long time guy wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
long time guy wrote:
The Bulls will probably still get a top 12 pick anyway Sacramento's.
Do you know how bad that draft protection is for the Bulls? If the pick falls within the protected range in the first round, it becomes a second round pick, still with overall slot protections, if the new pick falls within that protected slotting, the Bulls get nothing. Essentially, with how the Kings are playing (7th worst in the Association, meaning a chance of falling out of pick protection range is currently 0, because the lottery system won't let a team slide back that far), it is a 2nd round pick at best, and even then they might get absolutely nothing out of it.
An executive needs to get fired, just for that.
Sacramento has a chance to get outside of the top 10. Rudy Gay injury hurts but not to the prognosticators here. Rudy Gay doesn't really help teams so his injury is probably addition by subtraction.
They have to finish in the 11th spot, because at 10 the collective chance of evading the protected slots is 9.1%. Right now (9th-worst in the league, last night's stats had yet to update, apparently), that would equate to a final winning percentage of .413, or 34 wins. They're currently 17-27, so they need to find another 17 wins in their remaining 38, during which they play 21 games combined against the Celtics, Warriors, Cavs, T-Wolves, Rockets, Spurs, Grizzlies, Thunder, Pelicans, Jazz and Bucks. Of the Western Conference teams in that mix, they play all but the Thunder twice. Throw in trap games against the Bulls and 2 against the Nuggets, as well as the Kings knowing their pick is top-10 protected, as well as knowing that they're likely going to have to move DeMarcus Cousins, and all of a sudden getting past 10 wins in their remaining 34 is a struggle, and 17 is a pipe dream.
This is a second-round pick, at best, for a rudderless team that will be again picking outside the lottery.
There is a jumble in those spots last I checked. Probably 2-3 games separating a number of teams. It is doable. My point is regardless of the Sacramento pick the Bulls have 3 major decisions.
Of the 3 Hoiberg is probably the least significant. People that are focusing on Hoiberg are wasting their time. This roster isn't built to win. I actually don't want Pax in charge of a rebuild because they have had 13 years already. This will have been Paxson's 3rd rebuild if allowed.
I think Butler should be traded. Main reason is that his value would never be higher. Second reason is that he is the only thing you will get a return on. Lastly I don't think he is that "guy". The Sacramento pick would probably only be a piece anyway. The Bulls need more than that. I would want the pick but it isn't a deal killer and it definitely wouldn't be something to fire GarPax over. They didn't give up much to acquire the pick. No real loss.
Login
Register
FAQ
Search
