One Post wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
N.
My favorite quarterback of all time was a second round quarterback.
I'll take my chances with a first round quarterback though. If Pace pulls off giving every team a chance to pass on a quarterback and he ends up a star I'll be very happy.
I guess that's the thing BRick. If you look at the playoff teams, 6 of them got their QB through a first round draft pick (Dolphins, Steelers, Lions, Falcons, Giants, Packers) and the other 6 of them got their QB after the first round (Raiders, Patriots, Seahawks, Cowboys) or through FA/Trade (Chiefs, Texans).
So your chances of fielding a playoff team with a QB the team drafted in the first round are the same as the chances of fielding a playoff team with a QB acquired in some other way than being drafted by the team in the first round.
Nobody wants the Bears to field an offense with no QB. I think the consensus here is that with the #3 pick in the 2017 draft, there isn't a QB worth taking there. I mean honestly, if there isn't a QB that is an obvious selection in the top 3 at this point, anything done at pro days or combines is just propping up someone's value. This is a top 3 pick we are talking about. If it isn't obvious by now that a player, at any position, is worth a top 3 pick today, they probably aren't worth it regardless of what happens in the next 90 days.
50% of the quarterbacks(and it should be 7/12 since Alex Smith is a first round quarterback) is actually a pretty high percentage given how every team gets one pick a year in the first round and it accounts for 7/12 of the quarterbacks in there.
You can find an elite quarterback in rounds 3-7. It happens about once every 5 years and you are probably looking at on average 7-10 quarterbacks drafted in those rounds every year and one will probably hit. You just can't attempt to solve your qb problem with a pick in rounds 3-7 unless you already have a guy and can let him sit for a few years behind him. The Bears could draft a quarterback every year there for the next 3 years and statistically it is unlikely any of them would amount to anything more than a guy like Hoyer.
There really is no argument that a first round quarterback is BY FAR your best chance at getting an elite quarterback. You may fail and you may pass on someone who has a longer career.
I can think of very few teams I am jealous of that don't have elite quarterbacks. I can either hope we get insanely lucky and find a Brady or to a lesser extent Wilson or Prescott(still unproven long term) or I can want the best chance for the Bears to find one. To me, that is in the first round.