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PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 12:35 pm 
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Thought I would bump for the end of the season. How could they have been right? How did they know the Sox wouldn't hit for the first three months of the season? How did they know Buehrle would only get ten wins? How did they know....ah, what the hell. They made an outrageous pick and somehow all the intangibles came apart for the Sox to make this prediction come true.
Lucky call doesn't even begin to cover this. I bet they didn't even believe this record prediction when they made it.

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PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 12:47 pm 
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hootmon wrote:
Lucky call doesn't even begin to cover this. I bet they didn't even believe this record prediction when they made it.


It's not like they pulled it out of a hat. It was based on statistics that IIRC have proven to be fairly accurate in predicting over the years.

Many times thorough investigation can overturn commonly held beliefs. I'm still amazed that boulder and a shoe will fall to earth at the same speed (in a vacum, of course).


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PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 1:39 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
hootmon wrote:
Lucky call doesn't even begin to cover this. I bet they didn't even believe this record prediction when they made it.


It's not like they pulled it out of a hat. It was based on statistics that IIRC have proven to be fairly accurate in predicting over the years.

Many times thorough investigation can overturn commonly held beliefs. I'm still amazed that boulder and a shoe will fall to earth at the same speed (in a vacum, of course).


I understand what you (and they) are saying, but my contention remains that the one single factor that doomed the Sox this year was the combined team BA of about .230-240 through June. I don't see how anyone could have predicted that, even with all the stats they plug in. I think the 72-90 record was based on events that may not have necessarily occurred, but other events (bad hitting) led to the actual record. I am just stunned that 72-90 may end up being dead on.

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PostPosted: Sun Sep 30, 2007 9:56 pm 
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Worship PECOTA at the church of your choice.

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 01, 2007 2:39 am 
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Bad Jose Contreras, Mike MacDougal, and Hanson, what a way to send 2007 off to hell.

Congrats to Maggs


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