Hussra wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hussra wrote:
$10 to 20 billion market cap, so $50 to $100 a share?
Well, it was $350 a share during the last private placement, so it's gonna take more than that.
that's not surprising, given (i) investor appetite for all things crypto and (ii) the opacity of actually investing in crypto. There's a lot of pent up demand for something, anything related to cryptocurrencies and there's a lot of investors that will likely overpay for coinbase stock. One way to view coinbase stock is like a shit coin offering: market frothiness and hype might drive up the price initially, but probably a good idea to take gains after 2 or 3x and invest them in actual crypto.
Coinbase is basically training wheels for crypto investing--both for individuals and the industry (esp in the US, with draconian KYC regulations and related bs). So naive investors probably view buying coinbase stock as a proxy for investing in crypto; while that's seemingly true in the moment, beyond this moment it's the opposite of that. One of the primary purposes of blockchain technology is to put centralized middlemen like Coinbase out of business. And in the long and likely not-so-long run Coinbase will fall by the wayside -- absent iterating their platform or otherwise pivoting their purpose, to what? I've no idea. In the long, short, medium whatever run, blockchain renders clearinghouse middlemen like Coinbase extinct.
Yeah, I'd pretty much agree with that. At least from the perspective of hardcore libertarian Bitcoiners.
I've got most of my Bitcoin sitting on the Gemini exchange. I know that's anathema to the libertarians in my club who are more philosophy based than I am. They might say that I don't even actually own any Bitcoin. That's fine if you have an apocalyptic viewpoint. But I don't. I just don't see a world where society completely breaks down and the Internet is dicey and Bitcoin remains this great store of value and only those wisemen who had the vision to HODL on wallets have buying power.
I guess I'd call myself a Bitcoin centrist. Because I don't think governments will be able to organize in a way that they could eliminate Bitcoin either. And for Bitcoin to have any real value- at least within any kind of society that I'd want to live in- trustworthy and reliable exchanges have to exist. I mean, I think if a Mt. Gox happened with Coinbase or Gemini right now, that would pretty much destroy Bitcoin.
Anyway, I'm gonna take a crack at 10-20 shares at $450 and see what happens. Some analysts are saying it will hit $600. I suspect after the immediate frenzy the price will drop. At that point I might double up and average down.