pm 
Offline

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 5:15 pm
Posts: 16923
Woo hoo Fulmer brisk walked himself thru that inning. He's starting to figure this relieving thing out.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:57 pm 
Offline

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 5:15 pm
Posts: 16923
Anderson has fast fast hands but he has to learn to keep the tag on. If he did that he's out.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 9:06 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jan 19, 2009 11:19 am
Posts: 23915
pizza_Place: Jimmy's Place
Keyser Soze wrote:
Woo hoo Fulmer brisk walked himself thru that inning. He's starting to figure this relieving thing out.


or not. maybe he could try throwing harder than 91mph

_________________
Reality is your friend, not your enemy. -- Seacrest


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 9:12 pm 
Offline

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 5:15 pm
Posts: 16923
He's a 1 inning reliever.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 9:28 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jan 19, 2009 11:19 am
Posts: 23915
pizza_Place: Jimmy's Place
He's Matt Albers.

_________________
Reality is your friend, not your enemy. -- Seacrest


Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 3602 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 105, 106, 107, 108, 109, 110, 111 ... 121  Next

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group