http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fanta ... php?tm=chn

PECOTA has never been one of the better projection systems.

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.

Bryant is hitting at least 45 home runs this season and batting nearly .300. This thing fucking sucks.

Has PECOTA ever predicted a major league hitter to hit over .276 or a pitcher to win more than 13 games?

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You know me like that.

90 wins and the winningest pitcher on the staff only has 13 wins...

That would make for a shitty season.

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I think Shwarber will hit 50 home runs. Especially if he's in the lead off spot most of the year. Cuz that will get him more plate appearances.

767 runs scored



Jorr:

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R U SHURE

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.

There's no way Bryant and Schwarber should be less than 50 HR each.

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Blow it up.

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

Looks pretty accurate to me.

Is Lackey really ahead of Hendricks in the rotation? That sounds like a bad idea.

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Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul

In the regular season, it really doesn't matter.

But it does matter to a small degree, which makes it a bad idea.

_________________
Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul

Well, I doubt any decision has been made. This is just another projection.

However, it wouldn't be crazy since Lester and Lackey would be considered more of the workhorse guys, so if you expect Arrieta to have shorter outings here and there (like those 5 IP 97 pitch outings he likes to spin) and Hendricks who even in an amazing season only threw 190 IP... you are better able to have your bullpen prepared.

Small potatoes but it could matter during a long season. The only spot that gets skipped sometimes is #5, so the #3 starter essentially makes the same starts as the #4 starter.

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.

No it doesn't matter at all. All that matters is the number of starts in a 162 game season.

Now you're just being ridiculous. If it doesn't matter at all then why not throw Montgomery out there on Opening Day?

_________________
Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul

Minimum 72.

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Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Matthew, Tulsi, and Don

Is this serious? Do you know the last time an NL player hit 50 in a season? Now we're going to have three doing it on one team. This is a dynasty! 120 wins!

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Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Matthew, Tulsi, and Don

Of course it's serious. I almost even said 60 for Bryant. This kid is the real deal.

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Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul

Rizzo-Schwarber-Bryant will hit 200 Homeruns

They have no chance against the 98 win Dodgers

It's going to be funny when previous PECOTA disciple bernstein calms Cub fans by saying this DOESN'T. MEAN. ANYTHING. THEO. WILL. MAKE. CHANGES. AS. NEEDED.

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Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Matthew, Tulsi, and Don

So if a guy starts 33 games, he's had a good year?

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Oh man...you can certainly tell baseball season is almost here...

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.

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Do you disagree with me, Frank?

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I'd be happy with somewhere around 130 spread between Russell, Schwarber, Bryant and Rizzo.

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Throw in Contreras amd Arrieta make it 150

The Cubs will hit 250 HR this season.

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.

Not since they started testing for steroids has anybody hit 50. Obviously, in the steroid era, a bunch of guys got 50+. Hell, Bonds and Mcguire got 70+

When I was a kid, 30 was a big deal. 40 was unbelievable. In the 80s and early 90s nobody got 50. Off the top of my head, maybe Cecil Fielder did it in the early 90s.

But in the 1950s and 60s Mantle did 50 a few times I think. Of course Rodger Maris had his career year with the 61 record. And a few other guys had 50+