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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 9:41 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
pittmike wrote:
I think the thing is Beane realizes the playground he belongs in and knows not that much will change any time soon. He is okay doing the best he can in that playground. Other teams are there with him in small markets or second teams in huge markets. The Pirates' fans would give their left nut for his performance with the resources he gets.

In the end baseball like all sports has thirty something teams and only one per year can win it all. There are many ways to not be number one.



I suspect he feels like he's done as well as anyone and it just hasn't broken his way in the short series that are played in the postseason and that if he keeps doing what he's doing he'll eventually win a World Series. I think he feels that winning a World Series isn't the definitive measure of his performance.

The Braves won 14 consecutive division titles and only won World Series and that could have gone the other way. If it had I wouldn't consider their GM to be less successful than he was, let alone a failure.


He's in the wrong business. When I become the GM of the Sox or the Cubs on The Show, I'm trying to win multiple World Series.

I suspect the Braves GM and Cox would trade 10 of those division championships for another World Series.



The old bernstein philosophy. "ALL. THAT. MATTERS. IS. WINNING. A. CHAMPIONSHIP."

I'd prefer my team win the division every year and then take my chances. Of course, you don't have the luxury of hindsight.

I certainly don't consider the 90-00s Marlins more successful than the Braves. Do you?

Should the 2021 White Sox be viewed similarly to the 2005 White Sox?

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 10:29 am 
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Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
pittmike wrote:
I think the thing is Beane realizes the playground he belongs in and knows not that much will change any time soon. He is okay doing the best he can in that playground. Other teams are there with him in small markets or second teams in huge markets. The Pirates' fans would give their left nut for his performance with the resources he gets.

In the end baseball like all sports has thirty something teams and only one per year can win it all. There are many ways to not be number one.



I suspect he feels like he's done as well as anyone and it just hasn't broken his way in the short series that are played in the postseason and that if he keeps doing what he's doing he'll eventually win a World Series. I think he feels that winning a World Series isn't the definitive measure of his performance.

The Braves won 14 consecutive division titles and only won World Series and that could have gone the other way. If it had I wouldn't consider their GM to be less successful than he was, let alone a failure.


He's in the wrong business. When I become the GM of the Sox or the Cubs on The Show, I'm trying to win multiple World Series.

I suspect the Braves GM and Cox would trade 10 of those division championships for another World Series.



The old bernstein philosophy. "ALL. THAT. MATTERS. IS. WINNING. A. CHAMPIONSHIP."

I'd prefer my team win the division every year and then take my chances. Of course, you don't have the luxury of hindsight.

I certainly don't consider the 90-00s Marlins more successful than the Braves. Do you?

Should the 2021 White Sox be viewed similarly to the 2005 White Sox?


I nominate that as the King of Strawman Arguments.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 10:31 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I nominate that as the King of Strawman Arguments.
Nas bolded this text of yours: I think he feels that winning a World Series isn't the definitive measure of his performance.

So, unless Beane is wrong, would he not view the 2021 White Sox and the 2005 White Sox similarly?

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 10:40 am 
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Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I nominate that as the King of Strawman Arguments.
Nas bolded this text of yours: I think he feels that winning a World Series isn't the definitive measure of his performance.

So, unless Beane is wrong, would he not view the 2021 White Sox and the 2005 White Sox similarly?



No. You're looking at events after they have occurred. Beane consistently builds good teams with a low budget. Kenny Williams regularly builds losers with high payrolls. One year he threw a tantrum and traded good players for bums and got lucky. That clearly wasn't repeatable.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 10:42 am 
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For the " managers don't matter crew" explain Philly this year.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 10:44 am 
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312player wrote:
For the " managers don't matter crew" explain Philly this year.



This is a strange road to go down when Girardi has always been considered a "good" manager.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 10:48 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I nominate that as the King of Strawman Arguments.
Nas bolded this text of yours: I think he feels that winning a World Series isn't the definitive measure of his performance.

So, unless Beane is wrong, would he not view the 2021 White Sox and the 2005 White Sox similarly?



No. You're looking at events after they have occurred. Beane consistently builds good teams with a low budget. Kenny Williams regularly builds losers with high payrolls. One year he threw a tantrum and traded good players for bums and got lucky. That clearly wasn't repeatable.
You have to look back to judge careers.

If you want me to say it another way though.

I tell you that the White Sox will:
1) Make the playoffs the next 10 years. World Series wins 0.
2) Make the playoffs 2 times in the next 10 years. World Series wins 1.

Which option do you choose? What if you change it to 30 years? Does it change your answer?

We can assign the unlucky label to Beane as that is a better excuse than the wins per dollar spent thing.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 11:04 am 
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Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I nominate that as the King of Strawman Arguments.
Nas bolded this text of yours: I think he feels that winning a World Series isn't the definitive measure of his performance.

So, unless Beane is wrong, would he not view the 2021 White Sox and the 2005 White Sox similarly?



No. You're looking at events after they have occurred. Beane consistently builds good teams with a low budget. Kenny Williams regularly builds losers with high payrolls. One year he threw a tantrum and traded good players for bums and got lucky. That clearly wasn't repeatable.
You have to look back to judge careers.

If you want me to say it another way though.

I tell you that the White Sox will:
1) Make the playoffs the next 10 years. World Series wins 0.
2) Make the playoffs 2 times in the next 10 years. World Series wins 1.

Which option do you choose? What if you change it to 30 years? Does it change your answer?

We can assign the unlucky label to Beane as that is a better excuse than the wins per dollar spent thing.


I'm honestly not sure. It's a tough question.

How about this though? Would you rather have your team make the playoffs ten times or twice in the next ten years assuming we don't know what will happen after they make it? Which one has a better chance to win a World Series?

I get that you're not a gambler. People that aren't often have difficulty interpreting odds and understanding that a losing bet can be better than a winning one. For example, a guy at the craps table playing the pass line and taking his max odds may lose $3000 on the night while a drunk comes stumbling up to the table and throws $100 on the Yo and happens to win. That doesn't mean the second guy is a better gambler or did anything right at all.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 11:09 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I nominate that as the King of Strawman Arguments.
Nas bolded this text of yours: I think he feels that winning a World Series isn't the definitive measure of his performance.

So, unless Beane is wrong, would he not view the 2021 White Sox and the 2005 White Sox similarly?



No. You're looking at events after they have occurred. Beane consistently builds good teams with a low budget. Kenny Williams regularly builds losers with high payrolls. One year he threw a tantrum and traded good players for bums and got lucky. That clearly wasn't repeatable.
You have to look back to judge careers.

If you want me to say it another way though.

I tell you that the White Sox will:
1) Make the playoffs the next 10 years. World Series wins 0.
2) Make the playoffs 2 times in the next 10 years. World Series wins 1.

Which option do you choose? What if you change it to 30 years? Does it change your answer?

We can assign the unlucky label to Beane as that is a better excuse than the wins per dollar spent thing.


I'm honestly not sure. It's a tough question.

How about this though? Would you rather have your team make the playoffs ten times or twice in the next ten years assuming we don't know what will happen after they make it? Which one has a better chance to win a World Series?

I get that you're not a gambler. People that aren't often have difficulty interpreting odds and understanding that a losing bet can be better than a winning one. For example, a guy at the craps table playing the pass line and taking his max odds may lose $3000 on the night while a drunk comes stumbling up to the table and throws $100 on the Yo and happens to win. That doesn't mean the second guy is a better gambler or did anything right at all.


GM's are judged on success. You don't generally get called a genius because you consistently lose. Despite creating really good odds for yourself.

I don't consider the *Dodgers or Athletics to be more successful than the Sox over the past 20 years.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 11:11 am 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I nominate that as the King of Strawman Arguments.
Nas bolded this text of yours: I think he feels that winning a World Series isn't the definitive measure of his performance.

So, unless Beane is wrong, would he not view the 2021 White Sox and the 2005 White Sox similarly?



No. You're looking at events after they have occurred. Beane consistently builds good teams with a low budget. Kenny Williams regularly builds losers with high payrolls. One year he threw a tantrum and traded good players for bums and got lucky. That clearly wasn't repeatable.
You have to look back to judge careers.

If you want me to say it another way though.

I tell you that the White Sox will:
1) Make the playoffs the next 10 years. World Series wins 0.
2) Make the playoffs 2 times in the next 10 years. World Series wins 1.

Which option do you choose? What if you change it to 30 years? Does it change your answer?

We can assign the unlucky label to Beane as that is a better excuse than the wins per dollar spent thing.


I'm honestly not sure. It's a tough question.

How about this though? Would you rather have your team make the playoffs ten times or twice in the next ten years assuming we don't know what will happen after they make it? Which one has a better chance to win a World Series?

I get that you're not a gambler. People that aren't often have difficulty interpreting odds and understanding that a losing bet can be better than a winning one. For example, a guy at the craps table playing the pass line and taking his max odds may lose $3000 on the night while a drunk comes stumbling up to the table and throws $100 on the Yo and happens to win. That doesn't mean the second guy is a better gambler or did anything right at all.


GM's are judged on success. You don't generally get called a genius because you consistently lose. Despite creating really good odds for yourself.

I don't consider the *Dodgers or Athletics to be more successful than the Sox over the past 20 years.


Beane doesn't consistently lose though.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 11:15 am 
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[quote="Joe Orr Road Rod"]

Only 1 team "wins" every year. A Billy Beane team hasn't been one of those teams in 30 years. What would be his player comp as a GM?

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 11:17 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Beane doesn't consistently though.
In the playoffs he does.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 11:19 am 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

Only 1 team "wins" every year. A Billy Beane team hasn't been one of those teams in 30 years. What would be his player comp as a GM?


Danny Ainge

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 11:28 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I nominate that as the King of Strawman Arguments.
Nas bolded this text of yours: I think he feels that winning a World Series isn't the definitive measure of his performance.

So, unless Beane is wrong, would he not view the 2021 White Sox and the 2005 White Sox similarly?



No. You're looking at events after they have occurred. Beane consistently builds good teams with a low budget. Kenny Williams regularly builds losers with high payrolls. One year he threw a tantrum and traded good players for bums and got lucky. That clearly wasn't repeatable.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 11:58 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I'm honestly not sure. It's a tough question.

How about this though? Would you rather have your team make the playoffs ten times or twice in the next ten years assuming we don't know what will happen after they make it? Which one has a better chance to win a World Series?

I get that you're not a gambler. People that aren't often have difficulty interpreting odds and understanding that a losing bet can be better than a winning one. For example, a guy at the craps table playing the pass line and taking his max odds may lose $3000 on the night while a drunk comes stumbling up to the table and throws $100 on the Yo and happens to win. That doesn't mean the second guy is a better gambler or did anything right at all.

I think that gets into a philosophical discussion. Do we hold Bill Buckner at fault for missing the ball considering he had a 99% chance of getting the ball and he was just unlucky?

I think ultimately in sports you have to judge someone based on what happened rather than on the probability of that thing happening.

Though, I would argue the sample size on Beane is big enough to make it fairly obvious that how he builds a team does not win in the playoffs. It's not like he is the Braves or Bills getting right to the doorstep of a title and failing. Beane's teams have less playoff series wins than the 2005 Chicago White Sox and one of those series wins was the wild card round that didn't exist in 2005.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 12:36 pm 
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I think that White Sox fans are pretty unique fans in terms of frustration. Maybe there are other owners similar to Reinny ?I don't know but I think that the great percentage of White Sox fans know baseball and what it takes to win a championship. Their frustration is basically that they know that the team owner is not committed to winning championships. He never has. He's a self centered egotist that refuses to invest in building a team by hiring smart baseball people to do their jobs and whose first priority is to win a World Series.

Just look back to 2019-2020. The young talent was being gathered and the future was bright. They had the makings of a good pitching staff and a bunch of young talent and future stars. What has happened since then? I say NOTHING and in effect, they are WORSE THAN THAT 2020 team. They have needed a right fielder, a second baseman, and left handed hitting for three years and did NOTHING to improve the roster.

So now they miss out on the play-offs and there is NO CHANCE that anything will happen. MEanwhile, somehow, Sox attendance was good and that is the ONLY THING that Reinny cares about. He's like a fat war lord sitting on top of his castle collecting his tithes, drinking his ale and dining on venison.

I believe that Hahn will quit while he is still young enough to get out and find a place which wants to win a championship. Williams is a puppet who cowtows to Rienny, LaRussa was a bum who sold Reinny an idea that he was the guy to take the team and more talent was not needed. Every good baseball person KNEW that the White Sox team roster over the last three years was not a championship team. When have we seen Hahn say anything profound about the team's fortune? HE's got to be pissed off, right? He knows talent and knows how to make deals yet there haven't been any deals to fix the inadequacies of this roster. Why is that? Reinny for sure.

Its been said hundreds of times but it is true enough to be said again. Reinsdork doesn't give a shit about winning a championship. He's perfectly happy to rake in the money and take it with him when he dies.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 12:44 pm 
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Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I'm honestly not sure. It's a tough question.

How about this though? Would you rather have your team make the playoffs ten times or twice in the next ten years assuming we don't know what will happen after they make it? Which one has a better chance to win a World Series?

I get that you're not a gambler. People that aren't often have difficulty interpreting odds and understanding that a losing bet can be better than a winning one. For example, a guy at the craps table playing the pass line and taking his max odds may lose $3000 on the night while a drunk comes stumbling up to the table and throws $100 on the Yo and happens to win. That doesn't mean the second guy is a better gambler or did anything right at all.

I think that gets into a philosophical discussion. Do we hold Bill Buckner at fault for missing the ball considering he had a 99% chance of getting the ball and he was just unlucky?

I think ultimately in sports you have to judge someone based on what happened rather than on the probability of that thing happening.

Though, I would argue the sample size on Beane is big enough to make it fairly obvious that how he builds a team does not win in the playoffs. It's not like he is the Braves or Bills getting right to the doorstep of a title and failing. Beane's teams have less playoff series wins than the 2005 Chicago White Sox and one of those series wins was the wild card round that didn't exist in 2005.



I think that as bad as being a White Sox fan is in terms of frustration, being an A's fan must be worse. I think that Beane is a very smart innovative guy but really is bad for baseball in that other owners look at the A's and think that they can compete without spending money. It still takes money to win championships an/or compete for them.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 3:28 pm 
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Brick wrote:
Do we hold Bill Buckner at fault for missing the ball considering he had a 99% chance of getting the ball and he was just unlucky?


no he should have made that play it wasn't some super bad hop , c'mon

yes there are bad hops or odd bounces that i wouldn't knock someone for missing, but that isn't one of them


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 3:31 pm 
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Bagels wrote:
Brick wrote:
Do we hold Bill Buckner at fault for missing the ball considering he had a 99% chance of getting the ball and he was just unlucky?


no he should have made that play it wasn't some super bad hop , c'mon

yes there are bad hops or odd bounces that i wouldn't knock someone for missing, but that isn't one of them


Alex Gonzalez?

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 3:32 pm 
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Bagels wrote:
Brick wrote:
Do we hold Bill Buckner at fault for missing the ball considering he had a 99% chance of getting the ball and he was just unlucky?


no he should have made that play it wasn't some super bad hop , c'mon

yes there are bad hops or odd bounces that i wouldn't knock someone for missing, but that isn't one of them

So when Beanes teams fail so miserably every postseason shouldn't we look at it similarly instead of saying that statistically they should have won one by now?

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 3:40 pm 
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Its funny JOrr seems to be all for winning the most games with the lowest payroll, but he is the same guy who was also started at least four or five threads in the douchebag section because the White Sox will sell tickets cheaper than when he buys them in the offseason. He should be praising those fans who buy a Bleachers and Brews or whatever forgetting the most bang for their buck.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 6:03 pm 
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Brick wrote:
Bagels wrote:
Brick wrote:
Do we hold Bill Buckner at fault for missing the ball considering he had a 99% chance of getting the ball and he was just unlucky?


no he should have made that play it wasn't some super bad hop , c'mon

yes there are bad hops or odd bounces that i wouldn't knock someone for missing, but that isn't one of them

So when Beanes teams fail so miserably every postseason shouldn't we look at it similarly instead of saying that statistically they should have won one by now?



I would argue the sample isn't big enough even though it may seem like it is.

I mean, if you're arguing that in the next ten years Beane will have 6-7 playoff teams like he usually does and Kenny will have 1-2 like he usually does, but Kenny's 1-2 playoff teams are more likely to win a World Series than Beane's 6-7, I'm gonna disagree.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 6:05 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Its funny JOrr seems to be all for winning the most games with the lowest payroll, but he is the same guy who was also started at least four or five threads in the douchebag section because the White Sox will sell tickets cheaper than when he buys them in the offseason. He should be praising those fans who buy a Bleachers and Brews or whatever forgetting the most bang for their buck.



Hey Simple Frank, I don't have a problem with a fan cutting his best deal. But tell the Sox to stop constantly contacting me to commit to tickets when they always offer a better deal later.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 6:45 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Brick wrote:
Bagels wrote:
Brick wrote:
Do we hold Bill Buckner at fault for missing the ball considering he had a 99% chance of getting the ball and he was just unlucky?


no he should have made that play it wasn't some super bad hop , c'mon

yes there are bad hops or odd bounces that i wouldn't knock someone for missing, but that isn't one of them

So when Beanes teams fail so miserably every postseason shouldn't we look at it similarly instead of saying that statistically they should have won one by now?



I would argue the sample isn't big enough even though it may seem like it is.

I mean, if you're arguing that in the next ten years Beane will have 6-7 playoff teams like he usually does and Kenny will have 1-2 like he usually does, but Kenny's 1-2 playoff teams are more likely to win a World Series than Beane's 6-7, I'm gonna disagree.

He's got two total playoff series wins, and one is the wild card round that didn't exist in 2005.
The 2005 White Sox have three series wins.

It has to be more than luck for the A's.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 6:56 pm 
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Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Brick wrote:
Bagels wrote:
Brick wrote:
Do we hold Bill Buckner at fault for missing the ball considering he had a 99% chance of getting the ball and he was just unlucky?


no he should have made that play it wasn't some super bad hop , c'mon

yes there are bad hops or odd bounces that i wouldn't knock someone for missing, but that isn't one of them

So when Beanes teams fail so miserably every postseason shouldn't we look at it similarly instead of saying that statistically they should have won one by now?



I would argue the sample isn't big enough even though it may seem like it is.

I mean, if you're arguing that in the next ten years Beane will have 6-7 playoff teams like he usually does and Kenny will have 1-2 like he usually does, but Kenny's 1-2 playoff teams are more likely to win a World Series than Beane's 6-7, I'm gonna disagree.

He's got two total playoff series wins, and one is the wild card round that didn't exist in 2005.
The 2005 White Sox have three series wins.

It has to be more than luck for the A's.


Are you saying that there's some flaw in his teams that have won 90+ games that causes them to be ineffective in short postseason series? I guess that's possible, but I find it unlikely.

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PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2022 7:12 pm 
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So are you suggesting that his teams are quite effective in the regular season, and ineffective in the postseason? If he can't build a team that's effective in the postseason, how can you argue he's better at his job than any GM that has won multiple postseason series, or a World Series in the last 20 or 30 years?

It's not my job to tell the White Sox to stop calling people who give them money in January year after year after year, crazy JOrr.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 12, 2022 6:54 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Are you saying that there's some flaw in his teams that have won 90+ games that causes them to be ineffective in short postseason series? I guess that's possible, but I find it unlikely.
What is the other answer? It's not like they are making the World Series and failing. They have two postseason series wins since the 90s and one of them is the new wild card round. That's 25 years of Billy Beane since he took over as GM of the A's and that is 2 playoff series wins. I can't imagine many franchises have less than that.

He's either the unluckiest person in sports history or there has to be some reason why that happens.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 12, 2022 7:06 am 
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Brick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Are you saying that there's some flaw in his teams that have won 90+ games that causes them to be ineffective in short postseason series? I guess that's possible, but I find it unlikely.
What is the other answer? It's not like they are making the World Series and failing. They have two postseason series wins since the 90s and one of them is the new wild card round. That's 25 years of Billy Beane since he took over as GM of the A's and that is 2 playoff series wins. I can't imagine many franchises have less than that.

He's either the unluckiest person in sports history or there has to be some reason why that happens.

It's weird. Go back and look at his rosters over the years. It's full of established high end players. It's just that they weren't established with Oakland. It's like Oakland is the place to get your feet wet, and then they're gone.

I'm going to guess that they don't get to the big show because of turnover. Too much of it.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 12, 2022 7:50 am 
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Whoever they hire, I hope the Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion committee is involved, like the Bears process.


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 12, 2022 11:59 am 
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Caller Bob wrote:
Whoever they hire, I hope the Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion committee is involved, like the Bears process.

Last I hard Soup is available for employment...so it is possible :lol:

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