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 Post subject: Re: DePaul
PostPosted: Wed Nov 16, 2016 4:41 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
French Jews support the National Front!

Even crazier, FN supports French Jews! Marine didn't want to throw him out of the party. I mean lets get real, that old coot has been denying the holocaust for literally 40 years. But even the FN has to make the tent a little bigger in times like these.

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The only minor difference is the entire run-off election thing. No doubt she will make it into the second round. But at that point, the left voters combine with the right to keep the National Front out of power. That is what happened to her father. She still may win, but most people put her national support in the mid-30% area. It is expected she will be up against a yet to be determined right leaning candidate.

Its time to stop trusting polls, especially when it comes to these far right parties. The one thing that may keep France from flipping the way the UK and USA have is the French people are well acquainted with FN. Whereas the American Trump movement and UKIP are relatively recent anti-establishment phenomenon, FN has been around forever. Maybe that gives less of an opportunity to cut into the base of voters swayed by Trump and Farage.

I dont know, I want to see what happens when we get closer. Marion is much more like the old man and she may inject herself into the discourse in a big way, to benefit or detriment of which side I cant pretend to know.


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 Post subject: Re: DePaul
PostPosted: Wed Nov 16, 2016 4:42 pm 
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Peter Puck wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
Oh, France is gonna fall next. I see no way it doesn't. You think we hate non-assimilating Muslims? Try a country that actually has to deal with them every day. French Jews support the National Front!


I tend to doubt there are that many French Jews left to make a difference in any election.


There was quite an exodus back to Israel. If I recall, the French are not allowed to capture religious or ethnic statistics by law during their censuses. So all of that data is estimated.

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