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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 12:41 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
just go to fangraphs and see what the guy is "worth." At the end of 10 years compare it to what he was paid. When he turns out to have generated $80MM in value and you paid him $300MM, that is a problem.



It doesn't really work that way. Sometimes a guy gives a worthwhile speech during a rain delay.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 12:48 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
pittmike wrote:
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This whole Machado thing is quite funny. Everything from he is like Almora's cousin to we can just get him for Ian Happ because we are the Cubs. Also, no way he would test the market on the Cubs.

If you get him good luck. But please tap the brakes.

I would challenge you to find any actual reporter saying that he is Almora's cousin. They played together growing up and are still great friends.

I see your straw men are crossing topics now.


Challenge accepted Chief. It was on the weekly show he does with Mac and Parkins and the source was impeccable as it was himself. He described themselves as being as close as cousins and very like family. So legally and genetically not cousins but I am ok with the statement.



The irony is that if Machado comes to the Cubs, Almora is likely a piece that is going to other way.

This is not true, as the Orioles currently have 3 starting caliber OF and many OF prospects in the system.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 12:56 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
just go to fangraphs and see what the guy is "worth." At the end of 10 years compare it to what he was paid. When he turns out to have generated $80MM in value and you paid him $300MM, that is a problem.



It doesn't really work that way. Sometimes a guy gives a worthwhile speech during a rain delay.


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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 1:27 pm 
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Don Tiny wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
probably the perfect opportunity to rid yourself of Schwarber to a team that might actually find him attractive but I think any deal would center around Russell. It seems logical from all sides.

I don't know how you price the guy. I cannot believe he will sign without entering FA. While his ability is worth almost anything you could give up, its just half a year of service.

Agreed. That said, if I thought a high-quality bat was all this outfit needed (as far as 'big' concerns go), I think I'm fine trading Schwarber & Russell and play poker with next year's negotiations.


I think part of the consideration has to be that you are devoted to not losing the bidding war for him. If he signs AND you win the world series this year, Schwarber and Russell would be a pittance.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 2:45 pm 
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https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/05/ ... eltre.html

Rangers might be ready to trade their veterans. Any interest in Beltre, Hamels, or any of their pitchers for the Cubs?

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 2:47 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
probably the perfect opportunity to rid yourself of Schwarber to a team that might actually find him attractive but I think any deal would center around Russell. It seems logical from all sides.

I don't know how you price the guy. I cannot believe he will sign without entering FA. While his ability is worth almost anything you could give up, its just half a year of service.

Agreed. That said, if I thought a high-quality bat was all this outfit needed (as far as 'big' concerns go), I think I'm fine trading Schwarber & Russell and play poker with next year's negotiations.


I think part of the consideration has to be that you are devoted to not losing the bidding war for him. If he signs AND you win the world series this year, Schwarber and Russell would be a pittance.



Nobody wants Schwarber. This trade was better two years ago.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 3:40 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
probably the perfect opportunity to rid yourself of Schwarber to a team that might actually find him attractive but I think any deal would center around Russell. It seems logical from all sides.

I don't know how you price the guy. I cannot believe he will sign without entering FA. While his ability is worth almost anything you could give up, its just half a year of service.

Agreed. That said, if I thought a high-quality bat was all this outfit needed (as far as 'big' concerns go), I think I'm fine trading Schwarber & Russell and play poker with next year's negotiations.


I think part of the consideration has to be that you are devoted to not losing the bidding war for him. If he signs AND you win the world series this year, Schwarber and Russell would be a pittance.



Nobody wants Schwarber. This trade was better two years ago.


Wrong. AL teams are interested because he’s a career DH.


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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 4:00 pm 
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Schwarber is a good DH, spot starter in left or backup catcher. I still think Caratini has more value than him. There are only a few teams that will rent Manny, the Cubs are right there at the top of the list.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 5:31 pm 
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Ron Wolfley wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
probably the perfect opportunity to rid yourself of Schwarber to a team that might actually find him attractive but I think any deal would center around Russell. It seems logical from all sides.

I don't know how you price the guy. I cannot believe he will sign without entering FA. While his ability is worth almost anything you could give up, its just half a year of service.

Agreed. That said, if I thought a high-quality bat was all this outfit needed (as far as 'big' concerns go), I think I'm fine trading Schwarber & Russell and play poker with next year's negotiations.


I think part of the consideration has to be that you are devoted to not losing the bidding war for him. If he signs AND you win the world series this year, Schwarber and Russell would be a pittance.



Nobody wants Schwarber. This trade was better two years ago.


Wrong. AL teams are interested because he’s a career DH.


Yeah, because every AL team is hungry for an .800 OPS DH.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 5:56 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
probably the perfect opportunity to rid yourself of Schwarber to a team that might actually find him attractive but I think any deal would center around Russell. It seems logical from all sides.

I don't know how you price the guy. I cannot believe he will sign without entering FA. While his ability is worth almost anything you could give up, its just half a year of service.

Agreed. That said, if I thought a high-quality bat was all this outfit needed (as far as 'big' concerns go), I think I'm fine trading Schwarber & Russell and play poker with next year's negotiations.


I think part of the consideration has to be that you are devoted to not losing the bidding war for him. If he signs AND you win the world series this year, Schwarber and Russell would be a pittance.

Well obviously. But you don't know that when you make the bet, only after it's all over but the crying.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 6:00 pm 
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312player wrote:
Schwarber is a good DH, spot starter in left or backup catcher. I still think Caratini has more value than him. There are only a few teams that will rent Manny, the Cubs are right there at the top of the list.

The only catching Schwarber is ever going to do is if he turns gay.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 9:45 pm 
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I am not in favor of paying a big price for Machado without a long term contract being signed, which he won't do.


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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 11:17 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
probably the perfect opportunity to rid yourself of Schwarber to a team that might actually find him attractive but I think any deal would center around Russell. It seems logical from all sides.

I don't know how you price the guy. I cannot believe he will sign without entering FA. While his ability is worth almost anything you could give up, its just half a year of service.

Agreed. That said, if I thought a high-quality bat was all this outfit needed (as far as 'big' concerns go), I think I'm fine trading Schwarber & Russell and play poker with next year's negotiations.


I think part of the consideration has to be that you are devoted to not losing the bidding war for him. If he signs AND you win the world series this year, Schwarber and Russell would be a pittance.


It is a pittance even without the long term extension.

Schwarbs and Addy for another title? Yes please.


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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 11:42 pm 
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Exactly, onepost.. Could have won last year if they grabbed verlander.. This is another no brainer.. Dump Addy
Plus Happ or caratini..get it done

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Fri May 18, 2018 11:56 pm 
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Obviously, if this won them a WS, it’d be worth it. But that’s a hindsight opinion. And even then, it’d be hard to say a single player won them a WS.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Sat May 19, 2018 12:36 am 
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So drunk logic here. This isn't about Manny as a rental it's about making a trade for Manny and having enough assets left to consider your farm system relevant even if he leaves in FA.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Sat May 19, 2018 1:03 am 
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He will leave in free agency.
If the Cubs hadn't won a world series in 16 I'd say you gotta go all in to win one. But they did win a world series. The wait is over. The urgency and desperation is long gone. I want to see sustained success. You dont gain sustained success by selling out and swinging for the fences.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Sat May 19, 2018 10:54 am 
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Darkside wrote:
He will leave in free agency.
If the Cubs hadn't won a world series in 16 I'd say you gotta go all in to win one. But they did win a world series. The wait is over. The urgency and desperation is long gone. I want to see sustained success. You dont gain sustained success by selling out and swinging for the fences.



I think that's exactly right. If you think you need a bat at the deadline there will be guys that you don't have to give up the farm to get.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Sat May 19, 2018 12:32 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
He will leave in free agency.
If the Cubs hadn't won a world series in 16 I'd say you gotta go all in to win one. But they did win a world series. The wait is over. The urgency and desperation is long gone. I want to see sustained success. You dont gain sustained success by selling out and swinging for the fences.



I think that's exactly right. If you think you need a bat at the deadline there will be guys that you don't have to give up the farm to get.
Hopefully they don't need a pitcher, because they DID give up the farm last year to get a .500 arm!

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Sat May 19, 2018 1:50 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
He will leave in free agency.

I want to see sustained success.


How do you know this?

I haven’t seen sustained success from Addison Russell in the 3.5 seasons he’s been with the Cubs. Also haven’t seen sustained success from Kyle Schwarber in 775+ at-bats. I like sustained success. That’s why I don’t want to see these two guys in the lineup any longer and would be ecstatic to receive a 3 time all star who’s averaged .280 35 HRs and 92 RBIs the last 3 seasons (on pace for 52 and 155 this year) for them.


Last edited by Ron Wolfley on Sat May 19, 2018 1:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Sat May 19, 2018 1:53 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
He will leave in free agency.
If the Cubs hadn't won a world series in 16 I'd say you gotta go all in to win one. But they did win a world series. The wait is over. The urgency and desperation is long gone. I want to see sustained success. You dont gain sustained success by selling out and swinging for the fences.



there will be guys that you don't have to give up the farm to get.


What farm? Who’s giving up the farm? Where is this farm?


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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Sat May 19, 2018 2:06 pm 
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Ron Wolfley wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
He will leave in free agency.
If the Cubs hadn't won a world series in 16 I'd say you gotta go all in to win one. But they did win a world series. The wait is over. The urgency and desperation is long gone. I want to see sustained success. You dont gain sustained success by selling out and swinging for the fences.



there will be guys that you don't have to give up the farm to get.


What farm? Who’s giving up the farm? Where is this farm?



You're not gonna get Machado by "packaging" all the crap you don't want.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Sun May 20, 2018 12:29 am 
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Jorr.. Machado is an UFA in 4 months, this ain't a Chris Sale deal.. He's a high price rental.. Nobody is giving up a ton of cost controlled talent for 120 days of Manny. Caratini, Addy and an AA arm is enough.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 11:54 am 
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312player wrote:
Jorr.. Machado is an UFA in 4 months, this ain't a Chris Sale deal.. He's a high price rental.. Nobody is giving up a ton of cost controlled talent for 120 days of Manny. Caratini, Addy and an AA arm is enough.


I don’t understand not wanting Machado for a deal like this.


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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 11:57 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Ron Wolfley wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
probably the perfect opportunity to rid yourself of Schwarber to a team that might actually find him attractive but I think any deal would center around Russell. It seems logical from all sides.

I don't know how you price the guy. I cannot believe he will sign without entering FA. While his ability is worth almost anything you could give up, its just half a year of service.

Agreed. That said, if I thought a high-quality bat was all this outfit needed (as far as 'big' concerns go), I think I'm fine trading Schwarber & Russell and play poker with next year's negotiations.


I think part of the consideration has to be that you are devoted to not losing the bidding war for him. If he signs AND you win the world series this year, Schwarber and Russell would be a pittance.



Nobody wants Schwarber. This trade was better two years ago.


Wrong. AL teams are interested because he’s a career DH.


Yeah, because every AL team is hungry for an .800 OPS DH.

Not sure what it was when this was posted but .878 right now.


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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 12:01 pm 
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Ron Wolfley wrote:
312player wrote:
Jorr.. Machado is an UFA in 4 months, this ain't a Chris Sale deal.. He's a high price rental.. Nobody is giving up a ton of cost controlled talent for 120 days of Manny. Caratini, Addy and an AA arm is enough.


I don’t understand not wanting Machado for a deal like this.

Which is why the Orioles will never accept.


They are notorious for over valuing their own assets and holding onto guys way longer than they should.


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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 12:01 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Not sure what it was when this was posted but .878 right now.

It's been in the .900's until recently. I'm a Schwarber basher but he has had a fine season offensively so far.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 12:02 pm 
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They're just not going to give him up for bums you don't want because "it's just a 140 day rental." If it comes to that they'll just keep him and let him walk at the end of the year if he doesn't accept what they are willing to pay him. He's the face of their franchise. It's a much better look for their fans than giving him away to help someone else. They're going to ask for premium prospects and maybe someone will be desperate enough to give them up.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 12:03 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Ron Wolfley wrote:
312player wrote:
Jorr.. Machado is an UFA in 4 months, this ain't a Chris Sale deal.. He's a high price rental.. Nobody is giving up a ton of cost controlled talent for 120 days of Manny. Caratini, Addy and an AA arm is enough.


I don’t understand not wanting Machado for a deal like this.

Which is why the Orioles will never accept.


They are notorious for over valuing their own assets and holding onto guys way longer than they should.


The GM and coach are getting canned October 1st, not sure who's in charge.. Believe the owner is in poor gealth as well.

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 Post subject: Re: Machado pricetag
PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 12:05 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
They're just not going to give him up for bums you don't want because "it's just a 140 day rental." If it comes to that they'll just keep him and let him walk at the end of the year if he doesn't accept what they are willing to pay him. He's the face of their franchise. It's a much better look for their fans than giving him away to help someone else. They're going to ask for premium prospects and maybe someone will be desperate enough to give them up.

You're correct in that Dan Duquette is not running a charity. He also isn't running in a popularity contest. He knows by now that the Orioles are out on Manny Machado in free agency. It is his job to get a return on his assets, to help in his team's rebuild. A bad return, in your eyes, is still better than a compensatory pick after a declined QO.

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