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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 2:18 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's just the reality that the cubs were built with a big payroll

Implying the Cubs' success is due to the payroll is a disingenuous statement, and everyone knows it.

It certainly is a good portion of the reason. How can you deny that?

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 2:48 pm 
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I'm also going to go ahead and retroactively give Theo credit for last night's Andrew Miller usage.

I say that jokingly, but wasn't it Theo's regime in Boston that wanted to implement using the team's closer in whatever situation they deemed the most important? I remember there being quite a bit of ridicule when that idea was floated. And before anyone gets all worked up, I'm sure it wasn't a revolutionary thought and somewhere along the line a previous baseball administration had the same game-plan.

Praise Theo nonetheless.


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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 3:05 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's just the reality that the cubs were built with a big payroll

Implying the Cubs' success is due to the payroll is a disingenuous statement, and everyone knows it.

It certainly is a good portion of the reason. How can you deny that?

How can I deny that? I watch baseball games and follow the performance of all teams and players. But if you want some numbers...

2016 Collective WAR for Theo's Major League FA signings: 14.9

2016 Collective WAR for Theo's Draft Picks, Int'l Signings, and Trades: 28.4


I left Dexter Fowler out of both because you could argue him as a trade acquisition or a free agent. If you want to manually add him into one or the other, 4.2 WAR. I also did not include Montero in the trades because you'll bitch that was due to acquiring an albatross contract or something. But if you want... -0.3.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:19 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's just the reality that the cubs were built with a big payroll

Implying the Cubs' success is due to the payroll is a disingenuous statement, and everyone knows it.

It certainly is a good portion of the reason. How can you deny that?

How can I deny that? I watch baseball games and follow the performance of all teams and players. But if you want some numbers...

2016 Collective WAR for Theo's Major League FA signings: 14.9

2016 Collective WAR for Theo's Draft Picks, Int'l Signings, and Trades: 28.4


I left Dexter Fowler out of both because you could argue him as a trade acquisition or a free agent. If you want to manually add him into one or the other, 4.2 WAR. I also did not include Montero in the trades because you'll bitch that was due to acquiring an albatross contract or something. But if you want... -0.3.

So free agent signings on their own are more than a third and the three other categories you said are far less than free agents. Yes, Fowler is a free agent too so you can add that in.

Thanks for proving my point too! This has all been very good information.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:28 pm 
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Fowler would not have re-signed with the Cubs on a very team friendly deal for 2016 if he hadn't been a Theo trade acquisition. Fowler is definitely not going on the FA acquisition list. Or every player that is re-signed would have to.

The performance of actual players that were drafted / traded for, in addition to the fact that the successful trades and drafts allowed for the Cubs to actually spend on FA to fill the minimal holes, leads to the definitive conclusion that the Cubs team success is 100% attributed to Theo's bottom to top organization rebuild.

This topic can now be closed.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:59 pm 
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With or without Fowler your own numbers proved that in terms of war fa signs accounted for at least as much as anything else. That is what I said.

I agree the topic is closed. Big spending the past two years had the biggest impact.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:48 pm 
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Do you math?

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:53 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Do you math?

What math is wrong? 14.9 + 28.4 = 43.3

14.9 / 43.3 is greater than one third. That's pretty substantial.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:00 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
With or without Fowler your own numbers proved that in terms of war fa signs accounted for at least as much as anything else. That is what I said.

I agree the topic is closed. Big spending the past two years had the biggest impact.


I'm not sure about that.

They spent big on Lester and he was OK last year, much better this year.

Heyward-nada

Fowler? 8 million a year. Not sure I'd call that big. He's been good.

Zobrist at 16 million a year? Big money but I think his numbers are a little down this year.

Lackey has been OK.

The two biggest contributors are Bryant and Rizzo. Draft pick and a trade.


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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:06 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
Do you math?

What math is wrong? 14.9 + 28.4 = 43.3

14.9 / 43.3 is greater than one third. That's pretty substantial.


How is "greater than one third" the "biggest impact."

If you want to split up trades and draft picks... FA still wouldn't be the biggest impact...trades would be. Bryant's WAR is ~7.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:42 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
Do you math?

What math is wrong? 14.9 + 28.4 = 43.3

14.9 / 43.3 is greater than one third. That's pretty substantial.


How is "greater than one third" the "biggest impact."

If you want to split up trades and draft picks... FA still wouldn't be the biggest impact...trades would be. Bryant's WAR is ~7.

What is the trade number then?

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:45 pm 
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Dude, I like both of you, but this is worse than a Scooter-Chas fight.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:47 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
With or without Fowler your own numbers proved that in terms of war fa signs accounted for at least as much as anything else. That is what I said.

I agree the topic is closed. Big spending the past two years had the biggest impact.


I think it's safe to say that those 3 dark years were a waste of fucking time. He ended doing the same shit the last few years (FA signings and trades) that he could have done 5 years ago. Remember some of the sad sack talent he brought in to make sure they sucked? It was shameful.

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Last edited by jimmypasta on Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:49 pm 
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I'll let you pindicks crunch the numbers, but the three most important hitters-position players are Bryant, Rizzo,Russell and the Starters are Lester,Hendricks,Arietta.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:51 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
Do you math?

What math is wrong? 14.9 + 28.4 = 43.3

14.9 / 43.3 is greater than one third. That's pretty substantial.


How is "greater than one third" the "biggest impact."

If you want to split up trades and draft picks... FA still wouldn't be the biggest impact...trades would be. Bryant's WAR is ~7.

What is the trade number then?

28.4 - 7.1 - (1 or 2 total for Almora, Soler and a couple others) so...about 20? I'm not doing the exact math all over again.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:53 pm 
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jimmypasta wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
With or without Fowler your own numbers proved that in terms of war fa signs accounted for at least as much as anything else. That is what I said.

I agree the topic is closed. Big spending the past two years had the biggest impact.


I think it's safe to say that those 3 dark years were a waste of fucking time. He ended doing the same shit the last few years (FA signings and trades) that he could have done 5 years ago. Remember some of the sad sack talent he brought in to make sure they sucked? It was shameful.

Wrong.

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PostPosted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:55 pm 
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IMU wrote:
jimmypasta wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
With or without Fowler your own numbers proved that in terms of war fa signs accounted for at least as much as anything else. That is what I said.

I agree the topic is closed. Big spending the past two years had the biggest impact.


I think it's safe to say that those 3 dark years were a waste of fucking time. He ended doing the same shit the last few years (FA signings and trades) that he could have done 5 years ago. Remember some of the sad sack talent he brought in to make sure they sucked? It was shameful.

Wrong.


If they lose THIS year,you can argue until your blue in the face but all I see is 5 years of failure.

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PostPosted: Sat Oct 08, 2016 11:43 am 
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IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
Do you math?

What math is wrong? 14.9 + 28.4 = 43.3

14.9 / 43.3 is greater than one third. That's pretty substantial.


How is "greater than one third" the "biggest impact."

If you want to split up trades and draft picks... FA still wouldn't be the biggest impact...trades would be. Bryant's WAR is ~7.

What is the trade number then?

28.4 - 7.1 - (1 or 2 total for Almora, Soler and a couple others) so...about 20? I'm not doing the exact math all over again.

You brought it up. In willing to concede trades may have been more important and free agents were second. I'm not sure why suddenly you stopped with the numbers you chose to present.

By the way, the free agent pitcher from last night sure seemed to do well!

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PostPosted: Sat Oct 08, 2016 2:11 pm 
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It was all manual math. It took awhile. I gave up since I had already made my point...and didn't feel like putting a ton more effort into assisting in your concession.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 09, 2016 9:40 am 
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IMU wrote:
It was all manual math. It took awhile. I gave up since I had already made my point...and didn't feel like putting a ton more effort into assisting in your concession.

It's because you know that number starts approaching 14.9 fairly quickly. It may end up a little higher but it does prove how important the spending spree was.

That's also not counting Fowler as a free agent who clearly was part of the spending spree even if he was a late stage resigning. That was part of the money spent though. For a guy who was so cocky at the start of the thread suddenly not having enough time seems strange.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 09, 2016 10:14 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
IMU wrote:
It was all manual math. It took awhile. I gave up since I had already made my point...and didn't feel like putting a ton more effort into assisting in your concession.

It's because you know that number starts approaching 14.9 fairly quickly. It may end up a little higher but it does prove how important the spending spree was.

That's also not counting Fowler as a free agent who clearly was part of the spending spree even if he was a late stage resigning. That was part of the money spent though. For a guy who was so cocky at the start of the thread suddenly not having enough time seems strange.

I provided all numbers. I'm extremely confident as I did the math. Re read the thread.

That being said, why would I do your research? If you feel any of my numbers are incorrect or that I'm being disingenuous in how I presented anything, you're more than welcome to do the same work and try to prove me wrong.

2016 club's performance comes from approx 1/3 free agents...it is not the largest factor. Period.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 09, 2016 10:50 am 
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It was your argument. You brought it up. If you suddenly don't feel like backing it up I question if there is a reason.

I'm more than willing to acknowledge that trades may have been more important. I said it was probably close in my very first post.

You framed your argument poorly by comparing free agents to three other categories combined.

Deep down you know that if Fowler is counted as a free agent that the free agency spending spree is just as important. That is why you are refusing to do the math to substantiate your argument that trades are the biggest factor.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 09, 2016 1:14 pm 
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Whatever you say. Again, I can't put much weight into your thoughts and stances as you admittedly don't follow baseball much.

You've never once attempted to back up your own arguments.

Everything I've posted is fact and fully supported my counter to your ignorant statements. There is nothing more to discuss unless you plan on positing a new, relevant, intelligent thought.

Thanks.

Also..I did the math. 28.4 - approximately 9 is trades. So 19.4 > 14.9.

Fowler was acquired in a trade. This thread is discussing Theo acquisitions.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 09, 2016 1:32 pm 
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Ok 19.4 is your answer. What site did you use? I'll make sure your math is right since you want to act like you are. It may be a little bit since I don't know enough about baseball to read another sites numbers.

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PostPosted: Sun Oct 09, 2016 1:51 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Ok 19.4 is your answer. What site did you use? I'll make sure your math is right since you want to act like you are. It may be a little bit since I don't know enough about baseball to read another sites numbers.

Baseball reference

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