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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 10:11 pm 
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Went through 3 hurricanes in one season when I lived in FL. One of the worst parts is the heat that comes when your electricity is still out.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2017 10:35 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 2:05 am 
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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 2:58 am 
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Got a bad feeling this could get much worse the next few days.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:44 am 
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Jbi11s wrote:
Went through 3 hurricanes in one season when I lived in FL. One of the worst parts is the heat that comes when your electricity is still out.



You mean there have been hurricanes in the past? Strange, because in yesterday's column Neil Steinberg was blaming this one on climate change.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 6:10 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Jbi11s wrote:
Went through 3 hurricanes in one season when I lived in FL. One of the worst parts is the heat that comes when your electricity is still out.



You mean there have been hurricanes in the past? Strange, because in yesterday's column Neil Steinberg was blaming this one on climate change.



You believe it's a coincidence the 11 worst hurricanes in this country all happened in the last 20 years?

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 6:12 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Jbi11s wrote:
Went through 3 hurricanes in one season when I lived in FL. One of the worst parts is the heat that comes when your electricity is still out.



You mean there have been hurricanes in the past? Strange, because in yesterday's column Neil Steinberg was blaming this one on climate change.


I don't know what or who to believe anymore. Just this week we had posters authoritatively tell us that this is due to climate change and the storms are getting more frequent and stronger. Yet I also remember over the last couple years we were shown we were in some sort of lull of the really bad ones since Katrina.

This data from the authorities, as I read it, seems to show there was pretty much an average amount of major hurricanes and at least things are not getting worse in the last twenty years. A few years seemed to have the most with 5.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E11.html

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 6:16 am 
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312player wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Jbi11s wrote:
Went through 3 hurricanes in one season when I lived in FL. One of the worst parts is the heat that comes when your electricity is still out.



You mean there have been hurricanes in the past? Strange, because in yesterday's column Neil Steinberg was blaming this one on climate change.



You believe it's a coincidence the 11 worst hurricanes in this country all happened in the last 20 years?


That is not true per the chart I linked. Some pretty bad ones in the 1930's and 1950's. I guess you can measure it different ways example dollars which would trend more costly closer to today.

Bottom line is I do not condone treating our environment like shit and purposely doing things to increase carbon etc but there has to be an admitting that there is some sensationalism occurring.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 6:18 am 
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312player wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Jbi11s wrote:
Went through 3 hurricanes in one season when I lived in FL. One of the worst parts is the heat that comes when your electricity is still out.



You mean there have been hurricanes in the past? Strange, because in yesterday's column Neil Steinberg was blaming this one on climate change.



You believe it's a coincidence the 11 worst hurricanes in this country all happened in the last 20 years?



That "statistic" sounds like propaganda itself. Look, I think a reasonable person can acknowledge that climate change is occurring while also granting that it is a highly politicized area of science.

I think it's shameful for someone like Steinberg to take an event like this hurricane and use it as a tool to whip those he disagrees with politically.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 6:53 am 
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312player wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Jbi11s wrote:
Went through 3 hurricanes in one season when I lived in FL. One of the worst parts is the heat that comes when your electricity is still out.



You mean there have been hurricanes in the past? Strange, because in yesterday's column Neil Steinberg was blaming this one on climate change.



You believe it's a coincidence the 11 worst hurricanes in this country all happened in the last 20 years?

Don't you mean most expensive?

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 6:56 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
312player wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Jbi11s wrote:
Went through 3 hurricanes in one season when I lived in FL. One of the worst parts is the heat that comes when your electricity is still out.



You mean there have been hurricanes in the past? Strange, because in yesterday's column Neil Steinberg was blaming this one on climate change.



You believe it's a coincidence the 11 worst hurricanes in this country all happened in the last 20 years?

Don't you mean most expensive?


That is what I thought may have been the thought.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 7:00 am 
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pittmike wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
312player wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Jbi11s wrote:
Went through 3 hurricanes in one season when I lived in FL. One of the worst parts is the heat that comes when your electricity is still out.



You mean there have been hurricanes in the past? Strange, because in yesterday's column Neil Steinberg was blaming this one on climate change.



You believe it's a coincidence the 11 worst hurricanes in this country all happened in the last 20 years?

Don't you mean most expensive?


That is what I thought may have been the thought.

Yeah. Things are always going to get more expensive for these storms because more people live there and there is more stuff to destroy. There was a hurricane in NY that was much worse than Sandy but less people and stuff was in the way so Sandy was worse.

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Last edited by Brick on Thu Aug 31, 2017 7:05 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 7:04 am 
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it definitely depends on the vulnerability of the area. new orleans was devastated by Katrina because Betsy in the 60's nearly sank the entire city. so it was already sitting beneath sea level quite a bit. if another Katrina-like hurricane hits, new orleans will be completely gone.

galveston's hurricane at the turn of the century was extremely devastating. that was almost 120 years ago.

i don't think using hurricanes as a political talking point is worth anybody's time, and undermines what the argument about "climate change" is about.


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 7:09 am 
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W_Z wrote:
it definitely depends on the vulnerability of the area. new orleans was devastated by Katrina because Betsy in the 60's nearly sank the entire city. so it was already sitting beneath sea level quite a bit. if another Katrina-like hurricane hits, new orleans will be completely gone.

galveston's hurricane at the turn of the century was extremely devastating. that was almost 120 years ago.

i don't think using hurricanes as a political talking point is worth anybody's time, and undermines what the argument about "climate change" is about.


Well, maybe we are getting to a more sane time where things can be discussed without sensational claims, alarmist movies and other interference? :lol: Who am I crappin'?

Seriously, sensible environmental policies and changes by both people and industries are good in general regardless of the current debating.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 7:31 am 
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W_Z wrote:
galveston's hurricane at the turn of the century was extremely devastating. that was almost 120 years ago.
Yup.

That one, Andrew, and Katrina are the worst of the worst.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 7:56 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
W_Z wrote:
galveston's hurricane at the turn of the century was extremely devastating. that was almost 120 years ago.
Yup.

That one, Andrew, and Katrina are the worst of the worst.



Ok then so NONE in the last 11 years to be specific.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:04 am 
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W_Z wrote:
i don't think using hurricanes as a political talking point is worth anybody's time, and undermines what the argument about "climate change" is about.


I was particularly annoyed with Steinberg because he did it in an "I'm not sayin', I'm jus' sayin'" kind of way that would be roundly mocked by the intellectual elite if it were coming from a guy like Mike North but he can get away with it by wrapping it around his politically correct talking point.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:06 am 
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W_Z wrote:

galveston's hurricane at the turn of the century was extremely devastating. that was almost 120 years ago.



Galveston's hurricane in 1900 was the most deadly. Mostly because hurricane forecasting back then was a dude standing on the beach looking at a cloud mass 3 miles offshore and saying "That might be a hurricane."

Erik Larson of Devil in the White City fame wrote Issac's Storm about the event. A great read because you learn about hurricanes, forecasting, the event itself, etc. Really great book.


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:08 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
W_Z wrote:
galveston's hurricane at the turn of the century was extremely devastating. that was almost 120 years ago.
Yup.

That one, Andrew, and Katrina are the worst of the worst.
This was also a bad one especially that far north.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1938_New_England_hurricane

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:16 am 
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It's pretty simple. Look at how many people lived in FL or TX back in 1950 and look at the population today. Also, look at the value of property and size of homes today vs 1950. That will tell you all you need to know as to why these storms cause more property damage today. Same thing applies if you go back 40 years, 30 years, 20 years, etc, etc. And 20 years from now, the storms will cause more damage than today even in real dollars.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:23 am 
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Can we all just agree hurricanes are bad? Also, that they wreck stuff and flood shit?

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:32 am 
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The chance that this storm was due to a random natural occurrence or any climate change is nil.


Last edited by Dignified Rube on Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:34 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:34 am 
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Dignified Rube wrote:
The chance that this storm was due to a random natural occurrence is nil.
God was punishing Houston.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:37 am 
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One Post wrote:
Galveston's hurricane in 1900 was the most deadly. Mostly because hurricane forecasting back then was a dude standing on the beach looking at a cloud mass 3 miles offshore and saying "That might be a hurricane."
In the US for sure. The Cuban Weather Bureau had forecast that storm going into the Gulf towards the US, but US weather service ignored those forecasts because they just knew they were better and smarter than the Cuban meteorologists. Whoops!

That storm still packed 35-40mph winds over Milwaukee, and destroyed ship off the coast of Newfoundland as it made its way north and finally dissipated. Thats insane.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:39 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Dignified Rube wrote:
The chance that this storm was due to a random natural occurrence is nil.
God was punishing Houston.

for being a poorly zoned city


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:43 am 
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tommy wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Dignified Rube wrote:
The chance that this storm was due to a random natural occurrence is nil.
God was punishing Houston.

for being a poorly zoned city


And attracting too many people from Chicago.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 9:17 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
W_Z wrote:
galveston's hurricane at the turn of the century was extremely devastating. that was almost 120 years ago.
Yup.

That one, Andrew, and Katrina are the worst of the worst.




Isn't Harvey worse than Andrew?

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 9:18 am 
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denisdman wrote:
It's pretty simple. Look at how many people lived in FL or TX back in 1950 and look at the population today. Also, look at the value of property and size of homes today vs 1950. That will tell you all you need to know as to why these storms cause more property damage today. Same thing applies if you go back 40 years, 30 years, 20 years, etc, etc. And 20 years from now, the storms will cause more damage than today even in real dollars.




All the numbers are adjusted for inflation.

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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 9:55 am 
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denisdman wrote:

You missed the whole point, on purpose I am sure. I hope your 401(k) returns 3.2% annually for the rest of your life. When you come to me bitching about shitty returns from your current funds, I'll reply, "you made a shitload of money."


I'm not sure why Tiny, Leash and yourself have gotten so sensitive to this. Just because you are involved in the industry? This entire argument was set against the backdrop of people losing out on their homes/lifelong possessions because of technicalities with their policies in regards to homeowners and the flood provision. I made an innocuous statement of how unfortunate that is, given the profitability of said business unit over time. Which is statistically correct.

So, if I offended you Denis, I'm sorry. As for Tiny and Leash and your role in the industry...these people's homes are long gone, and these old wrecked piles is all that's left. We gotta live with that. Homes Rehabilitated? It's just a bullshit word. So go ahead and stamp your forms, sonny, deny your claims and stop wasting our time. Because to tell you the truth, I don't give a shit.


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 Post subject: Re: Hurricane Harvey
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2017 9:57 am 
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312player wrote:
denisdman wrote:
It's pretty simple. Look at how many people lived in FL or TX back in 1950 and look at the population today. Also, look at the value of property and size of homes today vs 1950. That will tell you all you need to know as to why these storms cause more property damage today. Same thing applies if you go back 40 years, 30 years, 20 years, etc, etc. And 20 years from now, the storms will cause more damage than today even in real dollars.




All the numbers are adjusted for inflation.
They aren't adjusted for population and increasing values of the property that exists in that area though.

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