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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 1:43 am 
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Spaulding wrote:
spanky wrote:
In reverse order:

4. I won’t get anything for “nothing” and I don’t have any idea how you got those numbers. I have no clue on my own numbers. I’ve paid a large amount into TRS every single paycheck for 22 years....
3. I thought you were actually trying to have a serous conversation. But....
2. I actually overspent. I knew that I’d have plenty of time to do some painting and other HI projects.
1. The reality of “what happens of the supply chain ends” has existed.....forever. Whether or not affluent suburbanites hoarded TP or not.


You are in a unique position. Your retirement is guaranteed sort of mostly. You'll be fine.

Wrong

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 1:53 am 
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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 2:12 am 
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spanky wrote:
Spaulding wrote:
spanky wrote:
In reverse order:

4. I won’t get anything for “nothing” and I don’t have any idea how you got those numbers. I have no clue on my own numbers. I’ve paid a large amount into TRS every single paycheck for 22 years....
3. I thought you were actually trying to have a serous conversation. But....
2. I actually overspent. I knew that I’d have plenty of time to do some painting and other HI projects.
1. The reality of “what happens of the supply chain ends” has existed.....forever. Whether or not affluent suburbanites hoarded TP or not.


You are in a unique position. Your retirement is guaranteed sort of mostly. You'll be fine.

Wrong


Outside of the state constitution being re-opened in 2028 what other way will they possibly mess with the pensions? Bankruptcy maybe, but that is currently not allowed.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:12 am 
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spanky wrote:
Spaulding wrote:
All those exist or existed and nobody shut down worldwide operations because of it.

(I’m using this as an example, not necessarily picking on you)

I’ve seen this a lot too. Yes, the stock market is tumbling, and I can’t personally buy a polo for work at Kohl’s (but I can online!)...


Go to jewel tomorrow for food for your family.
Go to BP for gas for your car.
Go to Walgreens for some makeup or Pepto.
Go to Starbucks for a latte.

All are available. People blame the media for “creating panic for a flu!”....
But all of these are available. This is the panic that doesn’t need to exist.

:lol: :lol: :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:20 am 
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Nas wrote:
spanky wrote:
spanky wrote:
You know...the ones who still think this thing isn't real...
That this isn't an actual global emergency...
That this is just a made up crisis or a "hoax"...


Keep fighting the good fight, people. You'll eventually prove yourself right when you yourself don't die, or even get seriously sick.


In my day to day personal and work life, I'm down to 2 actual people that still think is some overblown, "30,000 people die from the flu every year" thing. That number has gone way down in the last week.....

I'm not sure of the upside of being one of the last holdouts to accepting science and medicine on something like this, but in a strange way...I admire your persistence.

It seems like we have more people finally realizing “holy shit, this virus is actually serious” since we started this specific discussion. Not only on this board, but in the world in general.

It’s not “the flu”. All of us should be doing our part to stop the spread of this as much as we can.


Nothing has changed. Everyone still believes that it's serious and that the response is stupid. Since your last visit even more actually believe that the response is stupid.


I have to say my position has changed in that I've come to realize that there was no way to stop the economy from crashing by carrying on business as usual. An extra million+ deaths over a six month period was going to be devastating.

And okay, this isn't the flu. But as far as what the coronavirus actually is, I'm not sure. I see all kinds of different numbers, interpretations of numbers, and anecdotes. Obviously, it's far more contagious than the flu. It seems to be more deadly, but even if it isn't, the contagion factor is going to cause it to be so. Whether it's more deadly on a percentage basis is really immaterial. More people are getting it. And more people are going to die than die in a typical flu season. They won't all be 80 years old either.

As far as "getting back to normal" as quickly as possible is concerned, there is no getting back to normal. There will be a new normal. (As much as I dislike the term "new normal".) If we reopened bars and restaurants tomorrow, do you think every waiter and bartender would show up for work? Or would many of them be terrified of catching this shit? Many would show up because they need the money, but it would be like being ordered to go to war. And how many customers would there be?

I still agree with Nas that the response to this can't just be "if it saves a single life we do it". There has to be consideration given to what the world is going to look like after (if?) we can beat this thing.

About a month ago, my cousin and I were talking and he asked, "Why can't we just shut everything down for fourteen days and this would all be over?" Then we both laughed. It seemed utterly absurd at the time. Yesterday I read an article where multiple epidemiologists agreed that if we could freeze every single person in place without anyone within six feet for two weeks this virus would be over.

I don't know if it's too late for such an action now or not. It's obviously more difficult to achieve in a country where freedom and individual rights are high values. You need the public to buy in they way we bought in during the World Wars or after 9/11. And we need to calm people's fears regarding a potential lack of food and other necessities.

I don't blame Trump for this in any way and the media are doing the same things to him they've been doing for four years. But his leadership in this crisis has been squishy at best. It's completely inappropriate to take personal shots at Mitt Romney- or anyone else- when the world is coming apart. I appreciate that he has tried to hang the blame for this on China where it belongs. But his point has been made as much as it can be. It's time to move past that for the time being. China must be dealt with later.

I have to say, coronavirus has made me realize how dumb it's been to argue about who the president is. This is way beyond any single human being who might be in the Oval Office. But we do have to make sure our election goes off as smoothly as possible in November. There can't be any postponement. And we should be making some emergency provision for Congressmen who are stricken to be able to participate in votes and represent their constituents.

Finally, for those who say spanky's retirement is safe, I think that's just wrong. Nothing is safe. Hell, I'm not sure it was safe before this happened. But it seems clear to me that there isn't going to be money to fund everything we want to fund. I see some "socialists" saying that the government must step in and close all "non-essential" businesses and follow that up with massive social spending. Where the fuck do they think the money comes from? Oh, that's right. You just print it.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:27 am 
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JORR, it's okay. Walgreens is still open.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:30 am 
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Why is Starbucks still open?

That seems a bit unnecessary.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:35 am 
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Spaulding wrote:
spanky wrote:
I understand that the money part is what you are stressing over, and that is understandable. We are all
Going to have a new reality whenever this is over.

As far as the total numbers go, what do you think they will look like 1 week from tonight?
Just an opinion. You are a super smart person, so let’s make some educated guesses about how many cases there will be by next Sunday night in the state of Illinois?

I’ll let you set the over/under


I'm personally (probably) going to go unaffected household wise. My husband's job shouldn't be an issue but our retirement and investments will take a hit. We can recover or figure it out, it's fine. I don't think society should collapse or the government should take over. If 110K people die of 13M and if 1M people get sick they get sick. We cannot stay in our houses for 9 months or 6 weeks and then be told to go back inside whenever they deem it's necessary.



Do you think this bolded part might be coloring your reaction to all of this?

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:37 am 
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Jbi11s wrote:
Why is Starbucks still open?

That seems a bit unnecessary.



Your wife is obviously not a coffee fiend.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 6:40 am 
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SpiralStairs wrote:
Spaulding wrote:
spanky wrote:
I understand that the money part is what you are stressing over, and that is understandable. We are all
Going to have a new reality whenever this is over.

As far as the total numbers go, what do you think they will look like 1 week from tonight?
Just an opinion. You are a super smart person, so let’s make some educated guesses about how many cases there will be by next Sunday night in the state of Illinois?

I’ll let you set the over/under


I'm personally (probably) going to go unaffected household wise. My husband's job shouldn't be an issue but our retirement and investments will take a hit. We can recover or figure it out, it's fine. I don't think society should collapse or the government should take over. If 110K people die of 13M and if 1M people get sick they get sick. We cannot stay in our houses for 9 months or 6 weeks and then be told to go back inside whenever they deem it's necessary.



Do you think this bolded part might be coloring your reaction to all of this?

We're all going to be fine. Free lunches at DG schools.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:04 am 
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spanky wrote:
Nas wrote:
spanky wrote:
Our country is being run by scientists. I'm not exactly comfortable with that.

I don’t agree wit this. And as I said before, you don’t agree with half the stuff you post either.
But it begs the question, what single profession would you rather have run the country?

If scientists ran this thing, we would have taken drastic measures WAY earlier.

Really? When?

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 8:53 am 
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spanky wrote:
Nas wrote:
Our country is being run by scientists. I'm not exactly comfortable with that.

I don’t agree wit this. And as I said before, you don’t agree with half the stuff you post either.
But it begs the question, what single profession would you rather have run the country?

If scientists ran this thing, we would have taken drastic measures WAY earlier.


I think there needs to be a consensus between doctors and economists. I'm sure you don't want us to drive ourselves into a post apocalyptic hell for a generation in order to save a few thousand people who probably have less than ten years to live anyway.

A good doctor shouldn't be thinking about economics. That's not what they do. It's not what we want them to do. That's why I found it so offensive when Zeke Emanuel was advocating for the rationing of healthcare and said he didn't want to live past 75 anyway. (Let's ask him again when he's 74.) That's a decision that may have to be made. And there's a legitimate discussion we should have. But we don't want our doctors arguing that side of it.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 8:56 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I think there needs to be a consensus between doctors and economists. I'm sure you don't want us to drive ourselves into a post apocalyptic hell for a generation in order to save a few thousand people who probably have less than ten years to live anyway.

A good doctor shouldn't be thinking about economics. That's not what they do. It's not what we want them to do. That's why I found it so offensive when Zeke Emanuel was advocating for the rationing of healthcare and said he didn't want to live past 75 anyway. (Let's ask him again when he's 74.) That's a decision that may have to be made. And there's a legitimate discussion we should have. But we don't want our doctors arguing that side of it.

The issue now is doctors get themselves on Twitter and involve themselves in the economic facets. Because they are a likable class of people, extremely trained & skilled and "on the frontlines" people listen to them way more than stodgy old economist from University of Chicago. And the more dire their language the more attention the doctors get, and that dopamine hit is hard for a lot of people to say no to.


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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 8:58 am 
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Antarctica wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

I think there needs to be a consensus between doctors and economists. I'm sure you don't want us to drive ourselves into a post apocalyptic hell for a generation in order to save a few thousand people who probably have less than ten years to live anyway.

A good doctor shouldn't be thinking about economics. That's not what they do. It's not what we want them to do. That's why I found it so offensive when Zeke Emanuel was advocating for the rationing of healthcare and said he didn't want to live past 75 anyway. (Let's ask him again when he's 74.) That's a decision that may have to be made. And there's a legitimate discussion we should have. But we don't want our doctors arguing that side of it.

The issue now is doctors get themselves on Twitter and involve themselves in the economic facets. Because they are a likable class of people, extremely trained & skilled and "on the frontlines" people listen to them way more than stodgy old economist from University of Chicago. And the more dire their language the more attention the doctors get, and that dopamine hit is hard for a lot of people to say no to.



Yeah, our society respects medical doctors. If a doctor advised dan bernstein to put on a propeller beanie and walk around North Center with his cock out, dan wouldn't question it. A lot of other people are like that too.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:03 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Yeah, our society respects medical doctors. If a doctor advised dan bernstein to put on a propeller beanie and walk around North Center with his cock out, dan wouldn't question it. A lot of other people are like that too.

How many really stupid, uninformed doctors are there? Actually a ton. They are great at medicine and often really personable but basically spending eight years being singularly trained in one field doesn't really lead one to having a diverse swath of knowledge.


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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 9:19 am 
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Yeah, Prescription medication and abuse has proved doctors are human....and can make mistakes.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:21 am 
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spanky wrote:
Nas wrote:
spanky wrote:
Our country is being run by scientists. I'm not exactly comfortable with that.

I don’t agree wit this. And as I said before, you don’t agree with half the stuff you post either.
But it begs the question, what single profession would you rather have run the country?

If scientists ran this thing, we would have taken drastic measures WAY earlier.


We have. What they THINK has been policy. We didn't elect them and they're not weighing how these ideas will affect our country.

I probably would lean towards educator or lawyer.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 11:15 am 
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Antarctica wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Yeah, our society respects medical doctors. If a doctor advised dan bernstein to put on a propeller beanie and walk around North Center with his cock out, dan wouldn't question it. A lot of other people are like that too.

How many really stupid, uninformed doctors are there? Actually a ton. They are great at medicine and often really personable but basically spending eight years being singularly trained in one field doesn't really lead one to having a diverse swath of knowledge.


I agree with that. The other thing that my wife and I have found out in this virus situation, is that you can have a great family doctor which we do but how the hospital and health plan decides to harness what he can do or treat people can really mess up the doctor/patient relationship. I still do not understand why they are doing some things and their responses to people who think that they may be infected and want some reassurance from health care providers.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 11:19 am 
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Nas wrote:
spanky wrote:
Nas wrote:
spanky wrote:
Our country is being run by scientists. I'm not exactly comfortable with that.

I don’t agree wit this. And as I said before, you don’t agree with half the stuff you post either.
But it begs the question, what single profession would you rather have run the country?

If scientists ran this thing, we would have taken drastic measures WAY earlier.


We have. What they THINK has been policy. We didn't elect them and they're not weighing how these ideas will affect our country.

I probably would lean towards educator or lawyer.


Not me. Most educators are liberal which is a strike against them automatically and as for lawyers, the shenanigans that many of them pull on the public are awful in many cases. They are a lot of the reason why our government is so screwed up. Too many lawyers in the government.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:12 pm 
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I feel like there are going to be a lot more libertarians when we come out on the other side of this.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:16 pm 
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IMU wrote:
I feel like there are going to be a lot more libertarians when we come out on the other side of this.

Is it a requirement to live in a Pulte Home?

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:19 pm 
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IMU wrote:
I feel like there are going to be a lot more libertarians when we come out on the other side of this.

I definitely agree. The amount of suffering people are about to go through on behalf of collective is going to be intolerable for many.


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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:25 pm 
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So what is the Liberterian view of something like this? Do nothing. Life goes on and things happen as they will?

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:27 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
So what is the Liberterian view of something like this? Do nothing. Life goes on and things happen as they will?

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:29 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
So what is the Liberterian view of something like this? Do nothing. Life goes on and things happen as they will?

I mean there's a hardline view and a realistic view. A lot of Bernie socialists have through willful denial assumed there is some ideological purity of libertarianism that forbids any sort of accomodating under any circumstances. They usually bring up the road system.

Businesses would be able to decide if they were locked down, the government would not mandate it. There would also be no bailout, not for anyone. I dont think unemployment insurance is incompatible with libertarianism, but where I start to drift away from the ideology is whether such insurance should be administered by the state or by private companies.


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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:40 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
So what is the Libertarian view of something like this? Do nothing. Life goes on and things happen as they will?


Pretty much. Bobby Knight would be proud.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:41 pm 
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Regular Reader wrote:
RFDC wrote:
So what is the Libertarian view of something like this? Do nothing. Life goes on and things happen as they will?


Pretty much. Bobby Knight would be proud.

Well if the General would approve maybe I need to give some consideration to Libertrian :wink:

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:48 pm 
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I disagree. I think denisdman libertarianism, a/k/a "I'm a little too polite to call myself a Republican," is circling the drain. FavreFan libertarianism, a/k/a "let people smoke weed," will continue unabated. What's going to come out of this, which I've been saying all along, is the economic leftism fused with social conservatism that Tucker Carlson has, while not innovated, certainly popularized.

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:51 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
I disagree. I think denisdman libertarianism, a/k/a "I'm a little too polite to call myself a Republican," is circling the drain. FavreFan libertarianism, a/k/a "let people smoke weed," will continue unabated. What's going to come out of this, which I've been saying all along, is the economic leftism fused with social conservatism that Tucker Carlson has, while not innovated, certainly popularized.


So essentially a dixiecrat?

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 Post subject: Re: The Holdouts!!
PostPosted: Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:53 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
I disagree. I think denisdman libertarianism, a/k/a "I'm a little too polite to call myself a Republican," is circling the drain. FavreFan libertarianism, a/k/a "let people smoke weed," will continue unabated. What's going to come out of this, which I've been saying all along, is the economic leftism fused with social conservatism that Tucker Carlson has, while not innovated, certainly popularized.


Tucker Carlson being the face of any "movement" is laughable, yet this country is so anti common sense, that's where MANY are.

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