NFL SUnday from Pinnacle Sports

Panthers +1 vs Buccanneers- I like what I see from the Panthers and the Buccanners are back to Garcia, I will take the Panthers.

Bears -3 vs Falcons- I am starting to like what I see from the Bears, even though the Falcons haven't lost at home and these have been Turner's best games, that was against the Chiefs and Lions, Bears are than both of them.

Packers +1 vs Seahawks As bad as the Seahakws, Pack don't get this one, they may be worse than people think.

Oakland +7
Baltimore +4
Tampa Bay -1
Detroit/Minnesota under 45
Miami +3
St. Louis +14
Jacksonville +3.5
San Diego -4.5

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Oakland + 7 @ Nawlins (greek)
NOBODY on this board in this thread (until Chus just now) has picked the Raiders this week. I do have a small play with the Saints in a basic strategy teaser, but I am also playing this one because I think the probability % makes it +EV. Saints are coming off a Monday night exhausting game in which they lost, which is a negative situation that often results in flat performances next time out. The Raiders have a new coach and are coming off the bye, which are both + situations that often result in strong efforts the next time out. That's a pretty powerful negative situation for Saints and a positive one for Raiders. And the line move reflects it. A lot of smart money got on the Raiders and pushed the line under 7 during the week. And now this morning, the Joe Public bettors are running to the window betting on the flashy offense and against the "bad" Raiders. In the week to week rhythms of the NFL, this is the kind of situation that repeats itself from time to time year after year. It may turn out that the Raiders are too bad to even capitalize on this positive situational spot, but assuming both teams will play to recent form is a huge assumption. But Joe Public Square Bettor doesn't pay attention to situations. He wants the flashy offense and thinks they will always perform the way he saw them play in the last game. Not moi. In an NFL game matching a flashy but possibly flat offense against a pile of shit.....give me the pile of shit plus seven.

From Oddsmaker or SBG

Under 43.5 Chi/Atl

Bears have gone under twice with a push in their 3 road games. Atlanta O looked good their first 2 home games but those were against Detroit and KC. Looks like a 20-17 game to me.

Under 38.5 Bal/Ind

Bal D pretty good, Indy O still struggling. Rookie QB for Bal keeps this one under.

Cincy +9.5 over Nyj

Dog has covered 12 of last 14 Cincy games. Jets last game was a blowout here against AZ. Should be much closer today.

Minny -13 over Detroit

Minny at 2-3 can't let this one slip away. Learned my lesson with Detroit last week.

Tampa Pk over Carolina

Series history says Carolina but Tampa at home seems to be the way to go. Line movement in Tampa favor also. Tampa opened as a 3pt fav.

NYJ -9.5, Favre runs up the score big time in this one

Oakland +7, definite trap game for the Saints, Oakland's defense keeps this close and it is an ugly nail biter

Detroit +13, Minnesota wins, but with their pass defense I don't think they are capable of blowing anyone out.

Dallas -4.5, intriguing game, I think Kurt Warner will turn into "Turnover" Warner starting this week

Bears -3, Atlanta hasn't faced a good run defense...until this week.

Indy -3.5, The old Indy shows up today, offense gets going and they win by two TDs

New England +4.5, Cassel controls the ball and BB comes up with a winning game plan utilizing numerous weapons

Miami +3, Houston will be deflated after choking it away last week, Ronnie Brown will be able to run on the Houston D

Seattle -1, as bad as they were last week, they have a way of going back to the PAC NW and playing good football

Jacksonville +3.5, Jacksonville wins this one by a field goal controlling the ball on the ground with the two headed running monsters.

_________________
"Stay out of courtrooms-but if you must go in be Well Armed and Don't compromise. You are innocent, remember that. They are guilty" -- Dr. Gonzo

I see a lot of good bettors on the Jets today, but damn, the betting is so unbalanced on that game, it's ringing alarm bells for me.

Oddsmaker or SBG

Under 53 Dal/Az

Opened at 48. Lookin for Arizona D to play one of their better games of the year.

Over 48 Jax/Den

Denver went under last week for the 1st time. Back to the overs this week. 3 straight Jax games have gone over.

Over 41.5 Phil/Sf

Philly O should put up the pts against SF. Philly D not as good on the road.

There have been worse QBs who have started an occasional game in the NFL, but JT O'Sullivan is the most inept regular starting QB I can ever recall. Niners had this game won until he crapped his pants in the 4th quarter. Is he really better than Alex Smith? Not hardly. Keeping him as the starting QB says a lot for the ineptitude of Nolan and Martz.

That last interception really did it. I think he has about 5 in the last two games.

A lot of teams had crappy last minute loses like that today (Bears with the bad special teams play, Cowboys with the blocked punt, Niners with the late interception.

Monday from Pinnacle Sports

Giants -9 vs Browns- If the Giants stick to a gameplan and don't let the Browns stay in, they can dominate this game.

Giants and Browns over 43.5- I see the Browns not stopping the Giants much, but I see the Browns scoring some points since it has been a while since they have been on Monday night.

Ouch. 1-1-4. I think it's time for a bye week .

Cleveland +9

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Nice job, Nas.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Giants -9

_________________
"He is a loathsome, offensive brute
--yet I can't look away."

Giants were the square play of the year

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

The books have to be smiling after this weekend in the NFL. Joe Public got murdered.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

The browns winning is the normal freak Monday night game.