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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:42 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:


I only have time to read one of those and I just did. This one:http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/analysis-and-features/the-wealth-that-failed-to-trickle-down-report-suggests-rich-do-get-richer-while-poor-stay-poor-9989183.html. It makes your point. It does not address though current idea I had in that it was corporate behavior not just individual wealthy people. Toward the end though it begins to touch on where we are at now globally.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:42 pm 
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Ogie Oglethorpe wrote:
We must punitively tax those who provide jobs, create wealth, invest, and build innovative businesses.


I'm the CEO of dicklr.ly, the app that tells stories by connecting people with people who will suck you off in the back of a Toyota Camry, and if the government that researched and developed the internet comes after me, I'm moving to Guernsey.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:44 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Where the problem and political dispute comes in, is whether that expanded pie gets served up in a fair fashion. And over the past few decades it has not.


Then maybe go back to tax rates from before the past few decades so that it is served more fairly. I'm not a Communist, I believe in capitalism (people like to have stuff!), but that doesn't mean we don't have a citizenry to look out for. We're the richest nation in the history of the world, I gotta think we can swing it.


My recollection is that when you add all levels of government taxation, U.S. government bodies are taking 40% of GDP tax wise. It is still well below Europe (40-55%), but we're not some undertaxed citizenry. Reagan dropped the income tax rate down from 70%. Local taxation is up quite a bit since that time.


CH, this article that RPB had provided actually addresses this. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/busin ... 89183.html. It says it is not a good idea to go back to pre Reagan-Thatcher 75% but better to do a 50%.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:44 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Any Laffer curve guys here? You collect no taxes at a 0% tax rate and no taxes at a 100% tax rate......so what's optimal?


studies say tax revenues max out around 70%. who knows if that is right, but sounds OK at least in the near term.


Seriously is that true? That'd be something if the government took 70% of all income from everyone.....the structure of the economy would be radically different. Just think of the payment to income ratios built into mortgage approvals, 32% for a first mortgage. You couldn't even afford that. You'd only get 30% of your income.

Edit: Well here are some theories on that:


The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics reports that a comparison of academic studies yields a range of revenue maximizing rates that centers around 70%.[2] In the early 1980s, Edgar L. Feige and Robert T. McGee developed a macroeconomic model from which they derived a Laffer Curve. According to the model, the shape and position of the Laffer Curve depend upon the strength of supply side effects, the progressivity of the tax system and the size of the unobserved economy.[19][20][21] Economist Paul Pecorino presented a model in 1995 that predicted the peak of the Laffer curve occurred at tax rates around 65%.[22] A draft paper by Y. Hsing looking at the United States economy between 1959 and 1991 placed the revenue-maximizing average federal tax rate between 32.67% and 35.21%.[23] A 1981 article published in the Journal of Political Economy presented a model integrating empirical data that indicated that the point of maximum tax revenue in Sweden in the 1970s would have been 70%.[24] A 2011 paper by Trabandt and Uhlig published in the Journal of Monetary Economics presented a model that predicted that the US and most European economies were on the left of the Laffer curve (in other words, that raising taxes would raise further revenue).

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Last edited by denisdman on Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:45 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:


I only have time to read one of those and I just did. This one:http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/analysis-and-features/the-wealth-that-failed-to-trickle-down-report-suggests-rich-do-get-richer-while-poor-stay-poor-9989183.html. It makes your point. It does not address though current idea I had in that it was corporate behavior not just individual wealthy people. Toward the end though it begins to touch on where we are at now globally.

Lower taxes on corporations has always been a part of trickle down theory. Nothing new.


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:46 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
denisdman wrote:

:) Like I started out when RPB brought this up, trickle down is a just a loaded political term. I explained my "theory" which has no word to describe it. But at its root it is how people who make financial business decisions think. And therein, it is a part of free market capitalism where folks with money chase risky returns.

You guys are all pretty sharp but are talking past one another.

I wholly admit where "my side" is wrong or where it has not produced the intended outcome.

That's pretty much all there is to say on it. But mike disagrees.

Yes, lower corporate taxes means more money for them to innovate and create jobs...if that is what they choose to do. Some times (or most times) they put that money in their pocket (or the pockets of shareholders)



I have been saying that in my definition or use of trickle down it includes the corporate portion and return of overseas profits that will occur. That will help us all.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:47 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Any Laffer curve guys here? You collect no taxes at a 0% tax rate and no taxes at a 100% tax rate......so what's optimal?


studies say tax revenues max out around 70%. who knows if that is right, but sounds OK at least in the near term.


Seriously is that true? That'd be something if the government took 70% of all income from everyone.....the structure of the economy would be radically different. Just think of the payment to income ratios built into mortgage approvals, 32% for a first mortgage. You couldn't even afford that. You'd only get 30% of your income.

Well things like that would obviously have to be changed.


Don't a lot of European countries have a history of these tax rates?


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:49 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
CH, this article that RPB had provided actually addresses this. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/busin ... 89183.html. It says it is not a good idea to go back to pre Reagan-Thatcher 75% but better to do a 50%.

No, it cites one neoliberal Blairite who thinks that. It's not the position of the author.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:50 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Any Laffer curve guys here? You collect no taxes at a 0% tax rate and no taxes at a 100% tax rate......so what's optimal?


studies say tax revenues max out around 70%. who knows if that is right, but sounds OK at least in the near term.


Seriously is that true? That'd be something if the government took 70% of all income from everyone.....the structure of the economy would be radically different. Just think of the payment to income ratios built into mortgage approvals, 32% for a first mortgage. You couldn't even afford that. You'd only get 30% of your income.

Well things like that would obviously have to be changed.


Don't a lot of European countries have a history of these tax rates?


You would be surprised how few Europeans own a home. Also, many of them that do have had it handed down for a hundred years or more.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:50 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Any Laffer curve guys here? You collect no taxes at a 0% tax rate and no taxes at a 100% tax rate......so what's optimal?


Apparently, not lower than what already exists no matter what already exists.

Now you've changed trickle down to "any lowering of taxes"

That's not what it is, either. It's a specific principle with a stated goal of spreading (trickling) more wealth to the bottom.

Lowering taxes is not always for that purpose, obviously.


I think you are also misinterpreting it to mean ONLY lower taxes on the wealthy. Most people who subscribe to such beliefs are probably also inclined to lower taxes on everyone.

No, that is the theory. Lowering on the top to help the bottom.

Less taxation or lower taxes in general is not trickle down.


I have a question for you, and it's not some "gotcha" (no sideswipe at Rick this time)...

Say we have a tax system with two income tax brackets...

Everyone who makes under $250K pays 15% in taxes.

Everyone who makes over $250K pays 15% on the first 250K and then 65% on everything over that.

The economy is awful, and a lawmaker is pushing hard to drop the 65% tax rate to down around 40%. He argues that this will help the economy in general, including those over 250 and those under 250.

Would you refer to him as a hardcore "trickle down economics" guy?

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:51 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Any Laffer curve guys here? You collect no taxes at a 0% tax rate and no taxes at a 100% tax rate......so what's optimal?


studies say tax revenues max out around 70%. who knows if that is right, but sounds OK at least in the near term.


Seriously is that true? That'd be something if the government took 70% of all income from everyone.....the structure of the economy would be radically different. Just think of the payment to income ratios built into mortgage approvals, 32% for a first mortgage. You couldn't even afford that. You'd only get 30% of your income.

Well things like that would obviously have to be changed.


Don't a lot of European countries have a history of these tax rates?


I'm pretty sure there was a time in America this century when the effective tax rates on the wealthiest individuals (total) was something like 80 - 90%.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:54 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Any Laffer curve guys here? You collect no taxes at a 0% tax rate and no taxes at a 100% tax rate......so what's optimal?


studies say tax revenues max out around 70%. who knows if that is right, but sounds OK at least in the near term.


Seriously is that true? That'd be something if the government took 70% of all income from everyone.....the structure of the economy would be radically different. Just think of the payment to income ratios built into mortgage approvals, 32% for a first mortgage. You couldn't even afford that. You'd only get 30% of your income.




This was really the Jimmy Carter world we saw in 1980. Most of you are too young to remember seeing 18% mortgages if you could get one at all and what the general economy was like.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:54 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Any Laffer curve guys here? You collect no taxes at a 0% tax rate and no taxes at a 100% tax rate......so what's optimal?


studies say tax revenues max out around 70%. who knows if that is right, but sounds OK at least in the near term.


Seriously is that true? That'd be something if the government took 70% of all income from everyone.....the structure of the economy would be radically different. Just think of the payment to income ratios built into mortgage approvals, 32% for a first mortgage. You couldn't even afford that. You'd only get 30% of your income.

Well things like that would obviously have to be changed.


Don't a lot of European countries have a history of these tax rates?


I'm pretty sure there was a time in America this century when the effective tax rates on the wealthiest individuals (total) was something like 80 - 90%.

yep, and the only reason we got away with it was due to the fact that every other single industrialized country on the face of the earth was in literal ruins (not an exaggeration of the world from 1945-1961)

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:55 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:

I'm pretty sure there was a time in America this century when the effective tax rates on the wealthiest individuals (total) was something like 80 - 90%.


You mean when we were like the undisputed heavyweight champs of the world?

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:56 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:

I'm pretty sure there was a time in America this century when the effective tax rates on the wealthiest individuals (total) was something like 80 - 90%.


You mean when we were like the undisputed heavyweight champs of the world?

it's really easy to have high taxes when there are no economic competitors left because all of their cities and industrial centers were literally bombed out. Try that taxation today and watch us morph into Venezuela within 1-2 decades.

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Last edited by Ogie Oglethorpe on Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:57 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:

I'm pretty sure there was a time in America this century when the effective tax rates on the wealthiest individuals (total) was something like 80 - 90%.


You mean when we were like the undisputed heavyweight champs of the world?


I'm not arguing one way or the other, but I'm pretty sure it's a bit more nuanced than that.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:58 pm 
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I don't think conditions are right for a 90% marginal rate on the tippity-top but I think we could still raise taxes and lower inequality a fair bit.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:59 pm 
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The only way we could get a 90% tax rate to work and not ruin us economically would be for us to start WWIII and make sure every other nation gets bombed to oblivion, but we don't due to our 2 oceans. (better hope no one launches an ICBM or else we'll be with the rest of the world)

Sound like a plan?

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 1:59 pm 
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Ogie Oglethorpe wrote:
The only way we could get a 90% tax rate to work and not ruin us economically would be for us to start WWIII and make sure every other nation gets bombed to oblivion, but we don't due to our 2 oceans. (better hope no one launches an ICBM or else we'll be with the rest of the world)

Sound like a plan?


Is there a downside?

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:00 pm 
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I think the phrase "socialism or barbarism" is a little extreme, but I'm still surprised how many people say "well, okay, then sign me up for barbarism."

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:02 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Ogie Oglethorpe wrote:
The only way we could get a 90% tax rate to work and not ruin us economically would be for us to start WWIII and make sure every other nation gets bombed to oblivion, but we don't due to our 2 oceans. (better hope no one launches an ICBM or else we'll be with the rest of the world)

Sound like a plan?


Is there a downside?

other than a few hundred million dead (on the low side), possible fallout, etc. I can't think of one.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:02 pm 
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I don't understand why we can't just raise taxes really high and then just print a ton of money. No more debt and everyone's rich. Problem solved.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:02 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
I don't understand why we can't just raise taxes really high and then just print a ton of money. No more debt and everyone's rich. Problem solved.

it worked for Zimbabwe!

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:03 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
I don't think conditions are right for a 90% marginal rate on the tippity-top but I think we could still raise taxes and lower inequality a fair bit.



If it can't trickle down how do you make it trickle up? Are you proposing to literally take the money from the top and place it into the pockets of the bottom?

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:05 pm 
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Ogie Oglethorpe wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
I don't understand why we can't just raise taxes really high and then just print a ton of money. No more debt and everyone's rich. Problem solved.

it worked for Zimbabwe!


When I worked construction in college, one of my co-workers asked me the question about printing money. I laughed and then realized he wasn't kidding.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:06 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Ogie Oglethorpe wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
I don't understand why we can't just raise taxes really high and then just print a ton of money. No more debt and everyone's rich. Problem solved.

it worked for Zimbabwe!


When I worked construction in college, one of my co-workers asked me the question about printing money. I laughed and then realized he wasn't kidding.


Shots fired at 312player!

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:07 pm 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Ogie Oglethorpe wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
I don't understand why we can't just raise taxes really high and then just print a ton of money. No more debt and everyone's rich. Problem solved.

it worked for Zimbabwe!


When I worked construction in college, one of my co-workers asked me the question about printing money. I laughed and then realized he wasn't kidding.


Shots fired at 312player!


smh

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:10 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
I don't think conditions are right for a 90% marginal rate on the tippity-top but I think we could still raise taxes and lower inequality a fair bit.



If it can't trickle down how do you make it trickle up? Are you proposing to literally take the money from the top and place it into the pockets of the bottom?
We could pay the bottom a livable wage, but hey that's such a terrible concept that you literally think it's worth making fun of!

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:11 pm 
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Ogie Oglethorpe wrote:
I'm looking to buy a house next year and this plan really doesn't impact that in a negative way. My mortgage will be $200-210k and there is no way my property taxes where I live will even approach $10k per year. I'll still get all of the deductions out of it.


You won't itemize under the new plan dipshit, you'll take the standard deduction.


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 03, 2017 2:12 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
If it can't trickle down how do you make it trickle up? Are you proposing to literally take the money from the top and place it into the pockets of the bottom?

If you mean universal basic income, I think we're headed that way, probably in my lifetime if I don't off myself from 18+ years of depression first. As we discussed in that other thread the other day, we're successfully liberating ourselves from a lot of drudgery, which is good, but that will mean much fewer jobs, so you'll just have to give people enough money to live on while robots do their work. Some people will use that to innovate and start new businesses, others will pursue their passions and create art and media for one another, others will spend it all on pizza and Netflix, them's the breaks.

But I think our priority is a single-payer healthcare system that removes the market from a sector it never belonged in and places the costs of both providing and eschewing care (which are real, just think about how much sick people must cost the economy!) on the state. That would require raising taxes a bit in addition to reallocating some existing money and taking the insurance providers out of the game. But I think it would be worth it and would do a lot for the quality of life of MANY.

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