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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:06 pm 
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Don Tiny wrote:
Just for a laugh ... do you have any actual data to back that up or is this just pulled-out-of-your-ass supposition and bluster?


Well I have the data. But I am sick of countering trolls and uninformed people with real facts. If you need to look it up, Conning is a nice resource. I also use SNL and AM Best. They all have industry aggregates.

P&C insurance is collectively a losing deal. They pay out more in losses in expenses than they take in with premium (About a 103 combined ratio). The industry is only profitable because of investment income earned on the "float". The industry does not return its cost of capital. The biggest competitive problem is that a large portion of the industry is comprised of non-profit mutual like American Family, State Farm, and Nationwide whereby their "shareholders" are their policyholders. These companies try to run their underwriting operations close to breakeven and return any excess charges back to policyholders in the form of premium credits or dividend checks.

Edit: Ah fuck it, the data is easy to find. This is for Homeowners.

2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
in order:
106.9%
122.4%
104.1%
90.3%
92.4%
91.9%
93.2%
For all P&C coverages in U.S.
102.3%
107.7%
103.1%
96.8%
97.2%
97.7%
100.6%

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Last edited by denisdman on Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:10 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
Just for a laugh ... do you have any actual data to back that up or is this just pulled-out-of-your-ass supposition and bluster?


Well I have the data. But I am sick of countering trolls and uninformed people with real facts. If you need to look it up, Conning is a nice resource. I also use SNL and AM Best. They all have industry aggregates.

P&C insurance is collectively a losing deal. They pay out more in losses in expenses than they take in with premium (About a 103 combined ratio). The industry is only profitable because of investment income earned on the "float". The industry does not return its cost of capital. The biggest competitive problem is that a large portion of the industry is comprised of non-profit mutual like American Family, State Farm, and Nationwide whereby their "shareholders" are their policyholders. These companies try to run their underwriting operations close to breakeven and return any excess charges back to policyholders in the form of premium credits or dividend checks.


Dennis is Caller Bob!

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:11 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
P&C insurance is collectively a losing deal. They pay out more in losses in expenses than they take in with premium (About a 103 combined ratio). The industry is only profitable because of investment income earned on the "float". The industry does not return its cost of capital. The biggest competitive problem is that a large portion of the industry is comprised of non-profit mutual like American Family, State Farm, and Nationwide whereby their "shareholders" are their policyholders. These companies try to run their underwriting operations close to breakeven and return any excess charges back to policyholders in the form of premium credits or dividend checks.

Then why doesn't everyone do what American Family and State Farm do? You make it sound like the entire industry is a lie (or at best, that the primary business is a loss leader for outside investments, like movie theaters losing money on movies but making a killing on the soda business).

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Last edited by Curious Hair on Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:12 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
Just for a laugh ... do you have any actual data to back that up or is this just pulled-out-of-your-ass supposition and bluster?


Well I have the data. But I am sick of countering trolls and uninformed people with real facts. If you need to look it up, Conning is a nice resource. I also use SNL and AM Best. They all have industry aggregates.

P&C insurance is collectively a losing deal. They pay out more in losses in expenses than they take in with premium (About a 103 combined ratio). The industry is only profitable because of investment income earned on the "float". The industry does not return its cost of capital. The biggest competitive problem is that a large portion of the industry is comprised of non-profit mutual like American Family, State Farm, and Nationwide whereby their "shareholders" are their policyholders. These companies try to run their underwriting operations close to breakeven and return any excess charges back to policyholders in the form of premium credits or dividend checks.


When you say P&C are you removing auto from that equation? Because Home(Property only) is known to be more profitable vs auto.


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:15 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
denisdman wrote:
P&C insurance is collectively a losing deal. They pay out more in losses in expenses than they take in with premium (About a 103 combined ratio). The industry is only profitable because of investment income earned on the "float". The industry does not return its cost of capital. The biggest competitive problem is that a large portion of the industry is comprised of non-profit mutual like American Family, State Farm, and Nationwide whereby their "shareholders" are their policyholders. These companies try to run their underwriting operations close to breakeven and return any excess charges back to policyholders in the form of premium credits or dividend checks.

Then why doesn't everyone do what American Family and State Farm do? You make it sound like the entire industry is a lie.



I am not exactly sure what you mean. Mutuals by design are owned by their policyholders. So they have no incentive to make a market return on their underwriting books. If they did, they would be overcharging their policyholder/shareholders. Companies like mine and leash's, have shareholders that are distinct from their policyholders (stock held insurers). We seek to earn a 15% return on equity and do so by underwriting to a profit. Since we compete in an industry where we are pressured by non-profit competitors, the entire industry does not make money on an underwriting basis.

It's that simple.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:16 pm 
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Caller Bob wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
Just for a laugh ... do you have any actual data to back that up or is this just pulled-out-of-your-ass supposition and bluster?


Well I have the data. But I am sick of countering trolls and uninformed people with real facts. If you need to look it up, Conning is a nice resource. I also use SNL and AM Best. They all have industry aggregates.

P&C insurance is collectively a losing deal. They pay out more in losses in expenses than they take in with premium (About a 103 combined ratio). The industry is only profitable because of investment income earned on the "float". The industry does not return its cost of capital. The biggest competitive problem is that a large portion of the industry is comprised of non-profit mutual like American Family, State Farm, and Nationwide whereby their "shareholders" are their policyholders. These companies try to run their underwriting operations close to breakeven and return any excess charges back to policyholders in the form of premium credits or dividend checks.


When you say P&C are you removing auto from that equation? Because Home(Property only) is known to be more profitable vs auto.


I gave you industry and HO data above. P&C includes all P&C lines, workers comp, auto, homeowners, general liability, etc etc. Auto is generally a better line, although the recent results do not bear it out- 2010-2016:

100.9%
101.6%
102.1%
101.7%
102.4%
104.6%
106.3%

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:17 pm 
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I would like homeowner only data, if you have it.


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:17 pm 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
Just for a laugh ... do you have any actual data to back that up or is this just pulled-out-of-your-ass supposition and bluster?


Well I have the data. But I am sick of countering trolls and uninformed people with real facts. If you need to look it up, Conning is a nice resource. I also use SNL and AM Best. They all have industry aggregates.

P&C insurance is collectively a losing deal. They pay out more in losses in expenses than they take in with premium (About a 103 combined ratio). The industry is only profitable because of investment income earned on the "float". The industry does not return its cost of capital. The biggest competitive problem is that a large portion of the industry is comprised of non-profit mutual like American Family, State Farm, and Nationwide whereby their "shareholders" are their policyholders. These companies try to run their underwriting operations close to breakeven and return any excess charges back to policyholders in the form of premium credits or dividend checks.


Dennis is Caller Bob!


No I was agreeing with Don.....Bob is talking out his ass for sure.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:18 pm 
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Caller Bob wrote:
I would like homeowner only data, if you have it.


Above. I edited my post. It is a cat driven line, but there are attritional losses- theft, slip and falls on property, dog bites, pipe bursts, etc.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:20 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
Just for a laugh ... do you have any actual data to back that up or is this just pulled-out-of-your-ass supposition and bluster?


Well I have the data. But I am sick of countering trolls and uninformed people with real facts. If you need to look it up, Conning is a nice resource. I also use SNL and AM Best. They all have industry aggregates.

P&C insurance is collectively a losing deal. They pay out more in losses in expenses than they take in with premium (About a 103 combined ratio). The industry is only profitable because of investment income earned on the "float". The industry does not return its cost of capital. The biggest competitive problem is that a large portion of the industry is comprised of non-profit mutual like American Family, State Farm, and Nationwide whereby their "shareholders" are their policyholders. These companies try to run their underwriting operations close to breakeven and return any excess charges back to policyholders in the form of premium credits or dividend checks.


Dennis is Caller Bob!


No I was agreeing with Don.....Bob is talking out his ass for sure.

Oh, good ... you confused me. :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:24 pm 
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http://go.preciseleads.com/auto-insuran ... wners-rise

Quote:
On the other hand (and somewhat surprisingly), the homeowners’ line of personal insurance has experienced three consecutive years of solid profitability. Although it has historically been a poor performer, from 2013 to 2015 the homeowners’ insurance industry averaged a 92% combined ratio, due in large part to more accurate pricing, better catastrophe risk management, and lower catastrophe losses than in previous years.


I guarantee you they absolutely rake in the milder weather Midwest markets. They also really seem to be cutting expenses. I saw it last hailstorm, they counter with their own adjusters, no new roof, they will pay to have six or seven shingles replaced.


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:28 pm 
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Caller Bob wrote:
http://go.preciseleads.com/auto-insurance-profits-crash-while-homeowners-rise

Quote:
On the other hand (and somewhat surprisingly), the homeowners’ line of personal insurance has experienced three consecutive years of solid profitability. Although it has historically been a poor performer, from 2013 to 2015 the homeowners’ insurance industry averaged a 92% combined ratio, due in large part to more accurate pricing, better catastrophe risk management, and lower catastrophe losses than in previous years.


I guarantee you they absolutely rake in the milder weather Midwest markets. They also really seem to be cutting expenses. I saw it last hailstorm, they counter with their own adjusters, no new roof, they will pay to have six or seven shingles replaced.


So you think if you have, say, a (relatively) small section of your roof damaged but the rest is just fine, that the insurance company is supposed to absorb the cost of replacing an entire roof? Spoiler alert - that's not how things work ... or have ever worked.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:30 pm 
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Don Tiny wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
http://go.preciseleads.com/auto-insurance-profits-crash-while-homeowners-rise

Quote:
On the other hand (and somewhat surprisingly), the homeowners’ line of personal insurance has experienced three consecutive years of solid profitability. Although it has historically been a poor performer, from 2013 to 2015 the homeowners’ insurance industry averaged a 92% combined ratio, due in large part to more accurate pricing, better catastrophe risk management, and lower catastrophe losses than in previous years.


I guarantee you they absolutely rake in the milder weather Midwest markets. They also really seem to be cutting expenses. I saw it last hailstorm, they counter with their own adjusters, no new roof, they will pay to have six or seven shingles replaced.


So you think if you have, say, a (relatively) small section of your roof damaged but the rest is just fine, that the insurance company is supposed to absorb the cost of replacing an entire roof? Spoiler alert - that's not how things work ... or have ever worked.


I'm not arguing they should work that way. But yes, I know people that have really got a sweetheart deal when storm damage hit. All this rigmarole and Denis trying to act cool with his fancy graph's..where did it get you? Nowhere, yeah, the homeowner's insurance industry alone has been profitable, based on recent trends..like I said yesterday..so this was a complete waste of time, no?


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:41 pm 
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Caller Bob wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
http://go.preciseleads.com/auto-insurance-profits-crash-while-homeowners-rise

Quote:
On the other hand (and somewhat surprisingly), the homeowners’ line of personal insurance has experienced three consecutive years of solid profitability. Although it has historically been a poor performer, from 2013 to 2015 the homeowners’ insurance industry averaged a 92% combined ratio, due in large part to more accurate pricing, better catastrophe risk management, and lower catastrophe losses than in previous years.


I guarantee you they absolutely rake in the milder weather Midwest markets. They also really seem to be cutting expenses. I saw it last hailstorm, they counter with their own adjusters, no new roof, they will pay to have six or seven shingles replaced.


So you think if you have, say, a (relatively) small section of your roof damaged but the rest is just fine, that the insurance company is supposed to absorb the cost of replacing an entire roof? Spoiler alert - that's not how things work ... or have ever worked.


I'm not arguing they should work that way. But yes, I know people that have really got a sweetheart deal when storm damage hit. All this rigmarole and Denis trying to act cool with his fancy graph's..where did it get you? Nowhere, yeah, the homeowner's insurance industry alone has been profitable, based on recent trends..like I said yesterday..so this was a complete waste of time, no?

You talking out of your ass is indeed a complete waste of time, can't argue that.

However, it is also amusing you speaking authoritatively about how insurance works because you (supposedly) know a couple of folks that seemingly got lucky with their adjuster's assessment ... so please, don't let me stop you ... continue on.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:42 pm 
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Don Tiny wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
Caller Bob wrote:
http://go.preciseleads.com/auto-insurance-profits-crash-while-homeowners-rise

Quote:
On the other hand (and somewhat surprisingly), the homeowners’ line of personal insurance has experienced three consecutive years of solid profitability. Although it has historically been a poor performer, from 2013 to 2015 the homeowners’ insurance industry averaged a 92% combined ratio, due in large part to more accurate pricing, better catastrophe risk management, and lower catastrophe losses than in previous years.


I guarantee you they absolutely rake in the milder weather Midwest markets. They also really seem to be cutting expenses. I saw it last hailstorm, they counter with their own adjusters, no new roof, they will pay to have six or seven shingles replaced.


So you think if you have, say, a (relatively) small section of your roof damaged but the rest is just fine, that the insurance company is supposed to absorb the cost of replacing an entire roof? Spoiler alert - that's not how things work ... or have ever worked.


I'm not arguing they should work that way. But yes, I know people that have really got a sweetheart deal when storm damage hit. All this rigmarole and Denis trying to act cool with his fancy graph's..where did it get you? Nowhere, yeah, the homeowner's insurance industry alone has been profitable, based on recent trends..like I said yesterday..so this was a complete waste of time, no?

You talking out of your ass is indeed a complete waste of time, can't argue that.

However, it is also amusing you speaking authoritatively about how insurance works because you (supposedly) know a couple of folks that seemingly got lucky with their adjuster's assessment ... so please, don't let me stop you ... continue on.


My take was that the homeowners insurance LOB is extremely profitable right now and that is correct.


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:45 pm 
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Don Tiny wrote:
So you think if you have, say, a (relatively) small section of your roof damaged but the rest is just fine, that the insurance company is supposed to absorb the cost of replacing an entire roof? Spoiler alert - that's not how things work ... or have ever worked.


If there's significant structural damage to part of the roof, like a joist splitting, doesn't the whole thing have to be replaced? It certainly calls for more than a reshingling.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:50 pm 
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Image


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:56 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
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no?


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:58 pm 
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This is going to avoid the Midwest. Thank you Hurricane Harvey, I had plans!

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:59 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
joist


Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist

Man is it fun to say joist!


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:00 pm 
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America wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Image

no?

They should have named it "Black Lives Matter, too" then I guess.


Though I dont believe you are dumb enough to think that Black Lives Matter is saying ONLY Black lives matter.


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:01 pm 
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KDdidit wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
joist


Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist

Man is it fun to say joist!

you stupid guido it's pronounced "jerst"

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:02 pm 
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shakes wrote:
badrogue17 wrote:
I knew they were coming but man theres some sad stories coming out now . Family of 6 drowned in a van , little girl clinging to her dead mom before being rescued . Awful.


works better than a seat cushion evidently.

Read the story about the family of 6, sounds like they drove down the wrong river.

Image

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:09 pm 
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KDdidit wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
joist


Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist

Man is it fun to say joist!


Not as fun as it is to say moist.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:11 pm 
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Chus wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
joist


Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist

Man is it fun to say joist!


Not as fun as it is to say moist.



My wife got into a Twitter conversation with a bunch of people about words that sound dirty but aren't and "moist" was the consensus choice.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:13 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Chus wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
joist


Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist Joist

Man is it fun to say joist!


Not as fun as it is to say moist.



My wife got into a Twitter conversation with a bunch of people about words that sound dirty but aren't and "moist" was the consensus choice.


Swell

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:13 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
So you think if you have, say, a (relatively) small section of your roof damaged but the rest is just fine, that the insurance company is supposed to absorb the cost of replacing an entire roof? Spoiler alert - that's not how things work ... or have ever worked.


If there's significant structural damage to part of the roof, like a joist splitting, doesn't the whole thing have to be replaced? It certainly calls for more than a reshingling.


Not to sound like a dick, but this is the frustrating part of the industry. Bob's facts probably aren't even close to the real account (sorry, Bob), and no one knows what they're talking about regarding insurance contracts.

I hear these stories all the time, and they're usually very far from the truth.

And Bob, you are incorrect on your profitability comments, too. P/C companies have to compete with other carriers. If they were making exorbitant amounts, someone would come in with lower rates and lower margins.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:16 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:20 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Image


Image

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 3:21 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
So you think if you have, say, a (relatively) small section of your roof damaged but the rest is just fine, that the insurance company is supposed to absorb the cost of replacing an entire roof? Spoiler alert - that's not how things work ... or have ever worked.


If there's significant structural damage to part of the roof, like a joist splitting, doesn't the whole thing have to be replaced? It certainly calls for more than a reshingling.


Not to sound like a dick, but this is the frustrating part of the industry. Bob's facts probably aren't even close to the real account (sorry, Bob), and no one knows what they're talking about regarding insurance contracts.

I hear these stories all the time, and they're usually very far from the truth.

And Bob, you are incorrect on your profitability comments, too. P/C companies have to compete with other carriers. If they were making exorbitant amounts, someone would come in with lower rates and lower margins.

Sounds like you are making a case how the free markets lower insurance rates. Bernie won't be pleased.

_________________
You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!


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