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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Thu Nov 25, 2010 12:21 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
Which is exactly what my posts said.
In #4, you mention "a few years time" which is not anywhere in your posts and in fact your quote indicates that shares will be sold quickly and then those will plummet, and everyone who invested will be out again.

Next time do me a favor and say what you actually "meant" to say. I'm too stupid to read your mind.

I will bump this thread when the share price approaches $50 a share. You bump it when it drops below $33. Deal?


I'll put money on GM stock hitting $33 before it hits $50.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Thu Nov 25, 2010 4:02 pm 
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Scorehead wrote:
I'll put money on GM stock hitting $33 before it hits $50.
That could be. It seems to have been priced fairly at the open.

If it happens I see it being temporary and only a function of the fluctuations that most stocks go through. I think a long term investment will pay off.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Thu Nov 25, 2010 4:10 pm 
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I haven't driven an American car since my 1st ride....a 1986 Pontiac 6000, which was awesome. I've had a VW, a few Honda's and a Hyundai.

The steering went out in the Santa Fe and after a few weeks of researching.....I went with the 2005 Buick LeSabre.

Big car? Damn right...I'm almost 6'4" so it's nice to have some room to stretch out. And it rides and drives like a dream. Has 60000 miles and got it for a nice price.

I was nervous buying an American car but I'm very happy with it.


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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Sun Nov 28, 2010 11:41 am 
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GM should have been allowed to fail, go through bankruptcy, restructure so as to rid itself of the things that brought about its demise. We were told this bailout was to save GM. Perhaps, in part it was, but as always, when the Federal Government is involved, things are not as they may seem. Nothing but crony-capitalism, bordering on fascism Italian style, at its finest.

Hey, Fascism Italian Style, that would make a catchy TV show. I can hear the theme song now...

Here is an excerpt, but read the whole thing HERE.


GM's union recovering after stock sale
Taxpayers and investors not as fortunate as UAW


By Patrice Hill

-

The Washington Times

General Motors Co.'s recent stock offering was staged to start paying back the government for its $50 billion bailout, but one group made out much better than the taxpayers or other investors: the company's union.

Thanks to a generous share of GM stock obtained in the company's 2009 bankruptcy settlement, the United Auto Workers is well on its way to recouping the billions of dollars GM owed it — putting it far ahead of taxpayers who have recouped only about 30 percent of their investment and further still ahead of investors in the old GM who have received nothing.

The boon for the union fits the pattern established when the White House pushed GM into bankruptcy and steered it through the courts in a way that consistently put the interests of the union ahead of many suppliers, dealers and investors — stakeholders that ordinarily would have fared as well or better under the bankruptcy laws.

"Priority one was serving the interests of the UAW" when the White House's auto task force engineered the bankruptcy, said Glenn Reynolds, an analyst at CreditSights. The stock offering served to show once again how the White House has handsomely rewarded its political allies, he said.

The union's health care and pension trust fund earned $3.4 billion through the sale of one-third of its shares in GM last week. Analysts estimate that it would break even if it sells the remaining two-thirds of its shares at an average price of $36 — close to where the stock traded shortly after the offering hit the market. GM shares closed at $33.45 on Wednesday.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Tue Dec 28, 2010 10:26 am 
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Barclays set their target price at $42/share yesterday, giving GM a boost of over 2% yesterday.
They're currently about 70 cents shy of their high since the IPO... $35.99.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Tue Dec 28, 2010 2:15 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
My point is bad business decisions put GM in this position. It is ignorant to think that GM will be immune to these same bad business decisions going forward...


Through the history of American business, we have had good businesses and bad businesses run at different points by smart and successful people and by people who made bad decisions and were unsuccessful. Does that mean that once an enterprise is badly managed, it is always doomed to be a bad business? You are ignoring the value of smart people. No question GM had bad leaders and multiple bad decisions. Are you sure that's still the case, or do you think the past is automatically prologue for the future? GM has cleaned house and the people running the divisions today weren't in their positions three years ago. But with your logic, once a failure, always a failure? I'm not saying that they will once again become an American industry powerhouse commanding double digit PEs. But most of the people who took them down are gone. It truly is a new company in many ways.

Remember Apple under John Scully? People were writing that company off in the late 90s. The stock was $2 a share at one point. With your logic, nobody should have invested a dime in Apple because once a company has made bad decisions that brings a company to its knees, it is likely to always make bad decisions. But under Steve Jobs, the company is better than it ever was. And those of us who have owned Apple for a decade or more are much better off because we were patient rather than petulant.

Never underestimate the power of smart people. Whether GM has enough of them in the right chairs is something we will find out more about.


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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Tue Dec 28, 2010 2:21 pm 
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Coast2Coast wrote:
Never underestimate the power of smart people.


or people that waffle and can't choose sides. your posts are the wordiest this side of siniacylpse without ever making a point


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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Sat Jan 01, 2011 1:21 am 
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Coast2Coast wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
My point is bad business decisions put GM in this position. It is ignorant to think that GM will be immune to these same bad business decisions going forward...


Through the history of American business, we have had good businesses and bad businesses run at different points by smart and successful people and by people who made bad decisions and were unsuccessful. Does that mean that once an enterprise is badly managed, it is always doomed to be a bad business? You are ignoring the value of smart people. No question GM had bad leaders and multiple bad decisions. Are you sure that's still the case, or do you think the past is automatically prologue for the future? GM has cleaned house and the people running the divisions today weren't in their positions three years ago. But with your logic, once a failure, always a failure? I'm not saying that they will once again become an American industry powerhouse commanding double digit PEs. But most of the people who took them down are gone. It truly is a new company in many ways.

Remember Apple under John Scully? People were writing that company off in the late 90s. The stock was $2 a share at one point. With your logic, nobody should have invested a dime in Apple because once a company has made bad decisions that brings a company to its knees, it is likely to always make bad decisions. But under Steve Jobs, the company is better than it ever was. And those of us who have owned Apple for a decade or more are much better off because we were patient rather than petulant.

Never underestimate the power of smart people. Whether GM has enough of them in the right chairs is something we will find out more about.

Do you ever sit back, reflect and come to the conclusion that you're just full of a lot of hot air?

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 1:38 pm 
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Add Car of the Year awards from a bunch of places.
http://money.cnn.com/2011/01/10/autos/car_of_the_year/index.htm?hpt=T2

Also, notice that Ford is doing pretty well too with the Truck of the Year. Thanks bailout!

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 1:45 pm 
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By the way, with a current stock price of $38.68 a nice short term gain was made by anyone who invested in the first week of the IPO. Time will tell about the next year or a few years but currently even the short term investors in the stock have done quite well for themselves.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 1:46 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Add Car of the Year awards from a bunch of places.
http://money.cnn.com/2011/01/10/autos/car_of_the_year/index.htm?hpt=T2

Also, notice that Ford is doing pretty well too with the Truck of the Year. Thanks bailout!

Why does Ford thank the bailout for winning truck of the year?

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 1:48 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Why does Ford thank the bailout for winning truck of the year?
Ford needed the bailout to survive too. GM folding would have put them in a terrible position and unlikely to operate as well as they have.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 1:50 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Why does Ford thank the bailout for winning truck of the year?
Ford needed the bailout to survive too. GM folding would have put them in a terrible position and unlikely to operate as well as they have.

Ford took no money.
I don't see them needing to thank something they didn't take for winning an award.
That's like me winning a Grammy and thanking Ambien because many people who have depression have been helped by it and rather than committing suicide they bought my record.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 1:54 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Ford took no money.
I've posted the link before, but Ford was on the record as stating that they didn't need any bailout money as long as GM and Chrysler survived.

Without the bailout, and without GM, by the very nature of how connected they are, Ford would be in big trouble too.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 1:58 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Ford took no money.
I've posted the link before, but Ford was on the record as stating that they didn't need any bailout money as long as GM and Chrysler survived.

Without the bailout, and without GM, by the very nature of how connected they are, Ford would be in big trouble too.

Sure. But I don't think they need to thank the bailout for the continued success of one of their best products over the last couple decades.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 2:35 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Sure. But I don't think they need to thank the bailout for the continued success of one of their best products over the last couple decades.
From the article:
Quote:
The Ford Explorer SUV in also an important comeback vehicle for Ford, in its own respect. The Explorer was once the top-selling passenger vehicle in the United States but its sales had fallen drastically as gas prices rose and customers turned to more efficient, smoother-riding car-based crossovers SUVs.

The Ford Explorer is another example of what post-bailout car companies are doing to fix the mistakes they have made.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 2:39 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Sure. But I don't think they need to thank the bailout for the continued success of one of their best products over the last couple decades.
From the article:
Quote:
The Ford Explorer SUV in also an important comeback vehicle for Ford, in its own respect. The Explorer was once the top-selling passenger vehicle in the United States but its sales had fallen drastically as gas prices rose and customers turned to more efficient, smoother-riding car-based crossovers SUVs.

The Ford Explorer is another example of what post-bailout car companies are doing to fix the mistakes they have made.

Cool.
When are you going to show me where the bailout made that happen??

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 2:52 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Cool.
When are you going to show me where the bailout made that happen??
Well, in the most literal sense, GM not getting bailed out would have forced Ford to need a bailout to survive. I think it's safe to assume that if GM wasn't worthy, neither was Ford. Therefore, Ford would not exist either.

Now, in reality somehow one or both would have somehow survived but there would have been incredible damage done to both Ford and the suppliers that would have made this significantly harder to do.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 3:24 pm 
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Here is another interesting article.
http://money.cnn.com/2011/01/10/news/companies/detroit_autoshow_big_three_rebirth/index.htm
Quote:
A few years ago, Detroit automakers spent an extra several thousand dollars per vehicle on production compared to import brands. But that disadvantage has largely vanished, mostly due to the closing of 19 auto plants in recent years, and new labor contracts that trimmed costs.

Quote:
General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F, Fortune 500) have already reported their best net profits in more than a decade, while Chrysler Group is reporting operating profits. And all three gained U.S. market share in 2010, and are well positioned to keep making inroads in the years ahead.

Quote:
More than half of the 200 senior auto industry executives surveyed by accounting firm KPMG expect GM and Ford to gain global market share in the next five years, and most believe Chrysler will at least hold onto its market share, if not make gains. That's a radical departure from a year ago, when the majority were forecasting continued declines for GM and Chrysler and expected Ford to hold pat.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 3:50 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Cool.
When are you going to show me where the bailout made that happen??
Well, in the most literal sense, GM not getting bailed out would have forced Ford to need a bailout to survive. I think it's safe to assume that if GM wasn't worthy, neither was Ford. Therefore, Ford would not exist either.

Now, in reality somehow one or both would have somehow survived but there would have been incredible damage done to both Ford and the suppliers that would have made this significantly harder to do.

So, what you're saying is that the bailout has absolutely nothing to do with Ford having the Truck of the Year. I agree.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 3:51 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
So, what you're saying is that the bailout has absolutely nothing to do with Ford having the Truck of the Year. I agree.
In my opinion, no bailout, no Truck of the Year award. Until string theory is proven and usable we will never know.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 4:01 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Darkside wrote:
So, what you're saying is that the bailout has absolutely nothing to do with Ford having the Truck of the Year. I agree.
In my opinion, no bailout, no Truck of the Year award. Until string theory is proven and usable we will never know.

I'm glad we're having this chat because it's good IMHO we're gonna disagree on this one.
The truck of the year was in design/production long, long, long before bailouts were even on the horizon.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 4:06 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
I'm glad we're having this chat because it's good IMHO we're gonna disagree on this one.
The truck of the year was in design/production long, long, long before bailouts were even on the horizon.
That's a fair point but you have to admit that the last 2 years of design and production have been important too.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 4:37 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Darkside wrote:
I'm glad we're having this chat because it's good IMHO we're gonna disagree on this one.
The truck of the year was in design/production long, long, long before bailouts were even on the horizon.
That's a fair point but you have to admit that the last 2 years of design and production have been important too.

Sure, maybe for the 2013 and 2014 models.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 4:47 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Sure, maybe for the 2013 and 2014 models.
I'll buy that logic.

The bailout was then a great success. They saved a company that had just totally finished the Car of the Year! The auto bailout was pure genius now! :wink:

They knew that it would win this award in 2008 and made it a no-brainer to save GM.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 4:52 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Sure, maybe for the 2013 and 2014 models.
I'll buy that logic.

The bailout was then a great success. They saved a company that had just totally finished the Car of the Year! The auto bailout was pure genius now! :wink:

They knew that it would win this award in 2008 and made it a no-brainer to save GM.

:lol:
Ok man. All joking aside, I think it's safe to say that even without a bailout this car was still gonna win because its a good fuckin car. Ford didn't need the 2008 bailouts to engineer the car, because it's been in design and production previous to the bailouts. That was really my only bone to pick with you in this thread.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 5:07 pm 
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That's fair. I just think that keeping Ford in a much stronger position helped it. They may not have made as good of a product if there was no bailout.

We aren't really that far off.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Thu Feb 24, 2011 2:03 pm 
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Uh oh, GM has gone way down today. Looks like it hit below $33 before it hit above $40.

In fairness to me, this is off a report that the government is looking to cash out very quickly, which would be a big mistake in my opinion, but would dilute things quickly.

Now would be a great time to buy as I think this is an overreaction but earlier in the thread I doubted this would happen.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Thu Feb 24, 2011 3:36 pm 
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Scorehead wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
Which is exactly what my posts said.
In #4, you mention "a few years time" which is not anywhere in your posts and in fact your quote indicates that shares will be sold quickly and then those will plummet, and everyone who invested will be out again.

Next time do me a favor and say what you actually "meant" to say. I'm too stupid to read your mind.

I will bump this thread when the share price approaches $50 a share. You bump it when it drops below $33. Deal?


I'll put money on GM stock hitting $33 before it hits $50.


I had this in November.

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 Post subject: Re: GM IPO
PostPosted: Thu Feb 24, 2011 3:39 pm 
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Well, it was at $33 or less for a total of about 2 hours. It still counts though. :lol:

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