What's the over/under on wins? I'm hoping he has a bounce back season this year and can get back some of his form during the start of his 2018 season. 15 wins would be great. Contract ends this season so hopefully he's motivated to try to get another year or two in free agency or from an extension.

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I'm guessing 12 tops.

Yeah 12-11, 11-12 something like that ,4.5 ERA . Ain’t gonna be good .

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Proud member of the white guy grievance committee

It aint the six minutes. Its what happens in those six minutes.

9 wins

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He will have more wins than any starter in the White Sux.

Sux on the brain!

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This won't age well.

If that ends up true, something has gone horribly wrong on south side and/or Lester found some new Flintstones Vitamins

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Simple Bob. When it absolutely , positively has to be a dumbass thought .

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Proud member of the white guy grievance committee

It aint the six minutes. Its what happens in those six minutes.

I don't think Lester will be that great but count on the Sux, being the Sux.

If he can give them 150 innings and have 20 of his starts be 5 IP 2 R, it will be a positive season for this point in his contract.

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"When people want their version of the truth, they go find it, no matter how baseless their beliefs." -- Ken Rosenthal

He'll gut out 13 wins

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Be well

GO BEARS!!!

He'll have a stretch where hes neigh unhittable for 3 or 4 games, at least one of which he'll lose due to circumstances beyond his control. Then he'll have 3 games in a row where he 1, 2, 3s the first 3 innings then lays a 7 run stinker in the 4th.
Maybe he will average just over 5 innings a start.
I'm thinking 11 games to the good if the offense keeps up their end of the deal.
Hes now a #4 on a good rotation.

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"Play until it hurts, then play until it hurts to not play."
http://soundcloud.com/darkside124 HOF 2013, MM Champion 2014

He'll have some number of wins and as usual that total will not have any correlation to how well he pitched.

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.

Yeah, we get it. Wins are team based. Wakka Wakka.

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I'm having a hard time accepting that we've hit the point in his contract where we shouldn't expect more than 4th starter type numbers. Last season was bad, but he had some really good stretches just two years ago where he was getting out of jams with good pitches low and away.

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I actually thought he would have hit this point sooner in the contract given the number of innings he has thrown. The Cubs should be thankful if he hits double digit wins this year and send him on his way.

Still a great signing. Outstanding in 15 and 16. Keuchel is no Lester.

BaBaBoobie gets it.

Same here. Figured he'd lose velocity quicker and not be able to blow away hitters with that rising curve up and in. I also hope Ross has some positive impact on him.

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If the over under is 12, I'll take the over.

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wins don't matter

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O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

Jon Lester has a career win% of .638

That tells you everything you need to know about him as he was in the prime of his career.

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Played for some really great Red Sox teams and Cubs teams.

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.

And they way he pitched every fifth day was part of the reason that made those teams good.

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He pitched well and the stats reflect that. He played on good teams that also won a lot on those other 4 days with other players that played well and the stats that reflect that.

Stats never lie, but Pitcher record sometimes does. Simple as that. You can't trust it.

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.

A pitcher's record during part of a season can lie. Over the course of 100, 200+ starts a starting pitcher's record never lies.

Its why Lester wins games at nearly a .640 clip, and Quintana barely squeeks out a .500 W-L.

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So if you had Lester on the Marlins or Mariners over the last 15 seasons, is there a better chance his record would be about .500 or that he would be pitching in 8 postseasons for those teams and winning 3 World Series?

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.

I think if Lester had 200 starts for either team, he would still have a W-L near .600

Outside of an injury plagued 1-8 2019 campaign, Felix Hernandez was 168-128 over 400 starts for the Mariners.

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Felix Hernandez was a better pitcher, with better statistics, for a worse team, with a lesser career winning percentage that reflects that.

Switch their teams, and their career winning percentages switch with them.

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Rick Hahn is the best GM in baseball.