Let's see what happens today?

Miami +3.5 vs Maryland- I think Miami will play better now with the events from this week, I hate to say this could help focus the team and Maryland won't bring out a knockout team to make this a blowout and Freeman starts for the 'Canes.

Purdue +3 vs Illinois- This is a game were both teams played bad early, but have turned it around. I think Purdue now see's the bowl game in their sights and their D is playing better lately and should go in to Illinois and get this one.

Indiana +19.5 vs Michigan- This is a pick that I'm throwing out. Indiana at home, plays well there, needs 1 win in their last 2 to go to a bowl, and would love to take down Michigan after Michigan barely beat Ball State.

Iowa +2.5 vs Wisconsin- Iowa will bounce back after last week and they usually beat Wisconsin, especially when Wisconsin has had the better team. I think Tate gets the Hawkeyes back in the win column.

Wake Forest +8.5 vs Florida State- This Wake team is starting to impress me and Florida State has struggled at home in conference games this season. If the Seminoles win it won't be blowout style and the Deacons have a solid offense and defense.

Georgia +11 vs Auburn- Auburn has played great football recently since beating LSU and Florida. I know this is a rivarly, but with Georgia struggling lately, Auburn could look past them now and the Dogs will bring a defense to stop Auburn for a while.

Michigan State +1 vs Minnesota- This is Stanton's last home game and the coach's last home game and if the Spartans lose one more game, no bowl. Spartans D played well last week enough to win and Minnesota probably played their top game last week.

Ohio State -22.5 vs Northwestern- This will be the blowout of the day. Ohio State will do whatever they want today and show people they aren't looking ahead and will prove they are the best team today. Troy Smith will dominate this game and show why he will be the heisman winner and the defense will bring a shutout.

Oregon +8.5 vs USC- A late night game, Oregon got destroyed by Cal in their last big road game. I think the Ducks will want a win to turn around their season and this starts the 4 big games for USC and with Oregon not playing top notch lately could look over them.

Good luck on all the plays today.

lines from the greek at 10 this morning

Oklahoma -9 over Tex Tech

TT putting up 56 last week and Oklahoma's tough game last week keep this one under 10. Oklahoma's last home game this year and they have been excellent here with their smallest margin of victory being 7 back in week 1. Their D has been excellent the last 4 weeks and I think they will be able to slow up the Tex Tc O. Tc has struggled in a couple road games this year scoring only 6 at Colorado and 3 at TCU. Oklahoma does have the "revenge" factor in this one going for them also. Oklahoma should be 8-1 but we all know about the screw job they got at Oregon earlier this year. With them being at home for the last time I think they get it done big time. Im lookin at Oklahoma 34-14.

Oklahoma St -17 over Baylor

Ok St got beat handily by Texas last week as did Baylor get whupped by Tex Tx. Ok St has been able to score all year at home with their smallest output being 33 against Tex AM. The last 5 weeks the lowest amount of points Baylor has given up has been 31 twice. Ok St also has the "revenge" factor in this one. Another interesting stat is Baylor the last 4 games of the year is now 4-26-1 ATS as that stat is 2-0 this year with their losses to AM and TT. Im lookin at Ok St 49-24

Illinois -3 over Purdue

Illinois has shown improvement every week lately while Purdue has been brutal on O. This once powerful O has scored 3-0-17 the last 3 weeks. I think the Illinois O in their last home game will do enough to get a 7-10 pt victory. Home team 5-1 ATS in the series

Cal -13.5 over Arizona

Cal had a 25 pt lead late last week only to win by 14. Arizona got the upset last week at Wash St. If this game would have been played last week Cal probably would have been 17 if not more. Cal has been good on the road in the pac 10 this year winning by 28 at Oreg St and by 18 at Wash St. I just think Cal has too much on O for Arizona to keep up and I see a 20pt Cal win. Cal has also beaten Arizona by a combined 108-14 the last 3 years and they won here 38-0 two years ago.

SJ St +13.5 over Boise

Boise 9-0 coming in to today's game and I think that makes this line a little too high. San Jose St a respectable 6-2 and 5-0 at home. I think SJ St will be able to do enough on O to stay with Boise in this one. Two years ago Boise was a 33pt fav here and had to go to OT to get the win.

Week 11 Part II Patching Up The Titanic

(after a stellar 1-4-1 on Turdday, I'm at 50% and may get on the stoopid sauce in the afternoon if the early games don't go well)

Purdue +3 @ Illinois (45 1/2)

Illini favored, pass the koolaid!
Cold and windy gives the total shrinkage. Under.
Purdue 21 Illinois 20

Syracuse @ South Florida -10 (40 1/2)

The Orange are sooo bad they must not pay thier players.
The Bulls may score 40 on their own. Under.
Sad excuse 0 South Florida 40

Wisconsin -2 1/2 @ Iowa (38)

Badgers break Hawkeyes 4 game win streak over Wisc.
Iowa fan, the Holiday Bowl isn't a bad destination. Over.
Wisc. 24 Iowa 15

Cincinatti @ West Virginia -17 (45 1/2)

Bearcats never get back up off the mat. WV RB won't be "hurt" this week.
If you could deduct points in a game, the Natty would finish w/ -10. Under.
Cincinatti 6 WV 38

_________________
CSFMB: Home of the small minded

Colorado St +11.5
The Rams play solid defense and still have bowl hopes. The Utes offense is not good enough to cover this number.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Playing with the house's money tonight...

Oregon-USC OVER 55-1/2
I'm on Oregon because I think they're going to move the ball and score on USC. Oregon's defense won't win any awards either. Shootout.

Oregon +9.5 @ USC

Oregon has had success stopping the pass and plays well on the road versus the number. USC will probably win but Oregon keeps it close.

Miami -1 vs. Kansas City
Dolphins offense finally got out of its own way last week, but the defense has been pretty solid all year, allowing more than 21 points only once all season. They're especially tough against the run, holding opponents to just 3.3 ypc. LJ probably won't have the kind of big day he's been having lately. We might see the same kind of 2nd half from the Dolphins this year that we saw last year...as long as Saban keeps Daunte on the bench and keeps Joey from making the big mistakes.

Seattle -3 vs. St. Louis
I said last week that this St. Louis team is showing signs of progress, but they just can't stop the run and can't get off the field. I'm goig to keep going against them with teams that can run the ball, as long as it's at decent prices.

San Francisco +6 @ Detroit
Going against the very soft favorite Lions. Both offenses will likely have some success. Both teams' backs should have big days...and what a coincidence, my fantasy RBs are Gore and Jones. I may end up playing the over here too.

Also still considering the Saints, Saints-Pitt over and the Bears.

ok, today Cumstein goes from bad to mediocre

Green Bay +5.5 the Vi queens have no offense, if they win it will be because of two defensive tds and it will still only be by 3 pts

Indianapolis -12 Peyton is in a zone, this thing will end up like 42-10. No brainer

New England -10.5 the Jets are terrible, record aside. The NE two headed monster will run the ball into that terrible run defense, 24-3

Washington +7 I am not buying into the McNabb kool-aid. Bye week blah. They will be flat and the redskins who arent good either steal a win on some BS McNabb interceptions

Denver -9 How long will Art Shell be coach? Oakland is terrible and Denver is for real, look for Champ to take one back to the house

San Francisco +6 Detroit played well against atlanta but guess what atlanta is a fluke, they will return to their crappiness this week. This game will be ugly but look for alex to play well and throw two TDs

Cincy +1 not a popular pick, but the bengals are too good to drop this at home. LT will have a big game since I am going up against him in both my FF leagues but CJ and CP will step up 38-35.[/b]

_________________
"Stay out of courtrooms-but if you must go in be Well Armed and Don't compromise. You are innocent, remember that. They are guilty" -- Dr. Gonzo

For the early games

Chiefs +1 vs Dolphins- I like the way Huard is playing for the Chiefs and the Chiefs D playing than years past. Larry Johnson probably won't run for many yards but the Chiefs should still win 20-16.

Chargers +1 vs Bengals- Chargers have a big diviosinal game next week and on the road, so they need a win today against a reeling Bengals team. The Bengals are fighting with everybody on their team and Tomlinson should run enough to get the Chargers the win.

Saints +6 vs Steelers- The Steelers are having too many turnovers right now and the Saints are starting to play with more confidence now and Brees is passing the ball all over the place right now. I can't say Steelers for confidence untill they win again.

Vikings +5 vs Packers- The VIkings have an easy schedule except for one game the rest of the way and the Packers had a chance to save their season last week and lost, so the Vikings should run the ball all week.

Rams +3 vs Seahawks- I am not a believer in the Seahawks without Hassleback and Alexander and I see this as the last chance for the Rams playoff chances, because a loss for the Rams and with the return of Alexander and Hassleback and a easy schedule, a win here for the 'Hawks and they walk to 11-5 record. The Rams need this one.

lines from the greek at 10:40 this morning

Green Bay +5 over Minny

Dog has been the way to go in this series for a few years and I dont see any reason for that to change today. Minny's O is bad right now, 3 pts against SF? Green Bay was going in for the tying TD last week until a bonehead pass call from the 1 that was picked and returned back into GB territory. GB outgained Buf by 240 last week and lost by 14. The GB D has played decent the last 4 weeks and I think they will be able to keep Minny's O in check for most of the day. Last 3 in Minny between these two have been decided by 3 and if GB can avoid turnovers I see no reason this one isnt decided by that margin today.

Jacksonville -10 over Houston

Might be concerned about Jax being a little flat today, but since Houston beat the Jags pretty bad a few weeks ago I think Jack comes out strong today. They have been dominant at home outscoring their opponents by a 111-24 edge and 17 of those 24 came in the opener. I think the line is a little low due to Houston hanging tough with a flat NYG team that was definitely lookin ahead to their game against the Bears. Jax should get this one by 17+ today.

Over 45.5 NO/Pit

Pittsburgh has gone over in every home game this year while the Saints have gone over in their last 4. If Pittsburgh can stay away from turnovers in this one I see them easily scoring 35+.

NYJ vs New England over 38
Brady will shred the Jets defense.

Jacksonville vs. Houston over 37
Big revenge game for the Jags who might score 37 themselves.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

the greek at 2:20 this afternoon

Denver -9 over Oakland

Oakland is the worst team in the league. They won their last 2 home games but they wont make it 3 in a row at home today. The last 3 years Denver has won here 31-17, 31-3 and 22-8. Just cant see Shanahan letting this one slip away. Dever by 2 TD's at least in this one. Oakland 0-11 ATS in their division at home.

Saints +7 -120
Confirming saints play and waiting has its rewards. Public love for the defending champs (with a losing record) has driven this number to 7. Unbelievable public support for a losing team. So I'll be the contrarian again. I'm starting to come around to realize this Saints offense is just something not to fade. And do we bet on what we think Roethlisberger will do...or what he's already done. Probably high scoring but total has been bet up and I don't like getting on the tail end of line moves.

Bears +1 @ Gmen- Bears come out with something to prove in prime time and they destroy the Giants. Giants are banged up and Urlacher will come up big.

_________________
"Do work, son" -Big Black

Bears +8 / Carolina -2-1/2 7 pt. Teaser
It's a good time to play against the Giants with their cluster of injuries, but I just don't trust Grossman to win a tough game on the road...in bad weather no less. But the Giants D is so banged up that the Bears run game should have a decent night...but the sloppy track will require backs to hit the holes quickly. No dancing into holes TJ. Teasing it because I believe this game is decided by 4 points or less either way...probably to the side with fewer turnovers. I'm looking for Carolina, off a bye, to come in with renewed energy. The TB offensive line has been woeful and I expect the Panthers to confuse and bring the pass rush at Gradkowski from all directions. Teasing both of these across the key numbers.

Bears +1 vs Giants- The Giants have a lot of injuries going into this game I think Rex bounces back and they get the running game going.

Tampa +10
Too many points for the Panthers to cover with the injuries on D. Carolina is 1-4 ATS as a favorite, and 2-5-1 ATS overall. Bucs should hang around, maybe a garbage time score to cover.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Panthers +10 vs Buccanneers- Both teams are playing bad right now, but the Panthers should be able to run the ball tonight and take this game at about 24-10.

Panthers and Buccanneers under 37- Both teams aren't scoring a lot of points this season and the Panthers defense should be their best at home and if the Bucs want to win they'll need to win by about 14-13.