Even though Fierceness is the most talented horse in the field, I don't think he gets it done. He has been on and off with his races and is going to run into problems with the large field if he does not get out in front early. If he pushes too hard too early, he won't have enough left at the end. So either he will burn himself out or get stuck in traffic. Being temperamental, Fierceness will not do well in traffic.

Sierra Leone will have all that traffic to work through too around the turn and down the stretch as a late runner. He'll hit the board but not win the race.

I prefer Catching Freedom and Stronghold in this spot. I think Brad Cox will have Catching Freedom ready. Stronghold is a gritty horse that won't be deterred by traffic. He will be digging in down the stretch. Stronghold won his maiden at Churchill in a $120K maiden race at 1 mi last October.

40% chance of rain expected for Saturday at Churchill. I hate the wet Kentucky Derbys. It throws everything off.

19
8.17.18
2,3,4,7,11,15,20
2,3,4,7,11,15,20

8,17,18
19
2,3,4,7,11,15,20
2,3,4,7,11,15,20

8.17.18
2,3,4,7,11,15,20
19
2,3,4,7,11,15,20

8,17,18
2,3,4,7,11,15,20
2,3,4,7,11,15,20
19

19
2,3,4,7,11,15,20
8,17,18
2,3,4,7,11,15,20

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Kash, and Don

If the track is wet tomorrow, the pick to click is Society Man.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1-4_-9CLpsA

Good luck to all who pertake this weekend!!! Looks a little damp.

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins

Happy Derby Day!!!

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins

1933:


2024:

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Kash, and Don

Randy Moss talked about Sierra Leone and how in the stretch the horse slams toward the rail.

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins

If I were the racing czar what happened there wouldn't be an infraction. You had two horses acting like the herd animals they are and trying to dominate one another. Both riders were doing their best to get the horses off each other and neither jock did anything dangerous.

But I'm not the czar and if that same situation had occurred in a first level allowance race on a Thursday at Ellis Park, there's no doubt Sierra Leone is dropped a spot.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Kash, and Don

It is real problem for this horse and they better hope it doesn’t cost them in a big way one of these times. They were hoping he would mature out of it but I don’t think so.

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins

We might see a rider change. Gaffalione might be took weak to handle this horse. Manny and Jose seemed to do better keeping him in a line.

I don't know if you follow Jonathan Stettin. He generally has a good opinion, but he fell in love with Sierra Leone back in January. I heard him talking about how he didn't like Forever Young's action. I was thinking, "Are you kidding, guy?" Sierra Leone throws his left leg out like he's doing the hokey pokey.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Kash, and Don

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins