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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Thu Aug 11, 2016 9:36 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 5:35 am 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Putting this here for when people eventually trickle back to this thread to continue the argument:

Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Since he became a full-time starter, Quintana has limited opponent scoring to a rate of 3.64 runs per 9. In that same time frame, Quintana is 7th-worst among qualified starters with an average RS/9 of 3.81. Since 2012, the average AL R/G mark has been 4.37, and the Sox have averaged 4.04 R/G.

Quintana has held "the League" (because I'm not going through and calculating a R/G average for only Quintana's opponents in the last 5 years, the AL's 5-year average will get us close enough) to an average of 83% of their scoring, the Sox have been held to 94% of theirs when Quintana is on the hill.

When you remove the 2012 season, the differences become even more glaring. Quintana holds "the League" to 3.56 R/9, or 81% of their scoring, and the Sox average 3.89 R/G, or are held to 96% of their average scoring by Quintana's collective opponents.

Since 2013, Quintana is 28th in the MLB among all qualified starters in limiting run scoring rate (R/9), but is 82nd in W/L%. To say that has more to do with how he "competes" than with how poorly his offense has performed for multiple years is beyond silly.


More hiding the ball. This is prestidigitation rather than clarification. You're taking something very simple and burying it in percentages and rates, not to illuminate but rather to obscure.

Yes, the White Sox have scored less than their overall average when Quintana is on the mound. That is apparent with nothing more than a quick glance at his ERA and W/L record. Why you feel the Sox scoring average in Quintana's games is somehow more relevant than their overall scoring average, I'm not sure. It seems to suggest you feel as if this lack of offense is somehow connected to the presence of Quintana on the mound rather than a result of circumstances unrelated to him which may be limiting run scoring by both teams in the games that he pitches.

If you do indeed believe that Quintana is "cursed" or "unlucky" and the White Sox are destined to score less due to nothing more than his name on the lineup card, I would submit that I don't want a starting pitcher on my team that limits the offense in such a manner. That is a point that Big Chicagoan was attempting to make, apparently without success.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 5:52 am 
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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 8:09 am 
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Big Chicagoan wrote:
But you have also pointed out the the Sox are at their worst with Quintana on the mound. Therefore, Quintana is bad for the White Sox. In fact, based on your scoring numbers above, it is a net negative for the Sox to have him on the mound.

He may be good for another team, but he is bad for the Sox. Sox should trade him immediately.


JORR, I thought this post was supposed to be funny, like something straight out of The Onion.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 8:40 am 
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whiskey dick wrote:
Big Chicagoan wrote:
But you have also pointed out the the Sox are at their worst with Quintana on the mound. Therefore, Quintana is bad for the White Sox. In fact, based on your scoring numbers above, it is a net negative for the Sox to have him on the mound.

He may be good for another team, but he is bad for the Sox. Sox should trade him immediately.


JORR, I thought this post was supposed to be funny, like something straight out of The Onion.


I think it is supposed to be funny. I may be misreading him, but my impression was that he was making fun of the idea that the Sox are some how a worse offensive team when Quintana takes the mound, which seems to be a position many here hold. In any case, many refuse to credit the pitchers that are shutting down the White Sox while they are cheering Quintana for shutting down his opponent to a lesser degree.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 8:46 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
In any case, many refuse to credit the pitchers that are shutting down the White Sox while they are cheering Quintana for shutting down his opponent to a lesser degree.



that's because shutting down the White Sox offense is not anything remarkable whatsoever....Rick could go out there and lob some 40mph softballs and probably still pitch a 3 hit shutout


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:17 am 
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Bagels wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
In any case, many refuse to credit the pitchers that are shutting down the White Sox while they are cheering Quintana for shutting down his opponent to a lesser degree.



that's because shutting down the White Sox offense is not anything remarkable whatsoever....Rick could go out there and lob some 40mph softballs and probably still pitch a 3 hit shutout


It may seem like that, but of course that isn't true. As I've gone over time after time, the difference between the Sox and most teams they face is a fraction of a run in average game scoring. And in some instances neither team may have its best lineup in the game.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:19 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Bagels wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
In any case, many refuse to credit the pitchers that are shutting down the White Sox while they are cheering Quintana for shutting down his opponent to a lesser degree.



that's because shutting down the White Sox offense is not anything remarkable whatsoever....Rick could go out there and lob some 40mph softballs and probably still pitch a 3 hit shutout


It may seem like that, but of course that isn't true. As I've gone over time after time, the difference between the Sox and most teams they face is a fraction of a run in average game scoring. And in some instances neither team may have its best lineup in the game.


maybe it seems like that because their offense is ranked 26th out of 30 teams ?


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:20 am 
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And yet there are great hitting lineups and terrible hitting lineups. Those fractions you refer to come from averages. But they aren't fractions of a run in a game situation...and you love your game situations.

Team A outscoring Team B by 161 runs over a full season is a HUGE difference.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:41 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Why you feel the Sox scoring average in Quintana's games is somehow more relevant than their overall scoring average, I'm not sure.


Because you made the argument that Quintana is simply out-pitched more often than not, and this shows that is not the case: Quintana limits other teams' scoring relative to their average more than the other team limits the Sox relative to theirs. BRick wanted me to show the numbers, so I did, and you wet your Depends about sample size, so I found a way to calculate something very similar for Quintana's entire career.

There must be something else that explains Quintana's pedestrian W/L%, because everything else that tells us (more, and better) about a pitcher puts him at the top of the league.


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:45 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
As I've gone over time after time, the difference between the Sox and most teams they face is a fraction of a run in average game scoring.


And as has been explained to you time after time: a simple "fraction of a run in average game scoring" difference can and does result in wildly different distribution of game totals, because each total can only resolve to the nearest whole run. Over 162 games, a difference of even 0.2 R/G can be significant.


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:45 am 
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Bagels wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Bagels wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
In any case, many refuse to credit the pitchers that are shutting down the White Sox while they are cheering Quintana for shutting down his opponent to a lesser degree.



that's because shutting down the White Sox offense is not anything remarkable whatsoever....Rick could go out there and lob some 40mph softballs and probably still pitch a 3 hit shutout


It may seem like that, but of course that isn't true. As I've gone over time after time, the difference between the Sox and most teams they face is a fraction of a run in average game scoring. And in some instances neither team may have its best lineup in the game.


maybe it seems like that because their offense is ranked 26th out of 30 teams ?


Right, but again all but the top five teams average less than a full run more per game than the Sox. Are you really suggesting that a Great Cy Young Candidate Top Ten Pitcher In The Majors shouldn't be able to overcome that the majority of the time?

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:47 am 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
As I've gone over time after time, the difference between the Sox and most teams they face is a fraction of a run in average game scoring.


And as has been explained to you time after time: a simple "fraction of a run in average game scoring" difference can and does result in wildly different distribution of game totals, because each total can only resolve to the nearest whole run. Over 162 games, a difference of even 0.2 R/G can be significant.



We're not talking about 162 games. We're talking about single games being pitched by a supposed GREAT CY YOUNG CANDIDATE TOP TEN PITCHER IN THE MAJORS.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:49 am 
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IMU wrote:
And yet there are great hitting lineups and terrible hitting lineups. Those fractions you refer to come from averages. But they aren't fractions of a run in a game situation...and you love your game situations.

Team A outscoring Team B by 161 runs over a full season is a HUGE difference.


Right, but Team A outscoring Team B by .9 of a run is impossible. And those averages weren't established vs. GREAT CY YOUNG CANDIDATE TOP TEN PITCHERS IN THE MAJORS.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:54 am 
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They incorporate all pitchers, so yes...your top 10 are in there. And your bottom 10 and everyone in between.

Has a good offense never knocked around an ace? Hell even bad teams do it here and there.

You put pitchers up on some sky high pedestal.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 9:56 am 
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IMU wrote:
They incorporate all pitchers, so yes...your top 10 are in there. And your bottom 10 and everyone in between.

Has a good offense never knocked around an ace? Hell even bad teams do it here and there.

You put pitchers up on some sky high pedestal.



Technically, you are the one putting Quintana on the pedestal.


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 10:12 am 
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I don't think that is the correct way to use "technically."

And no. Jose Quintana is a #2 on almost any team...and could be a #1 on more than several. White Sox fans have just decided to make him a scapegoat because they'd rather blame one pitcher than identify that their entire lineup is one of the weakest in baseball.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 10:40 am 
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i troll sox chat boards all day and never seen a sox fan who didn't love quintana.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 10:42 am 
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IMU wrote:
I don't think that is the correct way to use "technically."

And no. Jose Quintana is a #2 on almost any team...and could be a #1 on more than several. White Sox fans have just decided to make him a scapegoat because they'd rather blame one pitcher than identify that their entire lineup is one of the weakest in baseball.


Everyone outside of JORR loves him.

Even though he's a loser.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 10:44 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
i troll sox chat boards all day and never seen a sox fan who didn't love quintana.


Because Sox fans are idiots.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 10:45 am 
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Enjoy the Cubs game today JORRstein!

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 10:45 am 
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no they are morons not idiots.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 10:47 am 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
Enjoy the Cubs game today JORRstein!


:lol: I am going, but I'm not sure they're gonna play.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 10:56 am 
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Quintana has a stronger argument for the AL Cy Young than overrated lunatic Chris Sale.


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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 10:57 am 
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America wrote:
Quintana has a stronger argument for the AL Cy Young than overrated lunatic Chris Sale.



No.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 6:04 pm 
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Abreu's son in Miami watching his pops play MLB for first time.

That's awesome. Hope Jose hits one out tonight for his boy.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 6:50 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 6:51 pm 
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Mattingly second challenge on Sox runners touching second base... 0 for 2, Don. :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 7:12 pm 
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I luuv the Wimparoo.

It's been entertaining for sure.

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 Post subject: Re: Sox game thread
PostPosted: Fri Aug 12, 2016 7:18 pm 
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Frazier looks like he's never played baseball before. Lunging and flailing at everything letting go of the bat. For fuck sake stay back on something.


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