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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 1:08 pm 
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Jorr, is 65 or 70 games enough of a sample size to know what a pitcher is? I mean if hes sub 500 after that many games that's just who he is?

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 1:19 pm 
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312player wrote:
He'll be 10 games over .500 for his career by September..20ish games over .500 by next September.. You lost this one.


:lol: Okay.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 1:25 pm 
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312player wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Guess who is not smart.

Here is a hint. It's you.


Please eat 6 cooked chicken bones and die.
See? Not smart.

How does somebody lose something that hasn't happened yet? Explain that "numbnuts"

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 1:30 pm 
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Jorr has you all arguing about his record. He already won.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 1:33 pm 
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We're not trying to convince us. We're trying to convince him, with his own logic.

Anyone under the age of 40 who is at least a little knowledgeable about traditional stats and/or modern metrics has no need to be convinced.

Quintana was already a TOR starter while he had a losing record with the White Sox.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 1:44 pm 
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He's 10-4 as a Cub, he's 60-58 overall, everybody outside of 6 Sox fans on this website knew he'd rack up more wins after he left that awful team..It's happened, it will continue to happen.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:02 pm 
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312player wrote:
He's 10-4 as a Cub, he's 60-58 overall, everybody outside of 6 Sox fans on this website knew he'd rack up more wins after he left that awful team..It's happened, it will continue to happen.



I've never once argued that he might not get an extra win here or there playing on a better team. Already this year he's been saved from a bad loss that he hung on his team and himself with a brutal first inning. That likely wouldn't have happened had he pitched for the White Sox or Royals. But it simply isn't the case that he is suddenly going to be a .700 pitcher because of the specious concept of "run support". You vastly overestimate how much his team affects his record.

You keep saying it will "continue to happen". So I have a $100 bet just for you. I say he will be closer to .500 at the end of the season than .714. How about that?

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:13 pm 
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You moved the goalpost from .500 to .608

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:15 pm 
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312player wrote:
You moved the goalpost from .500 to .608

Yeah being 12-8 wouldn't win your bet.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:25 pm 
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312player wrote:
You moved the goalpost from .500 to .608


I don't think you understand how it works. He's well established as a .500 pitcher. You seem to think playing for the Cubs will magically cause him to be appreciably better than that, as if his team averaging a fraction of a run more per game is suddenly going to turn him into Sandy Koufax. If you think the Cubs made him go 10-4, why are you afraid that he won't repeat it? He's still on the Cubs, isn't he?

And look, I'm not even saying he might not have a season where he goes 18-6 or something. Baseball history is littered with ordinary pitchers who had good years. Quintana should be in the prime of his career and he happens to be playing on a good team.

I've never once said that I thought the Cubs were dumb for trading for him. A lot of you want to turn the discussion into the same old tired Cubs/Sox crap. I hated Quintana more when he played on my team. I'm just telling you I know who he is, how he pitches, and what he's going to give you. If you think he's a "top of the rotation" stud, you're just mistaken. And when his career is over he's gonna be right around .500. As a Cub fan you should hope you get his best two or three years. And considering his age, you really should.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:26 pm 
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312player wrote:
You moved the goalpost from .500 to .608

You said he is going to be 20 games over .500 in September of 2019. Q would need to pitch at a .700 clip to accomplish that.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:27 pm 
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I dont think anyone thinks hes a top of the rotation stud. Hes the 4th starter. Hes is clearly going to get more wins with a team that has a competent offense behind him. It's weird that this is even a question.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:29 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
I dont think anyone thinks hes a top of the rotation stud. Hes the 4th starter. Hes is clearly going to get more wins with a team that has a competent offense behind him. It's weird that this is even a question.

You'd think that, but Q actually had a better record when the Sox had the worst offense in the league then he did when the Sox had a middle-of-the-road competent offense

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:32 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Darkside wrote:
I dont think anyone thinks hes a top of the rotation stud. Hes the 4th starter. Hes is clearly going to get more wins with a team that has a competent offense behind him. It's weird that this is even a question.

You'd think that, but Q actually had a better record when the Sox had the worst offense in the league then he did when the Sox had a middle-of-the-road competent offense

Yeah well we'll see. So far since he's been here I haven't seen what you said he is. Hes just been winning.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sun Apr 29, 2018 3:34 pm 
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FWIW, I agree that over the course of a career, W-L record will reflect how good a pitcher is. The problem is it's not really great in smaller sample sizes. While that is true of any stat, it's especially true of W-L record because there are so many other variables at play. If you were trying to judge a guy's performance within a season, I think there are probably better stats.

With Quintana, I can't speak to his time with the Sux, but I don't know how he was able to put up the peripheral numbers he did. He's just not a dominant starting pitcher, and his W/L record with the Sux is about what I would expect.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 9:10 am 
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leashyourkids wrote:
FWIW, I agree that over the course of a career, W-L record will reflect how good a pitcher is. The problem is it's not really great in smaller sample sizes. While that is true of any stat, it's especially true of W-L record because there are so many other variables at play. If you were trying to judge a guy's performance within a season, I think there are probably better stats.

With Quintana, I can't speak to his time with the Sux, but I don't know how he was able to put up the peripheral numbers he did. He's just not a dominant starting pitcher, and his W/L record with the Sux is about what I would expect.


Some guys just know how to get outs without dominant stuff. You may have seen a few in your lifetime grasshopper.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 9:15 am 
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Nas wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
FWIW, I agree that over the course of a career, W-L record will reflect how good a pitcher is. The problem is it's not really great in smaller sample sizes. While that is true of any stat, it's especially true of W-L record because there are so many other variables at play. If you were trying to judge a guy's performance within a season, I think there are probably better stats.

With Quintana, I can't speak to his time with the Sux, but I don't know how he was able to put up the peripheral numbers he did. He's just not a dominant starting pitcher, and his W/L record with the Sux is about what I would expect.


Some guys just know how to get outs without dominant stuff. You may have seen a few in your lifetime grasshopper.


True. And those guys compile W/L records like Mark Buehrle, Jon Lester, and Kyle Hendricks.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 9:25 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
FWIW, I agree that over the course of a career, W-L record will reflect how good a pitcher is. The problem is it's not really great in smaller sample sizes. While that is true of any stat, it's especially true of W-L record because there are so many other variables at play. If you were trying to judge a guy's performance within a season, I think there are probably better stats.

With Quintana, I can't speak to his time with the Sux, but I don't know how he was able to put up the peripheral numbers he did. He's just not a dominant starting pitcher, and his W/L record with the Sux is about what I would expect.


Some guys just know how to get outs without dominant stuff. You may have seen a few in your lifetime grasshopper.


True. And those guys compile W/L records like Mark Buehrle, Jon Lester, and Kyle Hendricks.


On good to great teams that more times than not scored more than 2 runs when they were on the mound.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 9:52 am 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
FWIW, I agree that over the course of a career, W-L record will reflect how good a pitcher is. The problem is it's not really great in smaller sample sizes. While that is true of any stat, it's especially true of W-L record because there are so many other variables at play. If you were trying to judge a guy's performance within a season, I think there are probably better stats.

With Quintana, I can't speak to his time with the Sux, but I don't know how he was able to put up the peripheral numbers he did. He's just not a dominant starting pitcher, and his W/L record with the Sux is about what I would expect.


Some guys just know how to get outs without dominant stuff. You may have seen a few in your lifetime grasshopper.


True. And those guys compile W/L records like Mark Buehrle, Jon Lester, and Kyle Hendricks.


On good to great teams that more times than not scored more than 2 runs when they were on the mound.



Wrong. Hendricks's best record was on an atrocious Cub team. You have it exactly backward. The teams are good because of pitchers like Buehrle and Hendricks.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 5:04 pm 
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Hendricks best season was 16-8 in 2016. That team win 90 plus

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 6:17 pm 
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312player wrote:
Hendricks best season was 16-8 in 2016. That team win 90 plus


I didn't say best season. I said best record.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 10:05 pm 
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Yup :D

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 10:18 pm 
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Strong four innings tonight.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 10:33 pm 
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He wasn’t great but really only made one mistake. Cubs gotta score more than 3.


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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sat May 05, 2018 12:41 am 
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Didn't allow an earned run. Strong outing where his defense and infield singles had him throw a few too many pitches and one mistake. Not a bad day. Sometimes a pitcher will be on the short end when the offense sucks.

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sat May 05, 2018 6:49 am 
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IMU wrote:
Didn't allow an earned run. Strong outing where his defense and infield singles had him throw a few too many pitches and one mistake. Not a bad day. Sometimes a pitcher will be on the short end when the offense sucks.


:lol: Some more than others. Enjoy!

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Sat May 05, 2018 7:52 am 
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Dave WanstedtMU

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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Wed May 09, 2018 3:26 pm 
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Nice game. 6 IP, 1 ER. Likely now 4-2 and 11-5 (.6875) in career as a Cub.


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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Wed May 09, 2018 3:33 pm 
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'77Cubs wrote:
Nice game. 6 IP, 1 ER. Likely now 4-2 and 11-5 (.6875) in career as a Cub.


Few pitchers could "gut" it out and win a game like today.


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 Post subject: Re: Quintana 2018 Thread
PostPosted: Wed May 09, 2018 3:45 pm 
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'77Cubs wrote:
Likely now 4-2


A lot of faith in that bullpen! :lol:

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