Boilermaker Rick wrote:
BD wrote:
So, when you look at two QB's and you see one QB that has a passer rating 10 points below another, and who over the course of a season is projected to have, two less TDs, 4 more INT's, and who is on pace to throw for about 300 less yards, with a completion percentage about 7% lower,
I'm getting confused when QB rating matters. I think this is the logic.
If Cutler's QB rating > other QB's rating, then it matters.
If Cutler's QB rating < other QB's rating, then it's "primarily a function of his INT's".
BD wrote:
you see the same player?
Guilty as charged. They aren't the same player.
Would you like me to run that same criteria with these 15 QB's and then you can tell me if "you see the same player"?
Brees
Favre
Rodgers
Manning
Rivers
Roethlisberger
Schaub
Brady
Warner
McNabb
Romo
Flacco
Eli Manning
Orton(!)
Palmer
Criteria as you stated:
1)Passer rating -lower than all of them
2)TD passes -on pace for less than all but Orton and Flacco
3)Interceptions -almost all of those QB's won't throw 20 ints for the season. Maybe all of them. On pace to destroy all those people
4)Completion percentage-Cutler is at 62.6%, every other QB in that list is above 60%
So, I admit that that Stafford and Cutler aren't the same player. The stats show you are 100% right.
Now, what do you say about the 15 players above then?
I say that of that list, if I had to pick Cutler or that QB to run my team with long term implications factored in, it would look like this:
1. Brees - Clearly taken over Cutler
2. Favre - I'd rather have Cutler, but only because Favre can't play more than a couple seasons while Cutler has 10 left.
3. Rodgers - Close one. Right now, you'd have to say Rodgers.
4. Manning - Definitely take Peyton Manning.
5. Rivers - Another close one. Like Rodgers, you'd have to go with Rivers at this point.
6. Roethlisberger - I'd rather have Cutler.
7. Schaub - I'd rather have Cutler today, but if Schaub has back to back seasons like that, I may change my tune.
8. Brady - Clearly I would take Brady.
9. Warner - Same as Favre. I'd rather have Cutler today as Warner would be dead behind our OL.
10. McNabb - Close again. McNabb is clearly winding down. Only a single game over 270 yards passing despite those WR's this year.
11. Romo - I'd rather have Cutler. I'm not a big Romo fan. Too inconsistent and doesn't show up for the big games.
12. Flacco - I'd rather have Cutler, but I like Flacco.
13. Eli - Clearly rather have Cutler.
14. Orton - Definitely rather have Cutler.
15. Palmer - I think I'd rather have Cutler due to his youth and Palmer hasn't quite been the same since that injury.
All in all, I would stack rank a top tier of QB's and then a second tier. Right now, I'd put Cutler in the bottom of the 2nd tier, right around 7th to 10th overall.