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 Post subject: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Sun Jan 23, 2011 10:33 pm 
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Started as Packers -2.5 and went up to 3. Sound familiar?

Steelers will make the Pack 1 dimensional. That I know for sure.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Sun Jan 23, 2011 10:43 pm 
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I'm always suspicious about easy money, but the Steelers there seems way too easy.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Sun Jan 23, 2011 10:48 pm 
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Scorehead thinks the line is wrong.


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Sun Jan 23, 2011 10:49 pm 
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Too easy of a pick if that is accurate.


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 9:53 am 
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I don't see it as easy money. Still, I think the Steelers WR run through those CB jams that make them so impressive against the Bears. I also think the Packers can be run on. On the other hand the Steeler OL is as bad as the Bears so the Packers will be blitzing.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 10:12 am 
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Yesterday morning, 5dimes had all four potential super bowl match-ups with point spreads, and the Steelers were a two point favorite over the Packers. What changed between then and now? And why is this total at 46? These are the two best defenses in the league. The Pack have given up 141 points over their last 11.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 10:33 am 
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Pouncey being potentially out is important but not 4-5 points.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 10:45 am 
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Where did you get those numbers, GD? This is what Rosenbloom wrote in the Trib this morning.

Green Bay opened as a 1-point underdog Sunday against Pittsburgh in the Super Bowl, but Packers backers quickly bet their team to 2 1/2-point favorites at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas.

"They just kept betting Green Bay and we had to keep moving the line,'' said John Avello, director of sports and race operations at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas. "I'm just trying to find the right number.''


Oh yeah, and tell me again that Vegas wanting 50/50 is a myth.


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 10:51 am 
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Keyser Soze wrote:
Where did you get those numbers, GD? This is what Rosenbloom wrote in the Trib this morning.

Green Bay opened as a 1-point underdog Sunday against Pittsburgh in the Super Bowl, but Packers backers quickly bet their team to 2 1/2-point favorites at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas.

"They just kept betting Green Bay and we had to keep moving the line,'' said John Avello, director of sports and race operations at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas. "I'm just trying to find the right number.''


Oh yeah, and tell me again that Vegas wanting 50/50 is a myth.

They lost hundreds of millions of dollars on the Patriots/Giants Super Bowl because they shaded the Giants. There's too much money in one game for them to fuck around any more. This isn't a Thursday night college basketball game.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 11:10 am 
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So you're saying point spreads are based on public perception only for big games?


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 11:13 am 
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Keyser Soze wrote:
So you're saying point spreads are based on public perception only for big games?

I'm saying the books are gun shy, and that the Super Bowl brings in so much more money than any other game that they won't take chances. It's a completely unique event. Even for the CFB national championship game, the books moved the line away from the team taking in more money. That's a chance they won't take with the Super Bowl (anymore). There's too much to lose.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 5:12 pm 
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Keyser Soze wrote:
Where did you get those numbers, GD? This is what Rosenbloom wrote in the Trib this morning.

Green Bay opened as a 1-point underdog Sunday against Pittsburgh in the Super Bowl, but Packers backers quickly bet their team to 2 1/2-point favorites at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas.

"They just kept betting Green Bay and we had to keep moving the line,'' said John Avello, director of sports and race operations at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas. "I'm just trying to find the right number.''


Oh yeah, and tell me again that Vegas wanting 50/50 is a myth.


I saw someone post it on therxforum.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 5:48 pm 
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Regular Season: 51-52 +0.71
Playoffs: 6-5 +1.64
YTD: 57-57 +2.35

Pittsburgh ML (+120)

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 6:04 pm 
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I like that pick. I don't know which way I'm going yet, but I don't think the line ends up being at play in this one.

Better question: AFC or NFC this weekend?

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2011 8:38 pm 
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Keyser Soze wrote:
Scorehead thinks the line is wrong.


Your right. I think the best head coach & the best organization in the NFL beats the Packers by at least 10 points.
No way the Steelers should be dogs.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 1:03 am 
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Irish Boy wrote:
They lost hundreds of millions of dollars on the Patriots/Giants Super Bowl because they shaded the Giants. There's too much money in one game for them to fuck around any more. This isn't a Thursday night college basketball game.

QFT -- you don't dick around with the SB line.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:24 am 
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As of this morning:

101 Pittsburgh Steelers +2½ +110

44½ O -110 U -110

102 Green Bay Packers -2½ -130

I'm taking GB -2.5.


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:34 am 
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NSJ wrote:
As of this morning:

101 Pittsburgh Steelers +2½ +110

44½ O -110 U -110

102 Green Bay Packers -2½ -130

I'm taking GB -2.5.


You can get Green Bay at 2.5 with juice of -105 or -110 just about everywhere.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:43 am 
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Put your money on the Packers

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:18 am 
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Irish Boy wrote:
Keyser Soze wrote:
So you're saying point spreads are based on public perception only for big games?

I'm saying the books are gun shy, and that the Super Bowl brings in so much more money than any other game that they won't take chances. It's a completely unique event. Even for the CFB national championship game, the books moved the line away from the team taking in more money. That's a chance they won't take with the Super Bowl (anymore). There's too much to lose.

There is expected to be $10 billion gambled on the super bowl but 1% of that will go through Vegas. That's still a lot of money but not enough for Vegas to change business as usual.


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 1:10 pm 
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At Oddsmaker the Pack is 1.5 with a total of 44.5

SB totals always a little higher since most tend to bet the over.


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Fri Jan 28, 2011 1:37 pm 
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From Bodog:

* How long will it take Christina Aguilera to sing the National Anthem? -- Over/Under: 1 minute 50 seconds


* How long will Christina Aguilera hold the note "Brave" at the end of the National Anthem? -- Over/Under: 6 seconds


* How Many Times will FOX show Jerry Jones on TV during the Game? -- Over/Under: 3


* How Many Times will FOX mention Brett Favre on TV during the Game? -- Over/Under: 2.5


* Will a punt hit the scoreboard during the game? -- Yes: 10/1


* Will a Steelers player do the Aaron Rodgers Championship Belt Celebration during the game?
Yes: EVEN
No: -140


* How many current NFL Players will be arrested during Super Bowl Week?
Over 0.5: +150
Under 0.5: -200


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Fri Jan 28, 2011 2:00 pm 
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From an SI link:

The chronological breakdown of Christina Aguilera's National Anthem history, as provided by YouTube, is as follows:


1992 Stanley Cup Finals: 1 minute, 37 seconds
Random Anthem in Anaheim (date unknown): 1 minute, 21 seconds
2004 NBA All-Star Game: 1 minute, 49 seconds
2005 Pittsburgh Penguins game: 1 minute, 45 seconds
2010 NBA Finals Game 6: 1 minute, 52 seconds
2010 NBA Finals Game 7: 1 minute, 54 seconds


Due to the upward trend in her anthems (mostly), and the propensity to hold notes a little longer when performing the sports' world's single biggest event, our bet is definitely on OVER 1 minute, 50 seconds at Bodog (-125), and while we're at it, we'll take that UNDER on 1 minute, 56 seconds (-120) over at BetUS and hope to middle this anthem.


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Fri Jan 28, 2011 2:07 pm 
if u like pittsburgh then u be better off taking them on money line... I like pack to cover .. 27-20


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Fri Jan 28, 2011 2:08 pm 
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HOVA wrote:
Put your money on the Packers


That's my lean right now and the over.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Fri Jan 28, 2011 2:39 pm 
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If you are playing the Packers then I would think Rogers at +150 to be the MVP is the way to go for a prop. No single WR will outshine him and the Pack is going to need to throw to win. I don't think any single defensive player is going to stand out as the Steelers will try to run so there won't be any spectucular defensive stats as far as picks and sacks.

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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:30 am 
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I just read that the first TD prop bet is Kuhn at 15 to 1.


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 Post subject: Re: Super Bowl
PostPosted: Sun Feb 06, 2011 10:57 pm 
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HOVA wrote:
Put your money on the Packers


Hopefully you all took my advice.

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spanky wrote:
Elmhurst Steve wrote:
In the grand SCEME (not scope, Dumbass) pf things

Awesome.


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