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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:14 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
You don't think the Yankees teams feel pressure in the playoffs?


I think when guys put on that Yankee uniform they expect to win. The Yankees have a mystique. They're actually the anti-Cubs. The first time a Cub player makes a mistake, it's gonna be like "Here we go again". You'll be watching thinking that and don't think for one second the guys on that field aren't gonna be having the same kind of thoughts.


So you believe in the curse then?


Like I said, I wouldn't call it a "curse". The implication of a curse is that some supernatural force is at play.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:20 am 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
However, if you believe that the 1969 Cubs outcome impacts this year's team, then you absolutely believe in a superstition.


Yes, however, there may be common factors among the 1969 team, the 2003 team, the 1957 team, etc. and the current team that make it near impossible for them to win.


And what would those factors be? Wrigley Field? The fan base? Singing "Take me out to the ballgame"?

The water supply, soil conditions, the earth's magnetic pull, celery salt.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:22 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
You don't think the Yankees teams feel pressure in the playoffs?


I think when guys put on that Yankee uniform they expect to win. The Yankees have a mystique. They're actually the anti-Cubs. The first time a Cub player makes a mistake, it's gonna be like "Here we go again". You'll be watching thinking that and don't think for one second the guys on that field aren't gonna be having the same kind of thoughts.


Cubs fans probably do. I can pretty much guarantee the players don't. Do you realize that in 2003, Addison Russell was nine years old and living in Florida?


Yeah, and in 1969 Moises Alou was three years old and his uncle was a big league All-Star. That didn't stop him from melting down under the playoff pressure in Wrigley Field 34 years later.


So, if Alou's relative futility in the playoffs that year was due to some undefined "pressure," what accounts for Eric Karros setting the world on fire and hitting way above his averages? I guess the pressure only affects some people?

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:37 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
You don't think the Yankees teams feel pressure in the playoffs?


I think when guys put on that Yankee uniform they expect to win. The Yankees have a mystique. They're actually the anti-Cubs. The first time a Cub player makes a mistake, it's gonna be like "Here we go again". You'll be watching thinking that and don't think for one second the guys on that field aren't gonna be having the same kind of thoughts.


Cubs fans probably do. I can pretty much guarantee the players don't. Do you realize that in 2003, Addison Russell was nine years old and living in Florida?


Yeah, and in 1969 Moises Alou was three years old and his uncle was a big league All-Star. That didn't stop him from melting down under the playoff pressure in Wrigley Field 34 years later.


His numbers in the 97 WS for Florida and the 03 NLCS are comparable. He got pissed in the heat of the moment. Its not his fault Gonzalez couldn't turn a double play.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:38 am 
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leashyourkids wrote:
So, if Alou's relative futility in the playoffs that year was due to some undefined "pressure," what accounts for Eric Karros setting the world on fire and hitting way above his averages? I guess the pressure only affects some people?


Certainly it affects some people more than others. And as you mentioned, the samples are so small we can't really be sure if it was pressure or not. May the team just had a bad week.

I'm just telling you I'll be shocked if the Cubs win, and anyone who has felt that way has been right for the last 108 years.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:40 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
You don't think the Yankees teams feel pressure in the playoffs?


I think when guys put on that Yankee uniform they expect to win. The Yankees have a mystique. They're actually the anti-Cubs. The first time a Cub player makes a mistake, it's gonna be like "Here we go again". You'll be watching thinking that and don't think for one second the guys on that field aren't gonna be having the same kind of thoughts.


Cubs fans probably do. I can pretty much guarantee the players don't. Do you realize that in 2003, Addison Russell was nine years old and living in Florida?


Yeah, and in 1969 Moises Alou was three years old and his uncle was a big league All-Star. That didn't stop him from melting down under the playoff pressure in Wrigley Field 34 years later.


His numbers in the 97 WS for Florida and the 03 NLCS are comparable. He got pissed in the heat of the moment. Its not his fault Gonzalez couldn't turn a double play.


Image

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:45 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I'm just telling you I'll be shocked if the Cubs win, and anyone who has felt that way has been right for the last 108 years.




If you don't think they can win the WS in THIS season, just say why. If the only reason is because of the uniform they wear, then you are being irrational. I agree that there are multiple reasons why they may not win. Bad performances against great pitchers and poor hitting with guys on base. I don't think the reason they wont win is because they haven't won in the past.

Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:47 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I'm just telling you I'll be shocked if the Cubs win, and anyone who has felt that way has been right for the last 108 years.




If you don't think they can win the WS in THIS season, just say why. If the only reason is because of the uniform they wear, then you are being irrational. I agree that there are multiple reasons why they may not win. Bad performances against great pitchers and poor hitting with guys on base. I don't think the reason they wont win is because they haven't won in the past.

Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.


Well said.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:47 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.


There is no human factor in casino gambling. There are simply percentages that will grind the player up.

Players don't lose championships. Organizations lose championships.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:47 am 
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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:54 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.


There is no human factor in casino gambling. There are simply percentages that will grind the player up.

Players don't lose championships. Organizations lose championships.


The fact of the matter is that "Cub pressure" is a completely unprovable hypothesis and, as such, it's really a circular argument. I could say that the White Sox are historically bad because the hookers and drug dealers around the park hurt morale, but I couldn't prove it so it doesn't matter.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:55 am 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.


There is no human factor in casino gambling. There are simply percentages that will grind the player up.

Players don't lose championships. Organizations lose championships.


The fact of the matter is that "Cub pressure" is a completely unprovable hypothesis and, as such, it's really a circular argument. I could say that the White Sox are historically bad because the hookers and drug dealers around the park hurt morale, but I couldn't prove it so it doesn't matter.

It doesn't matter because it's a faulty premise. White Sox aren't historically bad. That would be the Cubs. Sox are just bad.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 11:57 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.


There is no human factor in casino gambling. There are simply percentages that will grind the player up.

Players don't lose championships. Organizations lose championships.


The fact of the matter is that "Cub pressure" is a completely unprovable hypothesis and, as such, it's really a circular argument. I could say that the White Sox are historically bad because the hookers and drug dealers around the park hurt morale, but I couldn't prove it so it doesn't matter.

It doesn't matter because it's a faulty premise. White Sox aren't historically bad. That would be the Cubs. Sox are just bad.


You realize the White Sox went 90 years without a World Series win, right?

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 12:02 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.


There is no human factor in casino gambling. There are simply percentages that will grind the player up.

Players don't lose championships. Organizations lose championships.


The fact of the matter is that "Cub pressure" is a completely unprovable hypothesis and, as such, it's really a circular argument. I could say that the White Sox are historically bad because the hookers and drug dealers around the park hurt morale, but I couldn't prove it so it doesn't matter.

It doesn't matter because it's a faulty premise. White Sox aren't historically bad. That would be the Cubs. Sox are just bad.


You realize the White Sox went 90 years without a World Series win, right?

Yes. Do you understand what the term historically bad means?

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 12:03 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.


There is no human factor in casino gambling. There are simply percentages that will grind the player up.

Players don't lose championships. Organizations lose championships.


The fact of the matter is that "Cub pressure" is a completely unprovable hypothesis and, as such, it's really a circular argument. I could say that the White Sox are historically bad because the hookers and drug dealers around the park hurt morale, but I couldn't prove it so it doesn't matter.

It doesn't matter because it's a faulty premise. White Sox aren't historically bad. That would be the Cubs. Sox are just bad.


You realize the White Sox went 90 years without a World Series win, right?

Yes. Do you understand what the term historically bad means?

tallest midget award?

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 12:07 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.


There is no human factor in casino gambling. There are simply percentages that will grind the player up.

Players don't lose championships. Organizations lose championships.


The fact of the matter is that "Cub pressure" is a completely unprovable hypothesis and, as such, it's really a circular argument. I could say that the White Sox are historically bad because the hookers and drug dealers around the park hurt morale, but I couldn't prove it so it doesn't matter.



Except the White Sox aren't "historically bad". They had seventeen straight winning seasons in the 50s and 60s, were one of the best teams in baseball throughout the 90s, and then there's 2005.

Just because something cannot be proven doesn't mean it doesn't exist. There is 108 years of evidence staring us in the face.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 12:13 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Casinos make billions on guys thinking exactly like this because that type of thinking is wrong.


There is no human factor in casino gambling. There are simply percentages that will grind the player up.

Players don't lose championships. Organizations lose championships.


The fact of the matter is that "Cub pressure" is a completely unprovable hypothesis and, as such, it's really a circular argument. I could say that the White Sox are historically bad because the hookers and drug dealers around the park hurt morale, but I couldn't prove it so it doesn't matter.



Except the White Sox aren't "historically bad". They had seventeen straight winning seasons in the 50s and 60s, were one of the best teams in baseball throughout the 90s, and then there's 2005.

Just because something cannot be proven doesn't mean it doesn't exist. There is 108 years of evidence staring us in the face.


Isn't that your reason for believing managers don't matter? That even if it's true, it's not quantifiable?

And there are not 108 years of evidence staring us in the face that Cubs players had more "pressure." There is simply 108 years without a World Series title and thousands of variables that could or could not play into it.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 12:17 pm 
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A vast majority of those 108 years the Cub were a poorly run organization. I don't think there's much more to it than that.


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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 12:23 pm 
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None of the NL teams the Cubs will face particularly scare me . I just think they'll find a way to lose.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 12:33 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Isn't that your reason for believing managers don't matter? That even if it's true, it's not quantifiable?


It's not that I think managers don't matter. I know I've said that and I'm sure I've explained that it's just shorthand for saying that you never know how a guy is going to fit a team. Ventura is the same guy as he was when they had that surprising winning season his first year. And Jimmy Leyland was under .500 for most of his career. The effect a manager has is negligible. Joe Maddon is considered great, but there are real quantifiable stats that show his bullpen management is average at best. Maybe that doesn't matter because he has won a lot of games. If players play well a manager looks good.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 12:53 pm 
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We may see mass suicides if the cubs don't win it this year.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 1:28 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
We may see mass suicides if the cubs don't win it this year.


not Hank !


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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 1:29 pm 
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Bagels wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
We may see mass suicides if the cubs don't win it this year.


not Hank !

That sucks.

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 2:43 pm 
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http://www.espn.com/mlb/playoffs2015/st ... b-playoffs

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 2:48 pm 
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IMU = good cubs fan

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 9:55 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Steve didn't mention that he thought the sox would have a winning record.


I did say when the sox fans were hailing their early success that they would nosedive and come back to mediocrity and even predicted they would fall below .500 and predicted the exact week it would happen. But I thought the pretenders (not contenders) would rebound a bit and finish a couple games over .500 But I was spot on, predicting their fall, as Sox fans were claiming they were contenders and thinking they might join the Cubs as a playoff team. :lol: :lol: :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Wait 'Til Next Year
PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 10:04 pm 
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Matches Malone wrote:
A vast majority of those 108 years the Cub were a poorly run organization. I don't think there's much more to it than that.


Too many years I have seen the Cubs operate very similarly to the manner in which the Sox have in the past several years. They tried signing older, 2nd tier free agents, trying to catch lightning in a bottle after yet another bullshit patchwork job by the GM. Theo did it very differently, by trading established players for younger prospects and using great draft choices (while tanking) wisely, to sign difference making young players. He's signed a couple free agents that are easy to be critical of (Jackson and Heyward), but has made far more good moves than mistakes.

Yeah, wait till next year.......it might be as great as this year and end in a Championship as this one may yet. it's nice to know that this season is just the beginning of a sustained period of excellence.

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