Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
Sale is pretty much a lock for the HOF. Two more seasons like 2017 and he's in. Especially considering this new 'juiced ball" era.
That's ridiculous. What does he have? 85 wins? If you put Sale in now you better put Don Gullett and Ron Guidry in first.
Nobody is going to give a shit about pitcher wins when the likes of Kershaw, Sale and Scherzer are up for their HOF votes. Forget the debate of how useless the "win" stat is, you have nuances like specialized bullpens, five men rotations, starts skipped, etc. There just are not as many opportunities for pitchers to get the "W" stat.
They all have giant winning percentages but I'm gonna say no starter with less than 150 wins is getting in the Hall of Fame. There are way too many good ones out there with more who aren't in.
But like I said, the standards will have to be relaxed. They're not going to be relaxed from 300 wins down to 110 though.
Clayton Kershaw has a higher WAR total than Sandy Koufax in 400 fewer innings, he would be 35th among HoF pitchers in bWAR total for a career, he would be #1 in career adjusted ERA+.
Sale is just behind Catfish Hunter in terms of WAR despite having thrown fewer than half of Hunter's inning total, would be 54th among all starters in the Hall, and he would be 6th in career adjusted ERA+ (technically 7th, because Kershaw is getting in, too).
Catfish Hunter is a questionable HoF guy. I wouldn't use him as a poster boy. I'm sure you don't consider him better than Joe Horlen.
Do you think that there should simply be a guideline WAR cutoff for HoF induction? We could do away with voters and controversy.
No, because as a counting stat, it is subject to the same, or similar, misuses and abuses as other stat totals. It should be considered in concert with other metrics as part of a larger statistical case being made for Hall induction.
That said, I think there are certain benchmarks that are inherently eyebrow-raising for a game that has been around for more than 100 years, and being Top-50, or Top-30, etc. all-time at your position, in a fairly league-adjusted value statistic is one of them.