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PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2019 8:52 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Antarctica wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Many people said it at the time that Harper was the guy the should have pursued more vigorously. Looking at their needs right now, that couldn't be more correct. They need a RF who bats L with power and high OBP.

If they had landed him all they would be looking for this off season is a big SP and a little BP help and they would be ready to contend.

Wanting Machado was to bet against Moncada and Madrigal, it was always the fault in the org's feeling on this matter. They were out on Harper in December, even though he was always the better player and better value.


Can you imagine a defensive IF with Madrigal, Machado and Moncada with Anderson in RF? Nothing would get through defensively and the OF speed in CF and RF would be off the charts.


There seems to be a divergence in opinion between the eyeball test and the metrics on Moncada's defense. I heard Darrin Jackson refer to Moncada as Gold Glove caliber the other night. I don't necessarily see Moncada as a Gold Glover, but every time I've been able to watch a game he's seemed absolutely fine to me. However, he's -.5 dwar on baseballreference.com.


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PostPosted: Thu Sep 19, 2019 9:00 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Many people said it at the time that Harper was the guy the should have pursued more vigorously. Looking at their needs right now, that couldn't be more correct. They need a RF who bats L with power and high OBP.

If they had landed him all they would be looking for this off season is a big SP and a little BP help and they would be ready to contend.

Many people - on this board - was Keyser. He was correct about a lot of things regarding the Sox. Where is he when he could take a bow?

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 20, 2019 7:49 am 
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Warren Newson wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Antarctica wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Many people said it at the time that Harper was the guy the should have pursued more vigorously. Looking at their needs right now, that couldn't be more correct. They need a RF who bats L with power and high OBP.

If they had landed him all they would be looking for this off season is a big SP and a little BP help and they would be ready to contend.

Wanting Machado was to bet against Moncada and Madrigal, it was always the fault in the org's feeling on this matter. They were out on Harper in December, even though he was always the better player and better value.


Can you imagine a defensive IF with Madrigal, Machado and Moncada with Anderson in RF? Nothing would get through defensively and the OF speed in CF and RF would be off the charts.


There seems to be a divergence in opinion between the eyeball test and the metrics on Moncada's defense. I heard Darrin Jackson refer to Moncada as Gold Glove caliber the other night. I don't necessarily see Moncada as a Gold Glover, but every time I've been able to watch a game he's seemed absolutely fine to me. However, he's -.5 dwar on baseballreference.com.


defensive metrics are completely unsatisfying. They are almost entirely lacking in the scientific certainty of offensive stats yet they are referenced with the same weight.

I really like him at 3B. He is always moving forward, never waiting for a bad bounce. He is as quick as anyone out there. The worst part of his game are popups. He and Anderson look at each other practically begging the other guy to take it on anything popped up on the left side of the field.

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 20, 2019 12:13 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Warren Newson wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Antarctica wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Many people said it at the time that Harper was the guy the should have pursued more vigorously. Looking at their needs right now, that couldn't be more correct. They need a RF who bats L with power and high OBP.

If they had landed him all they would be looking for this off season is a big SP and a little BP help and they would be ready to contend.

Wanting Machado was to bet against Moncada and Madrigal, it was always the fault in the org's feeling on this matter. They were out on Harper in December, even though he was always the better player and better value.


Can you imagine a defensive IF with Madrigal, Machado and Moncada with Anderson in RF? Nothing would get through defensively and the OF speed in CF and RF would be off the charts.


There seems to be a divergence in opinion between the eyeball test and the metrics on Moncada's defense. I heard Darrin Jackson refer to Moncada as Gold Glove caliber the other night. I don't necessarily see Moncada as a Gold Glover, but every time I've been able to watch a game he's seemed absolutely fine to me. However, he's -.5 dwar on baseballreference.com.


defensive metrics are completely unsatisfying. They are almost entirely lacking in the scientific certainty of offensive stats yet they are referenced with the same weight.

I really like him at 3B. He is always moving forward, never waiting for a bad bounce. He is as quick as anyone out there. The worst part of his game are popups. He and Anderson look at each other practically begging the other guy to take it on anything popped up on the left side of the field.



Moncada is a very good 3B who throws rockets to first base from almost any angle. And I was surprised yesterday when I saw that his BA was .312 with a very good percentage of those hits being for extra bases. He may very well get consideration for the Most Improved Player in the AL when you think about it as might Anderson.

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PostPosted: Fri Sep 20, 2019 12:16 pm 
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Those guys are not even the most improved player on the team. It is literally and open and shut case Giolito is most improved in the league.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 01, 2019 2:57 pm 
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Reviews of Machado's first year with the Padres. Not great.

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/276 ... ecade-plus

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Matz: During Machado's first few seasons in Baltimore, he suffered two knee injuries and had the look of a star-crossed talent whose career could be torpedoed by health issues. But since 2015, nobody in baseball has played more games than Manny. That includes another 147 this year. So at least the Padres have been able to count on their $300 million man posting up. Beyond that, Machado's OPS+ is currently 106, which is depressingly close to league average (100). Some of that has to do with leaving Camden Yards, but still. And Machado's defense -- which is supposed to be his calling card -- has been good but not great. I'm issuing a C-plus.

Miller: B. Machado always looks terrifying at the plate, but he has really been great as a hitter for only three years, out of eight, and never transcendent. I keep waiting for him to turn into a 1.000 OPS player -- he was still only 26 for most of this season -- but he keeps gravitating toward the high .700s. His defense still makes him very valuable, a star, but the odds that he'll never win an MVP award are increasing.

Schoenfield: I miss the younger Machado, who sprayed line drives all over the place and played third base like Brooks Robinson. He has morphed into too much of a one-dimensional hitter (the player who once hit 51 doubles has hit just 20 this year) and that one dimension -- home runs -- doesn't play as well in San Diego as it did in Baltimore. He's still above average in the field, but he has lost a step from his all-world days when he first came up. Besides that 106 OPS+, he also leads the NL in double plays grounded into. Meh. C-plus.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 01, 2019 3:11 pm 
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Compare that to Yoan Moncada who is signifcantly better offensively, younger, cheaper and easily has the tools to be at least comparable defensively to Machado. Its a bullet dodged. We can be pissed about the circumstances but things would look really, really bleak if we were paying this guy $30m a year.


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 01, 2019 4:20 pm 
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no they wouldn't

In year 1 he would have pushed Yolmer out of the lineup and probably moved Timmy to an easier IF position. In Year 2 Timmy would be moved to RF with the IF transforming into a lockdown defensive group when Madrigal arrives. The only thing they would need to fill this off season would be DH and maybe not even that.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 01, 2019 4:25 pm 
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They need another starting pitcherg, a center fielder, and 75% of a bullpen on top of a DH should they not resign Abreu.

Use the $300 million to shore all that up and extend the Eloys, Moncadas, and Giolitos etc. In doing so, there is no reason this team cannot at least compete for a WC/Division next season, and be in the mix for preseason favorites to win the pennant in 2021 and 2022.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 01, 2019 4:57 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
no they wouldn't

In year 1 he would have pushed Yolmer out of the lineup and probably moved Timmy to an easier IF position. In Year 2 Timmy would be moved to RF with the IF transforming into a lockdown defensive group when Madrigal arrives. The only thing they would need to fill this off season would be DH and maybe not even that.

So you're gonna move everyone around to make room for a .750 OPS player and pay $300m for the privilege? I just don't get it. There are simpler ways to get to the same place that don't involve blowing your entire payroll on one good-not-great player.

If anything we should be upset about not getting Harper, as they could very clearly use him.


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 01, 2019 11:22 pm 
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Antarctica wrote:
Compare that to Yoan Moncada who is signifcantly better offensively, younger, cheaper and easily has the tools to be at least comparable defensively to Machado. Its a bullet dodged. We can be pissed about the circumstances but things would look really, really bleak if we were paying this guy $30m a year.


Yep. And add to that the fact that Machado is not the kid of star player who would be a good role model for the younger players and would be trouble in the clubhouse. The Padres thought that this guy was going to help them contend and look what happened. They didn't get the bang for their significant bucks.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 01, 2019 11:35 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
They need another starting pitcherg, a center fielder, and 75% of a bullpen on top of a DH should they not resign Abreu.

Use the $300 million to shore all that up and extend the Eloys, Moncadas, and Giolitos etc. In doing so, there is no reason this team cannot at least compete for a WC/Division next season, and be in the mix for preseason favorites to win the pennant in 2021 and 2022.


Silly idea, little Frankie. Robert will be the center fielder next year. They need two starting pitchers and two pen guys. Along with a veteran right fielder. They are a lock to re-sign Abreu and also McCann. I'd give both of them a three year contract with the 3rd year being an option year. Mercedes and Collins and Sheets and Vaughan are in the pipeline and will be ready in 2021 to be contributing.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 7:46 am 
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Antarctica wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
no they wouldn't

In year 1 he would have pushed Yolmer out of the lineup and probably moved Timmy to an easier IF position. In Year 2 Timmy would be moved to RF with the IF transforming into a lockdown defensive group when Madrigal arrives. The only thing they would need to fill this off season would be DH and maybe not even that.

So you're gonna move everyone around to make room for a .750 OPS player and pay $300m for the privilege? I just don't get it. There are simpler ways to get to the same place that don't involve blowing your entire payroll on one good-not-great player.

If anything we should be upset about not getting Harper, as they could very clearly use him.


The only person being pushed is Timmy and really, does a guy who has lead SS in errors in each of the last two years have any legitimate claim to the position?

I agree with you about Harper. I didn't see it then but it is plainly obvious today.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 8:15 am 
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Sox look pretty smart in trying to at least have some sort of incentives at the end of the deal.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 8:45 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Sox look pretty smart in trying to at least have some sort of incentives at the end of the deal.


They look smart because they could say they offered him a contract at the most money, while neither is true. The Sox knew he was not taking an incentive laden deal.

If you look at the timeline and facts of the negotiations, the Sox were never serious about getting him. He sat on their best offer for what seemed months looking for anyone to beat them. When someone did, he came back to the Sox to up the offer. They responded with a non offer, offer.

and some fans want to give them praise for it

They pulled the wool over fans eyes again. Those who were able to see through their bs were attacked by the front office.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 8:51 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Sox look pretty smart in trying to at least have some sort of incentives at the end of the deal.


They look smart because they could say they offered him a contract at the most money, while neither is true. The Sox knew he was not taking an incentive laden deal.

If you look at the timeline and facts of the negotiations, the Sox were never serious about getting him. He sat on their best offer for what seemed months looking for anyone to beat them. When someone did, he came back to the Sox to up the offer. They responded with a non offer, offer.

and some fans want to give them praise for it

They pulled the wool over fans eyes again. Those who were able to see through their bs were attacked by the front office.


Well said

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 8:53 am 
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He's not wrong.

But it's done and over with, so why dwell on it any more? The Sox seem to have a really good core starting to come together with Eloy, Robert, Moncada, Timmay, etc. I would rather focus on what the Sox have to work with right now-- which is a pretty good amount of solid young players-- than the one that got away.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 9:07 am 
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He is correct.
the question was asked if we're still bad about it.....so people are answering.

yes I'm still mad about it. He's a great player. The market determined has value. They publicly stated they were in the market and would spend. They failed. This team has plenty of money where the deal would not have handcuffed the roster / payroll. More of the same. Many....(like me) are tired of it. Am I losing sleep over it? No. Has it compromised my motivation to go out to the ballpark....yes.

Timmay had a great season at the plate. Totally exceeded many expectations. That's awesome. He's still not a short stop that starts on a championship team. I don't know what to do with him.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 9:40 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Sox look pretty smart in trying to at least have some sort of incentives at the end of the deal.


They look smart because they could say they offered him a contract at the most money, while neither is true. The Sox knew he was not taking an incentive laden deal.

If you look at the timeline and facts of the negotiations, the Sox were never serious about getting him. He sat on their best offer for what seemed months looking for anyone to beat them. When someone did, he came back to the Sox to up the offer. They responded with a non offer, offer.

and some fans want to give them praise for it

They pulled the wool over fans eyes again. Those who were able to see through their bs were attacked by the front office.

If he proves to be a terrible contract I think wanting those protections was valid.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 9:46 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
If he proves to be a terrible contract I think wanting those protections was valid.


My shoot from the hip guess is there are possibly more big contracts where teams wished they had protections than not.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 10:16 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Sox look pretty smart in trying to at least have some sort of incentives at the end of the deal.


They look smart because they could say they offered him a contract at the most money, while neither is true. The Sox knew he was not taking an incentive laden deal.

If you look at the timeline and facts of the negotiations, the Sox were never serious about getting him. He sat on their best offer for what seemed months looking for anyone to beat them. When someone did, he came back to the Sox to up the offer. They responded with a non offer, offer.

and some fans want to give them praise for it

They pulled the wool over fans eyes again. Those who were able to see through their bs were attacked by the front office.


You may be right. But bottom line, spending all that money on Machado would not have been smart.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 10:26 am 
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If the Sox were able to sign Machado to a sweet heart deal because there were no other suitors it would have been a smart move. It also appears that it was smart to have some protections in the contract given that he seems to have regressed in some areas, and he's had character issues.

Look at the Cubs and Heyward. Even without the character issues, and he looks like he's staying in shape, the regression in his numbers means the contract is a weight on the team.

Machado seems more like a winning the off-season type of move.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 11:17 am 
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The fact that they identified him as THE target and then went out and failed to land him with no other suitors until someone finally came in and swooped him up is what is frustrating.

It tells me everything I need to know about how the front office operates.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 11:23 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Sox look pretty smart in trying to at least have some sort of incentives at the end of the deal.

San Diego wanted him more. End of story. You can be glad or sad.


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 11:27 am 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
The fact that they identified him as THE target and then went out and failed to land him with no other suitors until someone finally came in and swooped him up is what is frustrating.

It tells me everything I need to know about how the front office operates.
I think it shows that the front office believed he was far from the sure thing that others, including San Diego, seemed to think he was. For the first year, that looks to be a valid concern.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 11:28 am 
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 11:40 am 
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They wanted Machado, but at their price or with protections. I don't think that's incompetence. The failure of their first round picks is the incompetence.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 11:42 am 
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Zippy-The-Pinhead wrote:
Many people - on this board - was Keyser. He was correct about a lot of things regarding the Sox.



Not really. Anderson is still a big problem at short despite the batting title. Have we forgotten his infatuation with "Batty" and Hall of Famer Adam Engel?

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 11:45 am 
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And how Robin Ventura was a great manager and "Papa Ricker" sucks?

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 02, 2019 11:47 am 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
The fact that they identified him as THE target and then went out and failed to land him with no other suitors until someone finally came in and swooped him up is what is frustrating.

It tells me everything I need to know about how the front office operates.



Right. I didn't want them to sign Machado, but if you target him as the guy you have to have, you can't let the Padres take him from you.

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