good dolphin wrote:
Warren Newson wrote:
Everyone, including myself, thought pitching would be the strength of the rebuild. Here's a current snap shot of the top prospects/young pitchers:
1. Carlos Rodon- can command his decent stuff, cannot command his great stuff with regularity;
2. Reynaldo Lopez- according to Fangraphs 66/83 in FIP;
3. Lucas Giolito- according to to Fangraphs dead last in FIP;
4. Carson Fulmer- 5.80 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in Charlotte;
5. Michael Kopech 4.70 ERA and 1.43 WHIP at Charlotte;
6. Dylan Cease- excellent numbers at High A and AA;
7. Alec Hansen- hurt for most of the season, 6.04 ERA and 1.75 WHIP at AA;
8. Dane Dunning- excellent numbers at High A and AA, but now hurt;
9. Zack Burdi- has not played all season due to injury;
10. Spencer Adams- middling numbers at AA and AAA;
I used to think they would get 3-4 starters out of this group and then either have a couple of bullpen pieces or a couple of assets to trade. Should I still feel that way or do most of these guys look like busts to you guys?
They look fine. Lopez is defying saber in doing pretty well despite not being good in some metrics. He has the entire year. He certainly looks like a middle of the rotation MLB starter.
Kopech has had more dominant starts than bad ones this year. The bad ones have been very bad and skewing things.
Cease looks fantastic.
Quoting numbers for Hansen three starts is ridiculous. He is essentially in spring training while everyone else is in mid season.
Dunning has been dominant and his injury is not considered serious.
You are missing a handful of other guys in their top 30 who have done very well
Good Dolphin, I gotta agree with you here.
Lopez kinda reminds me of Jose Contreras. Where he con dominate for stretches, and look avg for others. Before Hansen's injury, we were looking at him being the 1st one called up this year. I still think he has the best upside or ceiling. I am interested in what Cease can do. Sounds like he only has 2 pitches, but so did Gio Gonzalez. Dunning, looks steller! Kopech is the wildcard, imo. It is either going to be boom or bust. At worst, I think he is going to be an Andrew Miller type.