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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 7:54 am 
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long time guy wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
Maybe we should just revert to a hunter-gatherer society if this is all so fragile. Nuts And Berries For All Who Want Them


Or maybe we accept that our system is pretty damn good on average and work to fix the places where it doesn’t work well.


Too Big to Fail is the part of the system that really doesn't work that well and bank assets are insured by the Federal Govt up to a certain amount so even if the bank clears out all of the assets then the avg Citizen would still be covered.


The FDIC does not have the assets to cover trillions in lost deposits. Once again, your employer would have no money to pay your salary. Your company either has more than the deposit guarantee in the bank or uses a line of credit from the bank to meet payroll. Either way, no one gets paid. The entire system collapses.

If we start talking full debt forgiveness, you might as well just send everyone a million dollars. Money doesn’t matter at that point.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 7:56 am 
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We can't ruin this wonderful economic system we've built that [checks notes] is on the verge of complete collapse every ten years.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 7:58 am 
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denisdman wrote:
If we start talking full debt forgiveness, you might as well just send everyone a million dollars. Money doesn’t matter at that point.

Yeah, as I was joking, at that point we just don't have currency and we're back to bartering. That's not realistic (though I have also jokingly extolled the olden days of repaying doctors with apple pies). But there's going to have to be some allowance for putting most of the economy on pause, isn't there? and won't a lot of that have to come in the form of debt forgiveness?

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:07 am 
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denisdman wrote:
long time guy wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
Maybe we should just revert to a hunter-gatherer society if this is all so fragile. Nuts And Berries For All Who Want Them


Or maybe we accept that our system is pretty damn good on average and work to fix the places where it doesn’t work well.


Too Big to Fail is the part of the system that really doesn't work that well and bank assets are insured by the Federal Govt up to a certain amount so even if the bank clears out all of the assets then the avg Citizen would still be covered.


The FDIC does not have the assets to cover trillions in lost deposits. Once again, your employer would have no money to pay your salary. Your company either has more than the deposit guarantee in the bank or uses a line of credit from the bank to meet payroll. Either way, no one gets paid. The entire system collapses.

If we start talking full debt forgiveness, you might as well just send everyone a million dollars. Money doesn’t matter at that point.


The Govt just sent 2 trillion to cover lost assets and the word is they will send another couple of trillion next month too.


I actually wonder how is it mattering much at this point anyway. The Stock Market is nothing more than a product of Government intervention and debt spending.

Big Business is nothing more than a product of Govt intervention and debt spending as well. The same arguments will be used each time there is even slightest hint of turbulence. " If we allow this to happen then the economy will tank". Well isn't that what is supposed to happen in a capitalist system?

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:22 am 
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SpiralStairs wrote:
We can't ruin this wonderful economic system we've built that [checks notes] is on the verge of complete collapse every ten years.

So give up on capitalism completely?

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:22 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
long time guy wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
Maybe we should just revert to a hunter-gatherer society if this is all so fragile. Nuts And Berries For All Who Want Them


Or maybe we accept that our system is pretty damn good on average and work to fix the places where it doesn’t work well.


Too Big to Fail is the part of the system that really doesn't work that well and bank assets are insured by the Federal Govt up to a certain amount so even if the bank clears out all of the assets then the avg Citizen would still be covered.



Covered with what? Worthless paper?


If the paper is worthless then the people whose hands the money is being placed in have to by definition be pretty worthless too.

Is that what I'm getting here?

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:24 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
We can't ruin this wonderful economic system we've built that [checks notes] is on the verge of complete collapse every ten years.

So give up on capitalism completely?


You're right. This is clearly great.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:28 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Antarctica wrote:
The only issue with debt relief is that it discriminates against people without debt.


Yeah, I'm the only one of my friends who wasn't dumb enough to go on the hook for "too much" house. So after the dust clears they're going to be scot-free in their McMansions while I get to keep my condo and a bank account full of funny money.


Are we not doing a version of this by bailing out the airline industry?



I don't think it's exactly the same thing but all these corporate bailouts are questionable. As Antarctica said, if it were truly a free market this would be an opportunity for smarter and more prudent people to step up and open new airlines. We're effectively eliminating such opportunity.


Rewarding people for bad behavior is what this is on a fundamental level.

But somehow it is more palatable that those rewarded for bad behavior be faceless companies and not our asshole next door neighbor.


I don't think any of it's palatable. It's like we didn't learn anything in 2008.


We did not.

Debt is higher on the corporate level since we need to keep stock prices up to feed the 401k's and pension funds.

I don't have the answer, but the entire system is busted and was past the point of fixing before this.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:29 am 
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SpiralStairs wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
We can't ruin this wonderful economic system we've built that [checks notes] is on the verge of complete collapse every ten years.

So give up on capitalism completely?


You're right. This is clearly great.

Is that a yes?

Every economic system is struggling with this.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:40 am 
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This crisis makes clear we've learned nothing from the housing crisis. The same bad actors are getting bailed out they just have different names and boards of directors. Ten years from now we'll repeat the process again. Maybe that time is when this house of cards finally collapses.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:44 am 
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SpiralStairs wrote:
This crisis makes clear we've learned nothing from the housing crisis. The same bad actors are getting bailed out they just have different names and boards of directors. Ten years from now we'll repeat the process again. Maybe that time is when this house of cards finally collapses.

I'm not sure this and the housing crisis are comparable. The Housing crisis could have been avoided. This really couldn't have been avoided.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:50 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
This crisis makes clear we've learned nothing from the housing crisis. The same bad actors are getting bailed out they just have different names and boards of directors. Ten years from now we'll repeat the process again. Maybe that time is when this house of cards finally collapses.

I'm not sure this and the housing crisis are comparable. The Housing crisis could have been avoided. This really couldn't have been avoided.


What's different other than an accelerated timeline? Everyone is over-leveraged and subject to systemic risk.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 8:55 am 
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SpiralStairs wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
This crisis makes clear we've learned nothing from the housing crisis. The same bad actors are getting bailed out they just have different names and boards of directors. Ten years from now we'll repeat the process again. Maybe that time is when this house of cards finally collapses.

I'm not sure this and the housing crisis are comparable. The Housing crisis could have been avoided. This really couldn't have been avoided.


What's different other than an accelerated timeline? Everyone is over-leveraged and subject to systemic risk.

We shut down virtually the whole country. No matter what that will destroy the economy.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:06 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
SpiralStairs wrote:
This crisis makes clear we've learned nothing from the housing crisis. The same bad actors are getting bailed out they just have different names and boards of directors. Ten years from now we'll repeat the process again. Maybe that time is when this house of cards finally collapses.

I'm not sure this and the housing crisis are comparable. The Housing crisis could have been avoided. This really couldn't have been avoided.


What's different other than an accelerated timeline? Everyone is over-leveraged and subject to systemic risk.

We shut down virtually the whole country. No matter what that will destroy the economy.


And the choice is made to save an airline industry at the expense of individual Americans.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:22 am 
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Americans need airlines.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:25 am 
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The Great Deformation (below) explains the folly of our current fiscal and monetary system. The Simpson Bowles plan was a way to get us back on track. Neither party and most Americans have no interest in living within our means.

Ron Paul was all over fiat currency problems and federal budget issues.

I’m ready when you are.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:27 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Americans need airlines.

We've basically lived without them the past month, and will live without them probably the next 2-3 months. We seem to be okay without them.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:28 am 
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if no one has a job or any money, who the hell is flying ?


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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:35 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Americans need airlines.

That's the argument?

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:47 am 
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They are a utility and even the last month they've had to remain operational. We need airlines, but we dont need AA, UA and Delta. That's the big difference here, and why this bailout sucks.


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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:53 am 
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Maybe thee reset that will happen is people will see things differently. Airlines being a necessity does not mean you always have the right to fly El Cheapo air to Florida or Arizona for $49 one way with three or more time choices per day.

Regarding housing it is very much different the the last crisis. That was people not paying mortgages they never should have had. This one is because of a shitty deal of the cards on the crisis. Sure some are probably still over leveraged but just having gone through finding someone to buy my home so we can move on it isn't "they throw the money at you".

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 10:27 am 
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denisdman wrote:
Neither party and most Americans have no interest in living within our means.

Be that as it may, you live in a big house out in the country and put your kids through private schools. No one wants to hear it from you!

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 10:42 am 
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Bagels wrote:
if no one has a job or any money, who the hell is flying ?
C_Howitt_Fealz

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 10:45 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Bagels wrote:
if no one has a job or any money, who the hell is flying ?
C_Howitt_Fealz

:lol: :lol:

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 10:49 am 
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Douchebag wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Bagels wrote:
if no one has a job or any money, who the hell is flying ?
C_Howitt_Fealz

:lol: :lol:


:lol: :lol: :lol:

Though we should probably send for a wellness check on him.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 10:57 am 
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denisdman wrote:
Ron Paul was all over fiat currency problems and federal budget issues.


Well, we finally ended the Fed.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 11:01 am 
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Douchebag wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Americans need airlines.

We've basically lived without them the past month, and will live without them probably the next 2-3 months. We seem to be okay without them.

So the guy talking about all the unemployment this will cause is arguing that all airlines disappearing would be okay?

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 11:03 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Douchebag wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Americans need airlines.

We've basically lived without them the past month, and will live without them probably the next 2-3 months. We seem to be okay without them.

So the guy talking about all the unemployment this will cause is arguing that all airlines disappearing would be okay?

Demand will surge for Greyhound busses. Pilots can learn to drive.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 11:04 am 
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SpiralStairs wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Americans need airlines.

That's the argument?
That is the argument why the airlines get a bailout. It should come with equity that can be sold later.

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PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 11:08 am 
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How many people need to be out of work for a long enough time for everything to collapse? If 30 percent of people can't pay for their mortgage is there an economy anymore?

I mean the default rate was in the single digits overall in 2008, and it caused everything to lock up.

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